Crypto坤辰

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$BNB

$ASTER


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I want to ask how many people are actually analyzing Aster in handwritten form at the square? It's a handful, right? Either many people are just copying what AI has written, or many are hired by the project party or from a watering team. The statements at the square are basically one-sided; when it drops, they shout about how much it has fallen, and when it rises, they say they see 10, 50, 100. It's simply mindless, playing garbage information 24 hours a day! I really can't stand it!

The market often has a few people making money from the majority. The square is a place filled with human nature!

In #AsterDEX , Aster has been in an accelerated downtrend cycle since it touched the upper track of the major downward cycle at 1.407 on November 19.

In #加密市场回调 , this wave has already dropped for 20 consecutive days, not once showing strength, nor any signs of reversal! The fundamental reason is that someone has been selling continuously. Many smart people say it's the project party transferring left hand to right hand, which is a bit absurd, but it's not impossible. Besides the project party, who else has such a massive amount of unlocked chips? Right?

The bulls at the square are shouting and have turned into bears, shorting vigorously; no matter the situation, it's always a short! If you want to short, will you come to the square to call a chicken feather?

For #美联储重启降息步伐 , what is the mindset of those who hope for continued declines now? I think they definitely can't be shorting, right? Because those who are shorting have already started to take profits, right? The Fed's interest rate cut is about to be implemented; if they don't take profits, do they want to do it for nothing? So now, those hoping for further declines are only: those hoping to receive more bloodied cheap chips or institutions!?

I am that spot dead bull, futures dead bull; as long as you can't kill me or blow me out, I will keep adding margin and replenishing spot! Let's see who can grab it! $ASTER

The above views only represent personal opinions! If you disagree, come debate!
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#美联储重启降息步伐 Have you noticed? In the square, when the market falls, they shout 'bear market', and when it rises, they shout 'bull market'! Among these, there are two groups that only shout about bulls and bears; they come out to shout as soon as the market fluctuates! Then there's another group that shouts blindly from both sides; when it rises, they shout 'bull', and when it falls, they shout 'bear', without any personal opinion, or maybe they themselves are just confused, simply wanting to join the excitement! They are completely swayed by the market fluctuations affecting their thoughts! Although I do not know if these three groups are bullish when they go long or bearish when they short, I know that as long as they are a retail investor, they are very likely to operate this way! There is also a group (the fourth group) that never looks at market prices or K-line movements; they live well every day, doing whatever they want, and during key time points, they only focus on the data they care about, such as the Fear and Greed Index, whale dynamic position ratios, national financial index data, financial policies, etc.!
Among these four groups, the first three groups have the most people, while the fourth group has relatively few individuals, but often this fourth group also holds the highest proportion of individual positions in the market! (Commonly known as the richest players)
#山寨季将至？
Think carefully about why there are often famous sayings: 'buy high, sell low, buy low, sell high!' Who said that? What do they want to do? Everyone understands the principle, but how many can strictly abide by it? Even if you strictly follow it, does that mean you won't encounter a crash and can definitely profit? I think not! There’s no such thing as impossible with altcoins; everything is possible!
Currently, the money in this market is just so much; you give me, I give you, big fish eat small fish, small fish have nothing to eat, shrimp will definitely be eaten!
Summary: In this environment, for a retail investor or a retail king, you should not be thinking about how much you earn every day! What you should demand is how much you lose less every day! As long as your principal remains, and you live longer, as long as you choose targets in mainstream and significant value demand sectors, not those obscure altcoins! As long as you hold on and wait for the cycle! Time is your best wealth god; it will give you generous returns! #AsterDEX

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$ASTER

What you really want to see: The spot has been open on Binance for the ninth week now. From a naked K perspective, looking at these 9 weekly K lines, what do we find? It has been forming a bottoming pattern. Do you already have a direction in mind? Northeast, yes, this direction, although I don't know when it will arrive, I am also unclear if, with the restart of the BTC bull market, new funds will flow into Aster to push it to its ATH? But I know that at this Dubai Binance conference, the support actions from CZ and the first sister for the development of the Aster project, as well as the active appearance of Aster's CEO, clearly indicate that Binance's new direction is Aster! I believe no project party wishes their project to develop only to the current market value of dozens or even hundreds or thousands of times. A series of pushes for Aster began after CZ came out from behind bars! Awakening behind high walls! What exactly did CZ awaken to? Yes, he realized that with the current regulation of blockchain and the backdrop of state teams entering the field, any individual holding more digital assets and exposed to state team regulations is in panic. They fear that one day their assets could be directly confiscated by some state team for whatever reason. CZ cannot escape this, neither can the explosive head, nor can those truly significant blockchain whales. Will they conduct their transactions inside centralized exchanges in the future? The answer is a hundred percent no. They do not wish to be tracked; they desire an absolutely private trading space for settling or investing, and that #AsterDEX is that private trading space.
All of the above is merely my personal reflection from CZ's perspective. Why does he want to promote Aster? Why are many locked-up big holders on-chain all wallet addresses from major centralized exchanges? Even competitors like Hype hold Aster; can you believe it? Brothers, have you really checked? Do you truly understand Aster in detail? Its emergence is of epoch-making significance!

