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[🌍公众号:老K专业解盘] [💬实战无偿,聊天室ID:kk888888] 只分享干货,用认知带你寻找下一个关键点位,感谢关注!
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👑 Chat room ID: kk888888 (scanning is also fine) 👑 Daily sharing of market analysis and teaching insights for big and small pancakes 👑 Follow Old K to avoid getting lost, Old K will take you on the fast track $BTC $ETH $BNB
👑 Chat room ID: kk888888 (scanning is also fine)

👑 Daily sharing of market analysis and teaching insights for big and small pancakes

👑 Follow Old K to avoid getting lost, Old K will take you on the fast track

$BTC $ETH $BNB
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Tonight at 3 AM, the Fed's interest rate cut is just such a 'well-known' script. The current price has already incorporated most of the expectations of a drop from 4.00% to 3.75%. Therefore, the real risk lies in the 'good news realization'. If the outcome does not exceed the expected surprise (for example, a 50 basis point cut), then the moment the 'shoe drops' is likely to be when the 'buying power is exhausted' in the short term. Historical trends have verified this pattern twice. Don't get too excited when good news is known to everyone, as that is usually the bell for seasoned players to take a temporary rest. $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐
Tonight at 3 AM, the Fed's interest rate cut is just such a 'well-known' script.

The current price has already incorporated most of the expectations of a drop from 4.00% to 3.75%.

Therefore, the real risk lies in the 'good news realization'.
If the outcome does not exceed the expected surprise (for example, a 50 basis point cut), then the moment the 'shoe drops' is likely to be when the 'buying power is exhausted' in the short term. Historical trends have verified this pattern twice.

Don't get too excited when good news is known to everyone, as that is usually the bell for seasoned players to take a temporary rest.

$BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐
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Last night, Hasett said a few words of "dove talk," and $ETH got excited. But looking closely: the US stock market, which should have reacted, remained motionless. What does this indicate? It indicates that the sentiment in the crypto world is too sensitive, and a little rumor can stir things up. But everyone needs to be clear: the person in charge of the Federal Reserve right now is still Powell. The market has been pricing in a rate cut in December for quite a while, and this "good news" may already be factored into the prices. Tonight's key is not whether there will be a cut, but rather "how Powell will speak." If his tone is hawkish (for example, hinting that the rate cut cycle won't be quick), then the "good news realization" could immediately turn into "good news fully priced in." Historical experience tells us: when everyone thinks it's good news, it's often the time of greatest risk; the end of the meeting might just mark the beginning of a market reversal. $BTC $LUNA #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
Last night, Hasett said a few words of "dove talk," and $ETH got excited. But looking closely: the US stock market, which should have reacted, remained motionless.

What does this indicate? It indicates that the sentiment in the crypto world is too sensitive, and a little rumor can stir things up. But everyone needs to be clear: the person in charge of the Federal Reserve right now is still Powell.

The market has been pricing in a rate cut in December for quite a while, and this "good news" may already be factored into the prices. Tonight's key is not whether there will be a cut, but rather "how Powell will speak." If his tone is hawkish (for example, hinting that the rate cut cycle won't be quick), then the "good news realization" could immediately turn into "good news fully priced in."

Historical experience tells us: when everyone thinks it's good news, it's often the time of greatest risk; the end of the meeting might just mark the beginning of a market reversal.

$BTC $LUNA #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
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【2025/12/10】 $BTC Market Analysis Do you feel like the market is swinging back and forth like a "seesaw"? Don't panic, the key is to focus on these few levels, and the market intentions will be clear. The current battlefield is 92K - 93.5K, and the price is oscillating within this small range. 93.5K is the upper resistance level, and until it breaks with volume, all upward movements are considered "retracements." 92K is the lower support level and also where the 20-day moving average is located; breaking it will weaken short-term sentiment. If the 92K support is broken, don't rush to panic; opportunities may arise. The lower level at 91.2K is the planned "first buying zone," and further down to 90.4K is a previous area of high trading volume, akin to a "discount sales area." Buying here offers a better risk-reward ratio and is a golden opportunity to lower holding costs. The rise last night was like "pulling out a radish on dry land," indicating an unstable foundation. Therefore, a deeper pullback today is entirely normal, representing a "breather after a strong surge." Healthy markets require this kind of turnover and consolidation. Be cautious above 92K; if it breaks, consider entering positions in batches; if it rebounds to 93.5K, think about reducing positions. This is not a one-sided market; using positions in batches is wiser than betting on direction. Operational Suggestions: Long positions: Not to be referenced for now Short positions: Around 94300-943800, target near 93200 $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
【2025/12/10】 $BTC Market Analysis

Do you feel like the market is swinging back and forth like a "seesaw"? Don't panic, the key is to focus on these few levels, and the market intentions will be clear. The current battlefield is 92K - 93.5K, and the price is oscillating within this small range. 93.5K is the upper resistance level, and until it breaks with volume, all upward movements are considered "retracements." 92K is the lower support level and also where the 20-day moving average is located; breaking it will weaken short-term sentiment.

