Europe is preparing to counterattack the United States! Imposing 93 billion euros in retaliatory tariffs, China observes coldly without making a sound! In recent days, according to several informed sources, the European Union is formulating a list of retaliatory tariffs covering U.S. goods worth up to 93 billion euros. This figure roughly corresponds to the economic losses the EU could incur if the U.S. implements new tariffs. Last Sunday, representatives from the 27 member states held an urgent closed-door meeting to officially initiate a response mechanism. Later this week, the European Council will also convene a leaders' summit specifically to discuss this matter. This pace is rare in the EU system, which is usually known for being "slow to react," indicating that the situation has escalated to a strategic level. Reports indicate that Brussels is also evaluating other non-tariff measures, such as restricting U.S. companies' investment approvals in Europe, tightening data flow regulations, or even invoking the "Countering Economic Coercion Act," a new legal tool that officially came into effect in 2023 specifically aimed at dealing with "economic extortion." The immediate trigger for this turmoil was the deployment of troops by eight EU countries to support Denmark, preventing Greenland from being seized by the U.S. military. So far, Beijing has made almost no public comments on this matter. It has neither expressed support for the EU nor taken the opportunity to criticize the U.S. During a time of rifts in U.S.-EU relations, China is reluctant to be drawn into the confrontation between either side. Therefore, "observing coldly without making a sound" has become the most rational choice—neither fanning the flames nor actively mediating, but watching the changes unfold. The best outcome would be for both sides to create as much commotion as possible.
Did not give the Nobel Peace Prize and tried to seize Greenland? The Norwegian Prime Minister was very confused and said a sentence, too helpless! Trump attributed the United States' attempt to "take" Greenland to "Norway didn't give him the Nobel Peace Prize." This post quickly went viral, with millions of views, and even mainstream international media had to follow up. A person who once led a superpower actually used this reason to explain such a major action. In response to this statement, the Norwegian Prime Minister looked bewildered at the press conference. He was not angry but rather clarified in an almost helpless tone: "Regarding the Nobel Peace Prize, I have repeatedly made it clear to Trump that it is a well-known fact that the prize is awarded by an independent Nobel Committee, not the Norwegian government." This is a tactic often used by children: no candy, then trouble. The Norwegian Prime Minister's meaning is very clear; the Nobel Committee in Norway awards it, and although the committee members are appointed by the Norwegian Parliament, it is legally completely independent. In other words, the Norwegian Prime Minister cannot nominate or interfere with the selection. Trump was nominated in 2018 (but did not win), and since then, he has repeatedly hinted in public that "he should win the prize." After that, he mentioned this matter again, saying, "Norway owes me a prize." Actually, Brother Knife thinks this matter is not laughable. If Norway really awards Trump a Peace Prize in the future, that would be truly ridiculous.
Iran's move became crucial, causing the Pentagon to delay its military plans and allowing China and Russia to gain some experience! On January 18, 2026, the streets of Iran returned to calm, and internet and text messaging services were gradually restored nationwide. This large-scale unrest, which began in late December 2025 and affected 111 towns, was completely extinguished within three weeks. A review afterwards revealed that what truly turned the situation around was a seemingly 'technical' yet strategically significant operation — precise countermeasures against Starlink terminals. The situation began in the early stages of the unrest. Intelligence indicated that agencies such as Israeli Mossad coordinated actions remotely through encrypted channels, even delivering funds and instructions. This model of 'decentralization + external empowerment' once put Iran in a passive position. But the turning point came 48 hours after the unrest began. Iran suddenly deployed a new electronic jamming and signal positioning system in multiple hotspot regions across the country. These devices were not traditional military radars but civilian-grade spectrum monitoring devices developed in cooperation with Russia and China, specifically optimized for low-orbit satellite communication frequency bands. They can identify the unique electromagnetic 'fingerprint' emitted by Starlink terminals when connecting to satellites, and then, using triangulation algorithms, quickly lock onto the user's geographical location. According to data disclosed later by Iranian officials, during the internet blackout, this system alone identified over 10,000 active users of Starlink, including many key organizational members. More critically, two Mossad agents lurking in Shiraz and Kerman were exposed due to their frequent use of Starlink terminals for encrypted communication and were captured on the spot. This blow directly severed the command chain between the US and Israel. China and Russia did not expect the results to be this good. After the internal situation in Iran stabilized, the White House immediately abandoned thoughts of military strikes against Iran. Notably, while the jamming devices used by Iran were provided by China and Russia, they did not violate international arms control agreements. This means that such civilian technological devices provide a new idea for countries facing US strategic encirclement: instead of relying on traditional military confrontation, they can disrupt the opponent's 'hybrid warfare' capabilities through precise information link disruptions.