Regardless of how you feel about my thoughts above after reading them, are you criticizing me or what? Our funds differ, our growth backgrounds are different, and our thoughts and cognitive starting points are different. I accept all comments!

But remember, wherever there is demand, there will definitely be value created, and money will flow into that space.

News: The Aster team has advanced the destruction by 8 days! Good brothers!
The project party has indeed taken action! Are the short sellers feeling confused right now?

From a technical perspective, the K-line has successfully broken through and stood above 0.978, which means that the weekly correction period has ended, and a new bullish trend has restarted!

Holding spot $ASTER
Just be patient, no matter if it rises or falls, don't panic! The recent sharp drop doesn't mean the bulls are gone; they just don't dare to speak up!
Did I hit the nail on the head?
#量化宽松 #AsterDEX
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#AsterDEX Is the decline a crisis or an opportunity? Key data overview

$ASTER Continuous decline, is it a crisis or an opportunity? Data doesn’t lie, let's break it down quickly.

1. Main reason for the decline: Three pressures

1. Weak fundamentals
TVL (Total Value Locked) has decreased by $362 million, and capital outflow is evident.
Platform trading volume has shrunk to $78 million, with insufficient user activity.
2. Concentrated selling pressure from whales
On-chain data shows that a whale address has cumulatively sold $26 million of $ASTER , causing immense selling pressure.
3. Technical and confidence setbacks
Technical indicators are weakening, and the trend is downward.
Delisted from the data site DefiLlama, impacting market confidence.

2. Market divergence
It is noteworthy that the market is showing signals of speculation:

Retail investors are stepping in: Data shows that retail capital continues to flow in.

Futures bulls accumulating: Some traders are starting to bet on a rebound.

This has formed a situation of “whales selling, retail buying,” and short-term volatility is expected to increase.

3. Two major points to watch in the future

1. Key resistance level $1.39: Whether it can break through with volume is the first technical signal to judge a trend reversal.
2. December 5 buyback: Can the promised buyback by the project team be executed as scheduled? Its strength (reportedly sourced from a daily fee of $1.7 million) will be key to verifying sincerity and boosting confidence.

Summary:
$ASTER is in a tug-of-war between “fundamentals under pressure” and “buyback expectations.” Investors should remain rational and closely monitor the actual realization of key data and events.

Interaction: Follow Chen Ge to avoid getting lost, like and comment to increase wealth! Do you think the buyback of $ASTER can turn the situation around? See you in the comments!

#加密市场观察 BTC If it can effectively stabilize above 88000, then it will be a signal of stabilization in this downtrend cycle! As long as it stands above and stabilizes at 88000 US dollars, a new bullish rally will be initiated! Last week it fell to around 80005, and I predicted that was the bottom; you can refer to my posts, and if you don't believe it, let's wait and see! #BTC☀ $BTC

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Haha, today is the biggest scoop! #Port3
Hackers are amazing, blockchain projects have everyone on edge. We must not only respect the market but also the tech experts! Today everyone is shouting to buy lottery tickets! This is the most amount of crypto assets I've ever purchased in the crypto world! It's already impossible to successfully buy another unit now! The project team has shut down the project, and these assets have gone to zero! I don't know if this project will come back to life like Luna! I don't care anymore! I regard these zero-value assets as a memento! If there is a day of revival, no matter how many zeros it erases from my value, please call me: Big Dog!

Previously, I said that 80,000 is the bottom, and some said I was dreaming! So why am I confident that this crypto bull market has not ended?

#加密市场观察 The judgment that this crypto bull market has not ended is based on three main drivers: macro, ecology, and institutions have not faded, with no signs of termination.

Macro-wise, compliance and liquidity provide support. Global regulation is shifting towards 'regulated guidance'; after the EU MiCA takes effect, trading volume has increased by 210%, with compliant exchanges accounting for 78%; the US 'CLARITY Act' will be implemented, opening up institutional ETF channels. The Federal Reserve is injecting liquidity, global central banks are easing; under the weakening dollar, countries like Argentina have Bitcoin premiums exceeding 15%, with continued capital injection.

