On the past Monday, I completely closed all positions of the recently much-watched $LITE. If I review this operation from a hindsight perspective, I can indeed identify shortcomings, especially since the asset recorded a 10% increase on Tuesday. However, there has never been a perfect trade in the investment market; as long as each buy and sell strictly adheres to the trading standards I set, that is sufficient.
Here, I would also like to reiterate the bottom line for holding assets like SNDK and LITE: once the price falls below the established defense line, one must decisively exit the market, avoiding any unrealistic fantasies. Reflecting on the recent market trends, I feel quite scared. The current U.S. stock market environment is very different from the past; many of the original operating logic and supporting reasons seem to have been artificially disrupted and interfered with, becoming particularly absent and elusive.
To cope with the current complex market situation, I have started establishing short positions for risk hedging since yesterday, and the main strategy going forward will be to remain patient and continue to wait for more stable mid-term layout opportunities.
In the past few days, the decline of storage stocks like SNDK and MU seems to be influenced by the TurboQuant paper.
Technically, whether it can be realized is another matter (it is said that the paper saves extremely expensive video memory, not SSDs installed in data centers in bulk, and the main profits of SNDK, WDC, and MU come from NAND flash memory).
That said, even if there really is an influence, the Jevons Paradox in economics tells us that when the efficiency of a certain resource is improved, its consumption will actually increase due to a significant expansion of demand. For example, if we can compress by 6 times, developers will not be satisfied with saving 5/6 of the cost; instead, they will tend to provide a context that is 6 times longer (for example, expanding from 128K to 1M or even more), which will stimulate an increase in market demand.
In addition, the greatest significance of TurboQuant is that it allows large models that could only run in the cloud to operate on end devices such as smartphones and computers. This means that the end-side storage products of SNDK/WDC (mobile flash memory, consumer-grade SSDs) may trigger a new round of specification upgrade demand driven by AI smartphones/PCs.
Of course, ultimately it depends on the market. If the key point drawn by the dumb cat is broken, it means that the market consensus does not think so, and one should not hold fantasies. Everything should be based on data and trend turning points.
Hello everyone, let me update you on our discussion regarding $CIEN from January this year. So far, the cumulative increase of this asset has successfully exceeded 80%. Personally, although my overall position is not very large, I still insist on keeping this investment after experiencing a series of position adjustments during this time.
Analyzing the current market trend, there is no obvious selling pressure resistance above the price, and the overall trend still has sufficient momentum to continue to expand upwards. In the upcoming operational strategy, you can set 386.25 as the preferred first buying position. At the same time, I would like to remind everyone to pay attention to risk management. If the market shows a pullback and directly breaks this key level, it would mean that the original upward pattern has been damaged, and at that time, please be sure to take decisive profit-taking measures to protect existing profits.
Thank you very much to this friend for their trust in us. In this era of extreme popularity of artificial intelligence, our team has always adhered to the principle of being represented by real people, relying on real data sources, and diligently carrying out every step of logical reasoning. This solid approach not only withstands the test of the market but also endures the long-term scrutiny of time. In fact, since the launch of the Ben Cat Weibo in 2009, every professional leap and personal growth we have experienced has a clear historical imprint.
We have never dared to claim that our strength is outstanding because every peer has a unique output style and corresponding audience, and the starting point for everyone willing to openly share their experiences must be sincere. For us, compared to purely pursuing profits, we place more importance on whether we can help everyone avoid even a single fatal mistake at critical moments in the market.
Here, we sincerely invite like-minded friends to join us. It is undeniable that the long road of investment trading requires each participant to explore on their own, but on the path forward, everyone supports each other and supervises and progresses together within a scientific cognitive framework, which is definitely an important reliance to help everyone successfully reach the shore of success.
The callback that everyone has been waiting for has finally begun. Just this Tuesday morning, the $CRCL price fell sharply, directly breaking through the 8-day momentum dividing line set by the silly cat last week. I wonder if everyone managed to withdraw in time?
The core trigger point for today's significant market decline is the revised version of the "CLARITY Act" bill jointly promoted by both parties in the U.S. Senate. This version strictly prohibits stablecoin issuers from distributing profits or interest to holders in any direct or indirect form, completely blocking the gray path for issuers to earn interest differentials. Considering the need to prevent deposit outflows, powerful lobbying groups from large banks have provided major support for this revision, increasing its probability of final approval to about 80%.