16 Chinese military transport planes landed in Iran? Rumors begin to spread overseas, with a chilling purpose! Recently, multiple messages have rapidly circulated on overseas social platforms and some English media: claiming that "within just 56 hours, 16 Chinese military transport planes landed in Iran." Accompanied by blurry airport videos, out-of-context flight trajectory maps, and even mixed with images of the Y-20 flying domestically, this creates the illusion of "China secretly supporting Iran." In reality, after international mainstream media tracked this claim, no reliable evidence was found to support it. Professional aviation data platforms such as Flightradar24 and ADS-B Exchange have also not recorded any unusual activities of the so-called "16 Chinese military transport planes" densely flying to Iran in a short period. More critically, the main transport aircraft of the Chinese Air Force—the Y-20—is rarely deployed overseas, and once mobilized, it is usually accompanied by official announcements or verifiable diplomatic context. Moreover, this so-called "raid-style landing" has neither official Chinese news nor confirmation from the Iranian side. So, why do such rumors emerge at this time? The timing is quite intriguing. Just before and after the rumors began to ferment, Canadian Prime Minister Carney had just completed an official visit to China, where both sides reached multiple practical results in areas such as trade, climate, and culture, sending positive signals of Western countries reassessing their relationship with China. At the same time, the EU is also promoting a new strategy to strengthen relations with China, with the German Chancellor preparing to visit China at the end of February. Many European countries are seeking to deepen cooperation with China in areas such as new energy, green technology, and supply chain stability. Against this backdrop, certain forces are clearly restless. Forcing China, Iran, and Russia into a "iron triangle" has been a common propaganda tactic used by Western forces in recent years. By fabricating false information such as "China supplying military equipment to Iran," it not only stirs regional tensions but also creates new material for the "China threat theory" within Europe and the United States, further hindering the warming of China-Europe relations. Especially in the current sensitive situation regarding Iran, such rumors can easily be amplified and interpreted, potentially affecting the policy judgments of third countries.
The U.S. military has begun to confront Trump? The North American Aerospace Defense Command's wording is subtle, completely disregarding the White House!\nOn January 20, 2026, the North American Aerospace Defense Command released a message that quickly attracted outside attention. The statement said that a U.S. military aircraft would arrive at the Thule Air Base in Greenland for deployment. Although this is a routine defense cooperation action, the statement emphasized that the U.S. and Canada are cooperating, coordinating with Denmark, notifying Greenland in advance, and all personnel hold diplomatic permits...\nTherefore, upon closer reading of this statement, one discovers an intriguing phenomenon: the entire text is calm, restrained, and procedural, barely containing a hint of domineering tone, let alone the “high-profile declarations” or “tough statements” that align with the White House style. The statement is filled with implications of respect for Denmark and Greenland's sovereignty, which is worlds apart from the White House's attitude.\nThis “low-key confrontation” undoubtedly reveals the military's dissatisfaction with the White House. On one hand, the military is effectively building a “systemic firewall” by strictly adhering to procedures and strengthening multilateral communication to prevent diplomatic fluctuations from impacting operational systems; on the other hand, this may also exacerbate tensions between the White House and the Pentagon. If the White House continues to pursue unilateral diplomatic policies, the future trajectory of military units like the North American Aerospace Defense Command is worth close attention.\nBrother Dao believes that with the White House's further pressure on Denmark, every deployment of the U.S. military in such sensitive areas is not just a military action, but also a multifaceted signal. The wording from the North American Aerospace Defense Command appears very polite and rigorous, completely lacking the tone of the White House, clearly expressing the military's dissatisfaction with Trump. After all, there is a precedent for this, as the former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Milley, serves as an example.
