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阿布价格行为技术分析|最重要是知行合一|公众号:狻猊公子-链上客厅|币安邀请码:LUO2028|推特:狻猊公子|努力成为值得大家信赖的人
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Wealth has no secrets; it’s just that no one is willing to get rich slowly. If you follow the young master and earn 1% every day, how many times does that amount to in a month? Welcome everyone, let’s communicate and grow together. You can enter in the search box: Type > chat room > chat ID: cry4ri or the young master’s uid: 1132656117 or directly scan the QR code below #加密市场回调 #加密市场观察
Wealth has no secrets; it’s just that no one is willing to get rich slowly.
If you follow the young master and earn 1% every day, how many times does that amount to in a month?

Welcome everyone, let’s communicate and grow together.
You can enter in the search box:
Type > chat room > chat ID: cry4ri

or the young master’s uid: 1132656117
or directly scan the QR code below
#加密市场回调 #加密市场观察
🎙️ 等待大饼突破,然后做多。如果没突破,下来继续接多
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Today, the 29th issue sets sail with a bang! Hardcore trading logic breakdown, real-time market analysis, hands-on practical skills teaching, bringing you straight to the core of the market. Bind my Binance invitation code: LUO2028 Deposit over 5000u to participate in the registration. Whether you are a beginner or an advanced trader, you can gain a replicable trading system! Seats are limited, seize the future profit opportunity, and join thousands of traders for a wealth feast. The 29th issue awaits you to create the next miracle together! #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
Today, the 29th issue sets sail with a bang! Hardcore trading logic breakdown, real-time market analysis, hands-on practical skills teaching, bringing you straight to the core of the market.

Bind my Binance invitation code: LUO2028

Deposit over 5000u to participate in the registration.
Whether you are a beginner or an advanced trader, you can gain a replicable trading system! Seats are limited, seize the future profit opportunity, and join thousands of traders for a wealth feast. The 29th issue awaits you to create the next miracle together!
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
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This triangular currency arbitrage is really painful The mainland's U price is falling, while Hong Kong's U price is basically still pegged to the US dollar Buy U in the mainland, then use a Hong Kong card to withdraw U, with an arbitrage space of 2% In the past two years of the Russia-Ukraine war, the ruble exchange rate also fell significantly, and at that time, some people used the ruble for triangular currency arbitrage and then got into trouble Using U for currency arbitrage is harder to track, with a lower threshold, but the arbitrage space is still quite large. However, with such tight policies now, buying U could even lead to being invited for a tea chat. Are you still daring to do this? #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温
This triangular currency arbitrage is really painful

The mainland's U price is falling, while Hong Kong's U price is basically still pegged to the US dollar

Buy U in the mainland, then use a Hong Kong card to withdraw U, with an arbitrage space of 2%

In the past two years of the Russia-Ukraine war, the ruble exchange rate also fell significantly, and at that time, some people used the ruble for triangular currency arbitrage and then got into trouble

Using U for currency arbitrage is harder to track, with a lower threshold, but the arbitrage space is still quite large. However, with such tight policies now, buying U could even lead to being invited for a tea chat. Are you still daring to do this?
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温
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Morning Share Those who didn't listen to the prince's liquidation or cost price stop loss during last night's live broadcast should be trapped. I have already made it clear that chasing a short position is not a good idea; there is a high probability that we are seeing a bottom candlestick. As expected, after the prince ended the broadcast, it surged upwards. However, I only took a short position because I had already rested when it surged upwards. This week, the market is bound to have big ups and downs. As long as the big coin doesn't drop below 800, after Wednesday, it will be the recent high point. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates or not, there will definitely be a big drop. Focus on shorting from Wednesday to Thursday, and avoid going long if possible. The probability of returning to 940 on Monday and Tuesday is increasing, and it may even continue up to 950. No matter how high the big coin can go, taking a medium to short-term short position will be very comfortable. If the Federal Reserve confirms a rate cut, there is still a chance for further increases by the end of the year or early next year, and 800 could be the bottom. Intraday Operations btc897 go long; or break through 915 to chase long, target 930 or even higher. {future}(BTCUSDT) bnb890 go long, 884 add position, target 910-920 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #比特币波动性
Morning Share
Those who didn't listen to the prince's liquidation or cost price stop loss during last night's live broadcast should be trapped. I have already made it clear that chasing a short position is not a good idea; there is a high probability that we are seeing a bottom candlestick. As expected, after the prince ended the broadcast, it surged upwards. However, I only took a short position because I had already rested when it surged upwards.

