$BTC Hitting 20K will give away a large red packet of BTC to my fans. To celebrate hitting 20k followers, I will give away a large BTC red packet to my fans.
The term "crypto circle" is probably familiar to everyone, but where did it come from? Today, let me share some insights: It originally started around 2011, where the earliest form was a gathering of tech geeks and idealists. After BTC was created, it spread to China, initially attracting a small number of geeks and grassroots believers, who mostly met on forums or in offline gatherings, and the garage coffee of that year became well-known. The crypto copying began, but with the huge increase in BTC in 2013, a large influx of non-technical individuals entered, mainly aiming to profit from "copying coins". The community around this "coin" rapidly grew, and participants included miners, mining hardware vendors, and exchange entrepreneurs. The "crypto circle" gradually became a clearly defined space with commercial and investment attributes. #CZ Binance Square AMA $BTC
Is the ETH crash a collapse of faith or the last "golden pit"? Recently, ETH's performance has made everyone question life. Should we cut losses and exit, or hold on until the end? Let's see what the top influencers in the foreign crypto community have to say:
1. Technical Warning: Peter Brandt warns $1,700
Legendary trader Peter Brandt directly threw out a few charts that sent chills down people's spines. He pointed out that ETH has broken below a key triangular formation, and the "breakdown" on the technical side is very obvious. In his view, if the support is not quickly reclaimed, ETH is likely to test $1,725.
📢Core: Charts don't lie, the current trend is indeed weakening, and blindly being bullish carries significant risks.
2. Institutional Reflection: Novogratz talks about "De-leveraging"
Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, provided an answer from the market structure perspective. He believes this downturn is not due to a single negative factor but rather the fading of the speculative era in the crypto space. The market is undergoing a painful de-leveraging process, with funds shifting from purely speculative assets to real value discovery.
📢Core: This is a restructuring of market structure; although painful, it is a necessary reshuffle before the second half of the bull market begins.
3. Macro Belief: Raoul Pal's "Last Bottom" theory
Unlike the previous two, macro master Raoul Pal remains steadfast. He believes that the trend of a global liquidity explosion in 2026 is irreversible, and the current volatility is merely "nauseating noise." He even boldly predicts that this could be the last "golden pit" before this bull market.
📢Core: Focus on the liquidity cycle in 2026, don’t get washed out before dawn.
🟡Summary and Reflection:
Currently, ETH is at an extremely awkward crossroads: the technicals are "bleeding," institutions are "reshuffling," and the macro players are "recharging faith." • If you are a short-term player, you must heed Peter Brandt's warning; preserving capital is the top priority. • If you are a long-term investor, Raoul Pal's macro logic might help you sleep well!#ETH Trend Analysis
$USDC Core Conclusion: Investing 60,000-70,000 USD to buy Bitcoin at a large scale is illogical; it essentially involves gambling on the bottom while catching a falling knife, which goes against investment rationality and risk control common sense. Below is a clear breakdown and feasible plan 👇
1. Core Contradiction: Three Major Logical Mismatches in Bottom Fishing
1. The bottom is unpredictable and lacks fundamental support: Low prices are often a continuation of a decline, as history has repeatedly proven that after a 50% drop, prices can still fall another 50%; currently, the confrontation between the US and Iran, along with the sell-off of tech stocks, poses risks to risk assets, making it easier to form a cycle of "decline—liquidation—further decline" under panic; bottom fishing without fundamental support is just catching a falling knife.
2. Violating Trend Confirmation and Staggered Investment Principles: Professional investors only confirm trends and do not predict bottoms; Buffett's "greed" is always accompanied by staggered investments and risk reserves; entering the market on a large scale at 60,000-70,000 USD is a gambler's mentality, not investment rationality.
3. Lack of Valuation Anchoring, Overlooking Liquidity and Time Costs: Bottom fishing without a true value anchor is self-comforting under anchoring effects; in a panic, funds accelerate losses, and prolonged waiting devours capital efficiency.
2. Correct Bottom Fishing: Three Major Principles + Practical Strategies
• Principles: ① Do not guess the bottom, only confirm trends (consecutive daily positive lines, stabilizing at key positions); ② Staggered investments, reserve bullets (avoid full positions); ③ Anchor valuations and safety margins (e.g., ahr999 ≤ 0.45, institutional cost lines, etc.).
• Practical Operation (Market in February 2026):
1. Observe First: 60,000-70,000 USD is not a safety margin; wait for daily stabilization, ETF turning to net buying, on-chain whales accumulating signals, etc.
2. Gradual Positioning: Trial position (total capital 10%-15%, 55,000-60,000 USD + ahr999 ≤ 0.45) → Add position (cumulative ≤ 40%, stabilize at 55,000 + reversal signal) → Increase position (≤ 80%, reclaim 65,000 + hash rate recovery).
