江辰映月

94% Probability of Interest Rate Cut in December ⚡

Traders believe that the Federal Reserve's easing of policy is almost a certainty—reaching an all-time high on Kalshi. This could inject new liquidity into risk assets, much like the pivot in 2019 boosted cryptocurrencies.

Is this a echo of past cycles? How do you think Bitcoin will react? #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH $BTC

#美联储降息 $ETH This week, the Federal Reserve's last interest rate meeting of the year is approaching, and it will announce the interest rate decision at 3:00 AM (UTC+8) on Thursday, followed by a monetary policy press conference held by Fed Chairman Powell at 3:30 AM (UTC+8). According to CME FedWatch, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84%. This week's Fed meeting is expected to be one of the most controversial meetings in recent years, with investors focusing on the divergence among policymakers regarding the outlook for rate cuts and the signals sent by Fed Chairman Powell about the future direction of policy. Among the 12 voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), 5 have expressed opposition or skepticism toward further easing of monetary policy, while 3 members of the board support a rate cut. Since 2019, there have not been three or more dissenting votes at any FOMC meeting, and the divergence has drawn close attention from dissenters. Important macro data and events are as follows:

Tuesday:
The Reserve Bank of Australia announces the interest rate decision, and RBA Governor Lowe holds a monetary policy press conference;

Wednesday:
U.S. 3rd quarter labor cost index quarterly rate; the Bank of Canada announces the interest rate decision;

Thursday:
The Fed FOMC releases the interest rate decision and economic projections summary, and Fed Chairman Powell holds a monetary policy press conference;
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6;

Friday:
The Fed releases data on the financial health of U.S. households from the 2025 Q3 flow of funds report;
2026 FOMC voter, Philadelphia Fed President Harker speaks on economic outlook;
2026 FOMC voter, Cleveland Fed President Mester speaks;
Chicago Fed President Evans participates in a dialogue with the host before the 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium at the Chicago Fed.

Market closure reminder: On Wednesday, U.S. stocks on the New York Stock Exchange will close early at 2:00 AM Beijing time; on Thursday, U.S. stocks, stock markets in multiple European countries, South Korea, and Australia will all be closed, and trading of precious metals, U.S. oil, foreign exchange, and stock index futures contracts under CME will be suspended all day, as well as trading of Brent crude oil futures contracts under ICE.

Break through 300 million users! Binance is unstoppable #币安用户突破3亿

Short-term bullish, long-term bearish
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December is 87%, and I do not believe that a rate cut can bring Bitcoin back into a bull market.
The current rebound seems more like a preemptive overdraft on rate cut expectations, and the last rate cut on October 29 is a good indication of this!
Flowers bloom and fall, flowers fall and bloom again, respect the rules, go with the flow, protect your life, and be ready to take off! $BTC $ETH

The process of buying coins is always filled with doubts while buying, and cursing while selling. No one can accurately judge the trend, and no one can always buy at the lowest point and sell at the highest point. Most people are not the luckiest ones, and luck can run out. Therefore, it is very important to manage positions well and strictly execute strategies, especially in the internet era where there are too many external voices. $ETH

Behind the surge is a blowout #山寨币热点 $BID

Moments content:
"Who has BNB, I want to exchange some for U, I need a lot."

In three consecutive sentences, as if afraid others don't know he is "very urgent".

Bro...
If you really need a lot, BNB might rise a bit to welcome you.

Moreover, this wave of hacking is too unprofessional:
They chose the person least likely to lack U to ask for U.
This is like going to McDonald's for a burger and asking Haidilao if they have a hot pot base, equally absurd.

Today's news in the crypto world is not about the market, it's that even hackers are starting to play #BNB走势 $BNB

After the Federal Reserve released the minutes of the October meeting, the market expects the probability of a rate cut in December to drop to 31.6%
BlockBeats news, on November 20, according to CME FedWatch data, after the Federal Reserve released the minutes of the October meeting, the market expects the probability of a rate cut in December to drop to 31.6%, while the probability of no rate cut is 68.4%.
Before the data release (Beijing time at 1 AM today), the market expected the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December to be 51.1%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate was 48.9%#美股2026预测 $BTC $ETH $BNB