1. I want to share some useful things, which I have practiced myself, but I cannot guarantee they are effective rules. Recently, I shorted small coins on Matcha and other exchanges from March to July. Only 11% had a price increase of 100% at the opening, 18% had a price increase of over 60%, and the profit-taking rate was 66%. With no skills and no brain, the expected return on a single coin was 25%. This is about using the information advantage gained from being in the mixed coin circle for a long time to profit from small coins, which will inevitably lead to value return. Later, I added my valuation system, avoiding several coins that exploded. This month, there was only one that exploded, which is altcoin. After this coin exploded, it directly dropped 97% the next day. It was just ridiculous.
BTC just broke through $118,000, smashing through all resistance levels since May. Short-term surge in volume, technically pushed to the upper Bollinger Band, RSI shot up to 70, and the sentiment is heating up.
To be honest, this kind of market easily leads people to "impulsively buy in", but I want to say a few calm words.
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📈 How to interpret technically? • Daily: breakout pattern established, but short-term has seriously deviated from the moving average; • RSI > 70, upper Bollinger Band is close, short-term there is a need for a pullback; • MACD still has a golden cross with expanding red bars, long-term trend is fine, the main upward wave is still running; • Support level: $114k–$116k, a pullback that doesn't break is the entry point; • Resistance level: $120k–$125k, could be the target for this round of peak.
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Can altcoins follow?
To be honest, this round is driven by BTC, ETH is struggling a bit. Let alone altcoins, some are still stuck in the mud.
But the altcoin rebound window usually lags by 1–3 days, and some mainstream coins (LTC, ATOM, UNI) are still at weekly bottoms, there may be a "delayed market". However, LTC has already started moving.
I personally will focus on moments of "BTC sideways + mainstream coins rallying" before considering altcoins, otherwise, I'd rather stay in cash and watch.
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My own strategy (spot & contracts): • Spot: not chasing highs, waiting to enter around $114, but not too much, let me build a large position, maybe after a year, haha. • Contracts: light positions for short-term trades, would rather miss out than force a buy; • Altcoins: only touch bottom structures, participate only when the main upward wave starts, don’t chase the ones that have already soared. Some may say, you’re not picking the good trends, choosing ones stuck in the mud, but that’s just my choice, I really don’t want to chase!!
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Lastly, a current event remark:
Recently, Trump started talking about Bitcoin and releasing miners, while Musk is also leading the AI trend. This kind of market where "tech giants + political figures" are both making moves is a signal for the trend to truly rise, but it's also the time when new investors are most likely to FOMO in. "Sometimes it really is the time to get trapped, but this time will come within 2 months."
#现货与合约策略 BTC has reached this position, I will continue to hold onto spot, not moving. Because the trend hasn't broken, holding on allows me to capture big waves. But I basically haven't touched contracts these past two days, too many people are FOMOing, when the direction is unclear, contracts become a meat grinder that amplifies emotions. ✅ My strategy is: Spot: Take profits in batches, do not go all in, and do not clear out completely. The trend is there, the position is there. Contracts: Only buy on dips during pullbacks + rebounds, absolutely do not chase highs to open long positions. The hotter the market, the calmer you must be. Remember this: Spot trading relies on understanding, while contract trading relies on discipline.
🚀Take Off 【BTC Market Commentary + Can Altcoins Surge?】 BTC has hit a new high at $118,000, and the entire crypto community is buzzing. But to be honest, I’m currently in a state of 'afraid to chase after the rise, yet not aggressive enough to act on the fall.' 🧱【First, Let's Talk About BTC】 Structurally, there are definitely no issues; the weekly chart shows a big bullish candle, and the daily chart is gaining momentum, indicating a primary upward trend; However, with such a strong surge, the short-term is too hot, even the RSI has spiked; If you chase in now, you must mentally prepare for a potential sharp drop from high levels.
I’m not saying you shouldn’t chase, but at least wait for a decent pullback, for example, back to the $116k–$114k range, to feel safer.
