أسبوع محوري للأسواق مع تركيز كامل على الفيدرالي الأميركي، حيث يترقب المستثمرون الخفض الثالث للفائدة في 2025 — خطوة قد تغيّر اتجاهات الدولار، الذهب، الأسهم، والسندات. إليك أبرز ما ينتظرنا: 1️⃣ بيانات وظائف JOLTS – الثلاثاء9/12 تحديث مهم لقياس قوة سوق العمل. أي تراجع جديد في الوظائف الشاغرة يزيد الضغط على الفيدرالي لمواصلة سياسة التيسير. 2️⃣ قرار الفائدة – الأربعاء10/12 كل التوقعات تشير إلى خفض ثالث بواقع 25 نقطة أساس. هذه الخطوة باتت شبه محسومة بعد تباطؤ التضخم وتراجع مؤشرات النشاط الاقتصادي. 3️⃣ مؤتمر باول – الأربعاء10/12 اللحظة الحاسمة. الأسواق تنتظر لغة باول: • هل يومئ إلى تخفيضات إضافية؟ • أم يشير إلى توقف مؤقت؟ تصريحات باول ستكون محرّكًا رئيسيًا لحركة الذهب، الدولار، والمؤشرات الأميركية. 4️⃣ تقرير أوبك الشهري – الخميس11/12 مهم لأسعار النفط، خصوصًا بعد التذبذب الأخير وضعف الطلب العالمي. 5️⃣ طلبات إعانة البطالة – الخميس11/12 أي ارتفاع مفاجئ سيدعم رؤية السوق بأن الاقتصاد يبرد وأن مزيدًا من التيسير أصبح قريبًا. 6️⃣ مزاد السندات الأميركية لأجل 30 عامًا – الخميس اختبار لشهية المستثمرين تجاه الدين الأميركي بعد سلسلة خفض الفائدة. ضعف الإقبال قد يرفع العوائد ويضغط على الأسهم. الخلاصة: الأسواق تدخل أسبوعًا ثقيلًا… والحدث الأبرز: الخفض الثالث للفائدة هذا العام. استعدوا لتقلبات قوية في الذهب، الدولار، والمؤشرات الأميركي $PAXG
Several sites and analyses circulated over the weekend a news story stating that Russia has begun selling gold from its reserves. Although the news is correct, it is old and dates back to 20/11/2025, indicating an attempt to recycle it to create an impact in the markets.
Economic sources indicate the existence of global media misinformation aimed at capitalizing on this news and driving gold prices up by inflating the event.
According to the report, the Russian central bank plans to sell about 350 tons of gold by the end of 2026.
To understand the significance of the number more clearly: China's total gold purchases since the beginning of 2024 until today have reached only 70 tons This means that Russia plans to sell an amount equivalent to 5 times what China has bought over two years.
Statements shake markets before the Federal Meeting
Kevin Hassett – former economic advisor to the White House and candidate to succeed Jerome Powell – stated that the time is right for the Federal Reserve to cautiously lower interest rates again, adding that he expects another cut during next week's meeting.
According to reliable economic sources, economists expect the Fed to implement another cut this week to address the increasing risks in the labor market, followed by:
🔹 A temporary halt in the cutting cycle after this week's step 🔹 Only one additional cut in 2026 by 25 basis points 🔹 The beginning of this potential cut will be in March 2026 (03/2026)
Economists believe that any step to lower interest rates now will likely be accompanied by a long waiting period before resuming monetary easing again.
On Wednesday, Binance, the world's largest platform for trading digital assets by trading volume and number of users, announced the appointment of co-founder Yi He as co-CEO, coinciding with the launch of "Binance Blockchain Week."
{Basic Tips for Beginners and Traders} ✅Continuous Education: Never stop learning; understand the market, technical and fundamental analysis, and use modern technology. ✅Create a Trading Plan: Define your goals, strategies, entry and exit points, and document them to avoid emotional decisions. ✅Risk Management: Do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital on a single trade, and always use stop-loss and take-profit orders. ✅Start Cautiously: Begin with small amounts or a demo account to gain experience before risking large sums of money. ✅Diversification: Do not put all your money in one basket; diversify your investments among different assets (currencies, commodities, indices). ✅Focus: Start by focusing on one market or one currency pair to become an expert in it. ✅Patience and Discipline: Trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme; be patient and committed to your plan. ✅Avoid Emotions: Do not let fear (FUD) or greed (FOMO) control your decisions; stay calm. ✅Start with Comprehensive Analysis: Begin by looking at larger time frames (daily, weekly) to determine the overall trend, then move to smaller frames. Tips for Navigating the Market ✅Monitor the Market: Track your investments and adjust your strategy if necessary, being cautious of market changes. ✅Learn from Mistakes: Mistakes happen, but learning from them is what makes you a better trader. ✅Beware of Scams: Be cautious of enticing offers that promise quick and unrealistic profits.
Binance Market Update: Cryptocurrency Market Trends | December 6, 2025 According to CoinMarketCap data, the global market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is now $3.04 trillion, a decrease of 2.08% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin (BTC) traded between $88,056 and $91,564 during the last 24 hours. As of 09:30 AM (UTC) today, BTC is trading at $89,619, a decrease of 1.85%.