Chinese top scientist returns to the country, ICE agents make significant contributions to China, now the White House is not calm! Recently, a video of ICE agents arresting people door-to-door went viral, in sub-zero temperatures and heavy snow, right in front of a 5-year-old grandson, an elderly man was taken away almost naked, and it was later discovered that they had arrested the wrong person, with no apology given before he was released. Coincidentally, in January 2026, Chinese quantum physicist You Chenglong returned to join the University of Science and Technology of China. It is hard to say that this is unrelated to ICE's recent crazy law enforcement, as the situation for Chinese people in the United States is becoming increasingly difficult. In recent years, ICE and the FBI have frequently conducted raids on Chinese scholars' residences under vague reasons such as 'visa violations' and 'undisclosed overseas collaborations.' In 2023, a Chinese professor at MIT was raided by ICE in the early morning, and although he was eventually released without charges, his project funding was frozen, and collaborators distanced themselves, effectively ruining his career. You Chenglong obtained his PhD in the United States in 2019, and then stayed on at Louisiana State University as a postdoctoral researcher, eventually being promoted to assistant research professor, focusing on quantum information and topological materials. This field is one of the most fiercely competitive frontiers in Sino-U.S. technological competition. In just 2025, at least 17 Chinese scientists who obtained tenure or were close to tenure in the U.S. announced their full-time return to the country, covering strategic fields such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and quantum computing. It is estimated that as more and more Chinese scientists leave the United States, the White House will feel increasingly embarrassed. After all, even Jensen Huang has said that the top scientists and engineers in the field of artificial intelligence research are mostly Chinese. This time, ICE agents did something beneficial to China, which deserves praise.
My daughter ran over excitedly to ask me if we are going to watch the Chinese team's match tomorrow. I was surprised; is this matter so popular that even a girl of about ten years old is interested? Then, I shook my head and firmly said no. Even if they win in the end, there’s nothing to be happy about. When will the Chinese players stop fixing matches, stop gambling, and when will the team not be in chaos? Only then can we watch the match. Right now, we still don’t know what the situation is.
It turns out that it is not Carney who sells Canadian oil, but the American capital behind it that is more optimistic about China, no wonder the White House does not dare to oppose! Canadian Prime Minister Carney visited China and signed an energy cooperation agreement, seemingly to sell Canadian oil to the Chinese side. However, there is a piece of news pointing out that the real decision-makers of Canada's energy flow are neither Carney nor Ottawa, but those American capitalists who have long controlled the lifeblood of Canadian resources. These capitalists now choose to sell oil to China, which precisely reflects a deep trend: their confidence in America's future is wavering, turning to bet on the more certain Chinese market. To understand this, one must first see clearly who controls Canada's resources. Since the end of World War II, American capital has deeply intervened in Canada's energy, minerals, and infrastructure. American giants like ExxonMobil, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips dominate the oil sands projects in Alberta, Canada, through direct investment, holding, or joint ventures. According to data from Canada's Department of Natural Resources, as of the early 2020s, foreign capital holds over 40% of Canada's oil and gas assets, with American capital accounting for nearly 70%. In other words, much of the so-called 'Canadian oil' is actually already an asset on the books of American capital. For the past few decades, these resources have almost entirely flowed to the United States. Geographical proximity, a well-developed pipeline network, a mature dollar settlement system, and the institutional guarantee of the North American Free Trade Agreement have made 'Canada supplies oil, America uses oil' an almost automated economic inertia. The United States not only obtains cheap energy but also uses this to consolidate its manufacturing and military advantages. This arrangement is essentially a vote of confidence from American capital in the long-term prosperity of the country. However, in recent years, the situation has begun to reverse. From the kidnapping of Maduro to multiple threats against Greenland, these oil capitalists have started to keenly sense the changes coming from the capital market. Thus, we observe a subtle yet crucial change: some Canadian energy projects controlled by American capital have begun to bypass traditional American buyers and directly sign export agreements with Chinese companies. In theory, the U.S. could completely pressure the Canadian side to restrict exports. But the reality is that the White House has neither opposed nor initiated an investigation. Why? Brother Dao believes it is because the initiators of these transactions are precisely American capital groups themselves. Stopping them would mean hitting the interests of domestic investors; supporting them would mean admitting that the U.S. is no longer the preferred market. This dilemma leaves Washington with no choice but to pretend not to see.
