DM俱乐部老A_短线中线_社区分析师
短中线交易｜全职交易员｜Dm社区创立者｜同名🔍推特/围脖/视频号【DM俱乐部老A】每日视频文字分析大盘和主流币。跟老A选择Julebu-A。币安聊天ID：btc2zl
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#BTC Figure 1 shows that on May 28, I indicated a bearish outlook at 109,000 points, and then in Figure 2 on June 5, I indicated that it would drop to around 100,000, followed by a rebound above 110,000, and then a drop below the 100,000 level. Currently, it is oscillating around 105,000, with a top likely to appear soon. I will first look for a drop to 97,800, followed by a small rebound before continuing to decline. Before mid-next month, I expect it to drop to around 93,000, which is the support level of the weekly trendline, and it may be worth considering entering to buy the dip between 100,000 and 105,000.
#ETH Figure 3 shows a high-level distribution observed on June 12, and on the 13th it fell in response, dropping from 2,750 to 2,450 in just 24 hours, yielding a gain of 300 points.
Now, I plan to continue holding short positions at high levels. All spot positions have been liquidated, and I am looking to short $AAVE in the medium term, expecting a 40% decline, patiently waiting for further actions.
All real-time operations will be published in the internal group, get on the homepage!!
#ETH Figure 3 shows a high-level distribution observed on June 12, and on the 13th it fell in response, dropping from 2,750 to 2,450 in just 24 hours, yielding a gain of 300 points.
Now, I plan to continue holding short positions at high levels. All spot positions have been liquidated, and I am looking to short $AAVE in the medium term, expecting a 40% decline, patiently waiting for further actions.
All real-time operations will be published in the internal group, get on the homepage!!
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#ETH Last night I had to eat 300 points, live broadcast every night~ Square points focus until 1k fans start broadcasting synchronously
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#ETH After 20 days, from 2700 to 3400, a rise of 700 points, patience is really more important than confidence. 3500 is just a step away, after the interest rate cut tonight, watch for old Powell's speech, pay attention to hawkish remarks, and track the probability of a rate cut in January.
Turning point appears, unless unexpected, this is the last wave #ETH
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#BTC Weekend market trends accurately grasped, is it too much to ask for an 'Old A is awesome'?
The weekend market was simply amazing, and it is expected to have further lows in the short term, the trend is as follows! #BTC #ETH
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December 4th Market View
BTC is consolidating, ETH is catching up, currently driven upward by expectations of interest rate cuts. The rate cut is expected next Thursday at 2 AM, leaving little time for the bulls. As long as there is another wave of collective rebound, everyone, build your short positions in batches, hold on for me, this is the biggest fortune of the year-end!
#BTC Price is under pressure at 94,000, with some selling pressure appearing here in the short term, the trend is chaotic, the 4-hour Vegas is under pressure for adjustment, but as long as it does not break below 90,000, the upper expectation remains 98,000-112,500. Pay attention to 92,500 today, if it doesn't break during the pullback, the rebound is still in a strong phase, and it will continue to test 94,000-96,110-98,000. If it breaks down, the trend will weaken, with support at 91,150-90,200-89,000;
#ETH There was a strong rebound early in the morning, breaking through the moving average resistance. On one hand, it's due to the implementation of upgrades, and on the other hand, the price has broken through. Meanwhile, eth/btc has also broken through the trend resistance, but during the day session, it started to weaken again. In the short term, if it does not break below 3,100, the expectation remains at 3,500-3,800. However, time is of the essence, or it won't go too high. Today, if it doesn't break below 3,175, the bulls remain strong, moving to the upper range of 3,260-3,320. If it breaks below 3,175, there will be an expectation of an hourly pullback, with support at 3,140-3,090-3,030.
BTC is consolidating, ETH is catching up, currently driven upward by expectations of interest rate cuts. The rate cut is expected next Thursday at 2 AM, leaving little time for the bulls. As long as there is another wave of collective rebound, everyone, build your short positions in batches, hold on for me, this is the biggest fortune of the year-end!
