Jesse莫尔先生

#加密市场观察
Preview of Major Events Next Week: 👀👀👀
December 9: Google hosts 'Android XR Show'; focusing on AI and the XR ecosystem in reality.
December 11: 16:30 Swiss National Bank announces interest rate decision (watch out for black swans, pay a little attention)
December 11: 03:00 Federal Reserve announces interest rate decision and economic projection dot plot. Key to watch whether they will maintain, increase, or decrease the number of rate cuts next year. Following that, Powell will hold a press conference at 03:30. #美股2026预测
Brothers can pay attention: the market has important news and will notify everyone immediately.
$BTC $ETH

#加密市场观察
This is the reason many people lose money. Why is it that despite the positive data, it turns into a decline? Because the market never aligns with everyone's direction.
It may be that interest rate cut expectations are already maximized, and there is no premium space left. It could also be the potential danger of war over the weekend, or it may be the impact of Japan's interest rate hike, etc. In short, the market is always making decisions with money. The only thing we can do is wait patiently. Wait for new events to arrive, wait for a clear direction. $BTC $ETH

#山寨季将至？ $PIGGY Just now,遭遇黑客攻击，闪崩99%
Piggycell is a real-world infrastructure + blockchain project (RWA)
This project is based on a network of mobile power banks / shared charging stations in South Korea, with over 14,000 sites and over 100,000 devices;
It combines real infrastructure + large user base + NFT, allowing holders to directly share rental / usage income generated in the real world, with transparent income distribution recorded on-chain.
A real asset, facing a hacker attack, currently priced at 0.1, is it an opportunity or a risk?

#加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温
Tonight, the heavyweight data is coming. As of 20:30, the probability of interest rate cuts is: 87% (a decrease of 2% from yesterday's 89%).
The inflation indicators favored by the Federal Reserve, PCE and personal spending rate, as well as the consumer confidence index, will be announced simultaneously at 23:00 tonight, which is very noteworthy.
Personal spending rate: Previous value 0.6, expected 0.3. Lower than expected is favorable. (Published by the Ministry of Commerce, controlled by the U.S. government, generally won't have major issues)
PCE price index: The last piece of the puzzle for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, previous value 2.7, expected 2.8 (market expects moderate inflation increase). Above 2.8 is bearish, indicating inflation issues, and the probability of interest rate cuts will be suppressed.
Core PCE index: Expected 2.9, previous value 2.9, (remains unchanged).
Brothers: Don't rush to open positions, wait for the index to come out, confirm the market situation before taking strong action, don't rush for a moment. $BTC $ETH $BNB

December 4th Important News Review: #美联储重启降息步伐
As of December 4th, 19:00, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points is 89%
1. The number of ADP jobs in the U.S. decreased by 32,000 in November, with an expectation of 10,000 and a previous value of 42,000, marking the lowest level since March 2023.
2. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen: Weakness has appeared in certain areas of the economy, requiring a rate cut.
3. Sources: The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December is nearly certain, with the government not intervening.
4. Binance announced at the Blockchain Week event that co-founder He Yi officially takes on the role of Joint Chief Executive Officer. (After the announcement, customer service Xiao He doubled within an hour)
5. Ethereum's second major upgrade this year, Fusaka, has officially been activated.
A key reminder: There is still a week until the U.S. interest rate decision, and the expectation for a rate cut is already very high. Beware of unexpected events (e.g., Will the U.S. decide to go to war over the weekend?), the closer we get to the news release, the more cautious we must be.
$BTC $BNB $客服小何

#加密市场观察 Important data collection for tonight 👀👀👀
As of today at 15:30. The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 25 basis points is 87%
Tonight: Beijing time
21:15 Small non-farm payroll data ADP will be released. This time the small non-farm payroll is crucial, mainly because the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for December will be announced before the large non-farm payroll is released, and the market will focus on this ADP. The market's prediction is: previous value 4.2, December expected value 1.
Explanation: A positive value greater than 4.2 is bearish; if the value is negative, it is bullish. It depends on the size of the value. The smaller it is, the worse the employment data, which is bullish.
It is not recommended to hold small non-farm payroll positions for long; after the data is released, short-term operations are sufficient.
Because at 23:00 there is also the services PMI, which also determines whether the inflation outlook is optimistic and affects the probability of interest rate cuts. 🚀🚀🚀
$BTC $ETH

#加密市场观察 The Bank of Japan's probability of raising interest rates in December soared to 85%$BTC $ETH
Yesterday's market prediction was whether the Bank of Japan would make a rate decision in December 2025? The probability of a rate hike surged from the original 50% to the current 85%. This early release of the risk message regarding interest rate hikes was the main driving factor behind yesterday's market decline.
Next, we will focus on Japan's interest rate decision on December 19, and whether the Federal Reserve's rate cut decision will be influenced by it?
Once the dollar is lowered, and the yen is raised, it will bring a huge shock to the market. Once a trend forms, it will not end so quickly.

