Blessed to be recognized by Top Crypto exchange Binance two years and we got 3 Awards
I wouldn't take any credit because it wouldn't be possible without your love and support and i would like to dedicate these awards to my followers. You all are like my family. ❤️
I will continue to bring value in your trading journey.
This update is going to be pretty straightforward because nothing much has changed, so I will try to keep it short and straightforward so you guys can easily understand what’s going on, what I’m expecting from the market, and how I’m planning to trade within this market chop. Last week's recap Before the current market update, let’s take a recap of last week and what we discussed. Last week.
We talked about if Bitcoin holds at 83k to 85k, that could potentially give us a higher low. “Potentially” means there’s no confirmation, because a higher low is only confirmed when the market then prints a higher high. So, it was just a prediction, and we discussed that if the market holds at 83k to 85k, then we could potentially target 93k and even 98k. The market did hit 93k, and then we discussed on my profile that holding 93k is important. Since it didn’t hold, the market showed weakness and got rejected from there. Anyway, now let’s talk about what’s happening in the market now, i don't want to add every single update i shared on my profile in this update, i just hope you guys are following it. so let’s begin. BTCUSD (Weekly)
Overall weekly chart remains bearish as long as we don't reclaim $98k-100k zone on the weekly. The current weekly picture
If we talk about the last weekly candle, not much has changed, and the price didn’t do anything significant. It broke the low of the previous week, took the high of the week, and then closed just slightly above the weekly open. So, there hasn’t been much change on the weekly chart, it’s basically been range bound. However, the key point is that we now have two important areas to focus on $85k and $93k. This week, our focus will be on these two zones $85200 and $93160 and we’ll discuss the potential trades we can catch based on these levels. BTCUSD (Daily)
The daily chart is also range-bound and, overall, still in a bearish trend. However, we did have some chance to shift the internal structure. As I discussed last week, above 93k, the internal structure would shift, but the price did close above it but was quickly pushed back inside 93k. That means $93k remained a key zone to break. Trade Plan? There is no trade on the table right now its a wait game in my opinion.
Like i said the focus will be on the $93k high and $85k low. If price manage to break above $93160 and hold above it. We will likely see a move into $98k. Bearish continuation We are more closer to $93k than $85k but since its the weekly update so i have to give you this scenario.
If price breaks below $85k and holds, that will likely send Bitcoin back to $80k low.
This is it for this week's update. Nothing much has changed. Overall, we are still bearish on the higher timeframes and currently range-bound.
A lot of people are waiting for the Fed meeting, expecting that an interest rate cut will pump the market. That can happen, but there’s no need to be overly confident about it. Rate cuts are generally bullish for traditional markets, and you can clearly see that from how US stocks and Gold have been performing. However, crypto hasn’t shown any meaningful reaction despite two rate cuts in the last two months, the crypto market didn’t benefit at all.
Hopefully this time we’ll see some movement. Most of the news is usually priced in anyway, because everyone already has an idea of what the outcome will be. For now, crypto remains range bound with over all bearish trend. Maybe next week will finally give us some directional play. The interest rate decision will be announced on December 11th, so let’s see how the market responds this time.
I personally think best trade opportunity will come when the market will show some strength and preferably shift the short term trend. Not any news event.
$ASTER been down since I made an update on it. Price still looks weak, it retested the same zone but got rejected. I think more downside is likely as long as price doesn’t reclaim the 1.13 zone.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
--
$ASTER If the weekly candle closes like this, it will be the lowest weekly close since it launched on Binance.
When priced dropped to $80k we predicted the bounce and i also said V shape recoveries are rare and so far price didn't do anything as such. We got the bounce but over all its just a wide range. Things are pretty clear right now in terms of important zones. Important support to hold $85k (mid range) and $80k range lows. Important high to break $93500
I think the next buy opportunity will come above $93500, Trading within the range isn't something every trader can do.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
--
V shape recoveries are rare after such a brutal drop. Weeks of downside. The market may take days or even weeks to recover.
Trading is a game of probabilities, not predictions.
To survive and grow in this market, you have to think probabilistically every single time you make a decision.
It’s always a game of “if this, then that.” When price approaches a level, there are only a few things that can happen:
- Price can respect the level as support , maybe you want to long it.
- Or it can break below and flip it into resistance, maybe you want to short it or expect downside as long as price stays under that level. That’s it. These are the scenarios you prepare for.
Now, there will always be people who say, “Bro, you’re just saying it’ll go up or down.” Ignore them. They don’t understand the market, they don’t understand risk, and most of the time they’re losing money and need to project that frustration somewhere. They’re not your competition, they’re noise.
You’re here to make money. And to make money, you must consider every possible outcome and prepare for each one.
A real trader thinks like this:
If this happens, I will do this. If that happens, I will do that.
You simply lay out the probabilities, judge which scenario is more likely, and then manage your risk according to your plan.
If there is some more juice left in this bounce, i think $BTC should find some support around this zone.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
--
BTC rejecting from $93K isnt really good. If you’re planning to go long i think it would be better once price breaks this zone with volume. As long as it’s below this zone Price can rotate lower again. current LTF support is sitting under/around $90k if we see a pullback.
BTC rejecting from $93K isnt really good. If you’re planning to go long i think it would be better once price breaks this zone with volume. As long as it’s below this zone Price can rotate lower again. current LTF support is sitting under/around $90k if we see a pullback.
BTC rejecting from $93K isnt really good. If you’re planning to go long i think it would be better once price breaks this zone with volume. As long as it’s below this zone Price can rotate lower again. current LTF support is sitting under/around $90k if we see a pullback.