币圈陈凯

December Kai's Exclusive Recruitment Order
In December, some focus on market trends while others analyze strategies deeply—now, Chen Kai invites you to join a like-minded trading circle to accurately seize opportunities amidst market fluctuations!
Today's benefits continue: online real-time guidance for resolving positions, synchronizing layout for a 3000-point market space. If you have no direction, feel free to join the chat room for discussions.
Recruitment Quota (adherence to execution standards is sufficient, with a cycle of 2 weeks)
- 2000U students: 10 places
- 5000U students: 5 places
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- 10,000-30,000U students: 3 places
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- 50,000-100,000U students: 2 places
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- Students above 100,000U: 1 place

10,000 oil target 300,000 small target achieved
This partner finally accomplished the goal in one month. When you keep winning, the turnover happens unexpectedly. An overly eager pursuit of goals can lead to difficulties; a calm and easy operation ultimately brings a big surprise. In the end, he also successfully enjoyed life, looking forward to his next return. $BTC $ETH

Hello everyone, I have been busy communicating some information within our circle these days, and I hope to learn more to bring better content sharing to everyone.

Firstly, the market has been in a volatile state these past few days, and the overall trend has not changed. The situation analyzed earlier remains the same, so there are no additional explanations; the overall long-term cycle is still in a bearish trend.

Secondly, in terms of small structures, it is still in a state of fluctuation and has not broken out of the channel.
In this channel range, we can handle fluctuations. If the upper level breaks, we will continue to look towards 102000. If the lower level breaks, we will first look at the previous low of 80600. You can refer to the overall market grasp. $BTC $ETH

Hello everyone, the market trend yesterday did not rebound as expected after a reversal at the hourly level, and quickly moved upward, which also indicates that in the larger cycle, the bearish forces still dominate, which is indisputable. Although we are currently in a rebound phase, the larger cycle is not reversing, so participation in the hourly or daily level rebounds is possible, but be cautious of the risk of a pullback.
Currently, from the four-hour level, a double bottom structure has formed, confirming the rebound here, and it is highly likely that we will enter an upward channel. The pressure levels of the channel are set at 96800-97000-102000. Only after reaching the pressure level will the bearish trend continue to the previous low of 80600.
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Every day, there are people online creating FOMO: "This is going to skyrocket" "That one starts at a hundred times"... You look around, hesitate to jump in, and feel like you've missed out again; when you muster the courage to chase in, it just happens to be the moment others are unloading their positions.

Stop following emotions and news. The real skill is maintaining your own judgment and rhythm amidst the chaos. The market is never short of excitement; what’s lacking is clear logic and direction. I spend time every day analyzing the market, breaking down structures, and formulating entry and exit strategies, whether it’s contracts or spot trading, there are detailed layouts here with Kai. Don’t be blind, don’t chase highs, grasp certainty; this is the key to long-term success.
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Tonight at 21:15, the "little non-farm" ADP data is about to be released—this week the official non-farm data is directly "absent", making this data the only reference for the employment market before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, regarded as a critical indicator of "lifesaving straw" level.

The Fed will decide on interest rates next week, and now it lacks core data for support. Tonight's movement in this little non-farm data is likely to lead to significant market fluctuations. Whether in the cryptocurrency market or the US stock market, everyone needs to keep a close eye on this data: if the employment numbers exceed expectations, the Fed's hawkish interest rate hike expectations may rise; if it falls short of expectations, the easing expectations may emerge.

The recent surge from 2780 to above 3080 for Er Bing is a standard strong upward attack, with a series of short-term continuous rises. During the process, the volume decreased on the pullbacks, followed by an increased volume breakthrough to a new high. Currently, it is consolidating in the range of 3060 to 3080, more like a buildup of strength rather than a peak.
From the trend perspective, as long as the pullback does not drop below 3020, the bullish structure remains solid. Although the MACD is at a high level, momentum is expanding again, and there has been no obvious selling pressure in the volume, indicating a stable position of the chips. There is still room for further upward movement in the short term.
The operational idea is very simple: continue to go long on the trend if it pulls back to the range of 3020 to 3040. If it directly stands above 3085, consider a small follow-up, with the target aiming at 3120 to 3150. As long as the rhythm of 2990 is maintained below, it won't be chaotic.

In the short term, it is expected to start an hourly-level rise, and there is a high possibility of initiating a daily-level rebound, with resistance at 9600-97000-100000. A decline will begin later, so it is advisable to consider early positioning for short positions above. Those with long positions can consider positioning now.

The view remains unchanged, and it has begun to stabilize and form a double bottom pattern! $BTC $ETH Follow Kai Ge's homepage 🛫

The sharp drop the day before yesterday, the violent pullback yesterday, has basically leveled out, as if playing a joke on us, returning to the starting point. Overall, a long bullish line was formed on the daily chart; is this a reversal? Many people are concerned about these questions, so let me explain in detail.

