Let's popularize what it means to have stood firm and what it means not to have stood firm, taking the 4-hour chart in the image as an example: 1. It is a pullback after a rise, 2. It is a rise after a pullback, 3. It is a continued pullback. Items 2 and 3 are opportunities to enter a position. Similarly, for short positions, after a pullback, at least wait for 2 to 3 candlesticks to close before entering a position. It’s best to trade on 15-minute charts or higher. I'm just sharing my trading thoughts with you; there are many experts in the square, so please go easy on the criticism.
This should have earned over tens of millions, why are you still posting in the square? Whether it falls or rises, it's still you guys, anyway, it's always the master of earning.
#美联储降息预期升温 The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions are not that important. I come to the market to make money, not to validate anyone's predictions—trends are the only compass. As for those shouting in the square "It must drop by 50 points" or "It will definitely drop by 25 points," I must say: if you truly can predict the future, you should be sitting in the chair of the Federal Reserve Chairman right now. Since you are so certain about the policy, why didn't you go all in when Ethereum was at 1400? Instead of boasting after the fact, it's better to respect the market and manage your positions well.
#美联储降息预期升温 Will the Federal Reserve lower interest rates on September 18? According to the analysis of the hexagram, the likelihood is relatively low.
Hexagram basis:
1. This hexagram is "Heaven and Earth Disjointed"; Qian represents heaven as policy, and Kun represents earth as the economy. The disconnection between heaven and earth symbolizes a disconnect between policy and the current economic situation, making it difficult for the interest rate cut decision to be smoothly implemented. 2. The dynamic line of the official ghost (Wu Fire) transforms into the parents (Wei Earth), indicating that although the Federal Reserve has the intention to act, the transformation of earth dissipates energy, and its action capability is insufficient, possibly constrained by economic data. 3. The wife and wealth (Mao Wood) is broken (You Month conflicts), representing a weak economic fundamental support, making it difficult to promote interest rate cuts. 4. The changing hexagram "Wind and Earth Observing" is a wandering soul hexagram, indicating a wait-and-see attitude, suggesting that the Federal Reserve is more likely to remain cautious and not take action for now. 5. The brother's (Shen Metal) empty after filling (the 18th is a Jia Shen day), may trigger external pressures (such as market fluctuations or data interference), further hindering interest rate cuts.
Conclusion: The probability of an interest rate cut is low, and if it ultimately occurs, the extent may also be small. The hexagram suggests paying attention to subsequent economic data and the policy window after October.
1U can buy a breakfast, 3U can have a lunch, 10U can have both wine and meat, so how much do you think is too much? How much is too little? We are all ordinary people, being able to secure some profit is the best, don’t think about getting rich overnight, those who can survive in the market are the true winners. #ETH走势分析
1. Open Long Position: · 4550-4570 (Changing hexagram with a numerology of 4, retreat from Shen Jin with a numerology of 7, aiming for 4550) · Stop Loss at 4530 (if it breaks, it will decline to 4500) 2. Open Short Position: · 4650-4680 (Qinglong Brothers initiate + Zhenmu under pressure) · Stop Loss at 4700 (slightly above the upper boundary of the hexagram) 3. End of Day Strategy: · After the low point at You time, there will be a rebound at Xu time but it lacks strength, you can observe a short position near 4590.
Those shouting bull in the square, shouting bear, discussing coins, K-lines, analysts, and various theories, how many can really see that high or that low? How many can hold on? Just focus on doing your intraday trades well, playing with coins, various tricks, dog-eat-dog, trying to come up with ideas to generate traffic when you have none. If you can execute your trades well and increase your returns, why worry about not having followers? A bunch of brainless idiots. I'm just venting, everyone can take it as you will. #加密市场回调
#ETH创历史新高 Chen Time (7-9h) Earth Strong, Oscillating Downward: Chen Earth assists the financial hexagram but is void, testing 4350 support. If it breaks 4350, it will test 4325. Si Time (9-11h) Fire Strong, Technical Rebound: Si Fire clashes with Hai Water (void), briefly rising to 4390. The rebound lacks strength; 4390 can be shorted. Wu Time (11-13h) Fire Extreme, Surge and Recede: Wu Fire generates Earth but is consumed by Qian Metal, falling back to 4360. Long positions need caution. Wei Time (13-15h) Dry Earth, Weak Consolidation: Wei Earth is void but fills solidly, oscillating between 4350-4380. Mainly observe. Shen Time (15-17h) Metal Generates Water, Accelerating Decline: Shen Metal generates Hai Water, dropping below 4350 to 4320. Hold short positions. You Time (17-19h) Metal Strong, Daily Low: You Metal clashes with Mao Wood (day construction), reaching a low of 4305. The 4300 level has resistance. Xu Time (19-21h) Heavy Earth, Oversold Rebound: Xu Earth is void but overcomes Water, rebounding to 4340-4350. Significant volatility at the end of the session.
🎯 Operation Strategy Suggestions
1. Open Long Position: · 4300-4320 (Qian Hexagram Initial Line, Zi Water Numerology 1, Hai Water transforms into an extreme rebound) · Stop Loss at 4280 (if broken, will test 4250) 2. Open Short Position: · 4390-4420 (Parents move to transform into a God, overcoming wealth + Qian Metal suppression) · Stop Loss at 4450 (Upper boundary of the six-clash hexagram)
· Overall Trend: Bearish downtrend. Both financial lines are present, but one is suppressed and one is transformed to suppress. The official ghost is active and leaking financial energy, while the brotherly Yin wood is in the sunlight, suppressing the world, with bears in control. · Key Positions: · Resistance Level: 4810-4830 (You metal official ghost position, White Tiger pressure) · Support Level: 4750-4730 (Chen earth financial line base, but may be hard to hold after transformation)
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🕒 Hourly Strategy Breakdown
Hour Branch Elemental Situation Operation Suggestion Long/Short Bias Chen Hour (7-9h) Chen Earth Financial line Chen Earth is active and strong Short-term long rebound can be tried, quick in and out Slightly bullish Si Hour (9-11h) Si Fire Supports the worldly line which is Wei Earth Slight rise, approaching 4810 resistance Wait and see, do not chase Wu Hour (11-13h) Wu Fire Supports Earth suppresses metal, easing pressure If it hasn't broken 4750, lightly test long Weak rebound Wei Hour (13-15h) Wei Earth Worldly line is in place but suppressed by the sun Take profit on long positions, reverse to short positions Turn bearish Shen You Hour (15-19h) Shen You Metal Official ghost is strong and leaking financial energy Accelerated drop, target below 4750 Strongly open short Xu Hour (19-21h) Xu Earth Charges the worldly line Wei Earth, intensifying volatility Avoid operations, mainly wait and see Chaotic fluctuations Hai Hour (21-23h) Hai Water Parents are empty and filled News disturbances, easy to spike and rebound Cautious reversal