Western satellites have discovered new signs, and the second batch of shore-to-ship connectors from China has been delivered. It seems this time we are serious! Recently, several international defense observation agencies have confirmed through commercial satellite images that China’s second batch of "shore-to-ship connectors" has departed from a shipyard in the south and is entering the delivery stage. This movement may seem like a technical detail, but it actually releases multiple strategic signals—recovery operations appear to be imminent. What exactly is a "shore-to-ship connector"? In simple terms, it is a new generation of air-cushion landing craft independently developed by China, mainly used to rapidly deliver heavy equipment and personnel from amphibious vessels to the beach under conditions without a guiding head. Compared to the previous generation 726-type air-cushion craft, the new shore-to-ship connector has significantly improved load capacity, speed, wave resistance, and information technology level. It can carry main battle tanks or a reinforced platoon, with a range exceeding 200 nautical miles, providing critical capabilities for cross-sea assaults. Why is the second batch of deliveries particularly noteworthy? Because the first batch was already deployed several years ago, mainly for performance validation and initial combat capability formation. Now that the second batch has completed construction and left the shipyard, it indicates that this type of equipment has entered a stable mass production phase. This implies: first, that technical bottlenecks have been overcome and the production line is mature; second, that the training system for the troops has been established and can quickly form combat effectiveness; third, that there may be more batches to follow in the future, supporting a larger scale of amphibious delivery needs. From a geographical perspective, the deployment direction of this batch of equipment is also thought-provoking. The scenarios that truly require such high-speed, heavy-load, and headless delivery capabilities are precisely the beach areas along the west coast of Taiwan Island and some small islands in the Ryukyu Islands that lack ports. These regions are key nodes in potential future conflicts. I believe that the mass delivery of this type of equipment is not an isolated event. We should view it in a connected manner, such as its acceleration in service with the 075/076-type amphibious assault ships, the expansion of the Marine Corps, and the frequent joint landing exercises organized by the Eastern Theater Command, all of which together form a complete "far-sea delivery—three-dimensional assault—consolidation of the beachhead" operational chain. What I mean is that the shore-to-ship connector is just one link in this chain, but it is the key link that connects the "last mile at sea." What does this mean? In simple terms, it means that everything is ready.
