悟币喵

Citi's Heavy Prediction: Next Week's Non-Farm Data May Show "Unexpected Cooling", Unemployment Rate May Rise to 4.7%

As the year-end approaches, the "fog" surrounding the U.S. job market seems to be thickening. Citi economists recently issued a warning: the unemployment benefit data during the holiday period may have "seasonal distortions," suggesting that the market should remain cautious—especially in light of last week's unexpected drop in initial jobless claims to 199,000, significantly below expectations.

Citi's latest analysis points out: "The seasonal adjustment issues for this year's holiday week seem to be more complex than in previous years, and clearer signals from the job market may not truly emerge until late January." Nevertheless, current data still conveys a stable signal: there has been no large-scale layoffs by companies.

However, the upcoming data may "wake up" the market: Citi predicts that the growth in non-farm employment in December may slow to 75,000, while the unemployment rate is expected to rise to 4.7%—this change is partly due to a rebound in the labor force participation rate, indicating that more people who were previously not on the job-seeking list are returning to the job market, raising the statistical base for the unemployment rate.

If this prediction comes true, it may affect the market's expectations regarding the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A slowdown in job growth combined with a moderate rise in the unemployment rate may strengthen the market's speculation that the interest rate hike cycle has peaked, and that the window for rate cuts is gradually approaching.

Next week, this non-farm report will be unveiled. Will it prove the resilience of the job market, or signal a mild economic slowdown? The answer will soon be revealed. $BTC $ETH $BNB #Strategy增持比特币

The US dollar is strongly rising, while the euro and pound are under pressure and declining

Last night, the foreign exchange market showed a clear trend, with the US dollar demonstrating a strong upward momentum. The US dollar index, which measures the dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.21% on the day, closing at 98.241 points, continuing the recent strengthening trend.

The performance of major currency pairs was notably divergent: the euro against the US dollar closed at 1.1747, down from 1.1767 on the previous trading day; the pound against the US dollar also weakened, falling from 1.3507 to 1.3466, reflecting the market's cautious attitude towards European currencies.

In terms of safe-haven currencies, the US dollar against the Japanese yen rose to 156.49, higher than the previous trading day's 156.03; the US dollar against the Swiss franc also increased to 0.7917, showing that the dollar still holds an advantageous position in safe-haven demand.

Commodity currencies are similarly under pressure: the US dollar against the Canadian dollar slightly rose to 1.3696, while the US dollar against the Swedish krona climbed from 9.1802 to 9.1996, indicating that the overall strengthening pattern of the US dollar covers multiple currency pairs.

Market analysis points out that the current rise of the US dollar is mainly supported by the relatively hawkish monetary policy stance of the Federal Reserve, while concerns about global economic growth have also boosted the safe-haven demand for the dollar. With changes in inflation pressures and interest rate expectations, the dollar index is expected to continue fluctuating at high levels, and investors need to closely monitor the ongoing impact of major central bank policy trends on the exchange rate market. $BTC $ETH $BNB #Strategy增持比特币

2025 Cryptocurrency Review: Maturing through Compliance

In the past year, the biggest theme in the cryptocurrency industry has been "compliance" and "institutionalization." Major global regulatory frameworks are becoming clearer, and traditional financial institutions are entering the market in large numbers, driving the professional development of the market. Bitcoin reached new highs with the help of the spot ETF, but the overall market has bid farewell to the early "wild" phase and entered a more rational and mature new cycle.

 

2026 Outlook: Integration and Breakthrough

Looking ahead, next year will be a year of "deep integration between the real world and the digital world." AI-driven on-chain applications will emerge, and sovereign digital assets will enter a new stage. The core driving force of the market will shift from mere capital inflow to technological innovation and large-scale application implementation.㊗️ Happy New Year to everyone, may your wishes come true💝🎁🎉
$BTC $ETH $BNB #Strategy增持比特币

The three major stock indices collectively closed lower, while Chinese concept stock Baidu surged over 4%

Last night, the U.S. stock market showed mixed performance, with all three major indices slightly declining. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ultimately fell by 0.20%, the S&P 500 dipped by 0.14%, and the Nasdaq Composite retreated by 0.24%.

Tech stocks had a varied performance: Tesla closed down by 1%, while chip giant Intel rose against the trend by 1.7%. AI leader Nvidia slightly fell by 0.3%, still maintaining a position near historical highs.

