Can't rise! A certain boss's options + futures strategy (protective), with nearly 1K contracts opened, paying 32 biscuits in premiums, very bearish on the big pancake, expecting the big pancake to drop to around 40,000 mid-year.
Profit - big pancake to around 40K will yield huge profits. Risk - if it rises, all premiums will be lost, but if it plummets below 30K, it will start to incur huge losses...
Give me a rise! A certain boss's ETH spread order, with a total of 4,000 ETH opened, paying a premium of over 20 E coins, expecting ETH to rise moderately in the next 3 months.
Profit - In the most ideal scenario, rising to 2500 by the end of March and continuing to soar, making a fortune. Risk - ETH falls/sideways/small rise, net loss of premium.
A certain boss sold 2K ETH options at the end of April, receiving nearly 200 E tokens in premiums, expecting ETH will not fluctuate significantly, thus steadily earning premiums.
Profit - ETH maintains a profit around 1650-2450, keeping all premiums around 1950-2000. Risk - Significant rise/fall of ETH (2500/1600) will result in losses, buffer zone ±25%.
2026.3.6 US Stock Overview The non-farm payrolls disappoint, the economy is weak, oil prices surge + tariff uncertainty reignites, the S&P 500 index fell more than 2% this week, marking its worst weekly performance since October last year.
1. VIXY rose by 13.51%, closing at 34.45. It increased by 23.65% this week. 2. The S&P 500 index closed down 90.69 points, a decline of 1.33%, closing at 6740.02 points, with a cumulative decrease of 2.02% this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 453.19 points, a decline of 0.95%, closing at 47501.55 points, with a cumulative decrease of 3.01% this week. The Nasdaq closed down 361.307 points, a decline of 1.59%, closing at 22387.679 points, with a cumulative decrease of 1.24% this week. 3. Nvidia fell by 2.98%, Amazon fell by 2.66%, Meta fell by 2.3%, Tesla fell by 2.17%, Apple fell by 1.09%, Google A fell by 0.80%, Microsoft fell by 0.42%. 4. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.69%, closing at 6961.05 points, with a cumulative decrease of 4.35% this week. Among popular Chinese concept stocks, Global Data initially rose by 7.5%, JD.com rose by 6.1%, XPeng, Trip.com, NetEase, and Kingsoft Cloud rose up to 5.9%, Xiaomi rose by 3%, Meituan and Tencent rose over 2%, Alibaba rose by 0.4%. 5. WTI crude oil prices continue to surge nearly 16%, breaking through the $90 and $91 thresholds multiple times during the day. The cumulative increase for the week is 35%, marking the largest weekly increase in history. 6. Bitcoin fell by 4%, Ethereum fell by 4.6%, dropping below the $2000 threshold.
Will the wave come? Will the wave not come? Suspected that a certain boss has hedging orders in Bullish and Deribit, with an exercise price of 72000 at the end of April, a total of 1K BTC opened across platforms, confident that BTC will not move erratically before expiration.
Profit - BTC fluctuating between 65K-80K, small profit Risk - If BTC continues to move up/down to 100K or 30K, the losses could be quite frightening.
2026.3.5 US Stock Market Overview The Iran conflict escalates and spreads, with WTI crude oil soaring by 8%, breaking through $82, marking the largest single-day increase since May 2020.
1. VIXY closed up 6.38%, at 30.35. 2. The surge in oil prices raises inflation concerns, causing the three major US indices to decline. The S&P 500 index fell by 38.94 points, a decrease of 0.57%, closing at 6830.56 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 785.22 points, a decrease of 1.61%, closing at 47954.74 points. The Nasdaq fell by 58.49 points, a decrease of 0.26%, closing at 22748.99 points. 3. Nvidia closed up 0.16%. Microsoft rose by 1.35%, Amazon rose by 0.98%, Tesla fell by 0.10%, Google A fell by 0.74%, Apple fell by 0.85%, Meta fell by 1.07%. 4. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 1.4%. NIO fell by 2%, Bilibili fell by 7%. 5. Bitcoin is down nearly 3% to around $71,000.
Don't rise anymore! A certain boss's spread strategy, buying short and selling long, with a total of 1500 BTC options opened, hoping BTC does not rise quickly and stays below 80000.
Profit - If BTC price at expiration is <80000, keep all premiums. Risk - If it keeps rising, a recent rapid surge of BTC above 86000 will result in significant losses.
2026.3.4 US Stock Market Overview The strong economic data from the US overshadows the gloom of the Middle East war, ignoring the circuit breaker sentiment in the South Korean stock market, with all three major US stock indices rising.
