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BTB投研-中南
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BTB投研-中南

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BTC Holder
BTC Holder
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260209|Reflections on Trading in the Crypto Circle in the First Quarter After Transitioning from AdvertisingAs someone from the original advertising and media industry, I entered the circle on November 18, 2025, to brush up on alpha airdrops, bought spot at 106,000, and then sold at 116,000 in a muddled way (at that time I had no understanding and didn't realize that 126,000 was actually the peak of this bull market). Just like Pandora's box, I tried the contract independently again. Fortunately, my math is not bad, and I've played a lot of Texas Hold'em, so I have a strong awareness of risk management and position management, including trading frequency (the entry rate in Texas Hold'em). At first, I only opened full positions at 2x, then made some small profits, and then moved to 5x, 10x, 50x. Of course, I didn't go all in later, and I was afraid of losing a lot of money, so I set stop losses. I have never been liquidated on a contract, which is still quite lucky; I didn't encounter a black swan event when opening positions.

260209|Reflections on Trading in the Crypto Circle in the First Quarter After Transitioning from Advertising

As someone from the original advertising and media industry, I entered the circle on November 18, 2025, to brush up on alpha airdrops, bought spot at 106,000, and then sold at 116,000 in a muddled way (at that time I had no understanding and didn't realize that 126,000 was actually the peak of this bull market).
Just like Pandora's box, I tried the contract independently again. Fortunately, my math is not bad, and I've played a lot of Texas Hold'em, so I have a strong awareness of risk management and position management, including trading frequency (the entry rate in Texas Hold'em).
At first, I only opened full positions at 2x, then made some small profits, and then moved to 5x, 10x, 50x. Of course, I didn't go all in later, and I was afraid of losing a lot of money, so I set stop losses. I have never been liquidated on a contract, which is still quite lucky; I didn't encounter a black swan event when opening positions.
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Gear Up for Q3 | We're at a Deciding Stage1. Macro. We're about to kick off Q3, marking the start of June. Next up, let's keep an eye on a few key things. 1. This is Wash's first time chairing an FOMC meeting. This sets the stage for pricing in future liquidity expectations. First off, the latest PPI and PCE core inflation data are showing some rebounds. The numbers are sticky, so in the short term, they don't really move the market much—definitely not the main factors driving bullish or bearish sentiment. Long-term, high inflation isn’t a good look, so the market is pricing in expectations of no rate cuts and some risks of hikes. Wash's monetary policy has two core points:

Gear Up for Q3 | We're at a Deciding Stage

1. Macro.
We're about to kick off Q3, marking the start of June. Next up, let's keep an eye on a few key things.
1. This is Wash's first time chairing an FOMC meeting.
This sets the stage for pricing in future liquidity expectations.
First off, the latest PPI and PCE core inflation data are showing some rebounds. The numbers are sticky, so in the short term, they don't really move the market much—definitely not the main factors driving bullish or bearish sentiment. Long-term, high inflation isn’t a good look, so the market is pricing in expectations of no rate cuts and some risks of hikes.
Wash's monetary policy has two core points:
🎙️ Let's chat about the recent market action~
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I was chatting with @Ebnstein last Friday. I forgot to整理 my thoughts in an article based on the chart. I completely agree with Coach Ai; we might hit around 68K this week. I'm a ninja turtle! Hahaha, actually 672 is a solid spot for a短, but I’m just sitting tight, hahaha $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
I was chatting with @Crypto-爱币斯坦 last Friday.
I forgot to整理 my thoughts in an article based on the chart.
I completely agree with Coach Ai; we might hit around 68K this week.