In terms of Chinese concept stocks, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose slightly by 0.26%, with some individual stocks standing out. Baidu became the market focus, with its stock price soaring by 4.4%, reaching a recent high. The new energy vehicle sector's XPeng Motors also performed strongly, rising by 3.7%, demonstrating the market's ongoing optimism for China's smart electric vehicle sector.

Analysts point out that despite the overall pressure on the market, some individual stocks with clear growth prospects are still favored by investors. Especially in frontier technology areas like artificial intelligence and electric vehicles, market differentiation is apparent, and investors are actively seeking structural opportunities. $BTC $ETH $BNB #Strategy增持比特币

3 billion dollars! Nvidia acquires AI21, the most valuable being the brains of 200 people

Nvidia's negotiations to acquire Israeli AI startup AI21 Labs are nearing completion, with a price between 2 billion and 3 billion dollars.

The core part of this deal may not be the technology, but the people. Reports indicate that Nvidia is primarily interested in the company's research and development team of about 200 people, most of whom have advanced degrees and possess 'rare AI development expertise'.

AI21 Labs was founded in 2017 by Mobileye founder Amnon Shashua and others, and was valued at 1.4 billion dollars during its financing last year, with investors including Nvidia and Google. Now, Nvidia has chosen to bring it directly under its wing.

In the era of generative AI frenzy, top talent has become a strategic resource scarcer than gold. This potential acquisition clearly reveals one point: the current AI race is essentially a battle for top intellect. As tech giants offer sky-high prices for an elite team, a new era of pricing for intelligence has already arrived. $BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金

Second-generation stars do not rely on their halo; Alan Tam's son makes a name for himself in Web3 with his strength.

When it comes to Alan Tam, who wouldn't hum a few lines from "Friends" or "Love in Late Autumn"? But today, we are not focusing on the music industry's 'principal', but rather on his low-profile yet exceptionally talented son—Tam Siu Fung.

You might not expect that this second-generation star chose not to step into the colorful entertainment circle, but instead carved out his own territory in the cryptocurrency and Web3 fields based on solid technical skills.

Currently, Tam Siu Fung serves as a senior software engineer at a Web3 startup, focusing on the development of digital wallets and cryptographic protocols. However, what truly made him stand out was the project he led during his time at the Canadian gaming company Axiom Zen—the world's first NFT game based on the Ethereum blockchain, "CryptoKitties".

How popular was this game back then? It once accounted for over 16% of the transaction volume on the Ethereum network, becoming a phenomenal presence in the blockchain field. And Tam Siu Fung was one of the core members of this blockbuster project.

In the eyes of many, second-generation stars often easily gain resources relying on their family halo. But Tam Siu Fung chose a completely different path—proving himself through technology and innovation. From CryptoKitties to his current Web3 development, he has been deeply engaged on the cutting edge of blockchain technology, a focus and professionalism that is admirable.

Now, with the concepts of the metaverse, NFTs, and Web3 becoming increasingly popular, experts like Tam Siu Fung, who have both a technical background and successful project experience, are becoming the backbone of this emerging industry. He proves through his experience: regardless of one's background, true strength and innovative thinking are the foundation for future success.

Perhaps this is the way a second-generation star in the new era should be—relying on strength rather than halo, shining brightly in the field of their choice. $BTC $ETH $BNB #Strategy增持比特币

Tesla leads the decline, the three major US stock indexes all fall!

The US stock market had a poor start this week, with all three major indexes closing down. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.5%, the S&P 500 dropped by 0.35%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index also decreased by 0.5%, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

In terms of individual stocks, electric vehicle giant Tesla showed weak performance, with its stock price dropping over 3%, becoming the focus of market attention. Meanwhile, the semiconductor industry displayed a mixed trend: Micron Technology rose against the trend by 3.4%, while AI chip leader Nvidia saw a slight decline of about 1%.

Chinese concept stocks also exhibited a complex situation. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, which tracks the performance of Chinese companies listed in the US, fell slightly by 0.66%. Among them, e-commerce giant Alibaba's stock price dropped over 2%, while electric vehicle manufacturer NIO surged against the trend by 5%, showing a clear difference in investor attitudes towards different Chinese concept stocks.

Market analysts pointed out that investors will closely watch the upcoming corporate earnings reports and key economic data this week to assess the health of the US economy and corporate profitability. Against the backdrop of multiple uncertainties such as inflation data, interest rate prospects, and geopolitical factors, the market may continue to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term.

