🔥 The whole internet is looking for this person! The "God's Hand" with a 100% win rate just opened a position 🐋
Let's talk about how amazing he is: Remember last month when Bitcoin surged to $126k? The whole internet was shouting $150k, but only this address accurately opened a 50x short position at $125,800, and then closed at $84,000, taking away $200 million in one wave. He has been silent for a month, and just now, he has taken action again. This time, he is going long.
📊 Whale Alert I obtained his detailed data from a paid on-chain tool, and the screenshots are being widely circulated in the group:
⏰ Entry time: Today at 16:45 (UTC+8) 💰 Opening amount: $312 million (approximately 3,500 BTC) ⚡️ Leverage: 20x gradually going long (the level of confidence...) 🎯 Average entry price: $88,950 💵 Current profit: As of the time of this post, unrealized profits have reached +$12 million (ROE +45%)
🤫 Insider interpretation Why now? The Fed meeting is not until next Wednesday. The only possibility for such a large amount of capital to dare to open a 20x leveraged overnight position is that he has seen the script. He is not betting on probability; he is betting on insider knowledge.
Conclusion: Don’t ask me how to view the technicals; this person's wallet address is the strongest indicator. This $310 million has already voted for us. Will you follow this Christmas trend?
$BTC Urgent Report: It's currently so quiet that it's unsettling; a storm is coming 🌪️
⏰ 12/7 Coordinates $89,400 This kind of market is the most taxing. Next Wednesday (12/10) the Fed will announce the results, and these 72 hours are crucial in determining whether your Christmas dinner will be a feast or instant noodles.
1️⃣ Macro: This topic is almost a sure thing with the Fed's rate cut probability skyrocketing to 90%+, it's already a done deal. Retail investors are still scared, but on-chain data is honest—whales are crazily buying between $85k-$88k, and ETF funds are flowing back in. Smart money is betting on the Christmas rally; are you sure you want to exit?
2️⃣ Market Breakdown (1H vs 4H) Although I’m not looking at charts, you must know these two signals:
Short-term (1H): Bulls are trying to build a bottom; the MACD has crossed bullishly, and buying momentum is returning.
Medium-term (4H): Don’t rush to go all in; the area above $90,000-$92,000 is a disaster zone (the previous trapped positions are too thick); until it breaks through, this is just a bounce, not a reversal.
🎯 What to do? (Trading Notes) Focus on right-side trading now; don’t guess the bottom.
Entry: Keep an eye on your candlesticks, wait for a solid close above $90,500 on the 1H before chasing, target $93k.
Defense: $86,800 is the lifeline; if it breaks, get out.
Overall Direction: Only by standing above $93,000 can we confirm a major trend reversal, heading straight for $98k.
Conclusion: The macro environment is signaling a rise, but the technicals are still digesting losses. This is the last window for positioning; patiently wait for the wind to come.🎅📈
BTC Market Analysis: Stopping the bleeding does not mean healing, don’t rush to open the champagne!
$BTC Market Analysis: Stopping the bleeding does not mean healing, don’t rush to open the champagne 📉📊
Today we will not talk about other coins, focusing on #BTC. The logic is simple: if the overall market is unstable, no matter how much other coins fluctuate, they are just noise. Before Bitcoin confirms a stop in the decline and stabilizes, any altcoin's market lacks sustainability.
From 126K to 84K, this more than a month of correction has indeed tested faith. Although two green bars have appeared on the market in the past two days, if you open the 4-hour candlestick chart and look closely, you will find that this is not a reversal signal; it is just a technical recovery after an overcorrection.
Macro: Expectations for interest rate cuts are rising, the US dollar is weakening → Risk appetite is back; however, leverage is not low, sprinting ≠ linear.
BTC ⚙️ Key: $112K support, look at the range top $117–122K; if lost, watch $105K. 💡 Strategy: Don’t chase the dragon, buy the dip in the $112–113K range; only add trend positions once it stabilizes above $117K. 🧭 Medium-term: If it continues to be strong, expect to test $150–160K in Q4; if it loses momentum, it will retest the hundred thousand integer to wash leverage.
