The precious metals market has cooled at high levels, with spot gold retreating to $4945. This adjustment is driven by a stronger dollar and profit-taking from safe-haven assets, causing gold, which had been on a rising trend, to pause its gains. Global market attention is focused on the upcoming U.S. PPI and durable goods orders data this week. These two core inflation indicators will be key references for the market's adjustment of the interest rate cut expectations for the first quarter of 2026, and the direction of the data will directly influence the price trends of various assets. As the cryptocurrency market is highly linked to macro monetary policy, the release of this inflation data is a critical juncture. If the data shows strong inflation persistence, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations will further cool, the dollar may continue to strengthen, and crypto assets like BTC will face pressure; if the data is moderately warm, a resurgence in rate cut expectations could provide relief opportunities for the cryptocurrency market. The current crypto market is fluctuating with macro expectations, waiting for data to provide a clear direction. #黄金 #贵金属 #加密市场观察
This point marks the end of a busy day, and recently, it's been almost like this state, but it does not affect the analysis and judgment of the overall market trend. The market sense is still online, and the ups and downs are all expected. The price level prompts are also quite accurate.
Bitcoin has dropped more than 10,000 points from 97,000. This pullback belongs to a dull knife cutting meat; it’s not so direct, but it is indeed a significant pullback, allowing everyone to enter the first position around 88,000. A couple of days ago, it was expected to reach around 85,000, but the lowest point was 86,000, which stopped the decline, and Ethereum rebounded all the way. However, this is merely a rebound, not a reversal. Bitcoin still has a trend towards around 85,000, so we must patiently wait for this moment to arrive.
Ethereum is completely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to buy around 2,780. The lowest point reached 2,784, which was also a quite accurate reminder. Now, after the rebound, there is still a trend for a pullback, so take profits first to secure gains, and after selling, set the entry point around 2,820.
A few days ago, RIVER advised everyone to give it up, whether shorting or going long; it's almost an unsolvable problem. The main force has changed its funding from 4 hours to 1 hour, and the high-level sideways movement is slowly draining the blood of the bears. The temporary profits of the bulls may also be wiped out by the sudden crash, which is even more a case of losing more than gaining. Trading is not gambling; investment needs to be rational. The market is sluggish, so let’s send everyone a red envelope to cheer them up.
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