Dom Nguyen - Dom Trading

🚨 DO NOT BUY A HOUSE THIS YEAR — UNLESS YOU’RE ALREADY RICH

If you’re not a billionaire, rent.
Yes, rent.
Buying a house right now is how average people lock themselves into permanent financial mediocrity.
If you want to buy your first home, wait for a 2008-style housing crash.
I’ve seen every cycle — the 2008 collapse, the 2020 blow-off top, and everything in between.
Look at the chart.
The last housing bubble peaked around 266 in 2006.
If you think today’s market is “stable,” you’re not early — you’re late and in denial.
This market isn’t healthy.
It’s frozen.

WHY BUYING IN 2026 IS A TRAP
Redfin data shows 36.8% more sellers than buyers.
Demand is at its weakest level since the 2020 lockdowns.
That’s not a pullback.

👉 That’s a market that has lost momentum.
Most homeowners are locked into ~3% mortgages.
30-year fixed rates are stuck around 6.5%.
Translation?
👉 Nobody can move. Nobody can transact.
There is no real price discovery.
You’re paying full sticker price for an illiquid asset that hasn’t been stress-tested by real volume.
Buying now means:
– Max monthly payment
– Minimal upside
– Peak duration risk
If you’re levered 5:1 on a house that goes sideways for years while you pay 6.5% interest, you’re not “building equity.”
👉 You’re slowly bleeding capital.
Homeownership under these conditions is not an investment.
It’s a liability dressed up as a dream.

THE REAL MACRO PLAY (NO ONE WANTS TO HEAR THIS)
Wait for late 2026 into 2027.
That’s when the “we’ll just wait it out” crowd runs into reality:
– Divorce
– Job loss
– Relocation
– Retirement
– Cash-flow stress
Forced sellers will appear all at once, in a cooling economy.
That’s when prices actually reset.
That’s when patience gets paid.

IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST BUY
Buy like a predator, not a consumer:
– Assume your income drops 20%
– Keep LTV conservative (negative equity kills optionality)
– Only buy if you can survive 10 years of flat or declining prices
If that scares you, you can’t afford the house.

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL. AT ALL.

What just happened shouldn’t exist statistically speaking.
Yet here we are.

In ONE WEEK, the market printed THREE separate 6-sigma events:
– Bonds
– Silver
– Gold
That’s not “volatility.”

That’s the system under stress.
Last week, Japanese 30-year bonds had a full 6-sigma move.
That market is the backbone of global funding. When it snaps, it’s never random.

Two days later, silver went insane:
A near 5-sigma rally, then a 6-sigma dump in the same session.
That’s not trading that’s forced liquidation.
Now look at gold.
Up 23% in less than a month, creeping into 6-sigma territory.
Three markets.
Days apart.
Different asset classes.
That has never happened before.

Quick reality check:
1-sigma = noise
3-sigma = rare
5-sigma = extreme
6-sigma = “once in a lifetime”
6-sigma only shows up when something breaks:
1987 crash.
2020 COVID panic.
Swiss franc shock.
Negative oil.
And now we’re seeing it again and again.
These moves aren’t caused by news headlines.
They come from leverage, crowded trades, margin calls, collateral stress.

When bonds crack, leverage shrinks.
When leverage shrinks, markets are forced to sell some things…
and panic-buy protection in others.
That’s why gold and silver are screaming.
Rates reflect trust in governments.
Precious metals reflect trust in money itself.
When both start shaking at the same time, you’re looking at a shift in the monetary regime.
I’ll stop here and share more tomorrow.

Just remember this:
Three 6-sigma events in one week is not normal.
Gold and silver aren’t “going up” they’re warning you.
Most people will only understand this after the damage is done.

🚨 WARNING: A MAJOR STORM HAS BEGUN

Gold and silver were suddenly dumped, and in less than 30 minutes, over $6 TRILLION in market capitalization was wiped out.
Let that sink in.