This week, the market is bound to have big ups and downs. As long as the big coin doesn't drop below 800, after Wednesday, it will be the recent high point. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates or not, there will definitely be a big drop. Focus on shorting from Wednesday to Thursday, and avoid going long if possible.

The probability of returning to 940 on Monday and Tuesday is increasing, and it may even continue up to 950. No matter how high the big coin can go, taking a medium to short-term short position will be very comfortable.

If the Federal Reserve confirms a rate cut, there is still a chance for further increases by the end of the year or early next year, and 800 could be the bottom.

Intraday Operations
btc897 go long; or break through 915 to chase long, target 930 or even higher.


bnb890 go long, 884 add position, target 910-920

#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #比特币波动性
🎙️ 大饼又突破,昨天假突破,今天还是假动作吗?
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Family! This week's rebates have all been distributed. Please check! Congratulations to another batch of users who received Binance rebates. For those who registered for trading with the【Gongzi】Binance invitation link, trading fees will be permanently refunded! Binance invitation code: LUO2028 Benefits of using the Gongzi invitation code are as follows: 1. Enjoy community strategy group strategies for long-term stable profits in trading. 2. Participate in the community Binance contract hands-on training camp to refine skills and forge mindset. 3. Price action teaching system video lessons that teach you entry logic, trading strategies, refine trading skills, and achieve stable profits. {future}(BTCUSDT) #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美国讨论BTC战略储备
Family!
This week's rebates have all been distributed. Please check!
Congratulations to another batch of users who received Binance rebates.

For those who registered for trading with the【Gongzi】Binance invitation link, trading fees will be permanently refunded!
Binance invitation code: LUO2028
Benefits of using the Gongzi invitation code are as follows:
1. Enjoy community strategy group strategies for long-term stable profits in trading.

2. Participate in the community Binance contract hands-on training camp to refine skills and forge mindset.

3. Price action teaching system video lessons that teach you entry logic, trading strategies, refine trading skills, and achieve stable profits.

#比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美国讨论BTC战略储备
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Dongda has struck against cryptocurrency 4 times so far The most serious one was on the 519, which directly caused countless people to go bankrupt Recently, there has been another crackdown, and this round is even broader The first to be affected is the u merchant, the u price has already said it all, once caught it is illegal operation, enough to drink a pot of it Next, there may be agents, channels, and other promotional services of exchanges, but nothing has been seen yet. Previously, some small exchanges were identified as scams There are also some KOLs who are cutting leeks, if their physical body is in Dongda, one day during the winter window it will be revealed In short, the u merchants are now silent, and agents should take care of themselves Ps: Personal investment in Bitcoin will not have problems, provided it does not involve other illegal activities #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Dongda has struck against cryptocurrency 4 times so far
The most serious one was on the 519, which directly caused countless people to go bankrupt
Recently, there has been another crackdown, and this round is even broader

The first to be affected is the u merchant, the u price has already said it all, once caught it is illegal operation, enough to drink a pot of it

Next, there may be agents, channels, and other promotional services of exchanges, but nothing has been seen yet. Previously, some small exchanges were identified as scams

There are also some KOLs who are cutting leeks, if their physical body is in Dongda, one day during the winter window it will be revealed

In short, the u merchants are now silent, and agents should take care of themselves
Ps: Personal investment in Bitcoin will not have problems, provided it does not involve other illegal activities
#ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
🎙️ 大饼周六突破?继续看多?
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Why are most retail investors in the square talking about liquidation and losing money? The fees clearly indicated that everyone should not short $PIPPIN , yet a bunch of retail investors rushed in to short, Even if they shorted, they still leveraged to the max. The world doesn't just have one smart person; do you think you're very smart, while the operator is dumber than you? #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储降息预期升温 #加密市场观察
Why are most retail investors in the square talking about liquidation and losing money?

The fees clearly indicated that everyone should not short $PIPPIN , yet a bunch of retail investors rushed in to short,

Even if they shorted, they still leveraged to the max.
The world doesn't just have one smart person; do you think you're very smart, while the operator is dumber than you?
#美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储降息预期升温 #加密市场观察
狻猊公子
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Do not short $PIPPIN Do not short Do not short

The Pippin fee is -0.4%. Assuming a ten times leverage short, it is now settled once an hour, which means a short position has to pay 4% of the margin every hour, 40% after 10 hours.