Although the overall market faced pressure on Monday, the counter-trend performance of certain sectors and individual stocks still indicates that there are structural opportunities in the market. Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's policy direction and changes in corporate fundamentals to adjust their investment strategies in response to the current complex market environment. $BTC $ETH $SOL #Strategy增持比特币

A sudden drop of $7 in one day: the silver "short squeeze feast" abruptly ends, with volatility lurking amid liquidity exhaustion

Last week, silver became the market focus with an astonishing surge – the rumored "short squeeze battle" and margin call turmoil drove prices upwards. However, the frenzy did not last long, and as market sentiment quickly cooled, silver recorded the largest nominal single-day drop in history yesterday, plummeting over $7 during the day.

Synchronously, gold also faced significant profit-taking, dropping about 4% during the day. Analysts warn that the current precious metals market has entered a typical "emotion-driven" mode, where price fluctuations are often severe and difficult to predict.

What is even more concerning is that market liquidity is shrinking. We are currently in a sensitive trading environment, with overall market participation relatively low, leading to extreme amplifications in price movements. Hedge funds are reluctant to hedge against risks counter to the trend, and market makers are also cutting back on positions – in this lack of buffering market structure, any minor disturbance could trigger a new round of significant volatility.

From "short squeeze carnival" to a single-day drop, the silver trend once again proves: in a market with exhausted liquidity, sentiment can shift instantly, and volatility never truly leaves. $BTC $ETH $SOL #Ripple拟建10亿美元XRP储备

Tariff War Easing? New Anxiety for US Companies: Lack of Workers More Troublesome than Tariffs

In the past year, global trade has been fluctuating due to the tariff policies of the Trump administration. Recently, the trend has changed, with Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan pointing out that signs of easing trade tensions are appearing, and global tariff benchmarks may stabilize around 15%.

For businesses, the stabilization of tariffs is good news. However, another pressure is quickly taking its place—US companies are currently more concerned about labor shortages and the uncertainty of immigration policies.

The shift from "tariff anxiety" to "labor anxiety" reflects the real challenges facing the US economy. As the visibility of trade policies increases, long-standing structural issues are becoming the focus again: for many businesses, finding workers may be more troubling than tariffs. $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场观察

On Monday, U.S. stock markets opened lower, with all three major indices declining, particularly pressured by technology stocks.

The Dow Jones fell slightly by 25.24 points, a decrease of 0.05%, closing at 48,685.73 points; the S&P 500 dropped by 0.4%, and the Nasdaq saw a decline of 0.75%, reflecting the market's cautious attitude towards the high valuations in the tech sector.

As the year-end approaches, some investors opted to take profits, combined with a reassessment of next year's monetary policy, triggering this adjustment. However, most opinions suggest that this is a normal fluctuation following a continuous rise, and the long-term trend still awaits further validation from corporate earnings and macroeconomic data. $BTC $ETH $BNB #Strategy增持比特币

In the past ten years, Bitcoin has increased by 27,000%, not gold.

Since 2015, Bitcoin has shown an astonishing cumulative increase, far surpassing gold's 283% and silver's 405% performance. Some argue that 'in just the last four years, Bitcoin has stagnated.' But when you extend the timeframe, the trend becomes clear.

The fundamental difference lies in the logic of scarcity—price increases in precious metals stimulate mining, and supply is variable; whereas the total amount of Bitcoin is permanently capped at 21 million.

Now that the dollar is weakening, the world is searching for real assets that can store value. Gold carries a thousand years of trust, while Bitcoin defines scarcity through code. This contest is no longer about winning or losing, but rather tells us: times are changing, and the definition of value is being rewritten. $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储回购协议计划

MicroStrategy's stock price has reached the 'fair value' of Bitcoin, Saylor hints at an opportunity

When the market capitalization of a publicly traded company is nearly equal to the value of the Bitcoin it holds, it often means the market has given a special signal. MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor recently posted a screenshot on social media with a simple caption: "Back to orange."

Data shows that the company currently holds over 670,000 Bitcoins, with a book value of approximately $58.9 billion. The key point is that the company's price-to-adjusted net asset multiple (mNAV) has fallen to nearly or slightly below 1x—this means the stock price almost purely reflects the value of its Bitcoin holdings, while the company's technology business, brand, and other assets are largely ignored in the market valuation.

Adam Livingston, author of "The Great Harvest," pointed out that such situations have historically often indicated that buying may soon commence. He analyzed that the current "Bitcoin floor price" per share has risen to $148.40, a significant increase from a year ago, while Bitcoin's expected return in 2025 is still projected to be around 25%.

