Brothers, hello everyone, I am trader Zhu Yidan. I got drunk last night. I thought I had great tolerance for alcohol, having once drunk 2 jin of 42-degree liquor in one sitting, but yesterday I was so overwhelmed by 10-degree beer that I didn't dare to enter the private room. You read that right, 10-degree beer. Alright, back to the point. At 2 AM on the 18th of this month, the highly anticipated US interest rate meeting officially begins. This time, there is almost a hundred percent chance of a rate cut. The only controversial point is whether to cut by 25 basis points or directly by 50 basis points. More importantly, the speech by the Federal Reserve Chairman starts at 2:30, setting the tone for whether there will be a rate cut in the coming months.
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Written before today's non-farm payroll data, employment and unemployment data should be the key data points every month. However, unless there is a significant rise in the unemployment rate before the tariffs officially take effect, it is unlikely to have much impact on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Recently, several officials from the Federal Reserve have made it very clear that as long as the official tariffs (reciprocal) are not implemented, the Federal Reserve is likely to be more cautious.
Therefore, the market has already lost hope for a rate cut before the third quarter, especially after the GDP data was released, which has further reduced the probability of the U.S. entering an economic recession. In the short term, no analysts are discussing recession anymore.
Hence, the unemployment rate data has returned to being seen as good data regardless of whether it is good or bad. A slight increase in the unemployment rate can raise expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut without overly stimulating discussions on recession. A drop in the unemployment rate indicates that the U.S. economic situation is still good, and the Federal Reserve did not plan to cut rates prematurely, so a good economy can also promote investors' risk appetite.
Then there is the employment population data, which is certainly better when it is higher, but the impact should not be significant as long as it is not significantly below expectations. Additionally, there is the change in wages; wage increases certainly indicate good economic performance. According to current market expectations, if it meets expectations, it can still boost investor sentiment.
Especially since Tesla has almost reached $300 before the market opens, the market needs some positive news to calm down a bit. Of course, if the non-farm payroll data is disastrous, this weekend will be tough.
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In the $IP event contract, those who focus on ten minutes will definitely lose, as the fees will drain you dry. It's only suitable for extreme market conditions like yesterday, where you can earn money in a day, typically when panic emotions arise. By the next day, when emotions stabilize, prices naturally rebound. I usually only open positions in such situations, but unfortunately, I am only allowed to make three trades with a total limit of 750u, which is too small to earn much money. $KAITO {future}(KAITOUSDT) $PNUT {future}(PNUTUSDT) #事件合约
🚨Bullish: Trump plans to sign an executive order on January 20, making cryptocurrency a national priority, establishing a cryptocurrency committee, and directing regulators to work with the industry.
The president supports cryptocurrency, and the whole world is backing it. This is also a good thing for the cryptocurrency market.
分析师舒琴
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Trump's coin sucks hundreds of billions, besides Trump and Sol in the bull market, the crypto world is really miserable, I don't know whether this is good or bad. Sigh.
Sharing comes from the loneliness of trading... I just want to prove that you can trade, look at the market, and improve your trading knowledge! Instead of spending money to look at who! Just to prove that there is no need to spend money to look at strategies in trading~#APT
ps: You didn’t buy APT at 8.6-7.6, and now it is close to 9.6, you will ask if you can still buy it. 😄
🚨When the alarm sounds, there are thousands of golds... In the trading market, there are always a group of people who regret! I regret not buying the spot at 90,000! I regret saying I will no longer be obsessed with intraday trading, but I am still obsessed with it~ Regret_____Regret____! #BTC
Let's talk about the trend of the market today. Bitcoin has now confirmed the reversal of the situation, because when it fell to a lower low (Lower Low) before, it has now risen to a higher high (Higher High), which is a signal of initial strength. If there is a pullback, you can continue to buy more, especially pay attention to the support near 95,000. This bullish trend is expected to continue to the 100,000 mark.
At present, Bitcoin has rebounded first compared with ETH and SOL, and has reached the resistance near Fibonacci 0.618 (97600), while ETH and Sol have relatively more room. Looking back, it took BTC one day to return from 89,000 to 98,000. How many people followed me to buy the bottom bravely? Even if you didn't buy the bottom, at least don't sell at a low price.
But to be honest, the K-line has been useless recently. Now the rise and fall depends on various US data. Tonight's CPI is the key to determine the rise and fall. At present, it is tentatively set at 95,000 support to buy more, and 100,000 resistance to sell one hand. But I think I will definitely change my strategy according to the CPI results when the data comes out.
Then let's focus on the CPI on September 30 tonight, hoping that it will be as good as yesterday's PPI. I will publish the results in real time, so don't forget to follow me~
I share spot trading positions, while some want to use contracts I would love for it to drop to 18 soon, so I can put in my other positions as well, but can you handle the contract? 🤔 #İNJ can't handle it, and will start complaining again~ Really, Spring Brother thinks that what you buy can take off immediately in three to five minutes 😄
Dogecoin will break $1.2 and Sol will break $1,000!
Dogecoin (DOGE) has now entered the "PO3" mode, which is the three stages of accumulation, manipulation and distribution in the market, among which the distribution stage usually indicates a strong rise in prices. This stage begins in early 2025 and may push the price of Dogecoin to break through $1 in 2025.
The formation of the PO3 pattern began in November 2024, when Dogecoin was in the market recovery stage, especially in the recovery period of the crypto market after the US presidential election.
At this time, Dogecoin experienced an accumulation stage, that is, capital accumulation and large-scale buying. Entering December, Dogecoin experienced a short-term manipulation stage, which led to price corrections and consolidation. However, with the arrival of January 2025, the market entered the distribution stage, which is usually the beginning of a price breakthrough. At this point, DOGE has rebounded quickly in just a few days, signaling a pick-up in sentiment and raising the possibility of an upside move
As of early 2025, Dogecoin has performed strongly, especially compared to the pullback at the end of 2024. DOGE has achieved a 23.15% rebound in early 2025 and is trading at $0.3852, up 15% in the past 24 hours. This rise is closely tied to the bullish outlook for the overall crypto market and suggests that DOGE may be in the early stages of an explosive upswing.
In addition, DOGE's price action fits the "Jump The Creek" pattern, which is a transition from the Wyckoff accumulation phase to the upswing phase.
The pattern suggests that DOGE is gradually breaking through and retesting key resistance levels, reinforcing market confidence and the sustainability of the uptrend. In the current distribution phase, Dogecoin has the potential to break through $1, which is a 157% increase from the current price. DOGE is expected to initially reach $0.6533 and is expected to break through $1 and even reach $1.20
According to the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator, DOGE's price trend is also technically supported. #Doge🚀🚀🚀 #BTC重返10万
In the liquidation heatmap, the number of long positions exceeds that of short positions, indicating that there will be another wave. There are also signs of a downward trend in the MACD death cross; set your stop loss properly.
Dann Whiley Gctp
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What to do with $ACT , does anyone have any suggestions?