Even if Pippin does not rise, a sideways market for half a day means half of the margin, and a day means the entire margin.

Going short now is like a big leek; I would rather go long and pay the fee than short.
{future}(PIPPINUSDT)
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Isn't the KOL within the East University useless Even the customer service, agents, and channels of the exchange will be held accountable
Isn't the KOL within the East University useless
Even the customer service, agents, and channels of the exchange will be held accountable
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Last night, Black Friday successfully predicted In fact, there were signs as soon as the U.S. stock market opened yesterday, with Bitcoin typically following the downturn instead of the upturn. Therefore, as the U.S. stock market dropped, Bitcoin directly flooded downwards. Bitcoin fell from 915 to 880, and the larger cycle remains volatile. Next Wednesday is the interest rate meeting, and a significant drop is certain on that day. There will be no liquidity over the weekend, so there will basically be no fluctuations. Time is running out for Bitcoin; if it doesn't rise to a high position on Monday and Tuesday, the opening drop on Wednesday will only be lower. Looking at the smaller cycle, it appears to be a converging triangle, a breakout pattern, with clear small fluctuations between 880-900 over the weekend. Some mainstream altcoins may experience slightly larger fluctuations. #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
Last night, Black Friday successfully predicted
In fact, there were signs as soon as the U.S. stock market opened yesterday, with Bitcoin typically following the downturn instead of the upturn. Therefore, as the U.S. stock market dropped, Bitcoin directly flooded downwards.

Bitcoin fell from 915 to 880, and the larger cycle remains volatile. Next Wednesday is the interest rate meeting, and a significant drop is certain on that day.
There will be no liquidity over the weekend, so there will basically be no fluctuations. Time is running out for Bitcoin; if it doesn't rise to a high position on Monday and Tuesday, the opening drop on Wednesday will only be lower.

Looking at the smaller cycle, it appears to be a converging triangle, a breakout pattern, with clear small fluctuations between 880-900 over the weekend. Some mainstream altcoins may experience slightly larger fluctuations.
#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
🎙️ 决战pec,今晚能起飞吗?
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Tonight at 11 PM, pec data will be released This is the first CPI data since the U.S. government shutdown CPI-related data is not as clear-cut as employment data, with mixed implications As long as CPI is above expectations, it is generally considered negative, while below expectations is seen as positive In short, tonight's pec data will cause significant volatility #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Tonight at 11 PM, pec data will be released
This is the first CPI data since the U.S. government shutdown

CPI-related data is not as clear-cut as employment data, with mixed implications
As long as CPI is above expectations, it is generally considered negative, while below expectations is seen as positive

In short, tonight's pec data will cause significant volatility
#ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
🎙️ 大饼关键支撑位,画门or北上?
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Yesterday, cz's debate on Bitcoin and gold was very exciting. cz pointed out that verifying gold is very difficult and requires damaging the gold itself. But does this mean that the scarcity of gold does not constitute value? Archimedes invented the method of displacement 2000 years ago, calculating density by measuring mass and volume. Even if it is true, as cz says, that the difficulty of verifying gold means it has no value? Or does the difficulty of verifying gold mean that Bitcoin is definitely superior to gold? The two do not seem to be a mutually exclusive relationship. Is there no fake Bitcoin? If someone is a novice, they might really be unable to distinguish between a real and fake Bitcoin. Stablecoins can be faked and packaged into scams, not to mention Bitcoin; the complexity of blockchain is such that there must be a certain threshold. Who comes in and immediately knows what a public chain is, or what this coin or that coin is? #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Yesterday, cz's debate on Bitcoin and gold was very exciting.

cz pointed out that verifying gold is very difficult and requires damaging the gold itself.
But does this mean that the scarcity of gold does not constitute value? Archimedes invented the method of displacement 2000 years ago, calculating density by measuring mass and volume.

Even if it is true, as cz says, that the difficulty of verifying gold means it has no value? Or does the difficulty of verifying gold mean that Bitcoin is definitely superior to gold? The two do not seem to be a mutually exclusive relationship.