I'm a ninja turtle! Hahaha, actually 672 is a solid spot for a短, but I’m just sitting tight, hahaha $BTC
Besides the long-term position of $BTC in spot trading, I'm currently in a cash position, waiting for the big move to kick in! It's a bit boring – time for some entertainment. Tonight, I'm eyeing a spike up to 67277.74. Although the daily chart shows a MACD divergence, it's totally normal to see a bounce from here. From both price action and structure, we've broken away from the weak trend and are seeing a rebound. It's worth noting that this time breaking 6 doesn't come close to the volume we saw when we dropped to the 60k mark. Plus, this week's rebound has been on diminishing volume, so we need to stay alert. I'm marking resistance at 672 and 678; beyond that, I don't see much for now. However, if we can hold above 67K in the next few days, we could easily shoot for 70k, but honestly, I’m not too optimistic about that. I'm not too bullish on #沃什 's first FOMC, and don't forget about tomorrow's Japanese interest rate decision. On the downside, keep an eye on 636. MicroStrategy has bought 1587 Bitcoins, investing around 100 million USD, with an average buy-in price around 63K.
Besides the long-term position of $BTC in spot trading, I'm currently in a cash position, waiting for the big move to kick in! It's a bit boring – time for some entertainment. Tonight, I'm eyeing a spike up to 67277.74.

Although the daily chart shows a MACD divergence, it's totally normal to see a bounce from here. From both price action and structure, we've broken away from the weak trend and are seeing a rebound.

It's worth noting that this time breaking 6 doesn't come close to the volume we saw when we dropped to the 60k mark. Plus, this week's rebound has been on diminishing volume, so we need to stay alert.

I'm marking resistance at 672 and 678; beyond that, I don't see much for now. However, if we can hold above 67K in the next few days, we could easily shoot for 70k, but honestly, I’m not too optimistic about that.

I'm not too bullish on #沃什 's first FOMC, and don't forget about tomorrow's Japanese interest rate decision.

On the downside, keep an eye on 636. MicroStrategy has bought 1587 Bitcoins, investing around 100 million USD, with an average buy-in price around 63K.
$BTC based on the previous chart prediction it might quickly reach around 672... The bullish news from the US and Iran came in fast, but it was expected I was already satisfied with the long position from 618 to 656 I took a small short at 659 and bailed out early Now there's tail risk involved Just waiting, waiting, waiting ⌛️ {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC based on the previous chart prediction
it might quickly reach around 672...

The bullish news from the US and Iran came in fast, but it was expected
I was already satisfied with the long position from 618 to 656
I took a small short at 659 and bailed out early

Now there's tail risk involved
Just waiting, waiting, waiting ⌛️
BTB投研-中南
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$BTC #日本加息 #fomc All the thoughts are in the charts.
Not sure if you all have noticed,
that in choppy markets, there's always news to keep us on our toes.

But in a true trending market,
it's often just a drop followed by news to rationalize it.
You barely have time to react, unless you’ve already done your homework and prepared for it.

I won’t stubbornly hold; I maintain a no-risk position and adjust immediately if the situation turns.

Short-term support has moved up to around 620.
Let’s see if the upcoming resistance can continue to push for a breakout.

DYOR
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC According to the previous plan, the phase of trading has temporarily ended. Long positions at 618, taking profit in batches up to 656. In between, I entered a short at 646, anticipating a small pullback, and also took profit in batches. Data over the past week has been pretty solid! Hoping to keep the momentum going. Currently, based on the weekly and daily close, I'm looking at a short-term pullback. If we pull back and don't break below 636, there's a possibility we could aim for around 670. For now, I'm expecting a bounce rather than a reversal. Things have been a bit hectic lately, so I'm taking it easy and skipping the weekly analysis recap article. 🤗 If you're looking to systematically learn about secondary research and trading, feel free to follow: @chinachen614913 @Ebnstein . Live recap this Sunday at 10:00 AM, and weekly live sharing on Tuesday and Saturday evenings at 21:30.
$BTC According to the previous plan, the phase of trading has temporarily ended. Long positions at 618, taking profit in batches up to 656. In between, I entered a short at 646, anticipating a small pullback, and also took profit in batches.

Data over the past week has been pretty solid!
Hoping to keep the momentum going.

Currently, based on the weekly and daily close, I'm looking at a short-term pullback. If we pull back and don't break below 636, there's a possibility we could aim for around 670. For now, I'm expecting a bounce rather than a reversal.

Things have been a bit hectic lately, so I'm taking it easy and skipping the weekly analysis recap article. 🤗

If you're looking to systematically learn about secondary research and trading, feel free to follow: @BTB投研 @Crypto-爱币斯坦 . Live recap this Sunday at 10:00 AM, and weekly live sharing on Tuesday and Saturday evenings at 21:30.
BTB投研-中南
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$BTC #日本加息 #fomc All the thoughts are in the charts.
Not sure if you all have noticed,
that in choppy markets, there's always news to keep us on our toes.