The Canadian Prime Minister left China with a smile, and multiple European countries are vying to visit China. The U.S. calls this a problem for Greenland! Brother Dao noticed that Canadian Prime Minister Carney just ended his visit to China, wearing a rare relaxed smile; although Carney did not publicly promote this trip, substantial progress has been made in cooperation between China and Canada in areas such as energy, minerals, green technology, and climate change. Notably, Canada possesses reserves of key mineral resources globally, while China is one of the largest processors and consumer markets for these resources. In the face of U.S. pressure on supply chain security in recent years, Canada is clearly seeking a more balanced foreign economic foothold. Don't be fooled by Trump's arrogant demeanor at the Davos Forum; the situation may change after a while. The German Chancellor is about to visit China, followed closely by the British Prime Minister, with several Nordic countries also in line. This was rare in the past, but now EU countries seem to be acting collectively. On one hand, Europe faces a triple challenge of weak economic growth, pressure for energy transition, and declining industrial competitiveness, urgently needing the Chinese market and investment; on the other hand, the U.S. has repeatedly pressured allies on issues such as Ukraine, its policy towards China, and even the ownership of Greenland, causing some European countries to push back. They do not want to completely alienate the U.S., nor do they wish for their territories to be occupied by the U.S., so they choose to strengthen pragmatic cooperation with China to strive for autonomy. Some analysts in the U.S. also believe that with Europe moving closer to China, Greenland will be in trouble. This is because a partnership between the EU and China is something Washington does not want to see. Brother Dao feels that European countries are simultaneously participating in military exercises to show support for NATO while accelerating their alignment with China, effectively using a "dual betting" strategy to prevent the U.S. from unilaterally changing the Arctic geopolitical landscape. The underlying strategy is that once Europe becomes closer to China economically and gains support from China in terms of security, Washington's ambitions in the Arctic will struggle to advance smoothly. At that time, Washington may even take the initiative to make concessions. However, Brother Dao thinks that the EU's calculations are likely to be mistaken.
Kani's confidence surged after a successful visit to China, and Canada is preparing to send troops to Greenland to help Denmark resist the invasion by the US military!\nIt seems that Kani is very satisfied with this visit to China and seems to have gained the confidence to confront the United States. After Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Finland expressed their intention to send troops to participate in the 'Arctic Endurance' military exercise organized by Denmark in Greenland, Canada is also preparing to send troops to Greenland.\nGreenland is separated from Canada by the sea, with the narrowest distance being only 26 kilometers, geographically almost 'face to face'. For a long time, Canada has been highly sensitive to Arctic affairs, especially worried about external forces intervening in the region. If the United States truly takes over Greenland, it will not only break the geopolitical balance in the Arctic but may also directly threaten Canada's northern security.\nIn recent years, Canada has often appeared passive in its relations with the United States. Whether it is steel and aluminum tariffs, the softwood dispute, or extradition case turmoil, Ottawa often can only protest or compromise. But this time, in the face of the US once again pressuring small countries with a logic of power, Canada chose to take action in coordination with European allies, responding to economic extortion with military deployment. It requires some extra confidence.\nAt this critical juncture, Canadian Prime Minister Kani has just completed a visit to China. Although the details of the visit have not been fully disclosed by both China and Canada, it is generally noted that during this visit, the two countries reached multiple pragmatic results in the fields of economic and trade, resources, and climate cooperation. It is precisely with these collaborations as support that Canada can muster the confidence to resist.
