杨哥小熊
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#vanar $VANRY Directly unfold the script of Bitcoin in 2026 and talk to everyone. Bitcoin is still worth believing in, and it is expected to reach $200,000 before 2028, but there is a high probability of an adjustment period in the first half of the year. Previously, Bitcoin relied on the Federal Reserve's monetary easing and liquidity siphoning to drive the bull market. Now, with AI becoming the new darling of capital, it is siphoning market liquidity, making it difficult for the crypto market to experience a widespread bull run.
However, opportunities lie in the expectation gap. The commercialization of AI will inevitably encounter bottlenecks. Once the story cools down and capital flows back, it will be the time for Bitcoin to take off. The current strategy should be flexible, with main funds positioning in high-prosperity technology sectors, while Bitcoin should adopt a defensive ambush: closely monitoring, $76,000, $72,000, $60,000, $55,000 key levels, building a 25% position at each location, and simply holding after buying.
The core in 2026 is to remain clear-headed during the AI bull market, patiently layout during the crypto market low, with core assets BTC and BNB worth long-term optimism. Enduring loneliness and building positions accurately will allow for grasping subsequent market trends. Wishing everyone great wealth in the Year of the Horse! Everyone can communicate in the comments section. More discussions to come.
However, opportunities lie in the expectation gap. The commercialization of AI will inevitably encounter bottlenecks. Once the story cools down and capital flows back, it will be the time for Bitcoin to take off. The current strategy should be flexible, with main funds positioning in high-prosperity technology sectors, while Bitcoin should adopt a defensive ambush: closely monitoring, $76,000, $72,000, $60,000, $55,000 key levels, building a 25% position at each location, and simply holding after buying.
The core in 2026 is to remain clear-headed during the AI bull market, patiently layout during the crypto market low, with core assets BTC and BNB worth long-term optimism. Enduring loneliness and building positions accurately will allow for grasping subsequent market trends. Wishing everyone great wealth in the Year of the Horse! Everyone can communicate in the comments section. More discussions to come.
On February 7th, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued document No. 20261
The central bank just said that RWA is strictly prohibited. On February 7th, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued document No. 20261, which is too fast.
This is a standard combination of rights. This regulatory guidance on domestic assets and overseas issuance of asset-backed securities tokens contains a wealth of information. The core is three sentences: first, the road is not dead, but the door is very narrow. The CSRC did not completely eliminate RWA but provided a path for record filing. If you want to package domestic photovoltaic power plants into tokens to sell overseas, you can do so.But strict record filing is required. You have to strip everything bare and show the CSRC whose money the assets are, how they were preserved, and whether there are any risks.
This is a standard combination of rights. This regulatory guidance on domestic assets and overseas issuance of asset-backed securities tokens contains a wealth of information. The core is three sentences: first, the road is not dead, but the door is very narrow. The CSRC did not completely eliminate RWA but provided a path for record filing. If you want to package domestic photovoltaic power plants into tokens to sell overseas, you can do so.But strict record filing is required. You have to strip everything bare and show the CSRC whose money the assets are, how they were preserved, and whether there are any risks.
BlackRock's CEO has started to sing the praises of shorting the dollar
Even BlackRock's CEO has started to sing the praises of shorting the dollar, which indicates that this big ship is really about to sink. In a public letter that has shaken the financial circle, Larry Fink issued a shocking warning that if the U.S. cannot control its debt,Bitcoin will replace the dollar and become a world-class reserve currency. It outlines data that is essentially a countdown to America's demise. Since 1989, the speed at which the U.S. incurs debt is three times that of making money.By 2030, which is four years from now, all the taxes collected by the U.S. government will only be enough to pay interest.To put it bluntly, it means national bankruptcy, and the only way to sustain life is by printing money. This statement reveals a huge directional indicator; Wall Street is redefining what is considered safe. Previously, we thought the dollar was the safest.
Something scarier than a horror movie happened in the crypto world.
Just a few days ago, something scarier than a horror movie happened in the crypto world, a superstar with five hundred and eighty thousand Ethereum is being publicly executed.Can you believe it? This former big shot worth seventy-six billion dollars is now kneeling in front of A's algorithm, trembling.From four thousand eight hundred to 1740 dollars, the ten billion dollars of circular loans he was doing on Aave have collapsed, and now the entire network is watching this financial death penalty. To avoid being forcefully liquidated by the system, he is trying to avoid crazy selling of coins.What do you call this? This is called cutting losses to replenish margins. The more he sells, the lower the price drops; the lower the price drops, the more he has to sell. It’s a hopeless death spiral. This is how capital died in 2022. The script for 2026 hasn't changed at all, many people ask what leverage really is.