#BTC Price is under pressure at 94,000, with some selling pressure appearing here in the short term, the trend is chaotic, the 4-hour Vegas is under pressure for adjustment, but as long as it does not break below 90,000, the upper expectation remains 98,000-112,500. Pay attention to 92,500 today, if it doesn't break during the pullback, the rebound is still in a strong phase, and it will continue to test 94,000-96,110-98,000. If it breaks down, the trend will weaken, with support at 91,150-90,200-89,000;
#ETH There was a strong rebound early in the morning, breaking through the moving average resistance. On one hand, it's due to the implementation of upgrades, and on the other hand, the price has broken through. Meanwhile, eth/btc has also broken through the trend resistance, but during the day session, it started to weaken again. In the short term, if it does not break below 3,100, the expectation remains at 3,500-3,800. However, time is of the essence, or it won't go too high. Today, if it doesn't break below 3,175, the bulls remain strong, moving to the upper range of 3,260-3,320. If it breaks below 3,175, there will be an expectation of an hourly pullback, with support at 3,140-3,090-3,030.
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December 3rd Market View
Yesterday, the white盘 maintained a narrow fluctuation and did not break below the key support. In the evening, it collectively surged strongly, and the structural pressure was not effective, leading to a major explosion of short positions! The daily line strongly recovered, accompanied by a surge in bulls, and the bears were trampled.
#BTC The first number walked out of the golden pit, and now it looks like a second test of the previous low, effectively defending the bulls. Last night's bottom reversal weakened short supply and enhanced bull demand. In the short term, there is no sign of stagnation. If the neck line at 92000 holds, it will continue the mid-term reversal, with 98,000 and 102,500 still being the targets for this time. Although this expectation was shelved in the previous two days, the market has continued to extend the viewpoint. The support below is relatively dense, and bulls can place stop losses below 90,000;
#ETH The overall market operates in coordination, similarly experiencing a quick reversal after the second test, clearing out investors who shorted. This wave of rise brought volume, and there is still momentum for further highs. The current price is back around 3050, where it corresponds to the previous dense chip area at 3025. If the price can stabilize here in the short term, we will continue to look at 3100/3250 above, and even achieve the final rebound target of 3500-3800.
Yesterday, the white盘 maintained a narrow fluctuation and did not break below the key support. In the evening, it collectively surged strongly, and the structural pressure was not effective, leading to a major explosion of short positions! The daily line strongly recovered, accompanied by a surge in bulls, and the bears were trampled.
#BTC The first number walked out of the golden pit, and now it looks like a second test of the previous low, effectively defending the bulls. Last night's bottom reversal weakened short supply and enhanced bull demand. In the short term, there is no sign of stagnation. If the neck line at 92000 holds, it will continue the mid-term reversal, with 98,000 and 102,500 still being the targets for this time. Although this expectation was shelved in the previous two days, the market has continued to extend the viewpoint. The support below is relatively dense, and bulls can place stop losses below 90,000;
#ETH The overall market operates in coordination, similarly experiencing a quick reversal after the second test, clearing out investors who shorted. This wave of rise brought volume, and there is still momentum for further highs. The current price is back around 3050, where it corresponds to the previous dense chip area at 3025. If the price can stabilize here in the short term, we will continue to look at 3100/3250 above, and even achieve the final rebound target of 3500-3800.
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December 2 Market Viewpoint [No more video recordings in the future]
Last night, it almost retraced to the key support; if there is no rebound back, it will break the previous low. However, since it rebounded back, let's see how to adjust during the day. Additionally, note that the eth/btc exchange rate has returned to a critical point, and breaking below may accelerate the price;
#BTC can stand above 85550 to continue the rebound, resistance is seen around 86900-88400-89500. If it breaks below, then the early morning rebound will fail, with support at 83800-81750;
#ETH can stand above 2770 to continue the rebound, resistance is seen around 2822-2854-2915. If it breaks below, the rebound will weaken, with support at 2728-2704-2672. @everyone Reference positions for the day
Last night, it almost retraced to the key support; if there is no rebound back, it will break the previous low. However, since it rebounded back, let's see how to adjust during the day. Additionally, note that the eth/btc exchange rate has returned to a critical point, and breaking below may accelerate the price;
#BTC can stand above 85550 to continue the rebound, resistance is seen around 86900-88400-89500. If it breaks below, then the early morning rebound will fail, with support at 83800-81750;
#ETH can stand above 2770 to continue the rebound, resistance is seen around 2822-2854-2915. If it breaks below, the rebound will weaken, with support at 2728-2704-2672. @everyone Reference positions for the day
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December 1 Market View
December welcomes a "black opening", with hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan and other factors leading to declines in both the US stock and cryptocurrency markets. This week has a lot of macro factors to consider, so pay attention to market volatility. Most are currently waiting for a second test of the market, so maintain patience and focus on price action afterward!