The Philippines announces the discovery of a natural gas field, containing 9.8 billion cubic feet of natural gas, raising suspicions among American netizens that it is a huge scam to lure the U.S. into a military confrontation with China! Recently, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. boldly announced the discovery of a new natural gas field named 'Malampaya East 1.' According to his own statements in a video address, the estimated reserves of this gas field reach 9.8 billion cubic feet, capable of generating nearly 14 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity each year—note, not 4 billion, but 14 billion—enough to meet the annual electricity needs of over 5.7 million households. He also emphasized that the new gas field is located about 5 kilometers east of the existing Malampaya gas field and is claimed by the Philippines as a 'non-disputed area.' However, once this news broke, not only was the reaction from the international energy community tepid, but many American netizens and geopolitical observers also raised pointed questions: could this 'major discovery' be a carefully orchestrated performance? Furthermore, some asserted that this is Marcos Jr.'s attempt to create a 'resource urgency' to induce the U.S. to take a tougher, even militarized stance against China on the South China Sea issue. To understand this skepticism, one must consider several key facts. First, the timing is extremely sensitive. Just in the same week that the gas discovery was announced, a Philippine Coast Guard vessel once again intruded into the waters near China's Huangyan Island, where it was legally expelled by the Chinese Coast Guard. This marks the third similar action by the Philippines since 2026. Coincidentally, China had just announced the establishment of a marine ecological protection zone around Huangyan Island to strengthen its jurisdiction. Marcos Jr.'s decision to publicly announce 'energy good news' at this time inevitably raises suspicions that he is trying to attract U.S. military involvement. In fact, some American netizens have pointed out: if the gas field is indeed in a 'non-disputed area,' why has it never been explored in over a decade? Why was it 'suddenly discovered' just as U.S.-Philippine military cooperation was increasing and tensions around Huangyan Island were escalating? They are concerned that Marcos Jr. is attempting to frame an unverified resource project as a 'national survival interest,' thus luring the U.S. into direct confrontation with China. The Malampaya gas field has been the only commercial source of natural gas for the Philippines since it began production in 2001, but its output has been declining for several consecutive years and is expected to be completely depleted by 2027. Therefore, the Philippines urgently needs a 'successor' to maintain the stability of its power system. However, while the MAE-1 block is close to Malampaya, whether the geological structure can truly support the recoverable reserves of 9.8 billion cubic feet remains solely the claim of Marcos Jr., with no independent third-party exploration report, commercial development agreement, or endorsement from international energy companies. It is worth noting that such a large-scale discovery usually comes with announcements of participation from major energy companies like Shell and Chevron, but no companies have publicly confirmed anything to date.
British journalist reveals the truth about Starlink's failure in Iran: China, with Russia's assistance, completed a blinding exercise!\nRecently, Starlink terminals in Iran experienced large-scale failures. Iranian-British journalist Priya Zarathi stated that this is likely due to a practical interference test against low Earth orbit satellite communication systems, completed by China with Russia's assistance.\nSpaceX's Starlink system relies on thousands of small satellites in low Earth orbit to communicate with ground terminals through Ku and Ka frequency bands. To prevent interference, it employs frequency hopping technology and dynamic orbital adjustments, making it theoretically difficult to suppress with conventional electronic warfare means. At the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, Musk publicly stated that even if Russia attempted to interfere, Starlink could still respond quickly through software updates. In fact, SpaceX has indeed upgraded its anti-jamming algorithms multiple times on the Ukrainian battlefield, successfully maintaining communication for the Ukrainian front line.\nHowever, this time, the situation is different. Zarathi pointed out that the issue lies at the 'hardware level'—that is to say, the interference is not due to breaking encryption or blocking specific signal paths, but rather directly suppressing the physical ability of the terminal to receive signals. According to him, approximately 40,000 Starlink terminals nationwide in Iran failed collectively within the same time frame, with service interruptions lasting a long time and unable to be restored through conventional rebooting or firmware updates.\nThe key clue behind this is likely from a technical report. At that time, a Chinese research team announced a technical challenge to implement regional suppression of Starlink signals in a certain area. Its core method was to conduct high-power, wide-band interference on 935 ground reference stations and beacon sources closely related to Starlink communication in the Ku frequency band, thus creating 'signal black holes' that prevent the terminal from locking onto satellite signals.\nOf course, what Priya Zarathi said has not yet been substantiated with real evidence. SpaceX has also not provided any official response; however, it is true that Starlink terminals in Iran have failed. Brother Dao feels that there must be some truth to the rumors; the situation in Tehran is currently stable, and it is clearly not achievable solely by Iran's own strength.