ETH 🔭 Funding: CME OI continues to hit new highs = institutional FOMO↗, but short-term volatility is easy. ⚙️ Key: $4,600–4,700 support; $4,885–5,000 resistance zone. 🎯 Route: Only look at $5.2K after stabilizing above $4,885; buy in batches on dips of $4.6–4.7K, reduce risk if it drops below $4.5K. 🧭 Mid to long-term: Supply contraction + high staking → expect $6.0–6.8K within the year (the rhythm follows a staircase, not an elevator).
XRP ⚙️ Key: Must hold $3.00; $3.30–3.50 is both the ceiling and the skylight. 🎯 Script: Volume surpasses $3.30 → enters value discovery, target $3.8–5.0; if it falls back below $3, retreat and wait for signals. ⚠️ High leverage OI, very strong when it moves up, and very fierce when it turns — positions must be able to breathe.
DOGE 🐶 Form: After breaking the flag upwards, focus on $0.24–0.25 support. 🎯 Target: Continue to hold above looking at $0.28→0.30; if it falls back below $0.236, small positions should stop loss and not fall in love with the battle. 🧠 Mindset: It’s not a fundamental coin, it’s a traffic coin; when the information comes, the movements must be quick.
Position Map Conservative: Only buy on dips after "volume stabilizes" (BTC $117K, ETH $4.885K, XRP $3.30, DOGE $0.28). Aggressive: Buy in batches at support levels + strict stop losses (BTC $112K, ETH $4.6–4.7K, XRP $3.0, DOGE $0.24–0.25). Swing: Take profits step by step above, buy back in stair steps below, no more than 3–4 batches for the same asset, and don't fantasize about leverage.
⚖️ Conclusion: Now feels like a "deep breath" before the next acceleration in a bull market escalator. Follow the trend, control leverage, respect risk — what is earned is reward, what is held is life.🫡
📊 Non-Farm Payroll Night Report|The US Dollar has cooled down, is the crypto world excited?
In August, non-farm payrolls increased by only +75K (along with July's +73K, creating a recent low), and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. US Treasury yields dropped to ~4.2%, and the US Dollar Index DXY fell back, leading the market to price in a 90%+ chance of a rate cut in September.
⚖️ Macro Translation Weak non-farm = Fed has to be dovish → US Dollar falls, risk assets thrive. Strong non-farm (assuming it exceeds expectations) = US Dollar surges, crypto faces challenges. Historical Archeology: In bull market years, ETH has dropped by -21% (2017) and -12% (2021) in September; however, October, known as "Uptober," often sees an average increase of 20%+. September is for conditioning, October is for sprinting.
📊 Market Observation FedWatch: 95% chance of a rate cut, almost certain. Institutions: In August, ETFs and vaults bought approximately 2.5M ETH, which is 33 times the issuance for that month. Whales: Some Bitcoin OGs are offloading, reallocating to ETH and fully staking → Funds are clearly shifting. Volatility: On NFP days, BTC's volatility is often 1.7 times that of regular days.
🎯 Technical Levels $$BTC : Support at 108K, resistance at 112K → 116K $ETH : The bull-bear divide is at 4,250; if it holds, it will challenge 4.8K → 5K $SOL : 200 USD is a supply station; on a strong breakout, look towards 216 → 238
🧭 Operational Thinking Conservative: Wait for confirmation before chasing, eat less drama and avoid pain. Aggressive: Accumulate gradually (BTC 108K, ETH 4.25K, SOL near 200), set strict stop-losses. Swing Traders: September fluctuations are the "bull market lunch box"—add positions on dips, year-end targets remain unchanged (BTC 120K, ETH 5K+).
🐂 Conclusion This is not an ordinary data day but a policy calibration event. Weak non-farm = Fed must be dovish, the US Dollar loses strength, and the crypto world takes over. September may be shaky, but October is often a launch pad for rockets. You must decide if you are just watching or getting on board.
ETH just set a new high in August, and now it's like a marathon runner who has just finished and is starting to "catch their breath". From $4,480, it has pulled back to $4,250, and the market is starting to wonder: Is it going back to the 21-week EMA ~ $3,500 to "recharge"?