#BTC走势分析 The strong horizontal consolidation of the past two days is narrowing, and the smaller scale is within an upward trend channel. However, it is being pressured by the middle track of the daily line above. The morning price broke below the trend line and began to accelerate downward. It has now broken below a critical position, with support around 84500 below, while 87000 above is unstable and will become recent resistance, with further resistance near 88500.
#ETH The overall market is interconnected, but last week showed signs of waning momentum, first breaking below the upward trend line, then undergoing weak adjustments under the pressure of the daily middle track, leading to accelerated declines in the morning. The current price has broken below 2900, with short-term attention on whether it can recover, as well as the pressure situation at 2920. If it cannot stabilize around 2830 below, it may adjust near 2800, before dropping to around 2750.
December welcomes a "black opening", with hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan and other factors leading to declines in both the US stock and cryptocurrency markets. This week has a lot of macro factors to consider, so pay attention to market volatility. Most are currently waiting for a second test of the market, so maintain patience and focus on price action afterward!
#BTC走势分析 The strong horizontal consolidation of the past two days is narrowing, and the smaller scale is within an upward trend channel. However, it is being pressured by the middle track of the daily line above. The morning price broke below the trend line and began to accelerate downward. It has now broken below a critical position, with support around 84500 below, while 87000 above is unstable and will become recent resistance, with further resistance near 88500.
#ETH The overall market is interconnected, but last week showed signs of waning momentum, first breaking below the upward trend line, then undergoing weak adjustments under the pressure of the daily middle track, leading to accelerated declines in the morning. The current price has broken below 2900, with short-term attention on whether it can recover, as well as the pressure situation at 2920. If it cannot stabilize around 2830 below, it may adjust near 2800, before dropping to around 2750.
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November 29 Market View
#BTC走势分析 Daily bullish momentum clearly weakened, it is recommended to reduce positions for long holdings, and the bottom position may bet on the possibly existing final wave of short liquidation. Intraday weekend volatility, small structure pullback at 89200 for a rebound, short around 91300! #ETH Focus on the 3000 integer pullback situation, supporting at 2980 after breaking down to participate in a small rebound, and participate in short positions above 3050!
#BTC走势分析 Daily bullish momentum clearly weakened, it is recommended to reduce positions for long holdings, and the bottom position may bet on the possibly existing final wave of short liquidation. Intraday weekend volatility, small structure pullback at 89200 for a rebound, short around 91300! #ETH Focus on the 3000 integer pullback situation, supporting at 2980 after breaking down to participate in a small rebound, and participate in short positions above 3050!
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Recently, there has been a constant emphasis on the market rising, and the bottom has already stabilized. #BTC 98000-102000 #ETH 3500-3800, I'm not joking! In the short term, just wait a bit longer, Thanksgiving market closure! Then you can still catch the tail end when you get in. Other than the morning video, I’m too lazy to watch, all the good stuff is secretly shared only with friends in the group!
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November 27 Market View
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been highly correlated with the US stock market. After Bitcoin stopped falling at 80,500 last Friday, it has rebounded above 91,000. The target remains unchanged at 98,000-102,000, but attention is needed in the coming days regarding whether the Thanksgiving market closure will have an impact, plus there is a total of 4 days over the weekend!!
#BTC走势分析 The daily closing price is above 90,000, reaching a dense chip area at 91,400. Short-term attention should be given to this level of resistance, and short selling can be attempted. Below, attention is needed for the stabilization of the 89,000-90,000 range, while there is still room above (98,000-112,000), with resistance seen at 94,500-95,000. Strong support remains unchanged at 86,000-85,000!
