BTC $89,996 ETH $3,110 XRP $2.05 BNB $ 891 SOL $133 DOGE $0.1412 ADA $0.4285 ZEC $395
- BTC is consolidating in the $90K~92K range with weak liquidity towards the year-end. - ETH remains above $3,100, with whales and institutions continuing to accumulate.
CFTC launches new pilot program: allows BTC / ETH / USDC as collateral for derivatives, increasing the acceptance of crypto assets in traditional finance.
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 25bps (expectation at 92%), leading to a slight market recovery.
Institutions are increasing ETH holdings: BitMine adds 138,000 ETH, with institutional sentiment leaning positive.
Market sentiment remains fearful: the greed index is only 22/100, indicating lack of confidence.
Cardano founder: Quantum threat is exaggerated, and the industry has countermeasures in place.
Bitcoin's correction from its peak of 30% — Should we really be worried? (Investor Perspective)
As a cyclical investor, I believe this nearly 30% correction is completely unremarkable. Looking back at history, it is very common for BTC to experience corrections of 25–40% during upward trends — and this time is no different.
BTC has sharply dropped from $126,000 to about $80,000, then rebounded to over $93,000. For me, this is just a typical correction to 'reset leverage' after a big surge.
Bitcoin's four-year cycle continues to repeat
According to CoinDesk data, BTC's movements almost always fluctuate around the halving cycle. In this cycle, BTC has experienced: 32.7% drop (2024/03–08) 31.7% drop (2025/01–04) The previous cycle was similar: multiple drops of 30–40% before continuing to set new highs. In other words — the current volatility is not 'new'.
Deep correction ≠ Trend reversal
The key points I focus on are: BTC remains stable above long-term key technical indicators, especially the 50-week moving average There are no signs of a long-term upward trend breaking BTC has never moved up in a straight line. Each strong upward movement requires a sufficiently deep adjustment to clear FOMO and excessive leverage. The real reason for this round of collapse
This major drop is mainly influenced by the following factors: Record levels of leverage liquidation: in just 24 hours, over 1.6 million traders were liquidated, amounting to as much as $19.37 billion Leverage positions collectively closed → Chain sell-off → Market plunged rapidly Market fears 'the end of the upward cycle', sentiment further deteriorated
Based on cycles and structure: The current decline does not resemble the start of a 'crypto winter' (when BTC typically drops 70–80%) It feels more like a normal adjustment in the middle of a cycle — often becoming a stepping stone for the next wave of increase As long as BTC remains above the long-term support zone, I believe this correction is an opportunity, not a signal of systemic risk.
Wall Street funds unexpectedly "turned around," driving Bitcoin up
Bitcoin defied the trend and broke through $90,000, alleviating market concerns from early December. Vanguard's unexpected return, along with the Fed's signals of monetary easing, triggered a surge of large capital inflows.
Since December 2, Vanguard has lifted the trading restrictions on crypto ETFs, bringing about the "Vanguard effect"—the trading volume of the IBIT fund reached $1 billion in the first 30 minutes, and cautious investors began to enter the market. Bank of America allows advisors to suggest clients allocate 1–4% of their investments to cryptocurrencies, attracting more capital inflows.
The Fed has ended quantitative tightening (QT) and injected $13.5 billion in liquidity, providing support for the market. CME FedWatch shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has risen to 87.2%, with institutional easing creating a "perfect storm."
Looking ahead to 2025-2026: Bitcoin may maintain a fluctuation range of $83,000–$95,000 before the end of the year; if the Fed cuts rates as expected, it could reach $110,000–$135,000/BTC in the long term. Key support is at $75,000/BTC; a drop below this level increases risks.
As capital flows in and U.S. regulations become clearer, the potential of the crypto market is accumulating. The market is holding its breath for the Fed's December meeting to determine whether this rally will set new records.
1. Many people sold to take profits Previously, ZEC surged significantly, leading many investors to sell for profits, which caused the price to drop rapidly.
2. Breakthrough of the "upward channel" Technically, ZEC has broken below the upward trend line, which usually triggers a significant decline.
3. Decrease in actual demand ZEC is a privacy coin that previously garnered a lot of attention, but now the demand for anonymous transactions has not increased.
4. Overall weakening of the crypto market Bitcoin and other mainstream coins have declined, dragging down altcoins like ZEC, and the declines are usually larger.
→ The decline in ZEC is the result of multiple overlapping factors: heavy selling pressure, unfavorable technicals, decreased actual demand, along with an overall weak market.
Trading plan (short) — $FOLKS Entry point: Current breakout area (based on the chart you described — price has broken through key support) Stop loss (SL): Set above the recently broken support (approximately 3–5%, depending on the time frame) Target 1 (TP1): The next nearest support Target 2 (TP2): A deeper liquidity area Target 3 (TP3): If the downward momentum continues strong, it will be the extended bottom level
🔎 Brief analysis: $FOLKS just broke through key support → The trend is fully turning bearish. Continuous red candles, gradually decreasing volume, every rebound is heavily sold → Potential bull trap.