First of all, the daily chart is still in a downtrend, but if this current rebound breaks and continues to push higher, then this would be a daily-level rebound. However, overall, the weekly and daily charts are still in a bearish trend.

Next, looking at the 4-hour level, due to a rebound in Bitcoin, a double bottom structure has formed here, and it is currently testing whether the neck line breaks.
We need to pay attention to the situation around the neck line at 93000. If it breaks, then it confirms a reversal at the hourly level, and we will need to change our thinking, focusing on buying on dips in the short term. And where is the resistance above? It is around the 100000 level, which we mentioned before about the rebound after the pullback.

This also aligns with our previous expectation of a three-wave rebound.

In the evening, there was a wave of deep-water bombs that took out a bunch of short positions, including our experimental short, which was also swept away, but after the trend was confirmed, we opened long positions and smoothly captured 2700 points.
The ideas given in the morning clearly mentioned whether we could stabilize at 87000-87200; if we could stabilize, then we would initiate a rebound, but if it continued to go down, it would be moving towards the previous low. Did everyone keep up?
Currently, the market has reached a pressure position in the 90000-92000 range; if this range breaks, there is hope to reach the 100000 area that we mentioned.

The market fluctuation is like a long tug-of-war. Prices oscillate within a range, unable to rise or fall, seeming uninteresting, yet hiding the most genuine test of human nature. Some are impatient to exit, some doubt life, while others quietly cultivate their mindset in the rhythm of fluctuations.

Fluctuating markets are not a sign of the market's laziness, but rather its contemplation. It is like a cat, silently gathering strength, quietly accumulating energy for the next directional move. True experts are not deceived by short-lived silence, but instead trade patience for clarity and calmness for opportunity. The essence of the market is never just about rising or falling, but rather a game of rhythm and mindset.

In such times, you will realize: the most terrifying thing is not the loss, but impatience; the most precious thing is not profit, but patience. Those who can maintain their rhythm and not be swayed by emotions in the midst of fluctuations truly understand the meaning of 'trading is a practice'.

The market does not owe anyone an opportunity; it simply uses fluctuations to filter out those who can remain composed. When others anxiously seek a breakthrough, if you can calm down to review, sort out logic, and improve strategy, then when the trend comes again, you will already be standing right in front of the wind.

Remember: fluctuation is not stagnation, but transformation. The market is consolidating, and the mind is also being sharpened. Those who endure the period of fluctuations will eventually see the dawn before the calm.

The thinking has been updated, sending it again

In the consolidation and oscillation of the continuation structure, the focus is still on the high short position, paying attention to whether the 87500 position can stabilize.

Many people follow other bloggers, other groups, or various other things, it's all very diverse. It's unfortunate that some people do not possess real skills, and in the end, their fans are exhausted.

Then there are some who are stuck at a high position, and it was said long ago that the best entry for the spot was between 50,000 and 70,000. Some are stuck buying at 124,000, and it looks really painful. One can only say they are reaping what they sow.
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From a short-term heatmap perspective, there is a large amount of capital both above and below. We need to see if it can stabilize at 87500; if it cannot hold, then the lower capital will definitely be largely liquidated.

I laughed out loud at the issue of fraudulent donations, my apologies!\nI really couldn't have imagined that someone had already been hammered before, how could they still carry out such an operation? A good hand was played terribly, no one would blame you for not donating, yet you insist on riding this wave of traffic to get criticized. Hahahahaha

Obvious bullish weakness, aggressive can short at current price 86700, conservative can wait for high position to short. Looking at 84000-82000-80000

The market thinking is very clear, I've already broken it down for everyone, just short of feeding it to you. Why are there still people asking me?
Can you please take a look at the text, asking every day if it's profitable? It's better to dig deeper into the technology and build your own system
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Good morning everyone, I am Chen Kai. Yesterday, after the market experienced a decline in the morning session, it has not had a decent rebound. In fact, this sends a strong signal to everyone - the rebound lacks strength. I did not expect that it is already December, the market has reached the 80,000 range, and there are still people fantasizing about a bull return. I can only say to let go of oneself and enjoy life.
Speaking of market trends, on the weekly chart, the market has already retreated and broken through the 618 position, so this time it is clearly heading towards the previous low of 74000.
On the daily chart, it is also in a clear downtrend.
As for the short-term trend predictions, the two previously mentioned scenarios are still valid.
So now we are at a point where this decline either ends and a rebound segment starts to reach around 100,000 before declining again, or this decline goes to the previous low of 80600 before rebounding. Both expectations are possible, but there is no need to get too entangled; just wait for the market to give a signal. Still, the same saying: act on the signals you see, first eliminate what cannot be done, which is to not go long. This position at 87000-87200 needs to see if it can stabilize. If it can stabilize, then a rebound will start; if it continues to go down, then it will move towards the previous low.

0.618 position broke, directly plummeting, how many followed?
The subsequent rebounds are all opportunities for you to get on board, target previous low
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