#ETH The linked market is rising, with the main buyers still focused on it. The rise from 2,610 to 3,050 is very healthy, and the target for this round of rebound remains unchanged at 3,500-3,800. However, short-term resistance is expected in the 3,050-3,070 range, with a potential pullback to around 3,000 for testing. Short positions can be attempted. Below, attention is needed for the stabilization of the 3,000-2,980 range; a strong trend will continue to rise towards 3,165. If it fluctuates, high shorts and low longs can be adopted, but if it breaks down, support at 2,930 needs to be tested again!!
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been highly correlated with the US stock market. After Bitcoin stopped falling at 80,500 last Friday, it has rebounded above 91,000. The target remains unchanged at 98,000-102,000, but attention is needed in the coming days regarding whether the Thanksgiving market closure will have an impact, plus there is a total of 4 days over the weekend!!
#BTC走势分析 The daily closing price is above 90,000, reaching a dense chip area at 91,400. Short-term attention should be given to this level of resistance, and short selling can be attempted. Below, attention is needed for the stabilization of the 89,000-90,000 range, while there is still room above (98,000-112,000), with resistance seen at 94,500-95,000. Strong support remains unchanged at 86,000-85,000!
#ETH The linked market is rising, with the main buyers still focused on it. The rise from 2,610 to 3,050 is very healthy, and the target for this round of rebound remains unchanged at 3,500-3,800. However, short-term resistance is expected in the 3,050-3,070 range, with a potential pullback to around 3,000 for testing. Short positions can be attempted. Below, attention is needed for the stabilization of the 3,000-2,980 range; a strong trend will continue to rise towards 3,165. If it fluctuates, high shorts and low longs can be adopted, but if it breaks down, support at 2,930 needs to be tested again!!
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November 26 Market View
The overall market has entered a stage of decline, rebound, and oscillation repair. The highly correlated U.S. stock market performed well last night, without causing a crash or breaking key positions. However, it is about to enter the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, and it is estimated that market liquidity and attention will decrease in the short term.
#BTC走势分析 fluctuated overall in the 89000-86000 range yesterday, without breaking through the low long and high short levels. If it falls below, attention should be paid to buying opportunities at the 84000-82000 levels, while a breakout above needs to focus on the resistance in the 94000-95000 range. Aggressive traders can short for a correction, but the final target of this rebound is in the 98000-102500 range!
#ETH showed slightly stronger movement than BTC, and the corresponding ETH/BTC trading pair has also reached the upper edge of the rectangle. Continuously track the resistance at 0.0345; once effectively broken, ETH is likely to see a strong rise. Currently, ETH is back around 3000, and the drop from yesterday combined with the rebound in the early morning indicates that the main players are intervening. The short-term price is forming an upward channel. We need to pay attention to short-term resistance at 3045, as well as medium-term resistance at 3170, but the ultimate structural target is in the 3500-3800 range!
The overall market has entered a stage of decline, rebound, and oscillation repair. The highly correlated U.S. stock market performed well last night, without causing a crash or breaking key positions. However, it is about to enter the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, and it is estimated that market liquidity and attention will decrease in the short term.
#BTC走势分析 fluctuated overall in the 89000-86000 range yesterday, without breaking through the low long and high short levels. If it falls below, attention should be paid to buying opportunities at the 84000-82000 levels, while a breakout above needs to focus on the resistance in the 94000-95000 range. Aggressive traders can short for a correction, but the final target of this rebound is in the 98000-102500 range!
#ETH showed slightly stronger movement than BTC, and the corresponding ETH/BTC trading pair has also reached the upper edge of the rectangle. Continuously track the resistance at 0.0345; once effectively broken, ETH is likely to see a strong rise. Currently, ETH is back around 3000, and the drop from yesterday combined with the rebound in the early morning indicates that the main players are intervening. The short-term price is forming an upward channel. We need to pay attention to short-term resistance at 3045, as well as medium-term resistance at 3170, but the ultimate structural target is in the 3500-3800 range!