AI is draining the world's money
Recently, this wave of plummeting has left everyone stunned, and everyone is looking for the reason. The reason is that Trump wants to implement hawkish policies.
The job data is still too poor, and the real reason lies not externally, but within AI itself. To put it simply, AI is draining money from all over the world. Think about it, in the past, starting an internet business required just a few computers and a small team, which didn't cost much. Now, starting an AI business is like a money-burning machine, buying graphics cards, building data centers, and generating power. Where does this money come from? Even the landlords have no surplus, and big institutions like SoftBank and Saudi Arabia have long spent their cash. Now, if OpenAI goes to them for money, what can they do? They can only sell stocks and cryptocurrencies, creating a terrifying blood-sucking effect.
The job data is still too poor, and the real reason lies not externally, but within AI itself. To put it simply, AI is draining money from all over the world. Think about it, in the past, starting an internet business required just a few computers and a small team, which didn't cost much. Now, starting an AI business is like a money-burning machine, buying graphics cards, building data centers, and generating power. Where does this money come from? Even the landlords have no surplus, and big institutions like SoftBank and Saudi Arabia have long spent their cash. Now, if OpenAI goes to them for money, what can they do? They can only sell stocks and cryptocurrencies, creating a terrifying blood-sucking effect.
Bithumb Major Mistake Incident in South Korea
Bithumb mistakenly issued six hundred thousand bitcoins, and the risk control was merely a facade. On February 8, 2026, at 11:00, the B circle was completely in an uproar. Sina Finance simultaneously reported the announcement from Bithumb, the second-largest cryptocurrency exchange in South Korea, that due to a staff error, it mistakenly issued six hundred and twenty thousand BTC, which, based on the price at the time, was worth over forty-four billion dollars. Fortunately, the official took urgent measures and has recovered ninety-nine point seven percent of the assets. But two soul-searching questions instantly went viral: Is the exchange's risk control merely a formality? Should users who received the mistakenly issued assets get a refund? Let's first break the first truth: the risk control is not flawed; it is basically unprotected. This incident was not a technical failure but an absurdly low-level mistake. Originally it was supposed to be a random treasure box event, which should have issued rewards of two thousand to fifty thousand won, but the staff mistakenly input the unit as bitcoins, and it took thirty-five minutes to lock the facility accounts. In simple terms, this was a lack of approval and no double-checking. It is exactly the same as the incident in 2025 where another exchange mistakenly issued ETH due to a failure in risk control, purely a management issue, just messing around and talking. The second controversy is whether users should get a refund. The answer is very clear: they must refund; don't think of it as money falling from the sky. Legally speaking, this constitutes unjust enrichment, just like someone transferring the wrong amount; if you refuse to return it, you must bear the responsibility. Currently, there are still one hundred and twenty-five bitcoins that have not been recovered. Once the exchange files a lawsuit, the users who received the assets not only have to return the full amount but may also incur litigation costs. Simple becomes a liability. It is not worth the loss. What’s more heartbreaking is that this is not an isolated case. Cryptocurrency exchanges are plagued by chaos, and regulation is inherently lagging. Many platforms, relying on the hype of decentralization, loosen risk control and review processes, ultimately harming ordinary investors. Although Bithumb promised to compensate users for their losses and improve approvals, it is too late; the industry has already exposed fatal hidden dangers. Do you think Bithumb's risk control is a sham? If you received bitcoins that you couldn't use, would you actively return them? Let's discuss in the comments section; like and follow, and I will show you the risks and rules behind the chaos in the cryptocurrency world.