What we should focus on now is whether this ban completely deprives USDC of its interest-paying ability, and how much of its appeal it can retain for ordinary users. Especially in 2026, when RWA interest-bearing tokens are expected to explode, the lack of interest returns will directly lead to a significant decline in users' motivation to deposit funds.
Silly cat believes that the biggest risk hidden here is that if $CRCL wants to avoid the negative backlash from the disappearance of USDC's interest differential, it may have to force itself to fully transform into a pure financial company. However, the market's valuation logic is very realistic; investors are willing to give high-growth tech platforms extremely high valuation premiums, but once it is classified as a traditional financial instrument, its valuation system will quickly revert to the normal range of traditional financial stocks, which is a PE of 10-15x. By that time, the high valuation imagination space will instantly collapse.
In the face of such a big drop in the market, the prudent approach is to patiently observe for three days. Regardless of how the subsequent developments unfold, the price correction we have been looking forward to has indeed arrived.
The recent market trends have indeed left people feeling very exhausted, as it seems that in the past, there was rarely a need to be as attentive as now. Due to consuming too much energy responding to the market yesterday, I have sold off the majority of my positions. Therefore, on this Tuesday, I decided to pause trading to give myself a break, and temporarily maintaining a wait-and-see attitude is also a good choice. At present, I plan to calm down and patiently wait for the market to release clearer directional signals.
Looking back at the specific operational trajectory of the past few trading days, the general situation is as follows: last Thursday, near the close, there was an unexpected rapid surge in the market, so I took the opportunity to reduce my position size. Then on Friday, the market experienced a significant drop, but due to a strong recovery in the late trading stage that reached my set holding standard, I ultimately chose to hold on. By Monday, as soon as the market opened, it welcomed a rise, and I immediately took the opportunity to clear my positions within the first hour after the market opened. All the trading actions mentioned above have complete records available for review on platform X.
In fact, the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers in the market is just like the changes in weather in nature. A sunny day is the perfect time to go fishing, while during harsh weather, it’s better to stay at home and rest, going with the flow is sufficient.
Additionally, I would like to add that the core market hotspots I summarized for everyone a few days ago remain unchanged, with the focus of major funds still concentrated on the previously mentioned key sectors.
On Monday, the stock index opened high and then retraced. We took profits after the market opened. For SNDK, the profit-taking point was at the intraday high, and for LITE, it was the second highest~
Note that the market is currently very unstable, each stock behaves differently, and it is easy for them to turn against you. We updated our members' exclusive outlook for the 2026 US stock market and BTC over the weekend, providing target prices and minimum retracement levels. The characteristics of the fluctuations in these two weeks will become the norm for the 2026 US stock market; buy and hold strategies may easily fail!
On Monday, the stock index opened high and then retraced. We took profits after the market opened; for SNDK, the profit-taking point was at the intraday high, and LITE was the second highest~
Note that the overall market is very unstable right now, with each stock behaving unpredictably. Over the weekend, we updated the member-exclusive outlook for the US stock market and BTC for 2026, providing target prices and minimum retracement points. The characteristics of the fluctuations in these two weeks will become the norm for the US stock market in 2026.
In the weekend update of the Youtube US stock weekly review program, I have provided a very clear analysis regarding why we maintained long positions last Friday, as well as the detailed logic behind the final decision to hold SNDK and LITE. In our actual operations, we only need to strictly adhere to the objective standards of technical analysis and try to avoid mixing in personal subjective emotions to over-interpret. This is the warm reminder I want to share with everyone today.
Unconscious Decision-Making: The Supreme Realm of Life and Trading
Recently, I happened to revisit the *Tao Te Ching* and read a saying: "The highest virtue is not virtuous, hence it has virtue. The lowest virtue does not lose virtue, hence it has no virtue." This philosophical statement instantly enlightened me, serving as a top-level guiding principle for investment trading and daily life.
In the eyes of the clumsy cat, the so-called highest virtue is like an invisible elephant, a natural expression that conforms to instinct without leaving traces. Projecting this concept into the trading field means we do not need to distort our true selves in pursuit of substantial profits. When you no longer cling to gains and losses, you can instead navigate effortlessly, maintaining a light and free state.
In contrast, the lowest virtue represents a deliberate obsession. Although at this stage, people also set up complete trading systems and execution rules, they often struggle during operations due to their inability to truly align with their inner feelings. This state not only makes the rules superficial but can also cause one to lose their sense of direction amid the ups and downs, ultimately losing intuition and spirituality.