Against the backdrop of continuous institutional positioning following the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, MicroStrategy's stock price converging with the value of its Bitcoin reserves may be providing the market with a rare "pure Bitcoin exposure" opportunity. When the valuation indicator points back to the orange range, those familiar with its history know—important changes may be approaching. $BTC $ETH $BNB #Ripple拟建10亿美元XRP储备

Full compensation within 24 hours! DeBot issues an urgent announcement: Recognize official channels, beware of scams

Today, the DeBot team released a major announcement through the official X platform, responding clearly to recent user concerns.

Key points of the official statement are as follows:

Beware of counterfeit information: There have been instances of fake registration forms sent by impersonators of DeBot customer service appearing in the market. The team firmly states that any compensation registration information released through non-official channels is fraudulent; users are urged to remain vigilant and not disclose personal asset information.

Official timetable confirmation: DeBot will officially release the compensation registration form within 24 hours through the only official channel, ensuring the process is open and transparent.

Full compensation commitment: The team promises to provide 100% full compensation to all affected users, demonstrating its high sense of responsibility for user asset security.

Industry observers point out that DeBot's quick response and proactive assumption of full responsibility sets a positive industry benchmark in the Web3 field. In a time when project security issues are frequent, this user-centric approach is worth noting.

Urgent reminders for users:

Only obtain information through DeBot's officially certified account

Do not click on any suspicious links

Safeguard your private keys and mnemonic phrases, and do not disclose them to anyone

Currently, the community generally holds a positive expectation towards DeBot's compensation plan. We will continue to monitor the progress of this matter and bring you the news of the official registration channel's opening as soon as possible.

 

Editor's note: In the world of cryptocurrency, security is always the first line of defense. No matter how compelling the promises are, always remember: verify official information, protect private data, and be cautious with links. The security of your assets ultimately lies in your own hands. $BTC $ETH $XRP #比特币与黄金战争

The market is experiencing a rare split: gold and U.S. stocks are rising together, why is Bitcoin falling alone?

As gold prices surge to historical highs and U.S. stocks continue to strengthen, Bitcoin has retreated from a high of $126,000 and is currently hovering around $90,000. This "split market" where this cryptocurrency diverges from traditional assets is prompting deep reflection in the market.

This is not a simple story of safe-haven assets.

Typically, in times of increased economic uncertainty, gold and Bitcoin are both viewed as safe-haven choices. However, the current market trend breaks this traditional understanding—gold and U.S. stocks are rising in tandem, while Bitcoin is adjusting on its own. Analysis suggests that this may not just be driven by safe-haven sentiment, but rather a "strategic response" from global funds to the existing monetary system.

The process of de-dollarization is accelerating.

Ramnivas Mundada, head of economic research at GlobalData, stated that central banks worldwide are quietly adjusting their reserve structures to reduce reliance on dollar assets. This trend of "de-dollarization" may be the underlying force driving the rise of traditional precious metals like gold.

"By 2026, gold may still have 8% to 15% upside potential," Mundada predicts, "while silver has even greater upside potential, possibly reaching 20% to 35%."

Key signals from the market.

This split market may be telling us that cryptocurrencies and traditional assets are following different logical paths. Gold's strength reflects expectations of a restructuring of the traditional monetary system; while Bitcoin's adjustment may indicate that the crypto market needs to find new narrative support.

As Bitcoin no longer simply follows gold's trend, investors need a more nuanced perspective to view this increasingly complex global market. Each asset class tells a different story about the future economic landscape. $BTC $ETH $XRP #比特币与黄金战争

Emergency Warning: Multiple on-chain players have experienced abnormal asset loss, please check your status immediately!

Several experienced on-chain users discovered today that their wallets had unauthorized asset transfers. A cryptocurrency security expert using the pseudonym '0xAA' urgently raised the alarm, stating that 'a large number of on-chain players' wallets have been stolen', and the specific automated trading tools involved are still being investigated.

'The situation is still under investigation, and it is strongly advised that all users of related tools remain highly vigilant,' 0xAA warned on social media platforms.

Cybersecurity experts recommend:

Immediately suspend all suspicious automated trading operations

Transfer funds from the automated system to a verified secure wallet

If holding large assets, temporarily transfer them to a reputable exchange

Check all wallet authorization records and revoke unknown permissions

The scope of this incident is still expanding, and it is advised that all on-chain participants immediately check the security status of their assets. Automated tools in the decentralized finance sector, while providing convenience, may also become entry points for security vulnerabilities. Regularly reviewing authorizations, using hardware wallets to store large assets, and enabling transaction notifications are basic security measures that should not be overlooked.

Security experts remind: Please use various on-chain automated tools cautiously until the cause of the incident is clarified.