1. VIXY closed down 3.39%, at 28.53. 2. The S&P 500 index closed up 52.87 points, an increase of 0.78%, at 6869.50 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 238.14 points, an increase of 0.49%, at 48739.41 points. The Nasdaq closed up 290.793 points, an increase of 1.29%, at 22807.484 points. 3. Amazon closed up 3.88%, Tesla rose 3.44%, Meta and Nvidia at least rose 1.66%, Microsoft rose 0.22%, Google A closed down 0.15%, and Apple fell 0.47%. 4. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed up 0.80%, at 7013.63 points. Among popular Chinese concept stocks, NIO rose 5.5%, Pony.ai, WeRide, and Xiaomi rose over 4%, New Oriental rose 2.7%, XPeng, NetEase, Tencent, and Meituan rose over 1%. 5. AI application software stocks strengthened, $Applovin (APP.US)$ rose over 10%, $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ rose over 4%. 6. Bitcoin rose 7.8%, strongly breaking through the $73,000 mark. Ethereum surged 11.7% at one point, breaking above $2,200.
It can't drop any further! A certain boss's spread strategy, with a total of 6000 ETH contracts opened, earning over 60 ETH in premiums, expecting that ETH won't crash too much in the first half of the year, and won't drop below 1400.
Profit - Maintain ETH above 1600, net all premiums. Risk - After March, if ETH starts to drop, it will be a big loss.
2026.3.3 US Stock Overview 1. VIXY rose by 4.64%, closing at 29.53. 2. The three major US indices rebounded in a V-shape, recovering most of the losses. The S&P 500 index fell by 64.99 points, down 0.94%, closing at 6816.63 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 403.51 points, down 0.83%, closing at 48501.27 points. The Nasdaq fell by 232.167 points, down 1.02%, closing at 22516.691 points. 3. Microsoft rose by 1.35%, Meta rose by 0.23%, Amazon rose by 0.16%, Apple fell by 0.37%, Google A fell by 0.96%, Nvidia fell by 1.33%, and Tesla fell by 2.70%. 4. TSMC ADR fell by 4.27%, AMD fell by 3.86%, and $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ fell by 1.56%. 5. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 3.34%, closing at 6958.04 points. Among popular Chinese concept stocks, Kingsoft Cloud fell by 8.3%, JinkoSolar fell by 8%, Pony.ai fell by 7.5%, Xpeng fell by 6.7%, Xiaomi fell by 5.2%, and Alibaba fell by 4.9%. 6. Gold prices plunged over 4%, briefly dropping below $5000. Silver once plummeted over 12%. 7. Bitcoin stood at $68,000, and Ethereum approached $2,000.
If it rises, sell! A certain boss sold 86000 naked calls (covered) at the end of March, with a total opening of over 2,000 BTC contracts, earning nearly 10 BTC in premiums, expecting that BTC will not soar above 86000 (25%) by the end of March.
Profit - If the BTC price at expiration is below 86000, net all premiums received. Risk - If BTC suddenly soars above 86000, the spot is gone...
2026.3.2 US Stock Market Overview 1. VIXY closed up 1.29%, at 28.22. 2. The V reversed, with the three major US stock indices mixed. The S&P 500 index closed up 2.74 points, a gain of 0.04%, at 6881.62 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 73.14 points, a decline of 0.15%, at 48904.78 points. The Nasdaq closed up 80.646 points, a gain of 0.36%, at 22748.857 points. 3. Nvidia rose 2.93%, Microsoft rose 1.48%, Meta rose 0.83%, Tesla and Apple rose 0.20%, Amazon fell 0.77%, Google A fell 1.68%. 4. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed down 1.08%, at 7198.52 points. Among popular Chinese concept stocks, Kingsoft Cloud fell 4.9%, Zai Lab and Xiaomi fell 4.1%, WeRide, Meituan, Vipshop, and Global Data fell at most 3.6%. 5. Bitcoin surged over 5%, approaching 70000 USD again, while Ethereum rose 6%.
The wave is coming! A certain boss's ultra-short-term volatility strategy, with a total of 4,000 ETH options opened, paying a premium of 64E. It is expected that ETH will experience significant fluctuations in the next 3-4 days this week, ideally around ±10%.
Profit - If ETH breaks through 2150 or falls below 1850, the profit will be delightful. Risk - If ETH falls between 1900 and 2100, all premiums will be lost.
It still can't rise! A certain boss has a combination of options and futures at the end of March, with over 7000 contracts opened, earning premiums of more than 20 BTC, expecting BTC to decline slightly.
Profit - slight drop around 60K, net premium income. Risk - if BTC rises sharply above 70K, losses will expand.