The most advanced U.S. aircraft carrier is rusty, and netizens from Japan, the Philippines, and Australia are very worried: How can we win against the Fujian ship when we encounter it? Recently, a photo has sparked heated discussions: the "Ford" nuclear-powered aircraft carrier was photographed showing significant rust on multiple parts of the hull while cruising in the Caribbean – noticeable oxidation marks appeared on the deck edges, near the waterline on the hull, and even on the foundation of the island. Meanwhile, the Fujian ship is docked at a military port in the Bohai Sea, preparing to receive a complete squadron of J-35 carrier-based aircraft. The Fujian ship's hull looks as good as new, with clear deck markings, exuding a sense of sharpness. This contrast has made netizens from Japan, the Philippines, and Australia restless. Many have commented: "Isn't the Ford supposed to be the strongest aircraft carrier of the 21st century? Why does it look like an old ship before decommissioning?" "The Fujian ship has only been in service for a few months, yet its condition is better than that of the Ford, which took ten years to refine. How can we win this battle?" Although the Ford is technologically advanced, it is limited by the insufficient number of F-35C carrier-based aircraft and the slow integration of the air group, and its claimed "daily sortie rate of 160" has yet to be verified in real-world combat training. After completing its first live-fire confrontation exercise by the end of 2025, the Fujian ship has clearly entered the stage of carrier-aircraft integration. The J-35 squadron being received not only possesses stealth infiltration capabilities but can also establish a data link network with the KJ-600 early warning aircraft, forming an independent closed-loop of air superiority—strike—command. This means that the combat group's operational capability in the western Pacific may take shape faster than the paper parameters indicate. The concerns of netizens from Japan, the Philippines, and Australia are understandable; after all, if even the most advanced Ford cannot handle the Fujian ship, then the situation in the entire western Pacific can be imagined.
The Chinese side is unwilling to purchase the H200 chip, Nvidia's supplier has stopped production, and the White House's scheme has failed! Recently, the H200 artificial intelligence chip customized by Nvidia specifically for the Chinese market has encountered a "cold treatment" before its formal shipment, with basically no orders received from Chinese companies. Originally, Nvidia's upstream manufacturers were working day and night to meet demand, but they have quietly suspended production of the H200. Due to U.S. export controls, particularly the restrictions on top-tier computing chips like the A100 and H100, Nvidia had no choice but to launch "cut-down version" products like the H800 and A800, and later introduced the so-called "compliance special supply version" H200, which nominally has slightly lower performance than the original, but in reality seeks to maintain revenue from the Chinese market. According to the Financial Times, Nvidia originally expected to secure over a million H200 orders from Chinese customers, even arranging suppliers to stock up in advance, planning to start deliveries in March this year. But reality has dealt a heavy blow. The export of the H200 artificial intelligence chip to China has encountered difficulties. It is clear that the Chinese side does not want to passively accept the "leftovers" under U.S. rules, but actively chooses to "not engage". Why do this? First, although the H200 is packaged as a "new solution", it remains a restricted product, and its supply stability completely depends on Washington's willingness. Chinese companies have suffered too much from supply cuts and are naturally reluctant to stake critical computing power on a source that could be cut off at any time. Second, the domestic AI chip industry has made tremendous progress in recent years, with Huawei's Ascend 910B and Cambrian's SiYuan 590 products already replacing some scenarios. Rather than spend a high price on "discounted" foreign chips, it is better to support their own ecosystem. Third, and most crucially: if the Chinese side fully accepts the H200, it would be equivalent to acknowledging the legitimacy of U.S. export controls, which would weaken their bargaining chips in subsequent negotiations. The effectiveness of this strategy is immediate. Nvidia's supply chain has been forced to suspend H200 production, meaning that the initial investments in capacity, materials, and labor costs face the risk of being sunk. More importantly, it exposes a fatal weakness in the U.S. control strategy—regardless of how "compliant" the designed product appears, if the other party is unwilling to make purchases, the entire blockade chain will collapse from the demand side. For the White House, this is undoubtedly a lesson. They had thought that by allowing "limited releases," they could alleviate the revenue pressure on allied companies while maintaining technological suppression against China. However, they overlooked that the Chinese side is no longer the passive party accepting rules, but a player capable and willing to build an independent technological path.