Security is no small matter; every authorization could be a backdoor. $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储回购协议计划

The trend of the century has been locked in! Silver and gold have completely "broken free," and a new wave of wealth is coming!

This weekend, the market was pierced by a silver lightning bolt—silver prices historically broke the 76-dollar mark, soaring more than 6% in a single day! At the same time, the prices of gold and platinum also refreshed their historical highs, and a collective surge of precious metals is unfolding.

This is not just a game of numbers. Behind it are three strong "tailwinds" working together: the ongoing expectation of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, the weakening of the dollar, and the intensified demand for safe-haven assets due to global geopolitical tensions. During relatively quiet trading periods, these factors are magnified, igniting the volcano of prices.

"Although there may be technical profit-taking before the end of the year, the upward trend is extremely strong, and any pullback could be an opportunity," said Peter Grant, Vice President of Zaner Metals, hitting the nail on the head. He clearly pointed out that it is no longer out of reach for silver to touch 77 dollars or even challenge the 80-dollar mark before the end of the year. The next target for gold is aimed at 4686.81 dollars/ounce, and in the first half of next year, it will launch a full-scale attack towards that breath-taking milestone—5000 dollars.

As gold, silver, and platinum rarely join forces to set records, the signal sent by the market is deafening: a century-level trend driven by macro logic and risk aversion emotions may have already been confirmed. Are you keeping up with the attention? $BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币与黄金战争

Market Differentiation Day: US Stock Market Opens Alone, Many Countries in Europe, Canada, and Asia Continue to be Closed

Today, the global market welcomes a differentiated pattern. On the day after Christmas, the US stock market and futures market will trade as usual, while many markets in Europe, Canada, Australia, and other regions remain closed.

The US stock market opens normally today, and all futures contracts for precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, and stock indices under the Chicago Mercantile Exchange will also trade as usual. It is worth noting that US Treasury futures will suspend trading from 14:00 to 19:00 Beijing time due to the influence of the European market.

Meanwhile, many major global markets continue to enjoy the Christmas holiday. Stock markets in European countries are closed all day, and stock markets in Australia, New Zealand, and Hong Kong are also not trading, with the Canadian market joining the holiday closure, resulting in today's situation of the 'US stock market going it alone.'

This difference stems from various local holiday traditions—many European countries consider December 26 as an extension of the holiday, while the US typically resumes trading quickly after Christmas. For investors, today's market liquidity is relatively concentrated, and the performance of the US stock market will more directly reflect the market sentiment in the US.

While most global markets remain in holiday tranquility, trading on Wall Street has already begun. This differentiated pattern adds a unique flavor to the last trading week of 2024. $BTC $ETH $XRP #比特币与黄金战争

Offline operations ensure safety! Senior security experts urgently remind: This step must be taken before upgrading your wallet.

Recently, a seemingly simple yet potentially crucial reminder regarding asset security has circulated in the digital asset community. Chen Wei, Chief Information Security Officer of Slow Fog Technology, issued a clear warning via social media, alerting countless users who hold digital assets.

"If your wallet version continues to report user theft, remember a key action: disconnect from the network, then export your mnemonic phrase for asset transfer." This senior security expert emphasized, "If you open your wallet while still connected to the internet, your assets may already be exposed to risk."

Behind this warning lies a neglected security detail. Many users habitually operate online, unaware that certain wallet versions with vulnerabilities can expose critical information to malicious programs once connected to the internet. Once the mnemonic phrase is leaked, it means that your control over all assets in that wallet may have been compromised.

It is even more concerning that the subsequent advice is: "If you have backed up your mnemonic phrase, the correct order of operations is: transfer assets first, then upgrade the wallet." This order is crucial—there may be data synchronization or transmission issues during the upgrade process, and if the assets have not yet been transferred, the risk still exists.

The security boundaries in the world of digital assets often lie in these seemingly minor operational differences. An industry veteran confessed: "I once thought that backing up my mnemonic phrase ensured everything was fine, but I didn’t realize the order of operations was so critical. Disconnecting the network to export is a detail I never considered a security blind spot."

As digital assets become more widespread, education on secure operations becomes particularly urgent. Experts remind that not only wallet software but any operations involving private keys and mnemonic phrases should be conducted in the safest possible environment. While disconnecting the network adds some inconvenience, this caution is worth it compared to asset security.

In this interconnected information age, sometimes the safest way is precisely to temporarily 'disconnect.' Protecting digital assets starts with every correct small habit. $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储回购协议计划