If the 92K support is broken, don't rush to panic; opportunities may arise. The lower level at 91.2K is the planned "first buying zone," and further down to 90.4K is a previous area of high trading volume, akin to a "discount sales area." Buying here offers a better risk-reward ratio and is a golden opportunity to lower holding costs.

The rise last night was like "pulling out a radish on dry land," indicating an unstable foundation. Therefore, a deeper pullback today is entirely normal, representing a "breather after a strong surge." Healthy markets require this kind of turnover and consolidation. Be cautious above 92K; if it breaks, consider entering positions in batches; if it rebounds to 93.5K, think about reducing positions. This is not a one-sided market; using positions in batches is wiser than betting on direction.

Operational Suggestions:
Long positions: Not to be referenced for now
Short positions: Around 94300-943800, target near 93200

$ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
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Stop guessing! $ETH suddenly took off, here are three reasons Are you confused? Why did ETH suddenly spike? Don't listen to the complicated stuff; the core is just three points, in simple terms: Who is buying? — "Smart money" has moved first! On-chain data doesn't lie. Recently, whale addresses and institutions have been quietly buying ETH. Their money is more honest than any analyst's words. When they move, it shows that real "players" think the price is low enough to enter the market. What are they speculating on? — The "upgrade story" is back! The market is again spreading rumors that the Ethereum network is going to upgrade, becoming faster and cheaper. Every time this story is told, everyone starts to reimagine how much ETH could be worth in the future. This is called "speculative hype"; it's an old trick, but it works every time. Is the timing right? — It has fallen enough, it's time to bounce back! BTC has stabilized, and the overall market's panic has eased a bit, money is starting to look for places to invest again. ETH has fallen deeply, and the technical chart is also at a point where it needs to choose a direction. Funds, sentiment, and charts are perfectly aligned, and boom, it skyrockets! Stay calm: this is called "a rebound after a significant drop"; it’s a correction, not necessarily the start of a roaring bull market. Don’t get too excited just because of a rise; stick to your strategy. $BTC $LUNA #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #ETH走势分析
Stop guessing! $ETH suddenly took off, here are three reasons

Are you confused? Why did ETH suddenly spike? Don't listen to the complicated stuff; the core is just three points, in simple terms:
Who is buying? — "Smart money" has moved first!
On-chain data doesn't lie. Recently, whale addresses and institutions have been quietly buying ETH. Their money is more honest than any analyst's words. When they move, it shows that real "players" think the price is low enough to enter the market.

What are they speculating on? — The "upgrade story" is back!
The market is again spreading rumors that the Ethereum network is going to upgrade, becoming faster and cheaper. Every time this story is told, everyone starts to reimagine how much ETH could be worth in the future. This is called "speculative hype"; it's an old trick, but it works every time.

Is the timing right? — It has fallen enough, it's time to bounce back!
BTC has stabilized, and the overall market's panic has eased a bit, money is starting to look for places to invest again. ETH has fallen deeply, and the technical chart is also at a point where it needs to choose a direction. Funds, sentiment, and charts are perfectly aligned, and boom, it skyrockets!

Stay calm: this is called "a rebound after a significant drop"; it’s a correction, not necessarily the start of a roaring bull market. Don’t get too excited just because of a rise; stick to your strategy.