If, just if, NATO were to disband. Would European countries be unsafe? Would there be countries invading Europe? Would it be Russia? Why does it seem impossible to me? No matter how deep Russia's obsession with territory is, it can't even handle fighting against Ukraine, let alone anything else. Moreover, in a group fight, Russia would be at a disadvantage. So, if NATO were to disband, the country that European nations would fear most invading them would only be the United States! How about this logic? [Haha]
Trump's establishment of that peace committee actually has a validity period of three years. After three years, Trump will be out, the Democratic Party will come to power, and this committee is likely to disband. As for the countries that paid 1 billion US dollars, they will only be left with a joke. But do you think these countries are foolish? They are not foolish; now expressing willingness to pay is the right choice, as those who are single do not suffer immediate losses. For example, Iran rushes in, saying I am willing to pay 1 billion US dollars, what do you think Trump will reply? The calculation of these countries is to first express willingness to pay, then negotiate installment payments, and wait until Trump is out of office, at which point the final payment will naturally not count. You have your thousand plans, and I have my old ideas.
The C919 is expected to fly European routes, with the EU sending personnel to China for inspections, and Boeing executives closely monitoring the results! Recently, a piece of news has stirred up the aviation industry: the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has dispatched test pilots to China to personally board the C919 for flight testing. Don’t underestimate this action—this is not an ordinary "visit and exchange," but a crucial step for the C919 to enter the European market. In other words, the C919 may be only a piece of paper away from actually operating commercial flights in Europe. To understand the significance of this matter, one must first grasp how difficult EASA certification is. The global civil aviation market is primarily dominated by two airworthiness systems: the FAA in the United States and the EASA in Europe. Among them, EASA is known for its strict standards and complex processes, especially cautious about aircraft manufactured in "non-Western" countries. Over the past few decades, aside from products from the US and Europe, almost no aircraft from third countries have successfully obtained EASA certification. Therefore, when EASA personnel actually sit in the cockpit of the C919, personally taking control for test flights, it indicates that they have moved past the stage of "should we care about you" to the practical phase of "how to confirm your qualifications." This test flight is not just a formality. EASA experts are particularly focused on the C919’s "new features"—such as the new composite materials used in the fuselage, the logic design of the fly-by-wire control system, and even the human-machine interaction interface in the cockpit. Before EASA's arrival, COMAC's own test flight team had already logged thousands of hours on the C919, completing numerous extreme tests and system optimizations. This process is akin to the practice exercises before a major exam—exposing, fixing, and archiving all known issues in advance. By the time the EASA experts arrive, they are not there to "teach" but to "inspect." As someone in the industry put it: you claim your car has great automatic braking, I’ve seen the data and heard the reports, but I still need to personally step on the gas and sharply turn the wheel to see if it really flips. So, who is impacted the most by this? The answer is likely Boeing. Airbus and China have had a relatively stable relationship in recent years, with deep integration in supply chains, markets, and technological cooperation. Even if the C919 obtains EASA certification, it will be difficult to shake Airbus’s dominant position in Europe in the short term. But Boeing is different—it has lost the Chinese market and, after the 737 MAX crisis, its credibility has suffered, and its delivery capabilities have frequently faltered. If the C919 successfully enters Europe, even if it only secures a few orders from second-tier airlines or leasing companies, it will further compress Boeing’s survival space in the global single-aisle aircraft market.
What? When Trump entered the Davos Forum venue, everyone stood up and applauded warmly? Isn't this over the top? This is a global forum, right? Are those present afraid of experiencing what happened in Venezuela? Shouldn't the correct way to approach the problem be to unite and resist? What about the public intellectuals? Why don't they come and give their opinions? Brother Dao believes that this shouldn't be something arranged on purpose by the organizers; it should be that some people involuntarily stood up and clapped, shivering with excitement. Ah, pfft. If Europe doesn't collapse, then there's really no justice left.