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November 25 Market Insights
Federal Reserve officials made dovish remarks, and the market's expectation for a rate cut in December rose to 82.7%. Franklin Templeton launched an XRP trust ETF, and Amazon's $50 billion AI investment boosted sentiment in the crypto market. The current crypto market is in a phase of recovery from an oversold condition, rebounding in tandem with U.S. stocks last night;
#BTC走势分析 After this wave of decline, prices found support last Friday, having recovered 10% from the lows, facing resistance around 90000 (integer + dense trading zone) before pulling back. Prior to this surge, multiple confirmations of support were seen around 85500, which is a key support level for this rebound. If it breaks down, we need to watch for buying opportunities in the 82000-80000 range. The upper resistance is at 90000, where heavy selling pressure was encountered on the first touch, becoming a short-term resistance. However, once stabilized, the upper levels of 94,000-95,000 also represent mid-term resistance, with this rebound targeting 98,000-102,000;
#ETH strengthened last night, with daily prices closing around 2950. We should pay attention to whether the bullish trend continues, with a final target price of 3500-3800. In the short term, it faced resistance around the 3000 mark and adjusted downwards, but the short-term trend remains bullish. On a smaller scale, it is also in a bullish trend, focusing on low buys during the day. Overall, the accumulation of positions is in the 2850-2830 range, providing an entry opportunity. However, if it breaks down, we need to buy at 2750. The upper resistance is at the 3000 mark, and we expect another pullback during the day, with further resistance around 3175 for the mid-term.
Federal Reserve officials made dovish remarks, and the market's expectation for a rate cut in December rose to 82.7%. Franklin Templeton launched an XRP trust ETF, and Amazon's $50 billion AI investment boosted sentiment in the crypto market. The current crypto market is in a phase of recovery from an oversold condition, rebounding in tandem with U.S. stocks last night;
#BTC走势分析 After this wave of decline, prices found support last Friday, having recovered 10% from the lows, facing resistance around 90000 (integer + dense trading zone) before pulling back. Prior to this surge, multiple confirmations of support were seen around 85500, which is a key support level for this rebound. If it breaks down, we need to watch for buying opportunities in the 82000-80000 range. The upper resistance is at 90000, where heavy selling pressure was encountered on the first touch, becoming a short-term resistance. However, once stabilized, the upper levels of 94,000-95,000 also represent mid-term resistance, with this rebound targeting 98,000-102,000;
#ETH strengthened last night, with daily prices closing around 2950. We should pay attention to whether the bullish trend continues, with a final target price of 3500-3800. In the short term, it faced resistance around the 3000 mark and adjusted downwards, but the short-term trend remains bullish. On a smaller scale, it is also in a bullish trend, focusing on low buys during the day. Overall, the accumulation of positions is in the 2850-2830 range, providing an entry opportunity. However, if it breaks down, we need to buy at 2750. The upper resistance is at the 3000 mark, and we expect another pullback during the day, with further resistance around 3175 for the mid-term.
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November 24 Market View
The market experienced accelerated declines with increased volume last Friday, followed by a consolidation and upward movement, with indicators oversold and harmonic structure indicating a reversal at point D with price action. Over the weekend, a rebound occurred, and the market greed index has recovered!! Pay close attention to the movements of US stocks at night.
#BTC走势分析 The weekly close was mediocre, with room for further bullish rebounds above, but the key is the closing situation this week. The 4-hour Bollinger middle band was breached, marked at 85000, so watch for a pullback; if it doesn't break down effectively, you can consider entering long positions. The suppression on the 1-hour Vegas tunnel is marked at 88100, with a secondary test in the small structure; if it fails to rise by noon at 12 o'clock, a weak pullback can be expected. Support at 85300-84500 and resistance at 88200-88600/91300;
#ETH The weekly close is at 2800, with some buying strength in the market, and bulls still have rebound space, but overall it is in a downtrend. In the 4-hour trend, the adjustment range was breached, so you can set the range at 2700-2780 and 2770-2850. If there is no significant breakout, you can participate in high shorts and low longs. Support at 2828-2780-2750 and resistance at 2885-2995/2920-2940/3015.
The market experienced accelerated declines with increased volume last Friday, followed by a consolidation and upward movement, with indicators oversold and harmonic structure indicating a reversal at point D with price action. Over the weekend, a rebound occurred, and the market greed index has recovered!! Pay close attention to the movements of US stocks at night.