📊 Data archaeology: In the past 10 Septembers, ETH has closed in the red 6 times, with an average drop of -6%. Bull market years are even harsher: -21% in 2017, -12% in 2021. In other words, September is like ETH's "fitness month", shedding some weight before having the strength to surge to new highs by the end of the year.
🔥 Fundamental firepower: Institutions bought over 2.5 million ETH in August, which is 33 times the new issuance across the network. Some even directly exchanged 1 billion USD from BTC to ETH and staked all of it. The ETF + RWA narrative is still heating up, and ETH's "main storyline" hasn't changed.
⚖️ Three strategic moves: Conservatives: Wait for ETH to stabilize in the $4,200–4,300 range before buying to avoid being scared off by a false breakdown. Aggressives: If you're bold, place orders at $3,800–3,500, which is the 21-week EMA, a common "refueling station" in historical bull markets. Long-termers: Buy the dip ≠ one-time shot, the key is to accumulate in batches. September's fluctuations are like a "bull market bento box", filled with discounted meat slices.
🐂 Conclusion: For ETH, September is not the end of the world, but rather a "fitness month + clearance sale". 👉 The real question is not whether it will drop to $3,500, but whether you dare to quietly pick up that cheap steak when everyone else is screaming in fear. #ETH #Slumptember $ETH
🚀 Tomorrow is not about the $WLFI going live, but rather the market-wide stress test Cryptocurrency data analysts monitor: WLFI circulation is estimated at 3.68–5 billion coins, which translates to selling pressure of 1.4–1.9 billion USD at current prices. DWF Labs bottomed out at 0.1 USD with 250 million coins, eighty percent designated market makers. Polymarket bets that the probability of FDV > 20 billion on the first day is 87%, and the market has already half-immersed itself. 📊 Capital Effect: Short-term: Hot money is rushing into WLFI, while mainstream coins are like children left in the corner, BTC/ETH may be stagnant. Medium-term: Once the sentiment digests, popularity will flow back, and ETH, SOL, DOGE may have the chance to rebound. ⚖️ Key Levels for Mainstream Coins: $BTC : 108K must hold to survive; breaking below means a washout. $ETH: Must hold 4,250, and then steadily aim for 5K. $SOL: Around 200 is a sweet spot, still the medium-term narrative king. $DOGE: Must hold 0.20 to stay alive; otherwise, it will have to explore the 0.18 bottom. 🎯 Operational Strategy: Conservative: Watch WLFI's performance for 48h, and slowly pick up mainstream coins after a correction. Aggressive: BTC/ETH/SOL can be bought in batches at low prices, but stop-loss needs to be strictly set. Swing Traders: Wait for ETH, SOL to rebound for the second time, and DOGE can wait for ETF news to ignite. 🐂 Conclusion: Tomorrow everyone will be watching WLFI; it’s like the brightest ball on stage. But don’t forget, the framework of the bull market is still in BTC / ETH. 👉 The real issue is not whether WLFI can rise, but whether you have taken the opportunity to pick up cheap mainstream coins amidst the chaos. #WLFI $WLFI
🐶 $DOGE Is it time to transform again? From meme coin to 'institutional coin'
Lawyer Spiro is raising $200 million to build the DOGE treasury, and Bit Origin is also pledging to invest $500 million to create an 'enterprise-level dog treasury'. Adding it up, a potential $700 million bullet is set to shoot into the $3.2 billion market cap of DOGE. This isn't just the community cheering; it's Wall Street learning from MSTR's playbook.
📊 Technical Analysis: The price is stuck at $0.21, with a major resistance at $0.236–0.25, and support at $0.20. The Bollinger Bands are tightening; the next step will either be a breakout or a collapse. Breaking $0.25 → first target $0.30; dropping below $0.20 → heading straight to $0.18 / $0.15.
📅 News: Grayscale has submitted a DOGE ETF application, with Polymarket betting a 67% approval rate. If the ETF and treasury fund both materialize, DOGE will transform from a 'meme' to an 'asset'.
🎯 Strategy: Conservative: Wait for volume to break above $0.25 before chasing, target $0.28–0.30. Aggressive: Buy small near $0.21, stop loss at $0.205. Swing traders: Look to accumulate at $0.18–0.20, betting on a long-term narrative of $0.50–1.