The ecology is free of bubbles, and iterations are accelerating. Layer 2 locked value has broken 32 billion, with Arbitrum and zkSync trading volume increasing by 400%, and Gas fees dropping by over 90%; the market capitalization of AI + Web3 has increased nearly fivefold, with on-chain AI landing; DeFi is deepening, ASTER connects multiple chains and TradFi, with RWA and GameFi users doubling.

Institutions are becoming the 'ballast stone' (11.16-22 data): The US Ethereum ETF saw a net inflow of 2.38 billion in a single week, with BlackRock accounting for 1.72 billion, and a net value of 24.13 billion; institutional BNB holdings increased by 8.3% week-on-week, with a net inflow of 610 million USDT into the DeFi where ASTER is located (according to Binance). Over 35 global listed companies are allocated Bitcoin, with the institutional crypto share rising from 0.3% to 1.2%, expected to exceed 3% by 2026, changing from 'retail-led' to 'institution-led'.

The market shows no signs of termination. The ICO in 2017 and the LUNA collapse in 2021 were accompanied by 'high leverage, one-size-fits-all regulation, and ecological stagnation'; currently, leverage is low, regulation is 'categorized compliance', and both ecological volume and users are increasing. In terms of capital, spot volume is steadily rising, with BNB and ASTER chips concentrated; sentiment remains volatile, not 'extremely euphoric'.

In summary, the bull market is a resonance of 'compliance + technology + institutions', not a bubble. Subsequently, with the Fed lowering interest rates and ETF approvals, the market will shift to 'sector rotation', with the core logic not collapsing, and the bull market not ending.
#牛市前兆

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Many people still do not know why Aster is a DeFi token?

The reason ASTER is a DeFi token lies in its nature as not just a speculative asset, but as the native token of Aster DEX (formed by the merger of Astherus and APX Finance at the end of 2024), deeply integrated into the ecosystem's operation.

It brings DeFi scenarios to life with five core functions: governance, staking, transaction fuel, etc., supported by its own Layer 1 (sub-second confirmation, low Gas fees) technology, and can connect multiple chains and TradFi.

Compared to non-DeFi tokens, ASTER is an ecological “necessity,” with earnings coming from ecosystem transaction fees and staking profits, decided by the community through decentralized decision-making, rather than relying on capital speculation, which is the core embodiment of its DeFi nature.

Accompanied by the stabilization of #BTC☀ in the market!

The value of #AsterDEX will also receive significant stimulation!

Bullish!

The market cap is still undervalued, both in the short term and long term, it remains my top pick for altcoin potential!

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#BTC☀ finally hit the mark! As expected, the pin was pressed to 80600, and as I anticipated last night, it has reached the target! Now it has temporarily rebounded to around 84000 and continues to meet selling pressure!
But I still believe the next direction is clear, moving north! A rebound above 88000 is the key to stabilization!

Those trading on the left side should set their initial positions around 80000, while those trading on the right should wait for stabilization before entering the market!

If it continues to break below 80000 and moves south, it will confirm a bear market, with no independent rebound trend!
Because it will follow the US stock market and continue to weaken! #美股2026预测
#AsterDEX is also very strong today, the top five mainstream stocks are all in a waterfall decline, but it still has a moat of 1.1, very strong and very good!
Sol still has a lot of opportunities, this is the asset I’m most optimistic about in 2023! Both Eth and sol can be positioned during dips!

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#加密市场回调 Last night, when it plummeted to 86000-87000, I shouted not to bottom fish, not to bottom fish, not to go long on contracts, and that there would be a further dip to around 80000! Today it dropped to a low of 82000 with huge buy orders supporting it! 80500 wasn't reached! This was also unexpected! In my opinion, conservatively, it hasn't hit the mark, so will it test the 80000 weekly EMA120 support again? The possibility is still very high! So, for now, the temporary rebound back to 84000 does not mean stability! We need to observe further how it moves, don't rush! Let's wait for the arrival of 80000, and if it doesn't deeply dip below 80000 and directly pulls back above 88000, then we can confirm it is a stability signal!
#AsterDEX The potential targets I am most optimistic about this year, no need to say much, just look at how resistant it is to declines!
I also sold my ETH at 3023, if it dips a bit more I can buy back, because don't forget the big benefits for ETH!