Whether facing the market's drastic fluctuations or the ups and downs of life, this classic quote possesses a strong practical guiding value. We can explore this in several dimensions:
First, the highest trading logic, like true virtue, has long been internalized into personal intuition and instinct, which is the realm of highest virtue. In actual operations, such traders do not need to struggle in rigid frameworks but can go with the flow, displaying an extremely stable mental core and a calm demeanor. In contrast, those who constantly calculate risks and rigidly imitate industry masters are in the stage of lowest virtue. They often become cumbersome in their actions due to an excessive obsession with "not losing" or "following the rules," making it easier for them to lose direction in the market's turbulence.
Second, when a person's trading motivation is no longer to prove their intelligence to the outside world, they can be considered to truly possess the wisdom to manage wealth. This is akin to the principle revealed by Laozi: the more you deliberately try to grasp something and show a posture of "not losing virtue," the more likely you are to lose the true nature of things.
In summary, the clumsy cat believes that the "virtue" mentioned here is not the moral norms in our daily context, nor the social labels imposed by the outside world, but a natural manifestation after personal cultivation reaches a certain stage. This realm requires us to root ourselves at the bottom, mastering solid factual arguments and hardcore logic, while also growing upward in mindset, pursuing a light and unrestrained state of living.
Everyone needs to stay highly vigilant about the recent market, as the deterioration of various data in the US stock market this Friday is quite severe. Looking back at Thursday's market, there was a rapid surge in the closing stage that lacked logical support. Based on this abnormal rise, I decisively executed a day trade profit-taking operation at that time. Surprisingly, the market trend on Friday continued to weaken. Even more rare was the structural low signal triggered at 9:58 AM Eastern Time, which surprisingly lost effectiveness after nearly 4 hours, a situation I had never experienced before.
Old friends who have been following the clumsy cat should be aware that the structural low tips released in the past have had a very high accuracy rate. However, this indicator encountered a failure on Friday, marking the first exception in over two years.
I've seen it all again, the silly cat has some floating profit on LITE, but the stop-loss bottom line is 700. It broke that on Friday, and 12 minutes before the close at 3:48 PM Eastern Time, the position was explained that LITE broke 700 but stayed above the 8-day line, allowing for 50% position to remain. As soon as I finished saying that, it shot straight up and broke 700, closing at 705.75...
I estimate I will be proven wrong on Monday... But according to the chart, there's nothing I can do. The 8-day line hasn't been breached, and 700 has held, so I can only stick to the discipline.
The market is very strange, with many contradictory indicators; it seems like something is brewing here. Specifically, let's analyze the weekly US stock recap on YouTube this week. See you later!
Last Thursday, the U.S. stock market experienced a sudden and rapid surge without any warning during trading hours. Fortunately, the quantitative model that our team is currently testing has accurately captured this market anomaly.
This progress can largely be attributed to the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technology, which has provided us with unprecedented convenience and agility in testing complex quantitative models. Nevertheless, I, as a cautious observer, remain clear-headed. I have never believed in the illusion that stable profits can be achieved solely through a single AI technology because the core essence of trading always lies in humanity's profound insights into the objective laws of the market.
Thinking back to the year before last, in order to address the data outsourcing needs of the quantitative model and the expansion of our team, I was engulfed in extreme anxiety, even making several trips back home to interview potential teams. At that time, if a senior had been willing to provide strategic investment, and I had chosen to compromise with capital, I would likely have ended up on the traditional business track of continuous financing, reckless spending, and blind expansion. I remember someone strongly recommending that I bring in a big name from the industry as a partner, but the moment we made contact, they demanded to recruit dozens of employees immediately. This typical approach of securing financing first and then continuously pursuing scale seemed utterly unappealing to me. I had just managed to extricate myself from those complicated business models and returned to the pure world of trading, how could I possibly fall into the same trap again? However, if I had stubbornly insisted on my views at that time, I would likely have had to completely abandon the original intention of exploring quantitative trading.
Fortunately, at this critical juncture of dilemma, AI technology made a breakthrough. Thanks to this, our current team is now fully capable of meeting demands without the need for additional personnel, and the heavy pressure from data outsourcing has also been significantly alleviated. While this may not completely turn the tide, it has indeed lifted a great burden off our shoulders.
This experience inevitably reminds one of the terrible old days of 2017. Back then, I could only go to various labor outsourcing platforms, break down the entire trading system into many scattered modules, and then seek different Indian programmers in batches to help write the underlying systems and codes. Today, it truly feels like a world apart; looking back at the hardships of the past, I can only deeply thank this great era.