🐂 Conclusion: DOGE is no longer just about watching Musk's tweets; it is starting to be included in corporate financial reports. 👉 The question isn't whether it can reach $0.30, but when it does… will you dare to tell your colleagues you haven't gotten on board yet? 🚂💨
🚀 $SOL : From DeFi coins to being a mover of the US GDP
📊 Triple Explosion | Institutional Increase + Technical Breakthrough + National-Level Application Institutions are moving faster than us: Sharps directly invested $400 million into the SOL treasury; DFDV swallowed another 407,000 coins in a week, with total holdings exceeding 1.83 million. This is not retail investors increasing their positions, but Wall Street 'stockpiling bricks to build houses'.
Technical Aspect: A 12-hour rising triangle breakout, daily highs and lows are trending upwards. Hold above $216 → first look at $238, then aim for $300. If it falls back below $216, be cautious of a false breakout, but the overall structure remains bullish.
Macro Aspect: The US Department of Commerce has put GDP data on-chain, and SOL has been selected as a pilot public chain. From chain games, NFTs to national-level infrastructure, the RWA story is directly opening a new chapter.
🎯 Strategy: Conservatives: Wait for stabilization above $216 before chasing → target $238 / $300 Aggressive: Small position near $216, stop loss at $200 Swing Traders: Pick up chips at $200–$205, medium to long-term target $500 (expected Q1 2026)
🐂 Conclusion This is not a minor rebound, but a triple resonance of 'capital + technology + policy'.
👉 The question for SOL is not whether it can reach $300, but after it reaches $300… do you still want to pretend you aren't on board? 🚂💨 #SOL $SOL
📈 $ETH is back at 4500, both up and down are holding back for a big move
Tom Lee says we'll see 5500 in a few weeks, and by the end of the year calling for 10-12k. The market bets that 70% are confident that 5K is not far away.
🔎 The technicals are interesting: ADX 39 → The trend is still alive, just taking a breather RSI 58 → Sweet spot, not overheated yet EMA50 > EMA200 → Golden cross, the bull is still in the arena Squeeze Momentum: ON → Preparing to open a new chapter
📅 September traditionally loves to drop, but October Uptober usually surges. Holding 4300–4500, the chance of shooting up to 5K in October is quite high.
🐂 Conclusion: 5000 is not the end, just like an appetizer, the real main course is in Q4.
👉 ETH is not about whether it can reach 5K, but about where to go for drinks after hitting 5K 🍻
📉 $BTC 110K Defense Battle|Is the Bull Market Over or is it Panic Selling?
Bitcoin plummeted to $110,700 this Monday, with a single-day liquidation of $640 million. OG whales dumped their holdings, and 7-year-old funds switched to ETH, while small investors are still quietly accumulating. Market rumors are flying: Should we test $100K next?
🌍 Market Context After Powell signaled dovish → Interest rate cut expectations near 90%, risk assets briefly overshot Now the PCE inflation data will be released, becoming a key catalyst before the September decision U.S. stocks are retreating + CME gaps reappear, thin support below for Wall Street at the open
⚖️ Key Levels Support: $110K, $105K (if it doesn't hold, panic could drive it straight to $100K) Resistance: $115K, $118K (declining volume + RSI divergence, difficulty in lifting)
🎯 Trading Strategy Conservatives: Wait and see, wait for PCE data to clarify direction, then enter the market Aggressives: Can buy small positions above $110K, set stop loss at $108K; if it breaks, pick up near $100K Swing Traders: Avoid the $115K–$118K resistance zone, wait for a breakout or deep correction to position
📌 Conclusion This wave for BTC feels more like “whale profit-taking + retail investor trials,” it’s not the end, but a choice of sides. Whether it breaks $100K will determine if the bull market is just a pause or a real retreat. #BTC $BTC
📊 $DOGE Converging to the Limit|The Last Deep Breath Before the Breakthrough?
DOGE is like a beast trapped in a cage, with the price stuck in the $0.22–$0.25 range. Trading volume is low, RSI 57, sentiment half expecting and half hesitant. This kind of symmetrical triangle pattern usually means: too quiet for too long → when it explodes, it will be particularly fierce.