#加密市场回调 has finally arrived! Now is not the time to buy the dip! Being conservative means around 80,500, 80,000 is the real bottom! It has not stabilized yet, and we need to drop another 6,000 points before this large-scale bearish market will end! The probability of a spike to 80,000 and then a pullback to 88,000 will be very high!\nThis time of decline, everyone should pay attention to coins that are resistant to falling or those that have started to rise without going down; during the reversal, these altcoins will soar!\nThis round is not a bear market; the real bear market will be around the first quarter of next year during the Chinese New Year! A big bull market is coming soon! Hold on! Don't trade contracts now! Don't get left behind in spot trading! Hold on tight! Wait for the market to rise!\n#AsterDEX is still the best target for the bull market that I am optimistic about; I see the bull market peak at 20 dollars per Aster!\n\nAs long as Aster does not effectively break 0.95, there is nothing to fear! If you can't handle a 30-45% drop while playing with altcoins, then don't play with altcoins! Be honest and buy BTC, ETH, BNB.\nI buy more Aster as it falls; I never go all in, always have some bullets! Buy slowly! Average down the high position!\n\nFollow Chen Ge and you won't get lost; like and comment to increase your wealth!

Many people say that the current issuance of coins is too large, and there is no room for high multiples of price increase? Hurry up and take a look, I will tell you that a high issuance does not equal high multiple growth!
#山寨币热点
Modern high issuance cryptocurrencies: Analyzing the space for high multiple growth

Conclusion: Modern high issuance cryptocurrencies still have room for high multiple growth, fundamentally based on 3 major conditions.

1. The 3 major conditions determine growth, unrelated to issuance

1. Deflationary mechanism: buyback/burn to create scarcity, such as $ASTER (8 billion) 20% of income burned, SHIB burned 40% and rose 450 times;
2. Circulation control: slow release to avoid selling pressure, ASTER's initial circulation is 8.8%, with the remaining 80 months released linearly, circulation <30% is more likely to explode;
3. Actual application: Solana supports DeFi/NFT and rises 20 times, XRP is expected to rise more than 10 times in cross-border payments.

2. 2 types of cases validate potential

1. High supply + strong burn: DOGE (189 billion) rose 12,000 times, WLFI (24.67 billion circulation) rose 36 times;
2. High supply + practical scenario: AXS (270 million) rose 1,600 times, XRP (100 billion) may rise more than 100 times.

3. ASTER (8 billion) high growth logic

1. Scarcity: total amount fixed, 53.5% allocated to the community, 20% of income burned;
2. Value: BNB Chain has the highest trading volume, TVL 1.8 billion USDT, staking enjoys 4 times rebate;
3. Expectation: currently 1.37 USDT, optimistic to break 3 USDT by mid-2025 (an increase of 120%+).

4. 4 indicators to assess potential
1. FDV/Circulating Market Cap Ratio: the judgment standard is <5 times is safe, ASTER's instance is 1.1 times, which is considered low risk;

2. Burn size: the judgment standard is that 10%+ of protocol income is used for buybacks, ASTER's instance is 20%, at a high quality level in the industry;

3. Circulation release: the judgment standard is no large unlock, ASTER's instance is 80 months releasing the remaining 91.2%, maintaining a steady pace;

4. TVL/Market Cap Ratio: the judgment standard is >1 indicates undervaluation, ASTER's instance is 1.8, possessing undervalued attributes.

5. Growth logic: from 'scarcity' to 'value network'

Not relying on 'things are precious because they are scarce', but on 'value capture + network effect': ASTER's annual buyback is 12 million USDT, with over 330,000 users, forming a cycle of 'more users → higher income → stronger buyback'.

6. Conclusion and suggestions

Choose coins with 'fixed total supply + burn + application + community consensus', as they often rise 10-100 times during cyclical transitions. Ultimate insight: value is unrelated to issuance, the core is 'demand exceeds supply', having cash flow and solving pain points can lead to price increases.

Why is the issuance of modern coins far greater than that of ETH and BNB seven years ago? (Taking $ASTER and 8 billion as an example)

The high issuance of modern coins is not arbitrary but the result of the evolution of the market, technology, and economic models, with five core reasons:

1. Token economic evolution: Seven years ago, ETH (with no fixed upper limit, relying on PoS to control growth) and BNB (initially 200 million, reduced to 100 million) emphasized 'scarcity'; now, coins like ASTER (with a total supply of 8 billion) adopt a model of 'high supply + precise distribution', with 53.5% allocated to the community and 20% for ecological incentives, supporting a large-scale ecosystem.

2. Adapting to market competition and liquidity: The market has shifted from 'scarcity' to 'saturation', and new projects need sufficient circulation to attract users; 'low circulation and high FDV' struggle to gain attention, while high-circulation tokens are easier to establish.

