中木聪1

只是短期回调，回调之后是大涨

I am also empty

empty

$BTC Today’s big pancake, this bearish line is too obvious:
It’s not a crash, it’s washing out the indecisive people.
As long as 82k doesn’t break, it’s still brewing for the next big fluctuation.
The same goes for the second pancake. The more it’s smashed, the more it shows someone is quietly accumulating.

Those who wanted to run have already run, what comes next is the real show.

$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 Pancake BTC —— 88500 This cut is a wash, not a smash

BTC today fell to 88k (–4.4%) on the daily line, which is very standard
"High position oscillation + ETF funds short-term profit taking + US stocks Friday sentiment dragging" combination punch.

But there is only one key point:
No trend reversal structure has formed.

Why?
Leverage funds have not seen a massive liquidation
Spot ETF funds have not stopped inflowing, just slowed down
The daily line pattern is still running near the lower edge of the rising channel, which is a controllable correction
A true break will definitely lead to panic volume, but the current volume is obviously weak

Conclusion in one sentence:
BTC is not peaking, it is washing floating chips.

The real risk level is in the
82,000–84,000 range
If it doesn't break there, all declines are called — "pullbacks are long positions for accumulation."

⸻

Second pancake ETH —— the decline is deeper than Pancake (–5.2%), but the trend is stronger

ETH's decline is slightly deeper than BTC's, the reason is simple:

1) ETH's previous increase was faster
2) L2 series has risen for many days, and funds began to take profits
3) The ETH-BTC trading pair has not broken key structures

The key point is:

ETH's main upward wave before the ETF listing has not yet emerged.

Currently, 3016 is a typical pullback area, and ETH's pullback momentum is weaker than expected:
Leverage shorts have not increased significantly
ETH/BTC is still steadily strengthening
The L2 ecosystem has not shown signs of complete shutdown

As long as ETH does not fall below
2850–2900 range
The bullish structure remains intact.

$BTC $BTC The current trend is like a big cleanup—
shaking up some of the highly leveraged bulls, so that the remaining chips are worthy to become the fuel for the next market phase.
The market is always like this: it cleans people, and continues the trend.

Wash away some of the long contracts, then increase fuel to continue growth

Still struggling?

$ETH Tonight this plate of noodles......
What can I say, it has risen,
But I always feel something is off.

The mainstream coins are being pushed too neatly,
The altcoins are following too obediently,
The sentiment has suddenly become too optimistic......

This atmosphere of "everyone has started to believe it will rise",
Is often not a good thing in the crypto world.

I’ll just say one thing now:
Are there any short-sellers here?
I've already put on my gloves.

It's not that impulsive betting,
It's just that this position——
Is worth a short.

Steady shorts, light shorts, shorts with brains.
We don’t engage in violent shorts.

Short-seller brothers,
Are you here?
Come check in.

$BTC Today's trend is very subtle.

Mainstream coins are slowly pushing up,
it's not that explosive rise that blows everything away,
it's more like——
"I don't say it, but I'm rising."

Recently, the overall sentiment in the crypto world has been quite consistent:
regulatory news is somewhat favorable, institutional discussion is increasing,
topics related to ETH and L2 are becoming more frequent.

But the community sentiment is that kind of:
"I don't believe it when it rises, and I'm afraid when it falls."
This kind of unusual caution,
is often not the style of a peak.

Overall feeling is:
Those who should act are starting to act,
while those who are not ready are still observing.

So my understanding of this wave of market is:
it's not a climax, not a riot,
it's more like——
something is quietly brewing.

$BTC direction, not in the K-line, but in the cycle.

In the past few days, some people are panicking, some are confused, and some are becoming more hesitant as prices fall.
But to be honest:
Real opportunities never grow out of emotions, but rather grow in cycles.

The market is currently in a stage that "seems chaotic, but actually has a clear direction":

• The mainstream is correcting, but the underlying logic hasn't changed
• Altcoins are killing leverage, but once it's done, they will be lighter
• Funds are withdrawing, but haven't left the market
• Emotions are collapsing, but the structure hasn't broken

Many people ask me:
What should we do?
Where is the direction?