$TRADOOR Thank you

$0G Real-time data update
The bulls are increasing, and the whales are synchronizing their long positions. We are currently in a situation of long and short competition. The trend is bullish. $0G

$0G 0G Chip Distribution (For Reference Only)
Total Chips: 1 billion, Circulating: 243 million;
Currently, the number of long positions is less than that of short positions.
Long positions are profitable at 67%, while short positions are profitable at 36%.
Whale Participation: 36 long whales, 84 short whales;
Suggestion: Currently, be cautious of sudden spikes and drops.
Upswing range is 2.5, support level for downturn is 0.9$0G

$0G Analysis (For Reference Only)
0G is currently at a breakthrough technical position:
Trading volume is active: 24-hour trading volume reached $235 million, indicating high market attention;

Review of history:
0G has experienced a rapid rise from $1.1 to $3.6, followed by a sideways movement around $2.7;

Key range and liquidation risk: The $2.5-$2.6 area is viewed as an important support zone, as it has gathered a large number of long positions, and once broken, it may trigger a chain liquidation. Meanwhile, there is significant short pressure near $3 above.

Narrative aspect: 0G, as a modular blockchain focused on decentralized AI, still holds attention in the market.
Short-term focus: After a significant price increase, it is essential to closely monitor the support level at $0.94 and the resistance level at $1.70.
Hope this helps your operations;
$0G

JELLYJELLY Analysis (For Reference Only) 🚀🚀🚀
Currently, the competition between bulls and bears is fierce.
There are 43 bull whales and 76 bear whales, with bulls making a profit of 27.5% and bears making a profit of 58%. The current trend is fluctuating.
Resistance Level: If the price rebounds, the recent resistance level is US$0.074
Support Level: US$0.048;
Operational Advice: If considering entry, you may wait for a breakthrough of the resistance level before entering on a pullback. In the short term, the focus is on adjustments and fluctuations;
$JELLYJELLY

On November 3rd, according to the on-chain AI analysis tool CoinBob (@CoinbobAI_bot), monitoring shows that from last night to noon today, the yield rate of AI models holding long positions has mostly declined. Among them, DeepSeek increased its BNB long position at 4 AM today to average down the cost, with a current floating loss of $682 (about 37%), and a liquidation price of $1024. $BNB

$ZK The battle between bulls and bears is intense on the hourly chart.
There are 83 large bull traders and 82 large bear traders, with bulls making a profit of 72% and bears making a profit of 38%. Caution is needed for bulls taking profits and the risk of breaking key levels for further declines.

$ZEN
ZEN Analysis (For Reference Only) 🚀🚀🚀
Trend Structure: The moving average signal is “Strong Buy,” and almost all technical indicators also lean towards buying.
According to publicly available information:
It is reported that Horizen has announced the launch of an application chain on Base (an Ethereum L2 network), which enhances its scalability and interoperability, receiving a positive market response; meanwhile, privacy coins, interoperable chains, and sidechain ecosystems have regained attention in the market. ZEN, as one of the projects positioned in these areas, has gained additional attention.

$VIRTUAL VIRTUAL (for reference only)
The total amount of VIRTUAL is approximately 1 billion coins, with a circulation of around 650-660 million coins;
The historical high was around US$5.16;

Support/Resistance Levels:
Support Level: Around the recent price of approximately US$1.0, a strong psychological and technical support area.
Resistance Level: If the price rebounds, the recent key resistance is approximately around US$2.00, and if broken, it may aim for ~US$3.00.

Potential for Continuous Increase and Risks:
1. If AI/Metaverse themes continue to receive attention, VIRTUAL is in this sector and may benefit, especially with increasing trading volume and positive external news, leading to strong increases;
2. If the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market weakens, or if project progress does not meet expectations, the price may fall back to support or even lower.

Operational Suggestions:
If considering entry: Observe whether it breaks the resistance (around US$2.0) accompanied by increasing trading volume, and consider appropriate positioning;
If it drops below 1.5, observe whether it will further decline to the key resistance level of 1.0, considering positioning or stop-loss;

$AI16Z AI16Z Analysis (For Reference)
The historical high was around US$ 2.47, and the price has mostly been in the US$ 0.05‑0.10 range over the last 30 days, with a significant increase in trading volume recently.

Support Level: Recent prices are in the US$ 0.05‑0.06 range:
Resistance Level: If the rebound continues, the next key resistance is in the US$ 0.20‑0.30 range;

Current Assessment: If the price can break through the upper wedge line with increased trading volume, it may enter a new upward channel;

MACD: There are signs of approaching the zero axis from the negative zone, indicating that bullish momentum is accumulating.

Operational Suggestions (not investment advice):
If considering an entry: You may wait for confirmation of a breakout (for example, breaking above US$ 0.10‑0.12) accompanied by increased trading volume, then consider a small position.
Set stop-loss levels if it falls below the support of US$ 0.05‑0.06 or exits if structural damage occurs.

Mid-Tide News October 24 news【Market Information】
According to Jin Ten: On October 24, spot silver fell more than 2.00% during the day, currently reported at 47.91 dollars/ounce. Spot gold fell below 4050 dollars/ounce, down more than 90 dollars from the daily high, with a daily decline expanding to 1.8%.

Mid Tide News October 24 news 【Market Information】
On October 24, according to the official announcement, Upbit will launch the ORDER Korean Won trading pair. $ORDER

Mid-tide News October 24 news [Airdrop Announcement]
On October 24, according to official news, Binance Alpha announced it will be the first platform to launch APRO (AT). Alpha trading will start on October 24, 2025, at 18:00 (UTC+8).
After trading begins, users holding at least 220 Binance Alpha points can claim 200 AT tokens airdrop. First come, first served. If the event has not ended, the score threshold will automatically decrease by 15 points every hour.
Claiming the airdrop will consume 15 Binance Alpha points. Users must confirm the claim on the Alpha event page within 24 hours, otherwise, it will be regarded as a forfeiture of the airdrop.