That’s more wealth than the combined GDP of the UK and France, erased faster than it takes to order a pizza.
This doesn’t even feel real — but it is.
So what’s actually happening?
Extreme moves like this almost never come from “news.”
They come from the structure of the market itself:
– Instantaneous de-leveraging
– Cascading margin calls
– Collateral evaporation
– Forced liquidations across assets
In other words, we’re witnessing massive internal stress inside the system’s mechanics.

👉 THE SYSTEM JUST BROKE.
When so-called “safe haven” assets like gold and silver vaporize trillions of dollars in minutes, the market is sending a very clear message:

👉 We are in the middle of a real paradigm shift.
The next few days are going to be INSANE.
Stay calm — I’ll keep you updated like I always do.
I’ve studied macro for over 10 years, and I’ve called nearly every major market top — including the October Bitcoin all-time high.
Pay attention.

🚨 IF YOU’RE BETWEEN 18 AND 48, READ THIS NOW

Not later.
Not tomorrow.
Now.
Because the next 3–6 months are going to create disgusting amounts of money.
The kind of money you don’t talk about in real life.
The kind of money that makes you lower your voice when you think about it.
The kind of money that feels illegal to say out loud.

We are about to see a record number of new MILLIONAIRES.
Here’s what’s coming:
👉 The stock market is setting up for a violent final blow-off rally.
👉 The crypto market will go on a terrifying run — right before the largest recession in modern history.
This is how late-cycle wealth is made.
Fast.
Aggressive.
Uncomfortable.

DO NOT WASTE TIME
Opportunities like this don’t repeat.
Most people miss them because they hesitate, overthink, or wait for “confirmation.”
If you’re reading this right now, you’re not late.
But the window is closing fast.
Weeks matter.
Days matter.

WHY I’M CONFIDENT
I don’t track prices.
I track sentiment, positioning, and exhaustion.
I’ve studied macro for over 10 years, and I’ve called nearly every major market top.

The crowd always gets euphoric right before the fall.
We’re entering that phase now.
This is not financial advice.
This is a warning.
Act accordingly.

🚨 HOW IS THIS POSSIBLE?

Take a close look at this.
A $300 price gap has just opened between U.S. gold prices and the rest of the world.

Remember when Peter Schiff warned that the U.S. would eventually decouple from global markets?

That moment may be here.
During the flash crash, global gold and silver prices looked like this:

– Hong Kong: $5,527 / $117.53
– Mumbai: $5,559 / $118.44
– London: $5,508 / $117.38
– New York: $5,202 / $108.45

Let that sink in.
Metals only crashed in the United States.

Not globally.
Not across all markets.
Only in the U.S.
In a functioning market, arbitrage algorithms would erase a spread like this in milliseconds.

They didn’t.
Why?
Because this wasn’t a glitch.
It was coordinated.

What we’re witnessing is massive naked short selling, deployed almost exclusively during the U.S. trading session.

The objective is obvious:
👉 Crash paper metals to protect the U.S. Dollar.

If gold is allowed to rise freely, the Dollar Index (DXY) collapses.
So instead, they’re willing to sacrifice the integrity of the futures market to keep the fiat system alive a little longer.

In plain terms:
👉 They are doing this to save their country.

I’m still analyzing the situation because this has never happened before at this scale. I’ll be sharing updates soon.

Unfortunately, most people are going to get liquidated during this paradigm shift.

My followers won’t.

I’ll be sharing my EXACT exit strategy before the masses realize what’s happening.

It’s coming soon.
And many people will wish they had paid attention earlier.

⚠️ CHINA IS DUMPING THE DOLLAR AND THAT SHOULD TERRIFY MARKETS

This is no longer subtle.
And it’s definitely not “routine reserve management.”
China’s gold reserves just hit 74.1 million ounces a historic high.
At the same time, its U.S. Treasury holdings collapsed to $682.6B, the lowest in 18 years.
Since the 2013 peak, China has liquidated over $600B in Treasuries
while more than doubling its gold stockpile.
That is not diversification.
That is capital flight from the dollar system — at the sovereign level.
The implication is uncomfortable:
China is treating U.S. Treasuries as political risk, not “risk-free assets.”