🔸 Obvious downward structure → Lower highs + Support breakout 🔸 Weak volume → Buyers are exhausted 🔸 Sellers completely in control → Every rebound is just a "dead cat bounce" 🔸 Downward space is expanding → Thin liquidity below support
This is the continuation pattern of a crash — shorting early and accurately can fully capture the downward wave.
🔥 Summary: $FOLKS is signaling the next strong downward movement. Now is the golden time to short, entering when the breakout is still fresh and selling pressure is absolutely dominant.
Today's Cryptocurrency Afternoon Report — December 1, 2025
BTC ~ 86,000 $ ETH ~ 2,820 $ BNB ~ 825 $ SOL ~ 127 $ ADA ~ 0.386$ XRP ~ 2.04 $
Major cryptocurrencies generally corrected, with several exchanges experiencing large-scale leveraged liquidations within 24 hours, and market panic sentiment has significantly increased. Total market capitalization is approximately 2.92 trillion dollars, with increased volatility.
🔔 Hot News Yearn Finance yETH pool has encountered liquidity issues, triggering panic in the DeFi market, which is an important trigger for the recent decline. Several large exchanges participated in the liquidation wave, indicating high leverage risk in the market. Investors are paying attention to macro liquidity and policy direction, such as changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, which have a direct impact on market trends.
Short-term Strategy: Market sentiment is cautious; avoid heavy positions or high-leverage operations. Medium to Long-term Strategy: If optimistic about the long-term prospects of the crypto market, consider gradually allocating small amounts, focusing on infrastructure and application projects. Risk Warning: Current volatility is high; closely monitor market news and capital flows, and strictly control positions and stop-losses.
BTC 91,519$ ▲ Bitcoin has stabilized at 91k after rebounding from 81k, but is still under pressure from the strong resistance zone of 98k–100k. A breakthrough will open up upward space; if unsuccessful, the probability of a retest at 85k–88k still exists.
ETH 3,000$ ▲ Slight rebound with BTC, but overall showing weak fluctuations. Upper resistance at 3,500; lower support at 2,850–2,900.
BNB 880$ → Maintaining sideways movement, strong support in the 830–860 range. BNB only has a chance to make another move if the market recovers its risk appetite.
SOL 136$ ▲▼ Significant volatility, still oscillating in the pressure zone. A breakthrough at 150 will be considered a real strength change; otherwise, a retest at 125–130 may still occur.
ZEC 468$ → Intense capital speculation, with short-term targets still looking at 480–490, but the risk of a pullback is not low. High volatility phases are suitable for quick in-and-out trading.
XRP 2.20$ → The key point is 2.22; if broken, further rebounds can be expected; if it drops below 2.17, there is a risk of continued decline.
Analysts predict that the price of Bitcoin may drop to $41,000 according to technical models.
Cryptocurrency analysts have identified a technical model showing that the price of Bitcoin could fall to $41,000, as indicated in the latest market analysis shared this week.
Cryptocurrency analyst Tony Severino stated on Wednesday that Bitcoin is forming a rare harmonic pattern on the weekly chart known as the "Shark" pattern. This pattern presents an ABCD harmonic structure, with a primary target at point "D", corresponding to a price of $41,000, as determined by Severino's chart analysis.
Severino pointed out that harmonic patterns are often based on specific Fibonacci ratios during the formation process. He noted that although the pattern indicates a potential downturn, traditionally, the Shark harmonic pattern is often seen as a bullish signal for price reversal when completed in the final stage.
Additionally, cryptocurrency analyst Ted Pillows released a technical analysis outlining bearish and bullish scenarios for Bitcoin, depending on short-term price movements. Pillows' forecast focuses on critical price levels that Bitcoin must reach to avoid further deep corrections.
According to Pillows' chart analysis, there are two possible scenarios:
If Bitcoin regains and maintains above the identified resistance zone, momentum may push the cryptocurrency to higher targets.
Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to break through the resistance zone, the price is expected to retreat to nearby support levels, and failure to hold these supports could lead to further market declines.
Analysis shows that Bitcoin has experienced some recovery after recent declines but is approaching the key resistance zone described by Pillows, which will determine the direction of the next price movement.
🔥 BTC (Bitcoin): 90,740 USD Dropped a bit, but is slowly rebounding, the market is still in wait-and-see mode.
💎 ETH (Ethereum): 3,026 USD DeFi & DApp activity is high, liquidity is stable, and short-term opportunities are worth attention.
🏦 BNB: 885 USD Binance trading is active, with high trading volume, a hard currency in the ecosystem.