Most major cryptocurrencies by market capitalization are trading mixed. The currencies that are outperforming the market include LUNC, LUNA, and ACE, with increases of 72%, 41%, and 30% respectively.$LUNC $ACE $BTC
Bitcoin flows are decreasing despite rising prices, the analyst notes According to Odaily, the on-chain analyst Ali on platform X pointed out that the flow of money into Bitcoin (BTC) is still decreasing, even with its price rising. This downward divergence reminds of the situation during 2021-2022, which developed into an overall downward trend.$BTC
The SOPR ratio for Bitcoin reaches its lowest level since early 2024 According to BlockBeats, CryptoOnchain announced via social media that the SOPR ratio for Bitcoin has dropped to 1.35, marking its lowest point since early 2024. With Bitcoin's decline to $89,700, this indicator suggests a complete reset of market profitability. The phase of significant profit-taking by long-term holders is shrinking, indicating that selling pressure is nearing exhaustion.$BTC
Russia's gold reserves have surpassed the $300 billion mark
According to PANews, an analysis of data from the Central Bank of Russia by the Russian space news agency reveals that the market value of gold reserves in Russia exceeded $300 billion for the first time in November 2025, reaching $310.7 billion. This marks the fourth consecutive month of record highs. During this period, the share of gold in Russia's international reserves rose to 42.3%, the highest level since February
A large withdrawal of alternative currencies linked to investor Jaz San
According to ChainCatcher, analyst Emmet Galik shared on platform X that an address associated with prominent investor Jaz San has withdrawn over $75 million in alternative currencies from the exchange. The assets include $22 million in LINK, $18 million in ETH, $11 million in ENA, $6 million in AAVE, $3.75 million in ONDO, $3.5 million in PENDLE, $3.3 million in UNI, and $1.3 million in ARB
Bitcoin price movements could lead to significant liquidations in major exchanges
According to ChainCatcher, data from Coinglass indicates that if the price of Bitcoin exceeds $94,066, the cumulative liquidation density of short positions in major centralized exchanges will reach $1.898 billion. Conversely, if the price of Bitcoin falls below $85,136, the cumulative liquidation density of long positions in these exchanges will reach $1.027 billion.
The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates to the highest level since 1995 According to Odaily, the Bank of Japan is considering raising the interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.75% during its meeting on December 19, which would represent the highest rate since 1995. Following this news, the Japanese yen strengthened from about 155 to about 154.56. A stronger yen often leads to a reduction in macroeconomic indebtedness, which may lead to the unwinding of yen-funded borrowing deals. This could lead to a tightening of liquidity that supported the recovery$SOL
The experience of exchange-traded funds in Bitcoin and Ethereum in the United States shows mixed inflows and outflows. According to BlockBeats, recent monitoring by Fundside Investors revealed that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the United States experienced a net inflow of $54.8 million. Among the exchange-traded funds, the BlackRock IBIT fund saw a net outflow of $32.5 million, while the Fidelity FBTC fund had a net inflow of $27.3 million. The Bitwise BITB fund recorded an inflow of $4.9 million, and the ARK ARKB fund saw an inflow of $42.8 million. The VanEck HODL fund had an inflow of $11.4 million, and the WisdomTree BTCW fund reported an inflow of $0.9 million. In contrast, spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds in the United States experienced a net outflow of $75.2 million, with only the BlackRock ETHA fund providing specific flow data.$BTC $ETH
Bank of America warns: The momentum on Wall Street at the end of the year is threatened by the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy!
According to the bank's reports, the increasing pressures within the Federal Reserve and the lack of clarity on the interest rate reduction path could hinder the strong gains that the stock markets have witnessed in recent weeks.
Analysts assert that any hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve currently could ignite a wide profit-taking wave, especially in technology stocks and interest-sensitive sectors.
Wall Street entered the final quarter with strong momentum, but the tensions surrounding upcoming interest rate decisions make the end of the year "at stake," according to the bank.
The message is clear: The market is sensitive… and any surprise from the Federal Reserve could change the scene in an instant.
📊 Has inflation returned to rise? And why will the Fed continue to lower interest rates?
• The inflation data for September showed a strange mix: • The main PCE index rose to 2.8%, the highest reading since October 2023. • Core PCE inflation dipped slightly to 2.8% compared to expectations of 2.9%.
🔹 Analysis: • “Apparent” inflation rose, but the Fed is focusing on core inflation, which is on a continuous downward path. • Economic activity has begun to show moderate slowing, which reduces the risk of a renewed inflation flare-up.
Why will the Fed continue to lower interest rates? • The decision does not depend on one month, but on the overall trend of inflation and economic growth. • The Fed prefers to support growth and ease financial tightening rather than insist on pressure for further inflation reduction, especially with medium-term inflation expectations stable (2–2.5%).
⚠️ Summary: • Rise in main inflation = Yellow light 🚦 • Continued decline in core inflation = Green light ✅ → Therefore, interest rates will continue to be lowered, but with great caution.
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🔴 Urgent and Strong Alert for Traders – PCE Data is Coming!
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index — the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation — will be released soon, and it is one of the most critical data points that can shake the markets significantly.
📌 Why is it important? 🔺 Because the Federal Reserve bases its decisions on interest rate cuts or hikes on it 🔺 Any surprises in the data could cause violent fluctuations in gold, the dollar, stocks, and cryptocurrencies 📊 The markets are currently highly sensitive, awaiting the new reading
The coming hours may bring unexpected movement Watch the market closely, and activate risk management Avoid random entry before the data is released
🔥 PCE Index = the spark that determines the direction of the markets for the upcoming period… Be prepared.
Reason: This performance is attributed to improved global risk appetite following the freeze on U.S. sanctions against China, in addition to the hawkish expectations regarding inflation developments in Australia$AUD
The largest wave of withdrawals hits BlackRock's Bitcoin fund since its launch!
This week, the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) experienced the largest withdrawal of funds since its inception, signaling a clear increase in concern among investors regarding recent market movements.
The massive outflow raised questions about institutional trends. Risk appetite decline pressures cryptocurrencies and crypto assets. This news is one of the most significant developments in the Bitcoin market this week$BTC