And the macro logic is obvious:
U.S. debt is unpayable without currency debasement
Fiscal dominance has turned Treasuries into inflation collateral
Real yields are policy tools, not market prices
Sanctions proved reserves can be frozen, seized, or weaponized
Gold can’t be printed.
Gold can’t be sanctioned.
Gold can’t default.
Dumping Treasuries does real damage.
It drains global dollar liquidity, pushes stress to the long end of the curve, and forces the Fed to choose between market stability and currency credibility.

This is how reserve empires end:
Not with a crash — but with silent exits.
First, central banks move.
Then bond markets fracture.
Then currencies pay the price.
Anyone calling this “normal” either doesn’t understand macro — or doesn’t want to.
This isn’t China hedging.
This is China preparing for the moment Treasuries stop working.
And once that belief spreads,
the dollar system doesn’t bend — it breaks.

🚨 THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD FOR MARKETS AND MOST PEOPLE STILL DON’T GET IT

What’s happening right now should not be possible.
This isn’t noise.
This is system stress.
By the time it’s obvious, it’s already over.

Here’s what no one wants to talk about:
1️⃣ DATA BLACKOUT
U.S. government shutdown starts Jan 31.
The Fed is “data-dependent” but shutdown = NO DATA:
→ CPI
→ Jobs
→ GDP
→ BLS / BEA
No data = no transparency.
Models break.
Algos start guessing.
Uncertainty explodes. Volatility gets repriced violently.

2️⃣ COLLATERAL RISK
Treasuries are the backbone of global funding.
Yet:
→ The U.S. is already downgraded
→ Rating agencies are warning about political dysfunction
A downgrade during a shutdown = higher repo haircuts overnight.
Higher margins = less liquidity.
That’s how funding stress starts.

3️⃣ LIQUIDITY IS ALREADY GONE
Dealers pull back when uncertainty rises.
But this time there’s no buffer:
→ RRP is basically drained
If confidence in Treasuries cracks,
short-term funding freezes fast.

Now zoom out — the market is already screaming:
IN ONE WEEK
→ Japan 30Y bonds: 6-sigma move
→ Silver: 6-sigma spike in one session
→ Gold: +23% in under a month
Three near-statistical impossibilities — back to back.
That doesn’t happen from headlines.
It happens when:
→ Leverage is overcrowded
→ Collateral gets questioned
→ Forced positioning begins
That’s when regimes break.
Rates price confidence in governments.
Gold prices confidence in currencies.
When both destabilize at the same time, the message is obvious.
This isn’t “just a shutdown.”

It’s a perfect storm:
→ Data disappears
→ Collateral weakens
→ Liquidity is stretched
→ Internal stress is extreme
That’s how small political events turn into systemic crises.
Ignore it if you want just don’t pretend you weren’t warned.
I’ve called major tops and bottoms for 10+ years.
2026 won’t be different.
Follow now — or be someone else’s exit liquidity.

🚨 THIS IS NOT A WARNING ANYMORE IT’S A VERDICT
99% WILL LOSE EVERYTHING IN 2026.

Not clickbait. Not fear porn. Just math.
GOLD $5,330 — ATH
SILVER $115 — ATH
COPPER $6 — ATH

If you think this is “bullish,” you don’t understand markets.
Copper = EXPANSION
Gold = COLLAPSE
They never run together.
Now they are.
That means the model is dead.
This isn’t rotation.
This isn’t growth.
This is CAPITAL RUNNING FOR THE EXIT.
Smart Money isn’t reallocating they’re leaving the table.