🐂 Bullish Scenario Climbing above $0.25, breaking through the upper boundary + Fibonacci 0.618 → First look at $0.27 → $0.31, even challenging $0.314–$0.35. Once a short squeeze occurs, the scene may be "unbelievably thrilling."
🐻 Bearish Scenario Falling below $0.2217 or $0.22 = defense line collapses → Directly heading to $0.204 / $0.19, a surge of panic selling will lead to a bloodbath.
🎯 Trading Suggestions Conservatives: Wait for a volume breakout above $0.25, then chase to $0.28–$0.31. Steady but slow. Aggressive traders: Start with a small position at $0.223–$0.226, stop loss at $0.219, aiming for a short squeeze thrill. Swing traders: Look to pick up bargains at $0.204–$0.21, with a medium-term target of $0.31–$0.35.
📌 Conclusion Current DOGE is like a spring compressed to its limits. It’s not a sideways market but the final multiple-choice question for direction. Once it shows its stance, not just DOGE, the entire meme sector will jump together! #DOGE
Yesterday I was still questioning life, today the shorts were directly squeezed, and the bears lost $259 million in one day. Powell sent a dovish signal at Jackson Hole, and the market instantly unlocked liquidity, leading BTC and ETH to fight back together.
🌍 Market Resonance BTC held steady at $113K, and the bulls are still alive. ETH surged to a new all-time high, knocking on the $5K door. The three major U.S. stock indices rebounded, and the market's 'rate cut trade' is heating up again. The Fear & Greed Index quickly returned to the 'Greed Zone'.
⚖️ ETH Key Levels Support: $4,600–$4,700 Resistance: Stabilize above $4,885 → Directly targeting $5K / $5.5K Pullback: $4,300–$4,500 is the area for gradual accumulation.
🎯 Trading Strategy Conservatives: Wait for stabilization before chasing. Aggressives: Test positions on a pullback to $4,600–$4,700. Swing Traders: Slowly pick up if panic drops to $4,300–$4,500.
🐂 Conclusion This is not just a new high, but a perfect symphony of E-Watchman faith + rate cut expectations + market resonance. ETH has already knocked on the door, and the next step could be a full-blown Altseason.
Finally got the real device, the back is directly printed with Seed Vault! It's not a sticker, but a 'cold wallet level' private key vault. In other words, this phone is naturally a portable hardware wallet + Web3 mobile base.
✨ Highlights at a glance: Private keys locked in hardware, not on the cloud, no fear of hacking NFT / DeFi / meme coins can be operated with one click, as intuitive as scrolling through IG Solana Pay native payment, transfers and tips arrive instantly Solid feel, not a prototype, it's genuinely usable in daily life
Honestly, swiping Twitter while managing the wallet is really awesome. It's like going out with a 'self-contained node' phone, security + convenience is fully maximized.
🔥 Web3 really deserves to have one in everyone's hands → shop.solanamobile.com $SOL
📊 $ETH Key moment for card slots, will tonight's "no rate cut" have a big impact?
Ethereum is currently hovering around $4,280 (CoinGecko shows $4,279.66, Coinbase shows $4,290. A decrease of about 0.5%). Although Bitcoin once plummeted nearly 8% last week, ETH still rebounded ~3% yesterday, holding up the market.
Rumor has it that the Fed will announce "no rate cut" tonight? Or is there... a chance of a cut? The latest Fed meeting minutes revealed that two officials leaned towards an early rate cut of 25 basis points, but the majority of the Federal Reserve remains cautious. While the expectation for a rate cut in September is still high, the chances of major movements tonight seem low.
If the Fed does announce a cut, then ETH has every reason to soar; conversely, it may become a dull market, and altcoins might have to wait for the next wave.
Bullish reasons (optimists are shouting): Whales and institutional funds are busy and have started accumulating ETH, especially as staking becomes more profitable, reducing market supply. Once interest rates loosen, liquidity increases, and ETH really has a chance to challenge the $4,800+ yearly high. Most optimistic estimate: the entire altcoin sector may be driven, ushering in an altcoin season.