But in a true trending market,
it's often just a drop followed by news to rationalize it.
You barely have time to react, unless you’ve already done your homework and prepared for it.

I won’t stubbornly hold; I maintain a no-risk position and adjust immediately if the situation turns.

Short-term support has moved up to around 620.
Let’s see if the upcoming resistance can continue to push for a breakout.

DYOR
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC got really lucky! Thanks to the market for the easy gains!\nClosed some long positions at 646! Holding on!\nPlacing a short at 646 for a quick profit grab!\n\nBut still gotta keep an eye on the mid-term trend, which is likely still bullish, so don’t blindly go short!\n\nI hit take profit on the long and opened the short purely by luck, didn’t see that coming – but I did have the prediction!\n\nDYOR\n{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC got really lucky! Thanks to the market for the easy gains!\nClosed some long positions at 646! Holding on!\nPlacing a short at 646 for a quick profit grab!\n\nBut still gotta keep an eye on the mid-term trend, which is likely still bullish, so don’t blindly go short!\n\nI hit take profit on the long and opened the short purely by luck, didn’t see that coming – but I did have the prediction!\n\nDYOR\n
BTB投研-中南
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$BTC Long position still holding
Let's recap why we can keep holding
First off, the 4H chart has shown a higher low, and we've tested the 610 area three times now.
Now we need to see if we can print a 4H high that's above 642.

Previously, my first marker for the overhead resistance was 630–633.
As long as the 4H candle breaks through, it indicates a resistance breakout.
Even though we had a few hours of sideways action afterward,
it doesn't change the fact that, in my framework, the short-term trend is upward.

Currently, the support has already shifted up to around 625–627.
Key focus on the 642 resistance; it's likely to face strong pressure and then pull back to around 628–630. If it holds, we might continue to consolidate upward.

Key upward markers: 647, 652, 658.
66 and 67 are not visible for now.
$HYPE It's good that I set up alerts for the ranges and levels, otherwise I would have forgotten. Stick to your trading plan, execute decisively, and don't let those shorts go to waste.
$HYPE It's good that I set up alerts for the ranges and levels, otherwise I would have forgotten.
Stick to your trading plan, execute decisively, and don't let those shorts go to waste.
$BTC Long position second partial exit, holding a risk-free position and continuing to wait. High probability of facing resistance around 647. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC Long position second partial exit, holding a risk-free position and continuing to wait. High probability of facing resistance around 647.
BTB投研-中南
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$BTC Long position still holding
Let's recap why we can keep holding
First off, the 4H chart has shown a higher low, and we've tested the 610 area three times now.
Now we need to see if we can print a 4H high that's above 642.

Previously, my first marker for the overhead resistance was 630–633.
As long as the 4H candle breaks through, it indicates a resistance breakout.
Even though we had a few hours of sideways action afterward,
it doesn't change the fact that, in my framework, the short-term trend is upward.

Currently, the support has already shifted up to around 625–627.
Key focus on the 642 resistance; it's likely to face strong pressure and then pull back to around 628–630. If it holds, we might continue to consolidate upward.

Key upward markers: 647, 652, 658.
66 and 67 are not visible for now.
$BTC Long position still holding Let's recap why we can keep holding First off, the 4H chart has shown a higher low, and we've tested the 610 area three times now. Now we need to see if we can print a 4H high that's above 642. Previously, my first marker for the overhead resistance was 630–633. As long as the 4H candle breaks through, it indicates a resistance breakout. Even though we had a few hours of sideways action afterward, it doesn't change the fact that, in my framework, the short-term trend is upward. Currently, the support has already shifted up to around 625–627. Key focus on the 642 resistance; it's likely to face strong pressure and then pull back to around 628–630. If it holds, we might continue to consolidate upward. Key upward markers: 647, 652, 658. 66 and 67 are not visible for now.
$BTC Long position still holding
Let's recap why we can keep holding
First off, the 4H chart has shown a higher low, and we've tested the 610 area three times now.
Now we need to see if we can print a 4H high that's above 642.