Bithumb mistakenly issued six hundred thousand bitcoins, and the risk control was merely a facade. On February 8, 2026, at 11:00, the B circle was completely in an uproar. Sina Finance simultaneously reported the announcement from Bithumb, the second-largest cryptocurrency exchange in South Korea, that due to a staff error, it mistakenly issued six hundred and twenty thousand BTC, which, based on the price at the time, was worth over forty-four billion dollars. Fortunately, the official took urgent measures and has recovered ninety-nine point seven percent of the assets. But two soul-searching questions instantly went viral: Is the exchange's risk control merely a formality? Should users who received the mistakenly issued assets get a refund? Let's first break the first truth: the risk control is not flawed; it is basically unprotected. This incident was not a technical failure but an absurdly low-level mistake. Originally it was supposed to be a random treasure box event, which should have issued rewards of two thousand to fifty thousand won, but the staff mistakenly input the unit as bitcoins, and it took thirty-five minutes to lock the facility accounts. In simple terms, this was a lack of approval and no double-checking. It is exactly the same as the incident in 2025 where another exchange mistakenly issued ETH due to a failure in risk control, purely a management issue, just messing around and talking. The second controversy is whether users should get a refund. The answer is very clear: they must refund; don't think of it as money falling from the sky. Legally speaking, this constitutes unjust enrichment, just like someone transferring the wrong amount; if you refuse to return it, you must bear the responsibility. Currently, there are still one hundred and twenty-five bitcoins that have not been recovered. Once the exchange files a lawsuit, the users who received the assets not only have to return the full amount but may also incur litigation costs. Simple becomes a liability. It is not worth the loss. What’s more heartbreaking is that this is not an isolated case. Cryptocurrency exchanges are plagued by chaos, and regulation is inherently lagging. Many platforms, relying on the hype of decentralization, loosen risk control and review processes, ultimately harming ordinary investors. Although Bithumb promised to compensate users for their losses and improve approvals, it is too late; the industry has already exposed fatal hidden dangers. Do you think Bithumb's risk control is a sham? If you received bitcoins that you couldn't use, would you actively return them? Let's discuss in the comments section; like and follow, and I will show you the risks and rules behind the chaos in the cryptocurrency world.
BTC Accurate Prediction Realized! The upcoming bullish and bearish scripts are fully disclosed
Yesterday BTC retraced to 72900, which was almost precisely hit at the key level of 72000 that I provided; this is solid evidence of the crucial support in mid-month!
Subsequent market movements: first surge to the 80800–82300 range for oscillation, followed by a pullback, first hitting 71800, then crashing to 68500, but this is not the real bottom!
The market still needs to experience three rounds of explosive liquidation to reach the ultimate golden bottom: 60000 dollars → 54000 dollars, this is the perfect opportunity for full investment!
The clear and visible target levels for this bull market launch are:
First target 150000🔝 Second target 180000🔝 Ultimate target 200000!
Those fortunate enough to follow my points to catch the ultimate bottom will directly achieve 2-3 times return on investment, waiting for the main upward trend to reap profits; this wave of bull market dividends will be firmly grasped!
Yesterday BTC retraced to 72900, which was almost precisely hit at the key level of 72000 that I provided; this is solid evidence of the crucial support in mid-month!
Subsequent market movements: first surge to the 80800–82300 range for oscillation, followed by a pullback, first hitting 71800, then crashing to 68500, but this is not the real bottom!
The market still needs to experience three rounds of explosive liquidation to reach the ultimate golden bottom: 60000 dollars → 54000 dollars, this is the perfect opportunity for full investment!
The clear and visible target levels for this bull market launch are:
First target 150000🔝 Second target 180000🔝 Ultimate target 200000!
Those fortunate enough to follow my points to catch the ultimate bottom will directly achieve 2-3 times return on investment, waiting for the main upward trend to reap profits; this wave of bull market dividends will be firmly grasped!
$BTC Bitcoin has support at 75,000-76,500, wait for a second bottom to make a small rebound, target 80,000-83,000, if trapped just consider it as building a position in a bear market. This year the overall trend is downward, the final bottom will be seen in the middle of the month, interim support can be played with small positions for rebounds, the key is to wait for 50,000-60,000 to accumulate for the next bull market.
$BTC Currently, it has dropped to the key support level of 81,000 (the previous low formed a double bottom). There is a high probability of a rebound, but it is currently in the mid-stage of a bear market and a downward continuation. The final bottom is expected to occur around mid-year, with a target of 50,000 to 60,000.
In the short term, there may be a false break below 81,000; if it recovers above, one can take a small long position to aim for 84,000. If it does not recover, it would be a true breakdown, so do not enter the market; aggressive traders can take a small position long on the left side between 81,000 and 82,000 (stop loss if it breaks the previous low, add more if it recovers). The prudent approach is not to go long and to short directly on significant rebounds.