If you are going to open a position now, be sure to set a stop-loss; don’t rely on faith to bear losses. 💥【So, Can Altcoins Do Well?】 To be frank, altcoins are not dead, but they may not necessarily soar. Why? This market cycle is different from before; the ETF and institutions are primarily pulling BTC, with ETH barely keeping up, and others are just waiting for their share. But there is a rhythm you can refer to: After a big rise in BTC, altcoins will have a 2-3 day 'catch-up window', especially for mainstream coins that are still sitting at the bottom of the weekly chart, like LTC, UNI, and ATOM. ⚠【How Am I Handling It?】 I’m currently keeping my main positions steady, waiting for BTC to pull back before considering adding, and only trading altcoins on short-term moves. ✅ The strategy is as follows: Mainstream altcoins: Buy on pullbacks without chasing heights, aiming for a 3-5 day profit; BTC: Don’t chase, wait for a volume drop near $114k before deciding; Contracts: Don't get overly excited now; the heat is too high, and you could easily get caught in a reversal. ✅ Finally, let me say: It’s a good market, but it’s not a market to dive into with your eyes closed.
#BTC再创新高 "Afraid to Buy When Prices Rise, Buying More When Prices Fall: How I Overcame This 'Retail Investor Mentality'"
Since entering the market in early 2024, it has been almost a year and a half. The biggest problem I face in trading is not the technical aspects, but rather my mindset.
I always have a kind of "reverse emotion": when prices fall, I feel that they are cheap and want to buy more; but when prices rise, I start to doubt myself, hesitate to increase my position, and even sell at the slightest rise, fearing a "market crash".
For example, back in April, Bitcoin fluctuated between $74K and $85K, and I kept buying. But the result was—prices continued to fall, and I was stuck. Conversely, when it rose back to $95K–$100K in May, I quickly sold everything... Now BTC is at $118K, and I have nothing left.
I realized that the problem lies not in judgment but in: I have been trading based on emotions.
So, I tried to establish several new mechanisms to "bypass emotions": ✅ Buy in batches: not going all in, setting a buying range for each purchase; ✅ Take profits in batches: sell 30% after a 20% rise, and continue selling as it rises, keeping a base position; ✅ Small positions with the trend: when I see a strong breakout, I also try to buy in small amounts to help myself adapt to the idea that "I can also make money when prices go up". After executing these strategies for a while, I feel the biggest change is: I have started to replace "intuition" with "planning" and "panic" with "rhythm".
If you have similar experiences, like fear of chasing high prices, fear of holding positions, or always selling too early—you are not alone. Trading has never been about talent, but rather understanding human nature, developing a system, and continuously evolving.
How I gradually moved from 'fear of rising prices and not daring to buy' to establishing a trading system|A confession from an ordinary user
(I don't want to be a master who always profits here) Previous background: I was killed in a round of chasing highs in March and April 2024. I am an ordinary investor who entered the circle at the beginning of 2024. To be honest, I experienced a lot this year and made many mistakes. The biggest 'mistake' was not actually losing money, but being led by my emotions for a long time. 📉 First, let me talk about my 'habitual operation' mode: Every time the market falls, I keep buying more as prices drop, thinking 'it's cheaper now'; But as soon as the market starts to rise, I become afraid, hesitant to add positions, and even rush to sell after a small rise;
In the cryptocurrency world, earning two 50% returns in a year is really not difficult.
1. Many people lose money in the cryptocurrency world mainly because their expectations are too high, such as wanting to earn 10 or even 100 times in a year, which inevitably carries significant risks. The bigger the things you want, the further they will be from you. However, people often get swept up by emotions and forget about risks, betting everything, and ultimately cutting losses and leaving the market. Continuous losses lead to a diminishing principal, resulting in a significant loss. Wanting to recover losses leads to playing contracts or doing PVP with low-quality projects, resulting in even greater losses.
You might see others playing contracts and PVP, but their model is different. They originally had no money, maybe starting with 1000 or 500 and growing it big, while you are directly using large assets to play. The more you play, the more your mindset collapses. Building a mindset takes 1 to 2 years of accumulation, but it can be destroyed in just 5 minutes with a sudden market crash.