2026.2.27 US Stock Overview 1. VIXY rose by 3.92%, closing at 27.86. 2. The three major US stock indices fell collectively. The S&P 500 index dropped by 29.98 points, a decrease of 0.43%, closing at 6878.88 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 521.28 points, a decrease of 1.05%, closing at 48977.92 points. The Nasdaq dropped by 210.171 points, a decrease of 0.92%, closing at 22668.212 points. 3. Google A rose by 1.42%, Amazon increased by 1.00%, Meta fell by 1.34%, Tesla dropped by 1.49%, Microsoft declined by 2.24%, Apple fell by 3.21%, and Nvidia decreased by 4.16%. The Magnificent 7 index fell by 1.83%, closing at 193.36 points, with a cumulative decline of 2.18% this week and a cumulative decline of 6.57% in February. 4. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 1.81%, closing at 7277.39 points, with a cumulative decline of 3.61% this week and a cumulative decline of 5.88% in February. In popular Chinese concept stocks, NIO fell by 4%, Alibaba dropped by 2.6%, and New Oriental, Li Auto, JD.com, WeRide, Pinduoduo, Xiaopeng, and others fell by more than 1%. 5. Dell Technologies (DELL.US) released a strong earnings outlook due to a surge in AI server orders, with its stock price soaring approximately 22% against the trend. 6. Spot gold rose by 1.8%, quickly surged after breaking the $5200 mark, and approached $5300 at the end, marking the seventh consecutive month of increase. Silver also surged over 6%, rising for the tenth consecutive month with a monthly increase of 10%. 7. Bitcoin price dropped by 3%. Ethereum fell over 5%, dropping below the $2000 mark. Bitcoin has fallen for the fifth consecutive month.
Let's do it! A certain boss's big pancake naked trade, a call option for 75000 at the end of March, opened with 1000 lots at noon, and now after a drop, added another 2000 lots, paying nearly 50 BTC in premiums…… Confident that BTC will rebound more than 10,000 points in the next month.
Profit - BTC will exceed 76000 to start earning. Risk - if it doesn't reach the point, lose all the premium.
2026.2.26 US Stock Overview 1. VIXY rose by 1.02%, closing at 26.81. 2. The three major U.S. stock indexes showed mixed results. The S&P 500 index fell by 37.27 points, a decline of 0.54%, closing at 6908.85 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 17.05 points, an increase of 0.03%, closing at 49499.20 points. The Nasdaq fell by 273.694 points, a decline of 1.18%, closing at 22878.383 points. 3. Meta rose by 0.51%, Microsoft rose by 0.28%, Apple fell by 0.47%, Amazon fell by 1.29%, Google A fell by 1.76%, Tesla fell by 2.11%, and Nvidia fell by 5.46%. 4. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 1.78%, closing at 7411.36 points. Among popular Chinese concept stocks, Baidu fell by 5.6%, BYD fell by 4.2%, Meituan fell by 3.2%, Li Auto fell by 3%, and Alibaba fell by 2.8%. 5. The price of Bitcoin fell over 2%, dropping below the $68,000 mark. Ethereum fell by 3.5%, briefly dropping below $2,000 during the day.
Naked dry! A certain boss's second pancake call at 3400 at the end of March, with a total of 2500 contracts opened, each at 3 USD, betting that ETH will slightly rise to 3400 (+70%) within a month.
Profit - If ETH breaks 3400 at the end of March, huge profits. Risk - Naked dry, if ETH does not rise, lose all premiums.
2026.2.25 US Stock Overview 1. VIXY fell by 3.77%, closing at 26.54. 2. The three major US indices rose for two consecutive days. The S&P 500 index closed up 56.06 points, an increase of 0.81%, closing at 6946.13 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 307.65 points, an increase of 0.63%, closing at 49482.15 points. The Nasdaq closed up 288.396 points, an increase of 1.26%, closing at 23152.077 points. 3. Microsoft rose by 2.99%, Meta rose by 2.25%, Tesla rose by 1.94%, Nvidia rose by 1.44%, Amazon rose by 1%, Apple rose by 0.77%, Google A rose by 0.66%. 4. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.47%, closing at 7545.55 points. Among popular Chinese concept stocks, Atlassian Solar fell by 5.3%, New Oriental fell by 5.1%, Daqo New Energy fell by 2.9%, XPeng fell by 2.7%, Global Data fell by 2.4%, Alibaba and Tencent fell by about 0.5% at most. 5. $Circle (CRCL.US)$ surged by 35.33%, creating the largest single-day increase since June 5, with the company's fourth-quarter financial report exceeding expectations. 6. Bitcoin soared nearly 8%, returning to the $70,000 mark, creating the second-largest single-day increase since March last year. Ethereum skyrocketed by 13%, returning above $2000.
Bullish on a certain boss's ultra-short-term hedge, with a total of 750 BTC PUTs opened, expecting BTC will not rebound significantly to 80000 in the next 2 days.
Profit - Break-even point around 64000, the more it drops, the more profit. Risk - BTC rebound may incur losses.