$BTC $LUNA #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #ETH走势分析
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This market is very chaotic, all the news is positive, but the market keeps being pushed up, so brothers, do not enter blindly, be careful not to get swept away $BTC $ETH $ZEC #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
This market is very chaotic, all the news is positive, but the market keeps being pushed up, so brothers, do not enter blindly, be careful not to get swept away
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
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The market always hopes to directly understand the script for the entire next season from the December meeting. Too naive. Powell this time is at most a 'plot review', plus a 'preview for the next episode', definitely won't spoil the ending. Because the screenwriter (Federal Reserve) is also waiting to see how the ratings (economic performance) of the upcoming episodes (data for October, November, December) will be, to decide whether the subsequent plot is 'a frenzy of easing' or 'tightening pain'. Don't guess the ending of a single episode; follow the good data continuously, and the direction of the plot will naturally become clear. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐
The market always hopes to directly understand the script for the entire next season from the December meeting.
Too naive. Powell this time is at most a 'plot review', plus a 'preview for the next episode', definitely won't spoil the ending.
Because the screenwriter (Federal Reserve) is also waiting to see how the ratings (economic performance) of the upcoming episodes (data for October, November, December) will be, to decide whether the subsequent plot is 'a frenzy of easing' or 'tightening pain'.
Don't guess the ending of a single episode; follow the good data continuously, and the direction of the plot will naturally become clear.

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐
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The market is now focused on one button: "Interest Rate Cut". Press it, and there's a pulse-like surge, and then what? Smart money is watching another hidden button: "Powell's Mouth". If this mouth is "hawkish", stating that an interest rate cut is a last resort and inflation is still a major concern... then it’s equivalent to pressing the "Rebound Termination Key". If this mouth unexpectedly turns "dovish", even hinting at easing... then that is the "Furious Bull Market Launch Key". Which button you pay attention to determines whether your next script is about enjoying sweets or taking hits. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温
The market is now focused on one button: "Interest Rate Cut".
Press it, and there's a pulse-like surge, and then what?
Smart money is watching another hidden button: "Powell's Mouth".
If this mouth is "hawkish", stating that an interest rate cut is a last resort and inflation is still a major concern... then it’s equivalent to pressing the "Rebound Termination Key".
If this mouth unexpectedly turns "dovish", even hinting at easing... then that is the "Furious Bull Market Launch Key".
Which button you pay attention to determines whether your next script is about enjoying sweets or taking hits.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温
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Do you need a designated driver? The car is yours, you know the way, but leave the delicate steering to someone more stable. I'm not a miracle worker, I can't mythologize a hundredfold, but I can help you: Stop anxiously staring at the steering wheel, avoid FOMO chasing uptrends, and prevent a meltdown from panic selling. You take care of life, and your position can still double $BTC $ETH $ZEC #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐
Do you need a designated driver? The car is yours, you know the way, but leave the delicate steering to someone more stable.

I'm not a miracle worker, I can't mythologize a hundredfold, but I can help you:
Stop anxiously staring at the steering wheel, avoid FOMO chasing uptrends, and prevent a meltdown from panic selling.

You take care of life, and your position can still double

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐
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From midnight to dawn, we control the rhythm with a clear mind. While others toss in their dreams, we are 'turning over' in the market, gaining practical experience without compensation! Keep up with the rhythm! $BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察
From midnight to dawn, we control the rhythm with a clear mind. While others toss in their dreams, we are 'turning over' in the market, gaining practical experience without compensation! Keep up with the rhythm!

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察
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December Meeting: Close to 90% overwhelming probability believes there will be an interest rate cut. This is basically a done deal, with little suspense. January next year: The market looks further ahead, believing the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points (which means two cuts) is close to a quarter. This indicates that people not only believe there will be a cut this time but also expect further cuts next year. What does this mean for us? Simply put, a rate cut means "money is cheaper." This is usually good news for risk markets like the stock market and cryptocurrency. The market is pricing in this wave of "warmth" in advance. What you need to focus on now is not whether there will be a cut, but how the market will move after the rate cut. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储重启降息步伐 #比特币VS代币化黄金
December Meeting: Close to 90% overwhelming probability believes there will be an interest rate cut. This is basically a done deal, with little suspense.

January next year: The market looks further ahead, believing the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points (which means two cuts) is close to a quarter. This indicates that people not only believe there will be a cut this time but also expect further cuts next year.

What does this mean for us?
Simply put, a rate cut means "money is cheaper." This is usually good news for risk markets like the stock market and cryptocurrency. The market is pricing in this wave of "warmth" in advance. What you need to focus on now is not whether there will be a cut, but how the market will move after the rate cut.

