加密晨曦

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1.27
ETH price is approximately $2939, with a strong intraday fluctuation, repairing within the 2880-2950 range, overall still in a daily downtrend structure, with heavy selling pressure during rebounds.

Key Price Levels (USD)

- Support: 2880 (lifeline), 2840-2860 (strong support), 2780
- Resistance: 2940-2950, 2970-3000 (strong resistance), 3050

Technical Indicators

1. Daily: RSI around 47 indicating weakness; MACD in bearish territory, green bars converging but not reversing; moving averages in a bearish arrangement, price below key moving averages.
2. 4-hour: RSI 48 neutral to weak; MACD below zero axis with bears in control, rebound momentum insufficient; multiple upper shadows with heavy selling pressure above.
3. Hourly: Fluctuation is repeated, insufficient volume, prone to sharp rises and falls, overall correlated with BTC.

Trading Strategy (Risk Control First)

1. Short on Rebound: Enter at 2940-2950, stop loss above 2980, target 2880-2860, break down look at 2840.
2. Long at Low: Enter when stabilizing at 2880-2890, stop loss below 2850, target 2930-2940.
3. Position: Single position ≤ 20%, strict stop loss, quick entry and exit in fluctuating markets.

Risk Warning

- Market sentiment remains in the fear zone, the outflow pressure of ETF funds has not dissipated, if 2880 is broken, it may accelerate the drop to the 2840-2780 range.
- There are a large number of long positions near 3000 that may become a point for bears to add to their positions when the rebound is weak.
#美股七巨头财报 $ETH

1.23

90000 level, a short-term lifeline. On an hourly basis, the price of the coin struggles to break through the 90000 resistance level; every time it touches the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, it retraces, and the trend is very clear. On a four-hour basis, there is a narrow range of fluctuations, with clear support and resistance. Currently, the price of the coin is at the high point of the range, and the morning strategy is mainly bearish.

Recommendations
Bitcoin: Short around 91000-89800, target 87000
Ethereum: Short around 3000-2980, target 2900

#加密市场观察

Two cakes near 2970
Take profit 2940-2920-2880
Defense 3010

$ETH Short-term bearish signal is strong, the rebound is purely a trap, do not blindly go long, the daily line's previous continuous decline sets a bearish tone, a single day with a long lower shadow is just an emotional pullback, the core pressure at 3100-3150 has not been broken, and the funds do not recognize the rebound.

The four-hour descending triangle structure is clear, with highs gradually moving down, showing the weakness of bulls. The 2870 support has been tested multiple times; breaking down with volume will indicate a new downtrend. The KDJ turning without support and the MACD green bars reducing in volume indicate a correction, while bearish momentum can rebound at any time. The second pancake is essentially a tool for fund withdrawal, and there will be selling pressure during the rebound.

Operational advice: Short around 3030-3070, aiming for 2930-2870-2800, continue down if broken, and take profits steadily with the trend.
#加密市场观察

1.22

Gold continues its overnight upward trend, rising from around 4715 to a peak of 4888, before quickly retreating to 4755. It is currently stabilizing at 4817, showing an overall oscillating consolidation pattern after the rise and fall.

On the news front, the market is closely watching two key data points: the U.S. December core PCE price index and the initial claims for unemployment benefits. The market expects a moderate decline in the PCE data, which may strengthen expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March, providing support for gold.

From a technical perspective, the hourly chart shows that gold's pullback has not breached the key support at 4750, and it is currently holding above 4800, with bulls still gaining strength; short-term moving averages are flattening, and the KDJ indicator is at a low level, indicating a demand for rebound and correction.

Recommendation:
Long positions in the 4795-4805 range, targeting 4840-4860. $ETH

#加密市场观察

Daily Check-in

1.20
Insufficient bullish momentum, prefer to look for pullbacks during the day
After yesterday's sharp decline, the market has returned to a fluctuating rhythm, maintaining a narrow range for short-term speculation. After the overnight big coin rebounded to the 93400 line, it weakened again. Although there was temporary support around 92100, the strength was limited. The high-position short-selling strategy provided last night has been successfully realized, achieving a gain of over a thousand points. The current price is consolidating around 90600.
From a 4-hour structural perspective, the Bollinger Bands are still diverging downward, with the price running along the lower band. The moving average system and indicators are synchronously bearish, and the sustainability of the rebound is significantly lacking. As long as the bulls cannot form effective recovery, the strategy remains primarily focused on shorting during the rebound.
In the morning, pay attention to opportunities to set up short positions if the rebound reaches above 93000, with the first target at 91500 and further probing around 90000. $BTC
‌#欧美贸易摩擦恶化八国遭关税制裁

The essence of trading has never been about competing with the market, but rather combating one's own human weaknesses. Those traders who can navigate through bull and bear markets may not be the most technically skilled, but they are certainly the most mentally stable. Here are 3 key mental strategies to remember today to help you maintain your core during fluctuations:

🚨 First, break the three mental demons: data shows how valuable emotions can be.