Bearish reasons (the calm are preparing): Currently, ETH is facing technical pressure around $4,300, with trendlines and the 100-hour moving average blocking the way. This week also has a so-called triple pressure level. If the Fed plays the "no rate cut" tune tonight, market sentiment may lean conservative, and ETH might retest the $4,100–$4,200 support.
Operational strategy suggestions: Conservatives: Wait for the Fed to confirm a "rate cut signal" before entering, only chase after breaking $4,300, aiming for $4,500. Aggressives: If the price pulls back to $4,200, set up a small long position, establish a tight stop-loss, and target a short-term rebound. Believers: If you are optimistic about blockchain in the long term, anything below $4,100 is a point to accumulate, anticipating a future altcoin season explosion.
In conclusion: "Tonight, will the Fed choose to spin and jump, or continue to hold their breath? This is not just a sentiment test for ETH, but a critical moment for the entire altcoin market."
From the July peak, it has dropped 25%, now stuck at $0.218, with a market cap of $32 billion, firmly in eighth place. The resilience of the old meme coin: you criticize its slowness, yet it always manages to last the longest. The key point now: will it 'take off' or 'plunge' here?
🐂 Bullish Arguments Round bottom + converging triangle → Breakthrough at 0.24 = Pressure cooker lid off, heading straight for 0.29~0.49 Weekly highs and lows are elevated → Long-term structure is still intact Whales bought 680 million DOGE in August; if the ETF is approved, liquidity will explode A tweet from Musk → The market reaches a climax in an instant
🐻 Bearish Arguments Daily chart shows a 'wedge + head and shoulders top' death combination Open Interest down 4%, leverage retreating, lacking ignition If it cannot hold 0.22 = test 0.19, or even retrace to 0.1415 9% of new buyers are in profit, while others are nearly choking
⚖️ Key Conclusion DOGE is like a pressure cooker, with 0.22 and 0.24 as the final safety valves. Whichever side breaks, the direction will be confirmed. This is not a small shake, but a life-and-death battle for the meme sector.
🎯 Operational Strategy Conservative: Wait for a breakthrough at 0.24 before chasing, target 0.29 Aggressive: Buy low near 0.22, set stop-loss to bet on a rebound Faithful: Wait for a bloodbath at 0.19~0.20, aiming for a meme bull market of 0.70~1.0
🐶 DOGE is never about fundamentals, but about faith, emotions, and flow. Disliking it is pointless, because every explosion could signal a turning point in market risk appetite. This wave is not just about Dogecoin, but the fate of the entire meme sector. #DOGE $DOGE
🚀 Market Focus: $SOL , $DOGE , $XRP — Why are traders focusing on them?
1. Solana ($SOL ) around $186–188 Current Situation & Technical Pattern: Holding at the critical support area of $185–190, golden cross + triangle structure is bullish.
Capital Momentum: The enthusiasm for staking ETFs remains strong, with major players frequently entering the market.
Strategy Recommendations: • Conservative → Slowly accumulate at $185–188, targeting $200, $210 • Aggressive → If it breaks through $195–200, follow directly towards $210–240
2. Dogecoin ($DOGE ) Current Price $0.2304 Technical Aspect: Golden cross formed, price fluctuating around $0.23–$0.24, with momentum still present.
Capital Dynamics: A single $200 million whale entered; Bit Origin holds 70 million DOGE.
Strategy Recommendations: • Conservative → Confirm support at $0.23–0.24 before entering, targeting $0.265–0.28 • Aggressive → If it stabilizes at $0.25, chase it, with a target of $0.30–0.33
3. XRP (Ripple) Current Price $3.13
Market Background: SEC case concluded, legal risks eliminated, institutional confidence returning. Technical and Chip Observation: Consolidating in the $3.0–3.3 range; breaking through $3.3 could target $3.8.
Strategy Recommendations: • Conservative → After stabilizing at $3.0, enter in batches, targeting $3.5–3.6 • Aggressive → Follow after breaking $3.3, targeting $3.8+, stop loss if it falls below
Common Logic & Operational Principles Technical aspect is bullish: All three coins have stable structures, with momentum ready to rise. Strong capital layout: ETFs / major players / legal risk resolution together drive momentum.