This market is really boring to the extreme, a typical choppy market, and there is currently no clear trend emerging. That said, having made it this far, it is highly likely that a direction will be established soon. Personally, I tend to think there will be another pullback, and if there is an opportunity to short around the 111,000-113,000 range, that would be ideal, with an average price controlled around 111,500 being more comfortable—just afraid the market won't provide the opportunity. For friends looking to take bigger positions, you might want to consider opening a position around 110,000, for example, entering in the range of 109,100-110,000, with a stop loss placed near 110,500. For those with smaller positions or a position management strategy, consider building positions in batches and gradually entering the market. However, it is important to note that shorting carries higher risks, so you must set stop losses appropriately and strictly operate according to your risk control system, avoiding the temptation to go all in impulsively. #日内交易策略 #币安八周年 #
【BTC Technical Analysis|The Convergence Critical Point is Approaching, Which Direction Will be Chosen?】 I really hope BTC goes through a washout because at that time the profit at $74,000 was all in the car, damn it, the key point is hoping it can come to pick me up!!!!
Bitcoin has continued to oscillate in the range of $108,500 – $109,500 in recent days, with both the hourly and 4-hour charts displaying a clear converging wedge structure, indicating ample momentum. As an ordinary player who entered the market in early 2024, I would like to briefly analyze the current trend from a technical perspective and share my thoughts. 🔍 1-Hour Chart: Short-term Oscillation and Accumulation Multiple touches on the lower support level (around $108,500), not yet effectively broken; RSI is neutral to bullish, and the market remains cautious; If it breaks above $109,500 with volume, it is expected to test $110,000+, otherwise it may retrace below $108k. ⏱ 4-Hour Chart: Triangle End, Direction Selection Approaches MACD is converging, red bars are shortening;
If this round of行情 cannot effectively break upwards, it will face adjustment risks, with support at $106,800. 📅 Daily and Weekly Charts: Structure Intact, Trend Remains The daily chart still stands above the 20-day moving average (≈$106,800), Bollinger Bands are tightening, and the volatility signal is strengthening; The weekly chart is in an uptrend, but RSI is nearing 70, so caution is needed for overbought conditions;
Once it stabilizes above $110,000, it is expected to challenge the year's high of $112k or even higher.
You've seen so many stories of liquidation, and in the end, you became that story.
Back then, I was still a novice.
Thinking back to March last year, I paid a hefty tuition fee in the crypto world. It started with $FLOKI, a memecoin I hadn't researched at all. That day, it suddenly skyrocketed, and the whole internet was shouting "next stop Shiba Inu". In a moment of impulse, I opened a 10x contract with 800 yuan. On the first day, I made 300, on the second day it turned into 2000, and by the third day, it was over 5000... I was completely euphoric. That night, while watching my account balance soar, I even posted in the group: "Am I a genius? Contracts are truly the key to wealth." On the fourth day, I fully converted to 🐸$PEPE Thinking about whether it could hit 20,000. I didn't even set a stop-loss because I didn't believe it would drop.
Then at 1 AM, I checked my phone and saw the market crash. I wanted to close the position, but it was too late. Five minutes later, my account was at zero, and I sat there in front of the computer, ears ringing, sweating, heart racing.
At that moment, I finally understood what it meant: profits are luck, losses are human nature.
That night I really cried—not because I was heartbroken over money, but because of regret and shame. You clearly know you shouldn't be greedy, but you just can't help it. You've seen so many liquidation stories, and in the end, you became that "story".
If you've ever been liquidated overnight or controlled by emotions, feel free to chat with me in the comments. Let's not let the tuition we've paid go to waste. Like and follow me, and I will continue to share these real experiences and mindset shifts in the crypto world. #币安八周年 #突破交易策略 #香港稳定币条例
You've seen so many stories of liquidation, and in the end, you became that 'story.'
Thinking back to March last year, I paid a hefty tuition in the crypto world. The starting point was $FLOKI, a memecoin I had never researched. At that time, I was still a novice. That day, it suddenly surged, and the entire network was shouting 'Next stop, Shiba Inu.' In a moment of impulse, I opened a 10x contract with 800 yuan. I made 300 on the first day, 2000 on the second day, and over 5000 on the third day... I was completely floating. That night, while watching my account balance rise, I even posted in the group: 'Am I a genius? Contracts really are the key to wealth.' On the fourth day, I went all in on 🐸.