In the short term, there may be a false break below 81,000; if it recovers above, one can take a small long position to aim for 84,000. If it does not recover, it would be a true breakdown, so do not enter the market; aggressive traders can take a small position long on the left side between 81,000 and 82,000 (stop loss if it breaks the previous low, add more if it recovers). The prudent approach is not to go long and to short directly on significant rebounds.
Data Review U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision as of January 28, informing everyone in advance that it is not just bad news.
Market expectations data for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on January 28, 2026, is as follows:
- Interest rates unchanged: The market expects a probability as high as 99.6%, almost certain that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate range of 3.50%-3.75%.
- Probability of rate cut: The probability of a cut of 25 basis points is less than 1%, and the probability of a cut of 50 basis points or more is also less than 1%, reflecting that market expectations for a short-term rate cut have largely faded.
- Probability of rate hike: The probability of a hike of 25 basis points or more is also less than 1%, indicating that the market believes the Federal Reserve has entered a policy observation period.
Binance will be able to trade Tesla contracts on the 28th, with a maximum of five times leverage. After that, gold, silver, and US stocks can all be operated here in one stop, so convenient!!
Is this good or bad for #btc?
Is this good or bad for #btc?
Federal Reserve Chair Race
White House economic advisor Hassett publicly stated that Trump may be more inclined to keep him in his current position, which means he is likely to withdraw from the next Federal Reserve Chair race.
Forecast market data shows that former Federal Reserve Board member Warsh's support rate has soared to 60%, while Hassett has dropped to 16%
Former Federal Reserve Board member Warsh's support rate has soared to 60%. Do you think he will succeed in landing the position?
Post your comment
Forecast market data shows that former Federal Reserve Board member Warsh's support rate has soared to 60%, while Hassett has dropped to 16%
Former Federal Reserve Board member Warsh's support rate has soared to 60%. Do you think he will succeed in landing the position?
Post your comment
#vanar $VANRY A post related to cryptocurrency regarding the risk of a U.S. government shutdown, the core information is as follows:
1. Current Status of Shutdown Risk
- The market prediction platform Polymarket shows that, as of recently, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown before January 31 has soared to about 79%-80%, a significant increase from before, mainly due to the deadlock between the two parties on issues such as funding for the Department of Homeland Security and immigration policy.
- In October 2025, the U.S. experienced a government shutdown that lasted 43 days, one of the longest shutdown events in U.S. history.
2. Impact on Bitcoin (BTC)
- Historically, during the shutdown in October 2025, the price of Bitcoin fell from about $120,000 to $80,000, reflecting the market's sensitive response to risk events.
- If this shutdown occurs, in the short term, Bitcoin prices may rise due to safe-haven sentiment, but in the long term, factors such as liquidity tightening and regulatory stagnation caused by a government shutdown may also lead to market volatility.
Additional Information
- The direct cause of the U.S. government shutdown is that Congress failed to pass a new funding bill, leading to a disruption of funds for some federal agencies and employees being placed on unpaid leave.
- The core contradiction of the current shutdown risk lies in the differences between the Republican push for immigration enforcement funding and the Democrats' demand for healthcare subsidy reform; the Senate requires 60 votes to pass related bills, and currently, the two parties have not reached a consensus.
1. Current Status of Shutdown Risk
- The market prediction platform Polymarket shows that, as of recently, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown before January 31 has soared to about 79%-80%, a significant increase from before, mainly due to the deadlock between the two parties on issues such as funding for the Department of Homeland Security and immigration policy.
- In October 2025, the U.S. experienced a government shutdown that lasted 43 days, one of the longest shutdown events in U.S. history.
2. Impact on Bitcoin (BTC)
- Historically, during the shutdown in October 2025, the price of Bitcoin fell from about $120,000 to $80,000, reflecting the market's sensitive response to risk events.
- If this shutdown occurs, in the short term, Bitcoin prices may rise due to safe-haven sentiment, but in the long term, factors such as liquidity tightening and regulatory stagnation caused by a government shutdown may also lead to market volatility.
Additional Information
- The direct cause of the U.S. government shutdown is that Congress failed to pass a new funding bill, leading to a disruption of funds for some federal agencies and employees being placed on unpaid leave.
