Technical Breakdown: BTC & SOL Forming Bullish Divergences 📊
Bitcoin sitting at $88,203 this Saturday evening. The important thing isn't the price—it's what's happening beneath the surface on the 3-day chart.
We're seeing a bullish divergence forming right now that could confirm within hours. Lower lows in price (candle closes at $85K-$86K support), but the RSI is printing higher lows. This is the same pattern that preceded previous relief rallies, though the 3-day timeframe suggests this could play out over weeks, not days. Weekly bearish divergence is still active from the ATH months ago, so don't expect fireworks. But the short-term structure is shifting.
Bitcoin dominance ticked up slightly to 58.96%, showing BTC is still outperforming most alts. That's not great news for altcoin holders hoping for a quick recovery, but it confirms what the charts are showing—capital is defensive right now.
Solana just confirmed a daily bullish divergence yesterday. Price made lower lows in candle closes, RSI made higher lows. It's now official. SOL trading at $125.51, down 0.64% today but the technical setup suggests relief is coming. Support locked in at $124, stronger support zone between $115-$117. First resistance around $130 (previous support flipped), then the major zone at $143-$147.
The correlation is key here. SOL follows BTC closely, so if Bitcoin's 3-day divergence confirms and we get that relief bounce toward $91K-$92K, expect Solana to move in sync. Both assets are defending critical support levels while forming bullish divergences on relevant timeframes. That's not random.
Watch the next 3-day candle close for BTC. If the divergence confirms, we're likely looking at sideways-to-slightly-bullish action through the next 1-2 weeks. Not a reversal, just a pause in the bleeding. And if you're trading SOL, keep that $124 level in sight—breaking below invalidates the setup.
BTC Below $89K: The Four-Year Cycle Debate Heats Up 🔄
Bitcoin trading at $88,203 this Saturday evening. Down 0.18% on the day, and more importantly, down over 30% from October's $126K all-time high. If you're feeling the pain, you're not alone—retail traders who bought near the top are now underwater heading into year-end.
But here's where it gets interesting. Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer says this is exactly what should be happening. According to his analysis, Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle is playing out perfectly on schedule. The pattern? Big bull run post-halving, followed by a crash in the 80% range, then a steady grind into the next halving. We hit the peak in October 2025, and now we're in the cooldown phase that could last deep into 2026.
Not everyone's buying it though. Bitwise's Matt Hougan and ARK's Cathie Wood both dismissed the four-year cycle idea this week, arguing that ETFs and institutional adoption have fundamentally changed the game. Meanwhile, China just injected 1.05 trillion Yuan into markets, and the US crypto structure bill got pushed to January. The Bessent vs Warren regulatory fight continues to shape sentiment.
Fear & Greed Index sitting at 28—still deep in fear territory. Market cap at $2.98T. Volume crashed 48% to $55B as everyone waits for direction. This is what distribution looks like. Not exciting, but necessary.
If the cycle theory holds, 2026 might be choppy. If the skeptics are right, we could bottom sooner than expected. Either way, the next few months will tell us which narrative wins.
Risk/reward looking solid here. Solana's been building support after the recent pullback, and with Breakpoint momentum still carrying through + institutional flows picking up, this level offers decent entry.
Position size accordingly—never risk more than you can afford to lose. Let's see if bulls can push through resistance.
Weekend Wrap: BTC Holds $90K, But Altcoin Season Remains MIA 📉
Bitcoin trading at $90,199 this Sunday morning, down just 0.16% over the past 24 hours. Total market cap sitting at $3.07 trillion. Not terrible, but not exciting either.
Here's what really matters—the altcoin season index just hit a cycle low of 16/100. That's basically Bitcoin dominating everything while alts bleed out. Memecoins got destroyed this year, down 59% YTD while the broader market only dropped 7%. The retail hype machine has been replaced by institutional flows and ETFs, which means slower, choppier price action.
Core DAO pumped 29.67% to become today's biggest gainer. Merlin Chain up 12.29% and claimed "coin of the day." Meanwhile, tokens like JUP, KAS, and QNT suffered double-digit weekly losses. The gap between winners and losers is getting wider.
The bigger picture? We're still in Bitcoin season. Until BTC breaks decisively above or below this $88K-$94K range, expect more sideways grinding. Implied volatility keeps dropping—traders are pricing in choppy year-end action, not fireworks.
If you're waiting for that explosive altcoin rally everyone talks about, you might be waiting until 2026. For now, it's a stock picker's market. Focus beats FOMO.
I asked an 🤖 AI to do market research and generate a trading strategy. This is what it suggested: Smart or Stupid? 🤔🤔
OPEN SMALL LONG, 10x leverage
Entry Strategy: Wait for: SOL bouncing from $130-132 support OR BTC reclaiming $92K Position: 10 USDT at 10x leverage = $100 position size Entry: $132-134 range Stop Loss: $128 (-3%) Take Profit 1: $140 (+6%) Take Profit 2: $145 (+10%)
Breakpoint 2025 Kicks Off as Solana Gains Major Banking Support 🌊
While Bitcoin consolidates around $90K, Solana is making serious moves. The three-day Breakpoint conference launched today in Abu Dhabi, and the timing couldn't be better—Europe's largest neobank Revolut just announced full Solana support for its 65 million users, covering payments, transfers, and staking.
That's not just hype. Circle minted 750 million USDC on Solana in the past 24 hours alone, pushing total issuance above 1.35 billion. The network now holds nearly $8.5 billion in TVL, second only to Ethereum, and it's doing it with faster speeds and lower fees.
Meanwhile, Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade continues delivering results—gas fees hit their lowest levels since 2017. For anyone who remembers paying $50+ per transaction during the 2021 bull run, this changes everything for DeFi accessibility.
Quick market check: BTC trading at $90K, ETH holding $3,180. Sentiment index sitting at 29 (still in fear territory). ETF flows stayed positive yesterday with $223M in BTC inflows, mostly through BlackRock and Fidelity.
The market's waiting for direction, but the infrastructure keeps improving. That's usually when the next leg up gets built.
📊 Market Update: BTC Consolidates Around $90K After Fed Rate Cut
Bitcoin is currently trading at $90,378, showing resilience despite December's volatility. BTC fell below $90,000 after the Federal Reserve delivered its expected rate cut, as traders reassess market conditions.
Key Highlights: BTC is down 28% from its all-time high of $126,210.50 reached on October 6, 2025 PNC Bank became the first major U.S. bank to offer direct spot bitcoin trading to eligible Private Bank clients Bulls are defending the $90,000 level, which is looking like the bottom for now
What's Moving Markets: While the Fed's rate cut was widely expected, caution prevails as institutional flows shift. ETF inflows of $151.74 million signal steady institutional interest, and the CFTC announced a pilot program allowing BTC, ETH, and USDC as collateral in U.S. derivatives markets.
📈 The market may be cooling off, but the infrastructure for crypto's next chapter is being built right now.