Today's market sentiment can be described as extremely enthusiastic, with the U.S. stock market showing a very obvious polarization trend. In such a large environment, if one cannot precisely track the core targets that funds are focusing on, investment accounts will inevitably face great risks and pressures.
This also confirms our previous strategic tips: everyone must strictly control the holding ratio of old stocks within 35% to free up the main energy to track the current popular sectors.
Dear friends, please remember in your recent operations that the absolute core of capital speculation at this stage is concentrated in the storage and optical communication sectors, which is the key focus of the current market layout. Following closely is the secondary focus on Bitcoin-related concepts, which are also worth everyone's high attention.
At the beginning of the market, the rhythm was quite tight, and everyone was busy and anxious. At this time, our trading robot quickly executed a long position and clearly provided trading tips regarding snkd and lite. These two assets play the role of momentum stocks in the market and are key to the current rally of the bulls. If they fail to stabilize their footing, it can basically be determined that the buying power has started to leave the market.
Meanwhile, the coin completed a touch test on the 21-day moving average. This trend has created a very standard moving average buy node for everyone.
In the market on Wednesday, $SNDK achieved a 4.65% increase. After the market opened, the Lazy Cat timely provided left-side trading suggestions, advising everyone to liquidate 70% of their positions, mainly because the established profit target had been successfully reached at that time, which completely aligns with the logic of left-side trading. Although the asset continued to rise afterwards, we maintained our composure and did not change our strategy. Subsequently, during the pre-market trading session on Thursday, its price experienced a drop of more than 5%.
Regarding the upcoming trend, it is recommended to closely observe the operational momentum of this asset and when it releases a stabilization signal. This is crucial because it is closely related to the overall condition of the market's capital situation. Therefore, regardless of whether you are currently directly involved in the buying and selling of this asset, it should be regarded as an important reference indicator and formally incorporated into your daily market analysis and assessment system.
Today our team is conducting tests on two quantitative trading robots. The situation is very interesting; one of the robots, which is open to the club, has not generated any trades throughout the entire day. On the other hand, the robot tested by the data company completely stopped all buying and selling actions after 2 PM.
From an objective perspective, the performance of both is indeed an excellent example of protecting investment principal. They perfectly embody the principle of never entering the market blindly in the absence of strong market signals, thereby effectively avoiding various meaningless capital erosion.
This year, crude oil prices have roughly risen by 70%, and this significant increase inevitably reminds one of Buffett's investment layout. Since 2022, he has frequently purchased related assets and continued to increase his holdings during the period from 2024 to 2025. However, in 2024, this sector experienced a 15% pullback, at one point becoming a prominent loss on Berkshire's books. During that phase, many voices mocked him for his advanced age, and some analysts publicly criticized him, believing he completely misstepped the timing of his entry.
Looking back now, this matter perfectly explains why there is always only one Buffett in the world; his outstanding investment performance speaks for itself. In the field of trading, the most top-level foresight and strategies are often the rarest, and this wisdom that transcends cycles is indeed difficult for the general public to truly comprehend.
Share a few core concepts about trading with everyone.
First of all, truly mature trading does not rely on precise predictions of future trends; the key lies in whether you can effectively implement response strategies based on the actual fluctuations of the market. In this process, patiently holding onto assets or quietly observing changes is also a very important operational step. The reason we are willing to spend time waiting is to allow higher certainty opportunities to gradually emerge over enough time.
Secondly, understanding risk management is equally crucial. Proper risk control is not meant to limit everyone's potential for profit; its true core purpose is to ensure that we can safely survive in this market for the long term. Remember, the financial market never rewards those who impulsively go all in based on emotions; it ultimately only returns generous rewards to those steadfast long-term believers.
Ultimately, what we need to do every day is to persist in executing those correct and reasonable trading decisions. As long as we do the right things, the rest of the work and the final profits can be entrusted to time to slowly brew.
Seeing $SNDK maintaining a strong upward momentum during the pre-market period this Wednesday is indeed impressive. This once again confirms a practical trading experience, which is that it is very necessary to combine the analysis results of machine programs with personal judgment standards for mutual verification. Looking back at the previous situation, the exclusive tool Zen Point Indicator we provided to members clearly issued a daily-level buy signal on March 9. Since that day until now, the system has not given any sell signals. During this period, the price of the asset has risen from the initial $519 all the way to the current pre-market $730. Facing such a brilliant performance, it indeed leaves one almost speechless with joy.