- The core contradiction of the current shutdown risk lies in the differences between the Republican push for immigration enforcement funding and the Democrats' demand for healthcare subsidy reform; the Senate requires 60 votes to pass related bills, and currently, the two parties have not reached a consensus.
#vanar $VANRY
1. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (03:00)
1. In line with expectations (maintain interest rate at 3.75%)
- If Powell's speech is dovish (mentioning economic downturn risks, conditions for rate cuts are ripe): pay attention to long opportunities in gold and U.S. stocks (especially tech stocks), while considering shorting the dollar.
- If Powell's speech is hawkish (emphasizing persistent inflation, not considering rate cuts for now): pay attention to long opportunities in the dollar, as well as shorting opportunities in gold, U.S. stocks, and $btc on any pullbacks.
2. Exceeding expectations (rate cut of 25 basis points)
- Gold and U.S. stocks are likely to surge significantly, while the dollar weakens quickly; one can follow the trend and pursue risk assets.
3. Exceeding expectations (rate hike of 25 basis points)
- The dollar will rise strongly, while gold and U.S. stocks will face downward pressure; one can look to short $btc.
2. Initial Jobless Claims + Trade Balance (21:30)
1. Initial jobless claims < 205,000 (tight employment)
- Supports a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, bullish for the dollar, bearish for gold and U.S. stocks; consider going long on the dollar and shorting gold.
2. Initial jobless claims > 205,000 (weakening employment)
- Strengthens expectations for rate cuts, bearish for the dollar, bullish for gold and U.S. stocks; consider going short on the dollar and long on gold.
3. Trade balance deficit > -42.1 billion USD (deficit widening)
- Indicates weak domestic demand in the U.S., bearish for the dollar; can align this with signals from initial claims data to further validate the short-term trend of the dollar.
3. General Risk Warning
- Avoid heavy positions before data releases to prevent significant volatility caused by sudden market movements.
- If multiple data points are released simultaneously, a comprehensive assessment of signal consistency is necessary to avoid misleading conclusions from individual data points.
- Strictly set stop-losses, especially during periods of extreme market volatility, to control potential losses.
1. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (03:00)
1. In line with expectations (maintain interest rate at 3.75%)
- If Powell's speech is dovish (mentioning economic downturn risks, conditions for rate cuts are ripe): pay attention to long opportunities in gold and U.S. stocks (especially tech stocks), while considering shorting the dollar.
- If Powell's speech is hawkish (emphasizing persistent inflation, not considering rate cuts for now): pay attention to long opportunities in the dollar, as well as shorting opportunities in gold, U.S. stocks, and $btc on any pullbacks.
2. Exceeding expectations (rate cut of 25 basis points)
- Gold and U.S. stocks are likely to surge significantly, while the dollar weakens quickly; one can follow the trend and pursue risk assets.
3. Exceeding expectations (rate hike of 25 basis points)
- The dollar will rise strongly, while gold and U.S. stocks will face downward pressure; one can look to short $btc.
2. Initial Jobless Claims + Trade Balance (21:30)
1. Initial jobless claims < 205,000 (tight employment)
- Supports a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, bullish for the dollar, bearish for gold and U.S. stocks; consider going long on the dollar and shorting gold.
2. Initial jobless claims > 205,000 (weakening employment)
- Strengthens expectations for rate cuts, bearish for the dollar, bullish for gold and U.S. stocks; consider going short on the dollar and long on gold.
3. Trade balance deficit > -42.1 billion USD (deficit widening)
- Indicates weak domestic demand in the U.S., bearish for the dollar; can align this with signals from initial claims data to further validate the short-term trend of the dollar.
3. General Risk Warning
- Avoid heavy positions before data releases to prevent significant volatility caused by sudden market movements.
- If multiple data points are released simultaneously, a comprehensive assessment of signal consistency is necessary to avoid misleading conclusions from individual data points.
- Strictly set stop-losses, especially during periods of extreme market volatility, to control potential losses.
There are no shortcuts in trading,
Using the Scenic Line Trading Method, accurately pinpoint buying and selling points, and build a personalized risk control trading system.
Develop strategies around the system, exploring trading logic for large and small cycles—large cycles determine direction, small cycles find entry points.