Previously, my first marker for the overhead resistance was 630–633.
As long as the 4H candle breaks through, it indicates a resistance breakout.
Even though we had a few hours of sideways action afterward,
it doesn't change the fact that, in my framework, the short-term trend is upward.

Currently, the support has already shifted up to around 625–627.
Key focus on the 642 resistance; it's likely to face strong pressure and then pull back to around 628–630. If it holds, we might continue to consolidate upward.

Key upward markers: 647, 652, 658.
66 and 67 are not visible for now.
BTB投研-中南
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Haven't kept up with the price action for a while
BTC has been stuck in a low-range chop for the past few days, just garbage price action
But that doesn’t affect the high shorts—quick in and out! I picked up some spot at 610 for short-term trades

Tonight, the <a>#CPI数据 </a> release is pretty much in line with expectations
It doesn’t really matter; the high inflation expectations have already been priced in with the recent drop
Who knows, we might be on the verge of a short squeeze rally!
And it’s quite likely that there will be a forced liquidation wave! Just waiting for Wash to drop the hammer

The key is that 608 can't break down
Resistance levels are as follows: 630~633, 643~648, 652~658, 668~672
Personally, I think the bounce limit is around 658

Right now, whether up or down, the chop time isn’t enough
Even if we’re going for a reversal, it’ll take a long period of consolidation
Even if we break below 6, it’ll need at least 4~8 hours of 3~5 wave action

From a market sentiment perspective, it’s very polarized
One side is looking for a 50k target, even 30k or 40k
The other side believes 59k is the iron bottom and is looking to catch the bottom

I think both sides have a point; only time will tell who’s right
For now, I’ll mostly be watching from the sidelines—slow trades, big gains!
Analysis for reference only, DYOR 😀
$BTC #日本加息 #fomc All the thoughts are in the charts. Not sure if you all have noticed, that in choppy markets, there's always news to keep us on our toes. But in a true trending market, it's often just a drop followed by news to rationalize it. You barely have time to react, unless you’ve already done your homework and prepared for it. I won’t stubbornly hold; I maintain a no-risk position and adjust immediately if the situation turns. Short-term support has moved up to around 620. Let’s see if the upcoming resistance can continue to push for a breakout. DYOR {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC #日本加息 #fomc All the thoughts are in the charts.
Not sure if you all have noticed,
that in choppy markets, there's always news to keep us on our toes.

But in a true trending market,
it's often just a drop followed by news to rationalize it.
You barely have time to react, unless you’ve already done your homework and prepared for it.

I won’t stubbornly hold; I maintain a no-risk position and adjust immediately if the situation turns.

Short-term support has moved up to around 620.
Let’s see if the upcoming resistance can continue to push for a breakout.

DYOR
BTB投研-中南
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Haven't kept up with the price action for a while
BTC has been stuck in a low-range chop for the past few days, just garbage price action
But that doesn’t affect the high shorts—quick in and out! I picked up some spot at 610 for short-term trades

Tonight, the <a>#CPI数据 </a> release is pretty much in line with expectations
It doesn’t really matter; the high inflation expectations have already been priced in with the recent drop
Who knows, we might be on the verge of a short squeeze rally!
And it’s quite likely that there will be a forced liquidation wave! Just waiting for Wash to drop the hammer

The key is that 608 can't break down
Resistance levels are as follows: 630~633, 643~648, 652~658, 668~672
Personally, I think the bounce limit is around 658

Right now, whether up or down, the chop time isn’t enough
Even if we’re going for a reversal, it’ll take a long period of consolidation
Even if we break below 6, it’ll need at least 4~8 hours of 3~5 wave action

From a market sentiment perspective, it’s very polarized
One side is looking for a 50k target, even 30k or 40k
The other side believes 59k is the iron bottom and is looking to catch the bottom

I think both sides have a point; only time will tell who’s right
For now, I’ll mostly be watching from the sidelines—slow trades, big gains!
Analysis for reference only, DYOR 😀
Reached the first key resistance Support has shifted up to 616, let's go!
Reached the first key resistance
Support has shifted up to 616, let's go!
BTB投研-中南
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Haven't kept up with the price action for a while
BTC has been stuck in a low-range chop for the past few days, just garbage price action
But that doesn’t affect the high shorts—quick in and out! I picked up some spot at 610 for short-term trades