3. Ironclad Risk Control: Single risk ≤ 1%-2%, strict stop-loss; stay away from leverage (10x leverage with a 10% fluctuation means zero out). #何时抄底? #BTC何时反弹? #黄金白银反弹
Some people cut the meat, and some people copy the bottom! I wish you all a smooth future! Wealth is rolling! BTC red envelope 🧧 arrange! There are only 5000 Olympics on a first-come, first-served♥️
The relationship between Bitcoin and MicroStrategy stock prices
The price of Bitcoin and MSTR (MicroStrategy) shares has formed a highly convergent leveraged proxy relationship. MSTR is no longer essentially a software company, but rather a 'Bitcoin leveraged ETF': its beta value reaches 1.77, showing greater elasticity when the coin price rises, and significantly magnified declines when it falls. The latest holdings show that MSTR holds over 714,000 bitcoins, with an average cost of about $76,056. As the price of Bitcoin fell to $69,000, the unrealized losses expanded to between $4.8 billion and $6.5 billion, and MSTR's stock price has plummeted nearly 80% from its peak. In terms of market capitalization, the key indicator is the premium rate (mNAV). When the premium is above 1, the company can issue shares at low prices to finance and buy coins at high prices to create a positive feedback loop; however, the current premium has compressed to 1.09 and even briefly fell below 1, resulting in stagnant financing and interrupting the traditional 'issue shares to buy coins' cycle. Market focus has shifted from 'whether to sell coins' to 'whether to refinance at low cost', which will determine whether this highly leveraged model can survive a bear market.
It's the New Year, sharing a red envelope 🧧🐲🧧 worth 999usd1 to bring blessings to everyone The goal is to gain followers and make friends Everyone is welcome to actively participate and use your little finger to receive your exclusive benefits $USD1
📢 CZ Tonight's AMA Meeting (2026-02-12) $BTC $ETH $BNB Time: Beijing Time 23:00 (11 PM Tonight) Platform: Binance Square Language: Bilingual (Chinese and English), questions can be asked freely
📌 Currently Known Meeting Highlights (Preview)
- CZ personally announced on X (formerly Twitter), open Q&A for global users - Expected Focus: Binance Compliance Progress, BNB Ecosystem, 10.10 Flash Crash, User Asset Security, Future Plans, etc. - No fixed agenda announced in advance, primarily real-time Q&A
📌📌 Security & Asset Class (Most Stable, Must Ask) Market & Operations Class (What Everyone is Most Concerned About)
. What is your outlook on the overall market this year? Are there any key time points worth noting? For ordinary investors, are there any risk warnings or suggestions? Recently, there has been significant volatility; does the platform have a response mechanism?
Platform Development & Future (Larger Landscape) What are the three most important things for Binance this year? Will there be new products or activities aimed at the community? Is there anything you want to say to the Chinese community and mainland users? #CZ币安广场AMA #Megadrop #memecoin🚀🚀🚀
Let's hit 23,000 followers! Massive rewards incoming! 688U BNB red packets up for grabs! Wishing you nonstop good luck and booming profits! Tap that follow button for Big F—let’s get rich together! Thank you, fam! 🧧
$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT) $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) Today, Binance Square will hold a Chinese AMA with CZ at 15:00. It has become a trending topic across the platform. The post previews that the AMA will discuss Bitcoin trends, altcoin season, Meme coins, and contract risks. CZ reminds beginners to stay away from high-leverage contracts and suggests starting with small amounts of spot trading. Meanwhile, the Binance Wallet Alpha blind box airdrop and content mining commission activities are highly popular, with users actively participating in point redemption and posting tasks. Regarding market sentiment, as the Spring Festival approaches, the viewpoint of 'holding coins for the festival' is trending, and the community is discussing BTC fluctuations and opportunities in mainstream coins. Additionally, the industry judgment that 'wallets = the future WeChat' has sparked widespread sharing, and platform security and anti-fraud reminders are being discussed frequently.
#CZ币安广场AMA 答案:BTC🧧🧧🧧Follow me to get free BNB red packets! Follow me to get free BTC red packets!🧧🧧🧧BTC is in a daily downtrend. Focus on short-selling opportunities with tight stop losses and position sizing. Specifically, await key Q2 news catalysts before entering new positions.
$BNB $USDC $XRP #CZ币安广场AMA #CZ #黄金白银反弹 CZ tonight at 23:00 AMA is coming! As the co-founder of Binance, CZ will provide an in-depth interpretation of the future construction direction of Binance Square, from ecological layout to Web3 empowerment. Tune in to the live broadcast tonight to gain insights into the opportunities of the era with CZ, and co-build, co-create, share, and win in the new Web3 ecology! Interactive format: Real-time Q&A, CZ will personally respond to community concerns and convey a positive investment philosophy.