With this method, trading becomes increasingly stable and is also very easy to grasp.
Even with no foundation, one can directly take the right path without guesswork; with a small investment of time and tuition, one can master the complete trading logic and avoid years of detours.
Using the Scenic Line Trading Method, accurately pinpoint buying and selling points, and build a personalized risk control trading system.
Develop strategies around the system, exploring trading logic for large and small cycles—large cycles determine direction, small cycles find entry points.
With this method, trading becomes increasingly stable and is also very easy to grasp.
Even with no foundation, one can directly take the right path without guesswork; with a small investment of time and tuition, one can master the complete trading logic and avoid years of detours.
The cryptocurrency service provider BitGo successfully went public on the New York Stock Exchange today. To commemorate this great moment, BitGo donated a framed Bitcoin white paper, which is displayed on the wall of the exchange.
In the past two years, more and more cryptocurrency companies have gone public in the United States, indicating that the SEC's regulations have become more lenient.
In the past two years, more and more cryptocurrency companies have gone public in the United States, indicating that the SEC's regulations have become more lenient.
We will face the strictest freeze of accounts in history. Just now, the central bank set the tone for financial work in 2026, and one sentence made everyone in the OTC space break out in a cold sweat. The original phrase is: strictly implement penetrating supervision of payment institutions, and continue to crack down on illegal activities involving virtual currencies. Did everyone understand? First, stop dreaming; those rumors about the mainland lifting the ban on cryptocurrencies are all just scams to get you to buy in. The central bank's attitude is very firm; this continuous crackdown is a high-pressure line that cannot be touched. Second, the methods have been upgraded; pay attention to that term, penetrating supervision. In the past, you might have been able to sneak by buying and selling with WeChat or Alipay, but that won't work anymore. Supervision will look into penetrating data; where your money comes from, where it goes, whether the other party is a high-risk account—big data will check your funds thoroughly as if it were an X-ray. This means that in 2026 we will see the strictest freeze of accounts in history. You might think you just made a little profit, but if you received funds related to fraud, the bank card under your name could be frozen at any time. So, here's a reminder to everyone: be sure to pay attention to fund safety. In the face of penetrating supervision, any small movements are like running naked.
The South Korean prosecution lost approximately 48 million dollars in seized Bitcoin
The Gwangju District Prosecutors' Office discovered a large amount of Bitcoin related to criminal cases was missing during a routine inspection of seized assets, with an estimated loss of about 70 billion won (approximately 48 million dollars). It is reported that the relevant password information was stored in a mobile storage device, which was lost or accessed mistakenly due to a "fraud website". The Gwangju District Prosecutors' Office responded to the matter by stating "unable to confirm," and an internal investigation has been initiated.
The Gwangju District Prosecutors' Office discovered a large amount of Bitcoin related to criminal cases was missing during a routine inspection of seized assets, with an estimated loss of about 70 billion won (approximately 48 million dollars). It is reported that the relevant password information was stored in a mobile storage device, which was lost or accessed mistakenly due to a "fraud website". The Gwangju District Prosecutors' Office responded to the matter by stating "unable to confirm," and an internal investigation has been initiated.
Wait for 65 70 to bottom out #OKb to double 2500 to bottom out #ETH 77000 to bottom out btc bnb730 to bottom out
2026.1.21 Cryptocurrency Contract Practical Strategy: Catching Oversold Rebounds, Strictly Guarding Risk Control Red Line 🚨
Today's Market Core Logic: BTC/ETH oscillating recovery after oversold, combined with concentrated short squeeze and institutional buying signals, prioritize short-term long positions, refuse to go against the trend with short positions, and double-lock risk with leverage and stop-loss!