🚀 SOL (Solana): 137 USD High-speed chain + low fees, a potential altcoin, bullish on the technical front.
💳 XRP: 2.19 USD Widely used in cross-border payments, attracting high institutional attention.
🌐 ZEC (Zcash): 460‑480 USD Representative of privacy coins, recent price fluctuations are significant, caution is needed for short-term observation.
💹💹💹 CoinShares halts 3 ETF projects, adjusting strategies for the US market. Large holding companies are under pressure, with some shifting towards staking & altcoins to reduce risks. BTC & ETH remain robust. Altcoins need to be selected carefully, focusing on capital flow and macro trends.
Why has ZEC dropped again recently? Is the ETF not saving the situation?
Brothers and sisters, have you noticed Zcash (ZEC) recently? It feels like it has lost its momentum. Clearly, Grayscale has just submitted the ZEC ETF filing, and more and more companies are loving it, yet the price continues to decline.
Currently, ZEC is around $470, having dropped 7.8% in the last 24 hours, and even worse this week, down 28%. But don't forget, it surged significantly in November, rising 37% in one month, so it's not too tragic.
Market enthusiasm is declining
Trading volume has started to cool down: Spot trading volume for the day is $740 million, down 25% from before. Derivative trading volume has decreased by 16%, and open interest has dropped by 4.5%. This means everyone is starting to hold back, and the market is a bit weak. Retail investors are chasing high prices while big players are gradually retreating, which is one reason for the price drop.
The ETF has not immediately boosted the market
Grayscale wants to convert the ZEC trust into the first U.S. spot ZEC ETF, trading on NYSE Arca, which sounds impressive, but the market is slow to warm up. Institutional interest has increased, but the price hasn't followed.
Moreover, companies are increasing their positions; for example, Reliance Global Group has converted its entire digital asset treasury into ZEC, selling off BTC, ETH, ADA, and XRP. They believe ZEC is the "most valuable privacy coin for the long term." Cypherpunk Technologies also increased their position by 200,000 ZEC this month, making the privacy chain camp increasingly lively.
Why is the price still dropping?
Simply put, the technical indicators tell us the market is fatigued. In November, ZEC soared, with the RSI exceeding 80, indicating it was clearly overheated. Then the price dropped out of the upward channel, breaking the symmetrical triangle. Retail investors chased futures at high prices, providing big players with the opportunity to close positions → hence, the price naturally came down.
On the technical chart, ZEC formed a double top at $780–800 and is now testing the $470 neckline. If it holds, it could rebound, but if it breaks, caution is advised.
Support and resistance + If it holds above $470 → it might rebound to $550–600, and breaking $600 would make it easier + If it breaks below $470 → the next support is at $450, and if it drops further, it could reach $420
Recently, although there are institutions and companies supporting ZEC, market enthusiasm is declining, and short-term volatility is high. If it holds support, there is a chance for a rebound; otherwise, it may continue to decline. Brothers and sisters trading ZEC, pay attention to your positions and risks, and avoid chasing high prices!
Recently, the price of Solana (SOL) suddenly skyrocketed, triggering a frenzy of purchases within the community. What is fueling this wave of FOMO?
🚀 1. Large capital flowing into the Solana ecosystem A large number of new projects, meme coins, NFTs, and games are active on Solana, with trading volumes being quite significant. Continuous capital inflow naturally drives up the price of SOL.
⚙️ 2. Solana network is fast and cheap Transaction fees are far lower than Ethereum, attracting traders, projects, and DeFi users → Increased demand → Price surge.
🔥 3. Large institutions quietly hoarding coins Many large wallets have started buying SOL, seen as a signal that the market is preparing for an upward trend.
💬 4. Community-driven hype KOLs, traders, and project parties continuously mention Solana → Information spread → FOMO sentiment is amplified.
⛽ 5. Ecosystem continues to expand Solana is not only a hub for meme coins but is also continuously growing in DeFi, AI, payments, and real-world applications in Web3.
XRP is about to face supply shortages and its impact on price fluctuations
Recently, multiple experts have warned that XRP may soon experience a situation of market supply tension, which could significantly affect its price fluctuations.
- The available inventory of XRP on multiple exchanges has significantly decreased, with many XRP being withdrawn to personal wallets or cold storage. - The actual circulating XRP is far below the total of 10 billion, as many XRP are locked or held for the long term. - Demand from institutions (such as ETFs or investment funds) may lead to an even tighter supply of tradable XRP.
Impact on price: - Price may rise rapidly: When demand exceeds supply, the price of XRP could increase significantly. - Increased volatility: With limited supply, even small-scale trades could trigger drastic price fluctuations. - Institutional/whale impact more evident: The actions of large investors can significantly affect market prices.
Long-term upward potential: If demand continues to grow and supply remains tight, XRP may maintain a long-term upward trend.