1. FOMO chasing high prices demon: When the Google Trends heat for a certain coin peaks and the community floods with 'missing out and hitting thighs', data shows that the subsequent 7-30 days of returns are likely negative. The peak of public frenzy is often the starting point for major players to offload; what you think is the 'last train' might actually be the 'crash scene'.
​
2. Frequent trading demon: Low-frequency traders achieve an annualized return of 18.5%, while high-frequency trading groups, after incurring a friction cost of 3.8%, only see a return of 11.4%. Attempting to capture every wave with 'smart operations' will ultimately cause you to miss out on the main upswing of asset appreciation.
​
3. Holding onto losses demon: Assets that have lost over 50% require a 100% increase to break even, and the probability is extremely low. Clinging to the illusion of 'just wait a little longer for a rebound' is essentially paying for luck with opportunity cost, which may ultimately turn a 'small loss' into 'zero'.

Currently, ETH is attempting a low bounce near the support below; pay attention to the support levels at 3310-3270 and 3245-3205. If these levels hold without breaking, consider a low bounce with a potential upward movement of 30-400 points. $ETH
#ETH走势分析

Can it still go up?$ETH

1.13
The turning point window is approaching, and the strategy of shorting on rallies remains unchanged.
In the past two days, the market has been trading within a range-bound box, failing to break out with a clear directional move. Meanwhile, news developments continue to escalate, and market sentiment has clearly shifted toward risk aversion—gold and silver have surged strongly, dragging down the cryptocurrency sector. The upcoming CPI data release tonight could trigger significant market volatility if it comes in. Based on the current structure and sentiment, I personally lean toward bearish momentum dominating.
From the chart perspective, price ranges have been contracting continuously, and short-term momentum shows a 'step-by-step hesitation' pattern. Entry points must be precise; otherwise, traders are easily shaken out by repeated whipsaws. Following the range-bound logic, do not go long before the resistance level is effectively broken.
Current key levels are now very clear:
Resistance: 92600
Support: 90000
It is likely that the market will remain range-bound before the data release, with the decisive direction likely to emerge within the next one or two days.
Trading reference:
BTC: Short at the 92300–92600 zone; consider a short-term long near 90300 to capture range expansion.
ETH: Short at the 3145–3150 zone; consider a short-term long near the 3060 support level, with timing synchronized to BTC.
No further elaboration—turning point is near, manage your rhythm, and strictly control risk.
Wishing everyone smooth trading and steady profits. #加密市场观察 $BTC
$ETH

CHZ shows strong momentum signals. The token is breaking through a key resistance level, accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. Keep a close eye on on-chain activity and price movements — this could be a pivotal moment for Chiliz holders. Monitor whether the upward trend continues or faces a pullback at current levels. $CHZ

12.13
The current market is still within a daily-level ascending channel, but the trend is weak.
In the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, the market is ranging with clear top and bottom structures. The resistance zone is 3170-3185, and the support area is 3050-3070.

Trading Strategy:
Short Position: Observe for short entries above 3165, with a stop-loss at 3189, first target at 3120, and second target at 3080. $SOL x
Long Position: Enter long near the lower boundary at 3065, with a stop-loss at 3041, first target at 3095, second target at 3120, and third target at 3150.

If the market breaks upward, observe for short entries in the 3260-3280 zone, with a stop-loss at 3310, first target at 3220, and second target at 3185.
If the market breaks downward, focus on long entries in the 3000-3020 zone, with a stop-loss at 2980, first target at 3050, and second target at 3075.
For reference only! #加密市场观察

1.12
From the current chart perspective, the daily level still maintains a two-day consecutive bullish pattern, with real body candles accompanied by upper shadows. There is still some short-term selling pressure above, as the strong bullish momentum has formed a corrective pullback trend. On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands show an expanding pattern, with the middle band flattening and the upper and lower bands diverging. After previously breaking through the upper band resistance, the price has continued to trade above the upper band. Moving averages and technical indicators lean toward the buyers. The MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero line, forming a bullish crossover below the axis, with the green histogram showing a volume expansion trend. On the 1-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening up, with the distance between the middle and upper bands increasing. The price is trading above the middle band, indicating that the short-term bullish trend remains dominant. However, strong resistance exists near the upper band. The MACD remains in a bullish crossover, with the histogram continuing to expand, indicating strong momentum in favor of buyers. Caution is needed regarding potential bearish divergence at higher levels. The RSI levels are trending toward stabilization, suggesting the medium-term upward trend remains intact. Overall, the market is still within an upward channel. The current pullback is a normal consolidation after testing higher levels and does not indicate a reversal trend. Therefore, the afternoon trading strategy should follow the midday approach, focusing on buying on pullbacks.
btc91800一91300 nearby for long positions, watch 93500
eth3150一3120 nearby for long positions, watch 3200#比特币2026年价格预测

1.9

End of the week, Friday's market behavior never follows the norm—either a strong surge in line with the trend, or a washout. We just need to follow the trend. Wishing all brothers a smooth conclusion!

In the past two days, market sentiment has been weak, with Bitcoin continuously declining, breaking key support levels one after another, reaching a low of 89,200. The strategy is clear: don't guess the bottom, don't catch a falling knife. Sell on any rebound, and profits will naturally come when the timing is right.

Last night, Bitcoin rebounded to around 91,500 before facing resistance and falling back—classic short-term recovery after a deep drop, certainly not a reversal. The chart is clear: lack of volume on the rebound, no sustained upward momentum, clearly showing weak bulls.

Regardless of time frame, the current market is dominated by bears, with no signs of reversal or stabilization. Before the trend changes, every rebound is a chance to short. Continue shorting from resistance levels and wait patiently for the target price.

BTC trading suggestion: short at 91,500–92,100, target 90,500–89,000.
ETH suggestion: short at 3,140–3,180, target 3,040–2,900.