The square has no Shanghai boss, undergraduate in automation, has worked on embedded systems, and has won various provincial and national first prizes in competitions. National scholarship, etc. Currently, I am at a 211 university in Shanghai majoring in Electronic Information, looking for internships online!!!
I am an applicant from Shanghai with a background in automation at the undergraduate level and rich practical experience in embedded systems. During my studies, I participated in multiple competitions and won provincial and national first prizes, as well as several honors including the national scholarship. Currently, I am pursuing a major in Electronic Information at a 211 university in Shanghai and am actively seeking internship opportunities. If you know of any relevant internship positions, please provide the information, thank you very much!
The bullish bloggers should come out and say they have strong skills 👍🏻, while the bearish bloggers should be honest. That's how the market is. Only those without shame will claim to always profit.
Take it slow, 86888 has entered the empty 87500 stop loss, if it exceeds, look for revenge orders around 88500, If it exceeds 90k, you can initially not set a stop loss, there will definitely be a shadow line, At that time, if you want to exit, just ensure a break-even loss, if not, set a stop loss at the shadow line.
Today finally welcomed a decline, and the 140 SOL has finally made a profit.
Personal plan: Next time I will start accumulating SOL below 120, buying spot in the range of 120-100, waiting for a rebound after reaching the bottom, and then go long with 2x leverage. If BTC does not decline, I will only choose to go long at the support level after a strong breakout above 88,000 and a stable pullback at 88,000. Otherwise, I will definitely look for opportunities to short between 87,000 and 88,000. As for SOL, I can only see my short position at 135; let’s take it slow, everyone, keep it up!!! PS: Recently, I am working on the Open Source Community for Intelligent Tools. If anyone in the crypto circle wants to join us, as a team, we have already achieved net cash flow and are preparing to seek financing. For me, the crypto circle can only be a regular investment, as I previously traded contracts and lost nearly 10,000, which is all from my national scholarship, national encouragement, first-class scholarships, and so on, accumulated slowly. I am unlikely to spend extravagantly. Today I played around with the #voxel coin; the volatility is too high. I lost 70 USDT on a short, quickly closed it, and then went long, recovering my losses. Then I gave myself a one-day contract cooldown. Attached is a picture of the mechanical arm we use from Ark Infinite.
Today's on-chain data: Short-term holders' unrealized panic is expanding, similar to the early stages of a bear market, but new buyer demand is strong (30-day RSI reached 97.9), indicating market gains: retail selling, institutions accumulating. Support levels: 84,300 USD: Key short-term support, if broken, may test 80,000 USD. 75,000-80,000 USD: Mid-term support, close to the accumulation range. Based on the above analysis, Bitcoin's possible status on April 20, 2025, is as follows: Price: 80,000-85,000 USD, short-term fluctuations, tending towards downward support testing. Technical shape: Triangle tip, the breakout direction will determine the short-term trend. Trading advice: Short-term: If the price falls to around 80,000 USD, consider buying the dip, with stop-loss set at 78,000 USD. If it breaks above 86,000 USD, you can chase the long, with a target of 90,000 USD and stop-loss at 84,000 USD. Long-term: Accumulate on dips, target above 120,000 USD, based on halving and favorable policies. Risks: Macroeconomic fluctuations (such as adjustments in US stocks) may drag Bitcoin down to 65,000 USD. Regulatory uncertainties or market mining risks.
First Day of Graduate Student's Journey - Let's See How Long I Can Stick It Out
Hello everyone! I'm a newcomer to the circle who has just entered for a while but still feels like a rookie 'Grilled Chicken Wing'! Today, I casually opened the mic in the plaza to share my process. (Only with a process can there be lessons and gains) First, I have recognized the reality that this crypto world is not the fairy tale town where I thought 'buying the rise without thinking can make me rich'! So I made a survival guide for myself: first, manage my positions and control risks well, then focus on technical analysis, memorizing terms like MACD, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci every day like learning English vocabulary; (my wallet balance warns me not to touch contracts for now, but I still want to play)