Tonight, the <a>#CPI数据 </a> release is pretty much in line with expectations
It doesn’t really matter; the high inflation expectations have already been priced in with the recent drop
Who knows, we might be on the verge of a short squeeze rally!
And it’s quite likely that there will be a forced liquidation wave! Just waiting for Wash to drop the hammer

The key is that 608 can't break down
Resistance levels are as follows: 630~633, 643~648, 652~658, 668~672
Personally, I think the bounce limit is around 658

Right now, whether up or down, the chop time isn’t enough
Even if we’re going for a reversal, it’ll take a long period of consolidation
Even if we break below 6, it’ll need at least 4~8 hours of 3~5 wave action

From a market sentiment perspective, it’s very polarized
One side is looking for a 50k target, even 30k or 40k
The other side believes 59k is the iron bottom and is looking to catch the bottom

I think both sides have a point; only time will tell who’s right
For now, I’ll mostly be watching from the sidelines—slow trades, big gains!
Analysis for reference only, DYOR 😀
$BTC is all about having firm judgment on yourself. If the prediction is wrong, review it, but once you have a judgment, you gotta test it. Just manage the cost of trial and error, and you're good to go. Besides grabbing a bit more spot at 610, yesterday I went long after a push to 628, expecting a pullback to 618 to place my buy order. Then I took profits at around 626, halving my position, sticking to the plan. I might exit anytime; as long as I'm not losing, that's fine. {future}(BTCUSDT) I’ve been mulling it over, and I really think this isn’t a trending market right now. The big one-way movement has already seen a drop of over 20k. Now, it’s all about range trading. The real game-changer will be the meeting on June 18, #沃什 ! Will we see a big sell-off at 618? 🤔 Haha!
$BTC is all about having firm judgment on yourself. If the prediction is wrong, review it, but once you have a judgment, you gotta test it. Just manage the cost of trial and error, and you're good to go.

Besides grabbing a bit more spot at 610,
yesterday I went long after a push to 628,
expecting a pullback to 618 to place my buy order.
Then I took profits at around 626, halving my position, sticking to the plan.
I might exit anytime; as long as I'm not losing, that's fine.
I’ve been mulling it over, and I really think this isn’t a trending market right now. The big one-way movement has already seen a drop of over 20k.
Now, it’s all about range trading.
The real game-changer will be the meeting on June 18, #沃什 !

Will we see a big sell-off at 618? 🤔 Haha!
BTB投研-中南
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Haven't kept up with the price action for a while
BTC has been stuck in a low-range chop for the past few days, just garbage price action
But that doesn’t affect the high shorts—quick in and out! I picked up some spot at 610 for short-term trades

Tonight, the <a>#CPI数据 </a> release is pretty much in line with expectations
It doesn’t really matter; the high inflation expectations have already been priced in with the recent drop
Who knows, we might be on the verge of a short squeeze rally!
And it’s quite likely that there will be a forced liquidation wave! Just waiting for Wash to drop the hammer

The key is that 608 can't break down
Resistance levels are as follows: 630~633, 643~648, 652~658, 668~672
Personally, I think the bounce limit is around 658

Right now, whether up or down, the chop time isn’t enough
Even if we’re going for a reversal, it’ll take a long period of consolidation
Even if we break below 6, it’ll need at least 4~8 hours of 3~5 wave action

From a market sentiment perspective, it’s very polarized
One side is looking for a 50k target, even 30k or 40k
The other side believes 59k is the iron bottom and is looking to catch the bottom