1. Mainstream Currency Precise Strategy (Spot Price Reference: BTC≈91000 USDT, ETH≈2960 USDT)
1. Bitcoin (BTC) Contract
- Entry Timing: Accumulate positions in batches when retracing to the 90500-90800 range, increase positions after confirmation of MACD golden cross on the hourly chart
- Leverage Choice: ≤3 times (current volatility is high, high leverage is prone to liquidation)
- Stop-Loss Setting: 89800 (breaking yesterday's low point, trend reversal signal)
- Take-Profit Targets:
1. First Target 92500 (take profit 50% in batches)
2. Second Target 93500 (move stop-loss protection for remaining positions after reaching)
- Core Logic: Exchange stockpiles hit a three-year low, 62% of shorts liquidated in the last 24 hours, sufficient rebound momentum after being oversold
2. Ethereum (ETH) Contract
- Entry Timing: Go long in the 2930-2950 range, can slightly increase positions after stabilizing at 2980
- Leverage Choice: ≤2 times (ETH volatility is greater than BTC, proximity to forced liquidation zone)
- Stop-Loss Setting: 2900 (strong support after breaking the psychological level of 3000, exit immediately if broken)
- Take-Profit Targets:
1. First Target 3030 (15-minute resistance level)
2. Second Target 3100 (upper edge of previous oscillation platform)
- Core Logic: Layer2 ecosystem rising simultaneously, institutional ETH holdings hit a record high, Pectra upgrade expectations provide bottom support
2. Today's Risk Control Rules (Life First!)
1. Single contract position not exceeding 15% of total funds, total contract proportion ≤50%
2. Strictly implement preset stop-loss, stop immediately if losses reach 2% of total funds, prohibit averaging down costs
3. Avoid high leverage (above 5 times prohibited), current liquidity is tight, prone to flash crashes
4. If BTC does not break through 9200 or ETH does not stabilize at 3000 in the afternoon, decisively take profits and exit, do not hold positions overnight
3. Key Points to Note
- Pay attention to today's U.S. trade tariff-related news, sudden negative news requires immediate liquidation for risk aversion
- Contract liquidation intensity zone (BTC 90500-91500, ETH 2950-3000) avoid market price openings, use limit orders to reduce slippage
- If stop-loss level is breached, switch to wait-and-see mode, wait for confirmation of next support level (BTC 87200, ETH 2800) before positioning
Today's Market Core Logic: BTC/ETH oscillating recovery after oversold, combined with concentrated short squeeze and institutional buying signals, prioritize short-term long positions, refuse to go against the trend with short positions, and double-lock risk with leverage and stop-loss!
1. Mainstream Currency Precise Strategy (Spot Price Reference: BTC≈91000 USDT, ETH≈2960 USDT)
1. Bitcoin (BTC) Contract
- Entry Timing: Accumulate positions in batches when retracing to the 90500-90800 range, increase positions after confirmation of MACD golden cross on the hourly chart
- Leverage Choice: ≤3 times (current volatility is high, high leverage is prone to liquidation)
- Stop-Loss Setting: 89800 (breaking yesterday's low point, trend reversal signal)
- Take-Profit Targets:
1. First Target 92500 (take profit 50% in batches)
2. Second Target 93500 (move stop-loss protection for remaining positions after reaching)
- Core Logic: Exchange stockpiles hit a three-year low, 62% of shorts liquidated in the last 24 hours, sufficient rebound momentum after being oversold
2. Ethereum (ETH) Contract
- Entry Timing: Go long in the 2930-2950 range, can slightly increase positions after stabilizing at 2980
- Leverage Choice: ≤2 times (ETH volatility is greater than BTC, proximity to forced liquidation zone)
- Stop-Loss Setting: 2900 (strong support after breaking the psychological level of 3000, exit immediately if broken)
- Take-Profit Targets:
1. First Target 3030 (15-minute resistance level)
2. Second Target 3100 (upper edge of previous oscillation platform)
- Core Logic: Layer2 ecosystem rising simultaneously, institutional ETH holdings hit a record high, Pectra upgrade expectations provide bottom support
2. Today's Risk Control Rules (Life First!)
1. Single contract position not exceeding 15% of total funds, total contract proportion ≤50%
2. Strictly implement preset stop-loss, stop immediately if losses reach 2% of total funds, prohibit averaging down costs
3. Avoid high leverage (above 5 times prohibited), current liquidity is tight, prone to flash crashes
4. If BTC does not break through 9200 or ETH does not stabilize at 3000 in the afternoon, decisively take profits and exit, do not hold positions overnight
3. Key Points to Note
- Pay attention to today's U.S. trade tariff-related news, sudden negative news requires immediate liquidation for risk aversion
- Contract liquidation intensity zone (BTC 90500-91500, ETH 2950-3000) avoid market price openings, use limit orders to reduce slippage
- If stop-loss level is breached, switch to wait-and-see mode, wait for confirmation of next support level (BTC 87200, ETH 2800) before positioning
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