The market has already priced in the truth:
Currency debasement is locked in
Sovereign debt is unpayable
Central banks have lost control
Stocks aren’t being sold to buy dips.
They’re being sold to escape the system.

I’ve only seen this correlation snap three times:
Every time, “the economy was strong.”
Every time, a crash followed.
When hard assets AND fear assets pump together,
confidence is already gone.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called major tops including BTC’s ATH while the crowd was delusional.
Ignore this if you want comfort.
Follow if you want the warning before everyone else panics.

💥 THE DOLLAR ISN’T “COLLAPSING” IT’S BEING USED

Everyone’s panicking.
“Trump is losing control.”
No. That’s the surface-level take.
This isn’t chaos.
It’s strategy.
A weaker dollar is not a bug for America — it’s a weapon:
– U.S. exports get cheaper overnight
– Foreign demand floods into American goods
– Manufacturing becomes competitive again
– $36 TRILLION in debt gets inflated away
– China & the EU lose their pricing edge

People forget this simple truth:
Strong dollar = America consumes the world
Weak dollar = the world consumes America
Every empire that resets trade power does it through currency.
Not speeches. Not tariffs alone. FX.
Trump isn’t “losing control.”

He’s forcing a rebalancing most people don’t even know exists.
While the crowd watches headlines,
the real game is being played in exchange rates.
By the time everyone figures it out,
the move is already done.

🚨 4 DAYS UNTIL THE GOVERNMENT SHUTS DOWN AND PEOPLE ARE WAY TOO CALM

History is very clear about what usually happens next:
Gold & Silver move first and they move fast.
Stocks? Usually not so lucky.

Why?
Because we’re about to trade blind.
No inflation data.
No jobs report.
No macro visibility.
The Fed will be flying with zero instruments.

Here’s what that really means:
– No data = algos panic.
Uncertainty gets repriced instantly. Volatility spikes before humans even react.
– Credit risk comes back on the table.
A downgrade threat means repo margins jump, collateral tightens, liquidity disappears.
– There’s no buffer left.
The RRP tank is already empty. No safety net this time.
– The economy bleeds quietly.
Every week of shutdown shaves ~0.2% off GDP. That’s enough to tip us into a technical recession if it drags on.

And here’s the part most people ignore:
The probability of a shutdown is sitting around 81% right now.
That’s not “noise.” That’s a real risk being mispriced.
Markets hate two things more than anything:
uncertainty and lack of data.
We’re about to get both.

I’ll keep posting updates as this unfolds.
I’ve called the major tops and bottoms for the past 10 years.
When I make my next move, I’ll say it publicly before the crowd figures it out.
By the time most people react, the trade is already gone.

🚨GOLD AT $5,000 DOESN’T MEAN YOU WON.
BITCOIN AT $88,000 DOESN’T MEAN YOU’RE LATE.

Sell Gold at $5,000.
Buy Bitcoin at $88,000.
If gold ever trades at $5,000, that doesn’t feel like a celebration.
It feels like a signal that something fundamental has shifted in the global system.
Debt keeps growing faster than productivity.
Governments rely more on deficits.

Central banks are forced to choose between inflation and instability — and neither option is comfortable.
In that kind of world, gold does what it has always done:
it absorbs fear.
But fear trades have limits.
Bitcoin is different.

It’s not reacting to panic — it’s responding to long-term changes in how value is stored, moved, and trusted in a digital economy.
Gold works inside the system.
Bitcoin questions the system.
When real yields stay low and currencies quietly lose purchasing power, capital doesn’t just look for safety anymore.
It looks for alternatives.

This isn’t about predicting a collapse.
It’s about recognizing a transition.
Gold helps preserve wealth from the past.
Bitcoin is a bet on how the future might work.
You don’t have to agree.
Most people won’t — at first.

But the most important trades are usually uncomfortable when you make them.
Just a macro view.
Not advice.
Maybe the trade of the century.

