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📊Polymarket Latest Forecast: The Probability of the Federal Reserve Holding Steady in January is as High as 87%

Recent data shows that the crypto prediction market Polymarket has given a rather clear signal: currently, traders believe that the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates at the January meeting this year has risen to 87%. This expectation basically reflects the market's consensus on the current monetary policy path—"higher rates for longer" remains the main theme.

In terms of context, although U.S. inflation has retreated somewhat, core inflation and employment data still show resilience, leaving the Federal Reserve lacking a reason to "act urgently." In this environment, policymakers are more inclined to observe the lagging effects of previous tightening policies rather than release easing signals too early. The flow of funds on Polymarket also indirectly confirms this cautious sentiment.

For the financial markets, a probability of 87% means that expectations have been fully priced in. U.S. stocks and crypto assets are more likely to trade around the existing interest rate environment in the short term rather than betting on a policy shift. Bitcoin has recently maintained a range-bound fluctuation, reflecting the market seeking a new balance under the neutral expectation of "no rate cuts but also no rate hikes."

However, it is important to note that when consensus is highly aligned, true volatility often comes from "unexpected" events. Any marginal change in the Federal Reserve's wording or a sudden weakening of macro data could quickly break the current pricing structure.

Overall, not cutting rates in January has almost become the market's default script, but this does not mean that risks have disappeared. In the context of ongoing macro uncertainty, maintaining flexibility and patience remains the most important strategy at present.
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Introduction to LAB Coin
LAB Coin is the native token of the Memes Lab platform, which is built on the TON blockchain. After gaining popularity in 2025, it quickly became a new favorite in the meme coin space.
It combines tap-to-earn mini-games and meme coin tools, allowing beginners to easily navigate the crypto world without needing extensive technical knowledge, simply operating within the Telegram mini-program.
In short, Memes Lab allows users to play games to earn LAB coins, while also using platform tools to discover and trade various meme coins. The games are quite engaging; by tapping the screen to mine and completing tasks, users can accumulate coins, and also participate in airdrops and community activities. The platform emphasizes strong entertainment value and social interaction, with the community sharing memes and discussing trending topics in a lively atmosphere.
LAB Coin is primarily used for purchasing in-game items, participating in lotteries, governance voting, and can also be staked to earn rewards. The total supply is 1 billion coins, with a circulating supply of about 230 million, and its market cap fluctuates between 25 million to 30 million USD, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding 10 million USD, available on major exchanges and DEXs.
After the project launches its IEO around October 2025, the price surged several times, attracting many retail investors and gamers due to the low fees and high speed of the TON ecosystem. However, as a meme coin, the price of LAB is primarily driven by community enthusiasm and gaming activity, making it suitable for friends who enjoy playing games and chasing memes. But don't invest heavily, as the crypto market carries significant risks; it's advisable to follow community updates and data before playing.
Overall, LAB Coin cleverly combines meme coins and mini-program games, representing a new entertainment project on TON. The future depends on whether the community can continue to produce more entertainment projects.
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Latest updates on the Dow Jones Index: Year-end surge followed by a pullback, with rising cautious sentiment

Recently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has displayed a clear 'holiday effect' and volatility structure during the year-end trading of U.S. stocks. Due to lower trading volumes after Christmas, the Dow has shown a slight pullback in recent trading days— the index has consolidated around 48,700, experiencing a minor decline of about 0.04%, reflecting cautious trading in the large-cap stock sector, with some consumer and industrial stocks showing divergent performances. Meanwhile, the Dow is approaching its yearly high, indicating that despite short-term fluctuations, the index has still recorded a relatively solid increase in 2025.

Market analysis indicates that the recent movements of the Dow are mainly influenced by three key factors: first, the reduced trading volume naturally leads to a pullback of the index during holiday trading; second, investors are awaiting the upcoming release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and macroeconomic data, which will inform their judgments regarding future interest rates and policy directions; third, the 'Santa Rally' is nearing its end, with differing expectations for the 2026 market causing funds to temporarily stay on the sidelines as the year comes to a close.

From a technical perspective, the Dow has maintained an upward trend over the past week and monthly cycle, reflecting a generally optimistic sentiment among long-term investors, particularly supported by the performance of large blue-chip companies, which have led to significant cumulative gains for the index this year. Although there have been slight fluctuations due to low trading volumes and seasonal adjustments, most analysts believe that the overall trend still has a solid foundation for upward movement.

Overall, the current latest updates on the Dow Jones Index reflect the characteristics of 'year-end consolidation + stable trend', with market sentiment playing out between seasonal trading and macroeconomic expectations. Investors should pay attention to the potential impacts of future policy signals and macro data releases on the index's trajectory.
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