#BTC走势分析 The weekly close was mediocre, with room for further bullish rebounds above, but the key is the closing situation this week. The 4-hour Bollinger middle band was breached, marked at 85000, so watch for a pullback; if it doesn't break down effectively, you can consider entering long positions. The suppression on the 1-hour Vegas tunnel is marked at 88100, with a secondary test in the small structure; if it fails to rise by noon at 12 o'clock, a weak pullback can be expected. Support at 85300-84500 and resistance at 88200-88600/91300;
#ETH The weekly close is at 2800, with some buying strength in the market, and bulls still have rebound space, but overall it is in a downtrend. In the 4-hour trend, the adjustment range was breached, so you can set the range at 2700-2780 and 2770-2850. If there is no significant breakout, you can participate in high shorts and low longs. Support at 2828-2780-2750 and resistance at 2885-2995/2920-2940/3015.
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Originally it was yesterday's video, I don't know why it hasn't been uploaded successfully #ETH
November 22 Market View
After speeches from several Federal Reserve officials in the early morning, the three major U.S. stock indexes rebounded, and the market expects a 71% probability of a rate cut in December. The current cryptocurrency market follows the data, and there are significant internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve, coupled with the current fragility of the market. Both bulls and bears should manage their position risks well.
#BTC走势分析 Yesterday's volume exceeded the oversold level around 80500, and the price showed a rebound. There are signs of a stop-loss here, and a small-level rebound is also present. However, as we approach the weekend, liquidity is poor, so pay attention to the narrow range of fluctuations, or a washout in the early hours of the weekend evening. If there is a second probing opportunity, one can participate in buying with a defensive position. The daily chart has a left-side buying structure -- a bullish harmonic pattern, with the reversal point located at 80500. RSI is oversold, and bears are increasing their volume. These conditions all align with a reversal, with the TP1 position of this pattern above 98000. Friends who are aware can try to hold positions. In the small structure trend, the rising lows of the triangle convergence, investors should focus on the upward breakout trend without breaking the lows or a breakdown second probe. Support at 83500-801000, resistance at 85500-88500;
#ETH Linked to the overall market trend, but the eth/btc trading pair has not broken down. Yesterday, it touched a low around 2610, exceeding personal expectations for the low, but the daily close was above 2700. As long as the subsequent daily close is not below this level, it remains within expectations, looking for a rebound trend. In a smaller timeframe, after a volume acceleration decline at 3 PM yesterday, by 8 PM, there were 3 tests of the bottom. From the volume closing momentum perspective, there are expectations of a short-term bottom here. The only thing to note is the poor liquidity over the weekend. The current structure has rising lows and unchanged highs in a converging pattern. Whether a second test will occur on Monday needs to be continuously tracked. Support at 2680-2640, resistance at 2885-2840-2890.
After speeches from several Federal Reserve officials in the early morning, the three major U.S. stock indexes rebounded, and the market expects a 71% probability of a rate cut in December. The current cryptocurrency market follows the data, and there are significant internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve, coupled with the current fragility of the market. Both bulls and bears should manage their position risks well.
#BTC走势分析 Yesterday's volume exceeded the oversold level around 80500, and the price showed a rebound. There are signs of a stop-loss here, and a small-level rebound is also present. However, as we approach the weekend, liquidity is poor, so pay attention to the narrow range of fluctuations, or a washout in the early hours of the weekend evening. If there is a second probing opportunity, one can participate in buying with a defensive position. The daily chart has a left-side buying structure -- a bullish harmonic pattern, with the reversal point located at 80500. RSI is oversold, and bears are increasing their volume. These conditions all align with a reversal, with the TP1 position of this pattern above 98000. Friends who are aware can try to hold positions. In the small structure trend, the rising lows of the triangle convergence, investors should focus on the upward breakout trend without breaking the lows or a breakdown second probe. Support at 83500-801000, resistance at 85500-88500;
#ETH Linked to the overall market trend, but the eth/btc trading pair has not broken down. Yesterday, it touched a low around 2610, exceeding personal expectations for the low, but the daily close was above 2700. As long as the subsequent daily close is not below this level, it remains within expectations, looking for a rebound trend. In a smaller timeframe, after a volume acceleration decline at 3 PM yesterday, by 8 PM, there were 3 tests of the bottom. From the volume closing momentum perspective, there are expectations of a short-term bottom here. The only thing to note is the poor liquidity over the weekend. The current structure has rising lows and unchanged highs in a converging pattern. Whether a second test will occur on Monday needs to be continuously tracked. Support at 2680-2640, resistance at 2885-2840-2890.
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