I think both sides have a point; only time will tell who’s right
For now, I’ll mostly be watching from the sidelines—slow trades, big gains!
Analysis for reference only, DYOR 😀
Verified
About my analysis on the potential rebound of Bitcoin, I might have miscalculated. #CPI数据 aligns with expectations, but it indeed surpassed the previous value. The rate hike expectations are likely to rise, and the whales might be just trying to sweep some liquidity. Of course, with the renewed conflict between the US and Iran early this morning, the market dipped back, which could also be a liquidity sweep. At least for now, that's the view. It's still the same perspective: as long as 608 doesn't really break down, there's still hope for a choppy upward rebound; otherwise, it's game over. Currently, I'm mainly trying to maintain a bullish perspective on the market. Previously, I was deliberately viewing it from a bearish angle, worried about getting too accustomed to that and then missing out or making a wrong directional move. But it's clear that we might continue to break below the 50s, so it all depends on how this choppy market plays out. I roughly projected the upcoming daily level resistance: June 11, Thursday 67220 June 12, Friday 66515 June 13, Saturday 65810 June 14, Sunday 65105
About my analysis on the potential rebound of Bitcoin, I might have miscalculated.
#CPI数据 aligns with expectations, but it indeed surpassed the previous value. The rate hike expectations are likely to rise, and the whales might be just trying to sweep some liquidity.
Of course, with the renewed conflict between the US and Iran early this morning, the market dipped back, which could also be a liquidity sweep.

At least for now, that's the view. It's still the same perspective: as long as 608 doesn't really break down, there's still hope for a choppy upward rebound; otherwise, it's game over.

Currently, I'm mainly trying to maintain a bullish perspective on the market.
Previously, I was deliberately viewing it from a bearish angle, worried about getting too accustomed to that and then missing out or making a wrong directional move.

But it's clear that we might continue to break below the 50s, so it all depends on how this choppy market plays out.

I roughly projected the upcoming daily level resistance:
June 11, Thursday 67220
June 12, Friday 66515
June 13, Saturday 65810
June 14, Sunday 65105
BTB投研-中南
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Haven't kept up with the price action for a while
BTC has been stuck in a low-range chop for the past few days, just garbage price action
But that doesn’t affect the high shorts—quick in and out! I picked up some spot at 610 for short-term trades

Tonight, the <a>#CPI数据 </a> release is pretty much in line with expectations
It doesn’t really matter; the high inflation expectations have already been priced in with the recent drop
Who knows, we might be on the verge of a short squeeze rally!
And it’s quite likely that there will be a forced liquidation wave! Just waiting for Wash to drop the hammer

The key is that 608 can't break down
Resistance levels are as follows: 630~633, 643~648, 652~658, 668~672
Personally, I think the bounce limit is around 658

Right now, whether up or down, the chop time isn’t enough
Even if we’re going for a reversal, it’ll take a long period of consolidation
Even if we break below 6, it’ll need at least 4~8 hours of 3~5 wave action

From a market sentiment perspective, it’s very polarized
One side is looking for a 50k target, even 30k or 40k
The other side believes 59k is the iron bottom and is looking to catch the bottom

I think both sides have a point; only time will tell who’s right
For now, I’ll mostly be watching from the sidelines—slow trades, big gains!
Analysis for reference only, DYOR 😀
Verified
Haven't kept up with the price action for a while BTC has been stuck in a low-range chop for the past few days, just garbage price action But that doesn’t affect the high shorts—quick in and out! I picked up some spot at 610 for short-term trades Tonight, the <a>#CPI数据 </a> release is pretty much in line with expectations It doesn’t really matter; the high inflation expectations have already been priced in with the recent drop Who knows, we might be on the verge of a short squeeze rally! And it’s quite likely that there will be a forced liquidation wave! Just waiting for Wash to drop the hammer The key is that 608 can't break down Resistance levels are as follows: 630~633, 643~648, 652~658, 668~672 Personally, I think the bounce limit is around 658 Right now, whether up or down, the chop time isn’t enough Even if we’re going for a reversal, it’ll take a long period of consolidation Even if we break below 6, it’ll need at least 4~8 hours of 3~5 wave action From a market sentiment perspective, it’s very polarized One side is looking for a 50k target, even 30k or 40k The other side believes 59k is the iron bottom and is looking to catch the bottom I think both sides have a point; only time will tell who’s right For now, I’ll mostly be watching from the sidelines—slow trades, big gains! Analysis for reference only, DYOR 😀
Haven't kept up with the price action for a while
BTC has been stuck in a low-range chop for the past few days, just garbage price action
But that doesn’t affect the high shorts—quick in and out! I picked up some spot at 610 for short-term trades

Tonight, the <a>#CPI数据 </a> release is pretty much in line with expectations
It doesn’t really matter; the high inflation expectations have already been priced in with the recent drop
Who knows, we might be on the verge of a short squeeze rally!
And it’s quite likely that there will be a forced liquidation wave! Just waiting for Wash to drop the hammer