🚨 THE USD IS FALLING APART AND MOST PEOPLE DON’T REALIZE THEY’RE ALREADY STUCK

This isn’t a pullback.
It’s not noise.
The U.S. dollar is bleeding.
$DXY is down 10.7%, trading around 96.
That level has never meant “safety” it has always meant stress.
If you’re holding USD thinking you’re being conservative, you’re not.
You’re just slow to react.

Over the last year, the dollar has lost to almost every major currency.
That’s not speculation that’s global capital quietly walking away.
Here’s the uncomfortable truth:
If you sat in the S&P 500 or real estate thinking you were safe, after inflation and FX bleed, you made almost nothing.
So what broke?

Debt.
U.S. total debt is now $38.5 trillion.
That debt will never be paid back in real terms.
The only way out is the oldest trick in macro history:
currency devaluation.

Rates don’t protect the dollar anymore.
Geopolitics removed the benefit of the doubt.
Capital now has better options — and it’s taking them.
Gold and silver aren’t moving because people are excited.
They’re moving because trust is fading.
Doing nothing here isn’t neutral.
It’s a bet that this system fixes itself.
It won’t.

You don’t need to panic.
But you do need to stop pretending cash is safe.
Because in every currency reset,
the people who “waited for clarity”
ended up funding everyone else’s exit.

🚨 THE DOLLAR IS DONE WHAT YOU’RE WATCHING IS A CONTROLLED COLLAPSE

Yes, that headline makes people uncomfortable.
Good. It should.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory or Twitter doom porn.
It’s deliberate macro policy unfolding in real time.
For the first time in 15 years, Washington and Tokyo are fully aligned on one thing:
the U.S. dollar needs to go down.
On Friday, the NY Fed called primary dealers asking for USD/JPY quotes.

That’s not “monitoring.”
That’s a rate check — the final step before FX intervention.
The last time the U.S. and Japan intervened together was 2011, after Fukushima.
They don’t do this unless the system is already under stress.
Why now?

Japan needs a stronger yen to stop inflation from spiraling.
Trump needs lower long-end yields to roll U.S. debt without blowing up the Treasury.
Different problems.
Same solution.
Sacrifice the dollar.

Let’s talk numbers the crowd keeps ignoring:
→ DXY below 96 — 4-year lows
→ 40-year JGB at 4.24% — highest since 2007
→ U.S. shutdown deadline: Jan 30
→ Powell’s replacement possibly announced THIS WEEK
This is the math no one wants to accept:
→ Falling DXY = the return of “Sell America”
→ Every dollar-priced asset must be repriced
→ Gold and silver at ATHs are signals, not coincidences
Now the uncomfortable part.

Short term: this is NOT bullish.
A fast-strengthening yen forces a violent carry trade unwind.
Liquidity disappears.
Risk assets get sold first.
Medium term: yes, it’s bullish — but only after damage is done.
A weak dollar is the core thesis behind Bitcoin.
You don’t get upside without chaos first.

What actually matters now:
→ FOMC
→ Fed Chair succession
→ DXY
The belief in the dollar as the global reserve currency
isn’t eroding slowly.
It’s cracking in front of you.
Ignore it if you want.
The market won’t.

🚨 THE SYSTEM IS BREAKING AND DENIAL IS THE LAST STAGE

The government is shutting down.
The U.S. dollar is starting to crack.
Not because of a “temporary issue” but because they’ve lost control of the economy.
They’ll keep saying it’s “under control.”
But people aren’t buying that story anymore.
You can repeat the same narrative only so long…
until reality forces a reset.
And when that moment hits, the damage is always worse than if the truth had come out earlier.