Is there no fake Bitcoin? If someone is a novice, they might really be unable to distinguish between a real and fake Bitcoin. Stablecoins can be faked and packaged into scams, not to mention Bitcoin; the complexity of blockchain is such that there must be a certain threshold. Who comes in and immediately knows what a public chain is, or what this coin or that coin is?
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
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Morning Analysis Yesterday's morning analysis basically executed the strategy and profited. After various signals indicating a peak appeared, entering on the right side feels more comfortable. Many friends chose to enter in the middle, which makes it easy to exit (there were no signals, and it's not a high point). Yesterday, after the US stock market opened, the trend was almost the same as the day before, with a large bearish candlestick crashing down, followed by a large bullish candlestick recovering, resembling a roller coaster going up and down. Aside from the increased trading volume, there were no directional signals. Additionally, it's worth mentioning that the short position taken yesterday was not solely due to the large bearish candlestick from the US stock market opening; it was more because the morning analysis indicated a top divergence in Bitcoin on the 1-hour chart and a bearish candlestick pattern, with the signal appearing only after the US market opened. We can see that Bitcoin dipped down to 910, indicating that the support level is particularly strong, and the candlestick signals are also strong. It seems relatively difficult to break through 910 at the moment, and this pullback might be caused by the 1-hour top divergence. We are still in a wide-range fluctuation; if BTC does not rise above 940, a short position will still be considered, or placing a short order at 940 with a $500 stop loss, which would result in a very high risk-reward ratio. Bitcoin is currently showing weak upward momentum, and there is a significant chance it will retrace to the 917 or even 910 level, so everyone can consider entering long positions in batches at 917 and 910. PS: Today is Friday; I wonder if there will be a Black Friday. #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Morning Analysis
Yesterday's morning analysis basically executed the strategy and profited. After various signals indicating a peak appeared, entering on the right side feels more comfortable. Many friends chose to enter in the middle, which makes it easy to exit (there were no signals, and it's not a high point).

Yesterday, after the US stock market opened, the trend was almost the same as the day before, with a large bearish candlestick crashing down, followed by a large bullish candlestick recovering, resembling a roller coaster going up and down. Aside from the increased trading volume, there were no directional signals.
Additionally, it's worth mentioning that the short position taken yesterday was not solely due to the large bearish candlestick from the US stock market opening; it was more because the morning analysis indicated a top divergence in Bitcoin on the 1-hour chart and a bearish candlestick pattern, with the signal appearing only after the US market opened.

We can see that Bitcoin dipped down to 910, indicating that the support level is particularly strong, and the candlestick signals are also strong. It seems relatively difficult to break through 910 at the moment, and this pullback might be caused by the 1-hour top divergence.

We are still in a wide-range fluctuation; if BTC does not rise above 940, a short position will still be considered, or placing a short order at 940 with a $500 stop loss, which would result in a very high risk-reward ratio. Bitcoin is currently showing weak upward momentum, and there is a significant chance it will retrace to the 917 or even 910 level, so everyone can consider entering long positions in batches at 917 and 910.
PS: Today is Friday; I wonder if there will be a Black Friday.
#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC
狻猊公子
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Morning Sharing
After the ADP data came out, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut has not only not decreased but has risen to 89%. However, yesterday's market did not soar; even if Buffett came, he would still have to drop it for two days, with alternating large bullish and bearish candles.

This morning, BTC continued to test 940 upwards, evolving into a false breakout. As of the time of writing, this is already the third upward attempt, and each upward test shows a gradual weakening of strength, which can easily lead to a major reversal.

The BTC 1-hour cycle has already shown a top divergence, and there is a high probability of a small adjustment today. At this stage, still testing at a high level, it is primarily shorting with a target of 920, as there is relatively little room for movement.
From the candlestick pattern, BTC has formed a wedge, which is also a reversal pattern.
Now with a top divergence + wedge reversal + multiple false breakouts upwards, the probability of shorting is increasing, but it does not necessarily mean a reversal. It is recommended to look for patterns in the hour and find entry points in the 15-minute timeframe, then enter on the right side.

The 15-minute cycle is a 925-940 irregular box fluctuation. Those with rich trading experience can short high and long low within the box, but there will be many false breakouts.

ETH Analysis
ETH, BNB, and SOL are much stronger than BTC. After ETH retraced to 3100, it formed a gap and moved north, but it also formed a top divergence. The trend in the 15-minute timeframe is extremely clear and strong.
If you want to short, it is recommended to place a limit order at 3240 on the left side, with a stop loss of 10 US dollars and a small position for entry.
On the right side, it is recommended to enter after breaking the trend line, which has a higher win rate.
#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美国ADP数据超预期 #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
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