$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储重启降息步伐 #比特币VS代币化黄金
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Decisively set up a short position to secure 90 points, I have already hinted to the brothers, the market continues to move during the day, go go go $BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金
Decisively set up a short position to secure 90 points, I have already hinted to the brothers, the market continues to move during the day, go go go
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金
老K专业解盘
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Today's layout is bullish, the net has been collected, this game is truly grindy, brothers, the old saying still holds: sell high

$BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金
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Today's layout is bullish, the net has been collected, this game is truly grindy, brothers, the old saying still holds: sell high $BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金
Today's layout is bullish, the net has been collected, this game is truly grindy, brothers, the old saying still holds: sell high

$BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金
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Are the global central banks 'singing a different tune'? The crossroads of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, a storm is coming! As the global market holds its breath waiting for the Federal Reserve to 'ease', the European Central Bank has sent out a completely different message — they not only do not want to cut interest rates, but the next step may even be 'raising rates'. Just now, the 'hawkish' representative of the European Central Bank, Schnabel, spoke out rarely, clearly affirming the market's expectation that the European Central Bank will raise rates next. She emphasized that the current interest rate level is already the 'lower limit', and the risks to the economy and inflation still 'tilt upward'. This means that, in the eyes of the European Central Bank, the battle against inflation is far from over. This stands in sharp contrast to the 'rate cut drama' about to unfold at the Federal Reserve. In summary: on one side is Europe, which may raise rates, while on the other side is the Federal Reserve, which is preparing to cut rates. The global market is standing at an unprecedented policy crossroads. Be prepared, this is not an ordinary market situation, but an ultimate stress test of traders' determination and discipline. $BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金
Are the global central banks 'singing a different tune'? The crossroads of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, a storm is coming!

As the global market holds its breath waiting for the Federal Reserve to 'ease', the European Central Bank has sent out a completely different message — they not only do not want to cut interest rates, but the next step may even be 'raising rates'.

Just now, the 'hawkish' representative of the European Central Bank, Schnabel, spoke out rarely, clearly affirming the market's expectation that the European Central Bank will raise rates next. She emphasized that the current interest rate level is already the 'lower limit', and the risks to the economy and inflation still 'tilt upward'. This means that, in the eyes of the European Central Bank, the battle against inflation is far from over.

This stands in sharp contrast to the 'rate cut drama' about to unfold at the Federal Reserve.

In summary: on one side is Europe, which may raise rates, while on the other side is the Federal Reserve, which is preparing to cut rates. The global market is standing at an unprecedented policy crossroads. Be prepared, this is not an ordinary market situation, but an ultimate stress test of traders' determination and discipline.
$BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金
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This week we are expecting a rate cut, brothers may not know which way to go? Today's analysis strategy is as above, hope it can be of some use to the brothers. $BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金
This week we are expecting a rate cut, brothers may not know which way to go? Today's analysis strategy is as above, hope it can be of some use to the brothers.

$BTC $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金
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【2025/12/8】 $BTC market analysis Brothers, the key moment has arrived! The big coin has forcibly broken through the critical resistance at 90.4K with a bullish candle. This means that the position of 90.4K has changed from the previous 'ceiling' to a new 'floor' (the resistance has turned into support). As long as the price retraces and does not break 90K, the structure for a short-term rebound is still intact. However, don't celebrate too early! The real challenges are above: First level: 92.2K, where it coincides with the upper Bollinger Band, making it very difficult to break through in one go. Ultimate BOSS level: long-term downward trend line + 200-day moving average. Before effectively breaking through here, the main rhythm of the market will still be a 'slow rise and sharp fall' type of fluctuation, specifically targeting friends who chase highs. Operation suggestions: Go long: 89.2K - 90K range Target: around 91.5K-92.2K Go short: 93.2K - 94K range Target: around 92.2K $ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金
【2025/12/8】 $BTC market analysis

Brothers, the key moment has arrived! The big coin has forcibly broken through the critical resistance at 90.4K with a bullish candle.

This means that the position of 90.4K has changed from the previous 'ceiling' to a new 'floor' (the resistance has turned into support). As long as the price retraces and does not break 90K, the structure for a short-term rebound is still intact.

However, don't celebrate too early! The real challenges are above:
First level: 92.2K, where it coincides with the upper Bollinger Band, making it very difficult to break through in one go.
Ultimate BOSS level: long-term downward trend line + 200-day moving average. Before effectively breaking through here, the main rhythm of the market will still be a 'slow rise and sharp fall' type of fluctuation, specifically targeting friends who chase highs.

Operation suggestions:
Go long: 89.2K - 90K range
Target: around 91.5K-92.2K

Go short: 93.2K - 94K range
Target: around 92.2K

$ETH $LUNA #比特币VS代币化黄金
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