3. Meeting technical expansion needs: The new generation of chains must support micro-transactions, high throughput (with tokens serving as 'fuel'), and complex functions like staking and governance, requiring a larger token base, such as XRP's 100 billion to accommodate small transactions.

4. Distribution shifting to community: Early projects relied on ICOs for 70%-80% of funding from investors, leading to high centralization; modern projects like ASTER allocate over 50% to the community, leveraging airdrops to expand user base and reduce the risk of whale control.

5. Deflationary mechanisms balancing supply: High issuance does not equal inflation; ASTER uses protocol revenue to buy back and burn tokens, while BNB has already burned about 20%, balancing 'inflationary issuance + deflationary destruction' to cater to both ecosystem and value.

The choice of 8 billion for ASTER is the result of precise calculations:
1. Supporting DEX trading fee discounts and liquidity incentives;
2. 53.5% community share, ensuring decentralization;
3. Reserving tokens for ecology and promotion;
4. Adapting to the Binance ecosystem, matching the scale for the 2025 market.

In summary: The high issuance of modern coins reflects market maturity, with the core difference being the shift from early pursuits of 'scarcity' to reliance on 'high total supply + precise distribution + deflation', balancing 'broad distribution' with 'value capture'.
#山寨币热点

#Grok Does any brother know about this coin in the primary market? It's so amazing! It feels like those O2O funding projects from many years ago, just rising without falling. Is there anyone who understands? Let's chat! I see it's rising too fast! I want to buy a few hundred U to play around and try! It's so stable, always going up, not rising a little more or a little less, just taking small steps upward! #代币化热潮

Aster's official actions have triggered a user trust crisis! This wave is indeed disgusting! I even want to reduce my spot holdings! What should we do next? We still need to analyze rationally! Find ways to cope with this investment crisis! Frequent changes to the token unlock quantity and time, arbitrary manipulation! For small altcoins, it's simply playing with fire in a dry toilet! Is this wave really self-immolation or is it a deliberate operation with the number six hundred sixty-six? Could there be some other deeper meaning behind this? #Aster官方恶意操纵市场需警惕
I really feel that there has been some excessive intervention! The management of the project party is too unstable, or the CEO wants to prove themselves too much?
Let me help everyone stay calm and first clarify: the official will never "deliberately" let users lose trust — the core value of small altcoins is "investor trust", destroying trust is equivalent to destroying one's own platform. What you see as "changing unlocks and inducing selling pressure" is essentially the "side effect of covering up problems" or "deliberate wash trading layout", not "actively ruining the platform". As for whether it is "cashing out" or "preparing for wash trading to pump up", we can distinguish between the two typical methods and key signals, which is also the core operational logic of such projects: #AsterDEX

1. The first type: if the coin price is about to crash, big holders will run! They may have bought in at 0.1 or 0.2 and now want to take profits! This is not wash trading, it's "covering up problems + passive cashing out", and the selling pressure is an unfortunate consequence.

2. The second type: the coin price will not crash, take as much as you can! Retail investors panic! This is "low-level wash trading", and the selling pressure is intentionally guiding the sell-off to hand over chips, with the ultimate goal of "accumulating at low prices before pumping up".

It’s just these two types, regardless of which one, we must first see if the coin price can stabilize above 1.05-1.08, this is the pressure on the market for accumulation. If within the next three days, a single sell-off of 50,000 occurs once or multiple times, that would be selling off, and the coin price could potentially break 1u, even down to 0.8 or 0.5. The most important thing is to keep a close eye on whether there are changes in the wallets of major holders on-chain! #ASTER空投

These days have not been too stable for Aster, good brothers need to keep their guard up! Don't touch high-leverage contracts! Don't fall before dawn, the market is stabilizing now! Aster is about to make moves! There is a chain reaction in this! $ASTER

#加密市场回调 No matter how good a coin is, if you don't hold it, its appreciation has nothing to do with you! No matter how potential a coin is, if you can't hold it and sell it as soon as it rises a little, that substantial wealth at its peak will also not belong to you!
For value investing, time is the best friend! #AsterDEX
I just want to say that since Aster went online, it has been focusing on trading volume, which seems to have not caught the attention of those of us who want value investing. I don't know what kind of incentive mechanisms will emerge for real holders? Diverse token incentive activities can often provide a good protective layer for the coin price!
If operated well, I predict that Aster could rise to around 3U after Christmas at the end of 2025, but currently looking at the market, it seems that the main force is intentionally suppressing the price to prevent it from bouncing back quickly! What other deeper meaning could be behind this?