THE WARNING SIGNS LOOK EXACTLY LIKE 2008:
→ The Fed’s emergency repo usage just surged.
Banks don’t trust each other enough to lend.
This is the same liquidity freeze we saw before Lehman collapsed.
→ The S&P 500 / Gold ratio just broke major support.
Last time this happened?
Right before the 2008 crash.
→ The Sahm Rule has been hovering dangerously close to triggering since late 2025.
And the hard data keeps getting worse:
– $800B+ in commercial real estate debt matures this year.
Many properties are worth ~40% less than what’s owed.
– Business bankruptcies up nearly 12% YoY.
Mid-sized companies are slamming into a refinancing wall.
– Credit card delinquencies are back to 2011 levels,
while household debt sits near $18.5T.
But the real shock is bigger than the U.S.

DE-DOLLARIZATION IS ACCELERATING.
More than 90% of trade between Russia, China, and India now happens without USD.
With $1T+ per year in interest payments, the U.S. has only two paths:
→ Inflate the debt away
→ Let the system break
There is no third option.
There is no exit plan.
I’m not here to scare you.
I’m here so you’re not the last one holding the bag.
This is how generational wealth shifts.
Follow and turn on notifications or become exit liquidity later.
Most people will ignore this.
They always do.

🚨 THIS IS THE DAY THE SYSTEM CRACKS 2026’S REAL BLACK SWAN STARTS TOMORROW

Tomorrow, the Supreme Court rules on Trump’s tariffs.
There is a 76% probability the tariffs are declared ILLEGAL.
Some people are calling this bullish.
That alone tells me how dangerously mispriced this market is.

THIS IS NOT BULLISH.
THIS IS A MACRO TRAP.

The mistake everyone is making is focusing on the ruling itself.
What matters is what explodes immediately after.

HERE’S WHAT THE MARKET IS REFUSING TO PRICE IN:
Trump has already stated the retaliation and payback could reach HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS.
Once you account for investment damage, contract terminations, legal claims, and trade dislocation, the number doesn’t stop at billions.

It moves into the TRILLIONS.
If the Court nukes the tariffs, it instantly rips a massive revenue hole straight through the US Treasury.
That is not a political headline.
That is a FISCAL SHOCK EVENT.
Refund battles begin overnight.
Emergency debt issuance follows.
Counter-tariff retaliation risk spikes.
Funding markets tighten all at once.
The market is not pricing any of this.
And when reality finally hits, liquidity doesn’t rotate.

IT DISAPPEARS.
Bonds get sold.
Equities get sold.
Crypto gets sold.
Everything becomes exit liquidity — simultaneously.
This is how systemic stress actually starts.
Quiet at first. Then violent. Then everywhere.
I’m not here to scare you.

I’m here because I’ve seen this pattern repeat.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years.
I’ve called nearly every major market top including the October BTC ATH. You don’t have to agree with me.
But if you think tomorrow is bullish,
you’re not trading macro you’re gambling against it.
Be careful.

🚨 BITCOIN ISN’T “CONSOLIDATING” IT’S BEING HELD DOWN
Look at BTC.

Stuck between $85K–$95K.
Now look around.
Stocks ripping. Commodities ripping. New ATHs everywhere.
And BTC? Flat.
You really think that’s natural?
Here’s what’s actually going on no hype, no buzzwords.
This range breaks on JANUARY 30.

BTC is pinned inside a huge options gamma wall.
The Jan 30 expiry has almost 2× the open interest of any other date.
Market makers are long gamma here.

In plain English:
– When price goes up, they sell
– When price goes down, they buy
So every breakout fails.
Every dip gets caught.
Price feels weirdly calm and frustrating.
That’s not because buyers disappeared.
It’s because the tape is being managed.

Here’s the part most people miss:
THIS WEAKNESS IS TEMPORARY.
As we get closer to Jan 30, that gamma pressure fades.
When the options expire, the hedges disappear.

The market goes from:
controlled → free
And when that much gamma comes off at once,
price usually doesn’t move slowly.
It moves fast.
In one direction.
When nobody is ready.
I’ve been doing this for 10+ years.
I’ve seen this setup more times than I can count.
When I make my next move,
I’ll post it here first.
No drama.
No hype.
Just price.