I have one very practical answer:

In the coming months, the mainstream determines the baseline, the narrative determines the breakout point, and self-discipline determines the returns.
1. Mainstream coins are the path
The direction of BTC and ETH hasn't changed, the cycle hasn't changed, and institutions haven't left.
The big drop is just to shake off those who can't stand firm.
2. Strong narratives are the wind
AI, SOL ecosystem, RWA, projects with high on-chain activity,
As long as the direction hasn't changed, the rise is just a matter of time.
3. Your own rhythm is life
Don't go all-in when prices rise, and don't lay flat when they fall.
The ones who truly make money aren't necessarily the ones who see the clearest,
But those who live the longest.

The market is simple:
Having the correct direction is a hundred times more important than having the correct entry point.

When confused, just remember one thing—
Follow the cycle, use light leverage, and be patient.

Those who are going in the right direction are very quiet now;
Those who are going in the wrong direction are very noisy now.

Which path are you prepared to take?

$BTC Today's market has no tricks, just one sentence:
Emotional stomping + leveraged explosion.

When BTC, ETH, and BNB all drop together, it indicates that the problem isn't with the fundamentals,
it's that someone needs to cut positions, needs money,
such market conditions usually don't last too long.

Looking at the second-tier altcoins, they are dropping harder than the mainstream:
AI -28%, GIGGLE -37%, ASTER -13%,
this isn't a project issue, it's the entire chain's leverage being wiped out.
You don't need to check the liquidation data to know it's a mess.

But pay attention to one detail:
The trading volume hasn't collapsed.
When someone sells, someone else buys.
This is a good thing, not a bad thing.

My understanding is very simple:
It's neither the top nor a bear market,
it's just a typical "de-leveraging correction."
Markets that drop quickly usually recover quickly.

How to operate?
To be honest, I didn't increase my position today, nor did I cut losses.
I'm just watching a few mainstream levels:
I'll reassess BTC when it drops to a critical level, ETH will follow BTC's lead, and I'll buy SOL in batches.
For altcoins, only look at strong narratives; don't force encounters with the weak, or you'll get trapped.

Market behavior follows one principle:
Don't panic when it drops, don't get carried away when it rises.
Staying alive is more important than anything else.

What do you think?
Feel free to share in the comments, don't keep it to yourself.

$BTC I don't care, tonight I'm going to buy the dip$ETH

Stop what losses, liquidation stops losses

I have never understood why a small retail investor can completely influence the entire Bitcoin market. Every investment encounters an avalanche; when you short, it drops slowly but then surges dramatically. When you go long, it rises slowly but then crashes hard. Every time there's a spike, it precisely hits your stop loss and liquidation. Are all the exchanges that everyone plays on independent?

Go long or go short, to survive or to perish, that is the question!
The big pie is about to break through 120,000, but other mainstream altcoins are still at half their highs compared to last year, or even at knee-cut or foot-cut positions. Will altcoins see a rebound? Should we buy the dip? What do you all think?
Or should we just go short?

Bitcoin reaches new highs, but I am not happy at all
All sectors have been disproven
Even the core DeFi has been
After so many years, security issues still haven't been resolved
For sixteen years, only Bitcoin and stablecoins are real, while other sectors are just fleeting moments, wasting too much time
and energy
Currently, aside from the US stock market being used for tax evasion, what other applications, besides gambling, have any value?
Sad
BTC +5.91%#BTC再创新高

BTC has reached a new high
I see that the price of SBMT has indeed hit bottom
Some say they are all numb from the drops
But I actually find it a bit interesting
You can take a look
That's how the market is
When emotions run high, even pigs can fly; when emotions fade, even real gold can be sold as stone
The price of $BMT is falling
But to be honest, their product is indeed useful for practical applications
@bubblemaps
They are a serious on-chain data analysis tool; Binance and Bithumb have adopted them
There are indeed real applications, not just a wave of junk coins, and other tools have some differences, such as core functionalities
Magic Nodes and Time Travel
To put it simply
On the basis of helping you draw bubble charts between wallet addresses
You can also see the specific node situations
For example, exchanges have notes, etc.
You can even reverse time
To see their past transactions
Later, there will be something called Intel Desk, specifically designed for on-chain investment platforms

#BTC再创新高 PM: Thinking Time? + Gym Meditation
The screen in the country keeps reminding about the new high of SBTC. Is your current mood pleasant or frustrated? #ETH突破3000