Summary of Operational Strategies: • Conservative → Wait for support, batch layout + risk control • Aggressive → Lock in breakout points to sell, follow through on breaking trends
📊 This Week's Focus: CPI Data + ETF Fund Influx, Market May Face New Turn
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Background
The US CPI will be announced this week, with the market expecting an annual growth rate of 2.8%. Lower than expected = 9-month interest rate cut probability skyrockets (predicted to reach 86%), favorable for risk assets.
Trump extends tariffs on China by 90 days, BTC broke through $122,000 on the same day and then corrected, showing the short-term sentiment impact of the news.
Institutional funds continue to flow in: Spot ETH ETF saw a single-day net inflow surpassing $1.02 billion, with a cumulative inflow exceeding $10.8 billion.
2️⃣ Technical and Structural Observations
$BTC : Key support at 118,500–119,000 (CME gap area), resistance at 122,000–123,000 (previous high).
$ETH : Breakthrough of the key area 4,200–4,300, if it stabilizes above, 4,500 is the first target.
$SOL : Volume increased significantly after returning to $200, with funds visibly flowing back to Layer1 hotspots.
$DOGE: Bounced along the long-term uptrend line, referencing a similar trend in 2024, still has potential for 60% upside.
3️⃣ This Week's Operational Strategy (Spot Trading)
Conservatives: Reduce positions by 20–30% before CPI announcement, avoiding volatility at the moment of data release. Hold BTC at 118,500 and continue to hold ETH at 4,200. For altcoins like SOL and DOGE, only retain core positions, waiting for signals to add after the data.
Aggressives: Buy BTC in batches at 118,500–119,000, and increase positions if CPI is lower than expected. Buy ETH at 4,250–4,300 on pullback, targeting 4,500. If SOL breaks 210 with volume, it can be chased, and DOGE should pay attention to ETF-related catalysts accelerating the market.
🎯 Perspective: ETH has become the core driving force of this round of market, and the altcoin season depends on whether BTC.D can drop below 60%. CPI is the detonator for this week—lower than expected = full risk-on, higher than expected = short-term retreat.
From $0.188, it has rebounded nearly 19% quickly, now stuck around $0.234, with the bullish momentum showing no signs of retreat.
📈 Key technical points: Support at $0.225 → Lifeline below at $0.20 Resistance zone: $0.243–$0.25 → Then $0.258 → $0.268 As long as the daily line holds above $0.243, reaching $0.268 or even $0.285 is not a dream; conversely, if it falls below $0.225, it's time to pull back.
💡 Why is the bullish sentiment so strong? Whales absorbed 1 billion DOGE (about $200 million) in one day. DOGE ETF approval probability surged to 67% for 2025. ZKP upgrade is progressing, privacy & application space is directly maximized. Open interest in futures has exceeded $3.82 billion, short covering could directly boost the market.
🎯 My strategy: Short-term (1 week): If it stabilizes above $0.243, chase it, target $0.268, stop-loss at $0.240. Medium-term (1 month): Accumulate in batches at $0.230-$0.220, stop-loss at $0.20, target $0.30-$0.35. Long-term (end of the year): Gradually pick up below $0.25, heavy accumulation zone at $0.20-$0.18, conservative target $0.35-$0.40, optimistic view directly at $0.50+
In short, hold as long as the support holds, and pull back if it breaks; don’t fight the trend. If this wave can hold, we might see a wild dog before the end of the year.
Crypto Market Lazy Pack is Here | Latest Technical Analysis + Operation Suggestions for BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE
Today, there are many data and clues concentrated and exploded, specially organized for everyone:
[1] $BTC The price just broke through the descending trend line at 114,300, MACD is turning bullish, RSI is back above 50, showing short-term bullishness. But 115,500 is a hard resistance level. If there is no breakthrough today, it will pull back and fluctuate.
🔹Bullish route: Standing above 115,500, the target can look up to 116,250 → 117,500 → 120,000 🔸Bearish route: If it falls below 113,500, it may retrace to 112,000 → 110,500 ⚠️ If you are empty-handed, it is safer to wait for a "breakthrough at 115,500 to add long positions". ⚠️ If you have positions, hold on for now and observe whether the daily close can stand above the resistance level.