The key is that 608 can't break down
Resistance levels are as follows: 630~633, 643~648, 652~658, 668~672
Personally, I think the bounce limit is around 658

Right now, whether up or down, the chop time isn’t enough
Even if we’re going for a reversal, it’ll take a long period of consolidation
Even if we break below 6, it’ll need at least 4~8 hours of 3~5 wave action

From a market sentiment perspective, it’s very polarized
One side is looking for a 50k target, even 30k or 40k
The other side believes 59k is the iron bottom and is looking to catch the bottom

I think both sides have a point; only time will tell who’s right
For now, I’ll mostly be watching from the sidelines—slow trades, big gains!
Analysis for reference only, DYOR 😀
Partly True
260608 Last Week's Summary and Next Week's OutlookI was out on a business trip last Friday and over the weekend, doing my old gig shooting ads, which messed with the trading grind, haha. 1. Macro Influences Last week's four major bearish factors 1. MicroStrategy selling their coins has greatly influenced market sentiment; both institutions and retail traders are rushing to offload their assets. —— Ultimately reflected on the candlestick chart, the weekly drop was 15,000 points! 2. Japan's Rate Hike Expectations vs. Fed's Rate Hike Expectations —— A Japanese rate hike is pretty much a done deal, but I still believe the Fed won't hike or cut rates, at least maintaining the status quo until June. I previously predicted that rates might stay unchanged from June to September, but they'll first taper their balance sheet, then possibly restart rate cuts in October or after 2027. This might be what Kashkari calls the 'rate cut tapering' strategy...

260608 Last Week's Summary and Next Week's Outlook

I was out on a business trip last Friday and over the weekend, doing my old gig shooting ads, which messed with the trading grind, haha.
1. Macro Influences
Last week's four major bearish factors
1. MicroStrategy selling their coins has greatly influenced market sentiment; both institutions and retail traders are rushing to offload their assets.
—— Ultimately reflected on the candlestick chart, the weekly drop was 15,000 points!
2. Japan's Rate Hike Expectations vs. Fed's Rate Hike Expectations
—— A Japanese rate hike is pretty much a done deal, but I still believe the Fed won't hike or cut rates, at least maintaining the status quo until June. I previously predicted that rates might stay unchanged from June to September, but they'll first taper their balance sheet, then possibly restart rate cuts in October or after 2027. This might be what Kashkari calls the 'rate cut tapering' strategy...
TMD...Why does it always have to be on the weekend?! Every single time!!! I'm in the middle of writing an article! Just trading non-stop!!! $BTC #伊朗 #以色列
TMD...Why does it always have to be on the weekend?! Every single time!!!
I'm in the middle of writing an article! Just trading non-stop!!!
$BTC #伊朗 #以色列
Market predictions aren't about how to foresee, it's about how it unfolds. I initially expected a rebound to kick off, but it didn't play out as I anticipated. All I can do now is wait and follow the trend. I'm still building my long position on BTC $BTC as planned, picked up a bit more at $CRCL .
Market predictions aren't about how to foresee, it's about how it unfolds.
I initially expected a rebound to kick off,
but it didn't play out as I anticipated.
All I can do now is wait and follow the trend.

I'm still building my long position on BTC $BTC as planned,
picked up a bit more at $CRCL .
BTB投研-中南
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#交易心得分享
Recently, I've realized a lot

In this market, the only thing we can do
Is follow the trend, manage our positions well

Forecasting isn't about guessing
It's just about being prepared

When you make profits, you’ve got to take some gains
When you hit losses, stay calm

Lifelong learning means always going long on your future
#交易心得分享 Recently, I've realized a lot In this market, the only thing we can do Is follow the trend, manage our positions well Forecasting isn't about guessing It's just about being prepared When you make profits, you’ve got to take some gains When you hit losses, stay calm Lifelong learning means always going long on your future
#交易心得分享
Recently, I've realized a lot

In this market, the only thing we can do
Is follow the trend, manage our positions well

Forecasting isn't about guessing
It's just about being prepared

When you make profits, you’ve got to take some gains
When you hit losses, stay calm

Lifelong learning means always going long on your future
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