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Outlook on the market for 1.26: Is there still hope for breaking through the 100,000 mark?
Looking back at the market trends over the past two months, BTC has experienced two attempts at weak rebounds. Although both waves of the market saw increases of around 14,000 dollars, they were subsequently met with deep retracements, with declines exceeding 10,000 dollars.
However, a positive signal has emerged. The EMA20 and EMA60 moving averages on the daily chart have come very close together, indicating that the mid to short-term holding costs in the market are converging. In this situation, if the market can initiate another rebound, the resistance faced above will be significantly reduced.
The current indicator is the 84,000 position. As long as the price does not fall below 84,000, we still maintain the expectation of a fifth wave upward; conversely, if this support level is breached, then this round of the rebound will be declared completely over.
Looking back at the market trends over the past two months, BTC has experienced two attempts at weak rebounds. Although both waves of the market saw increases of around 14,000 dollars, they were subsequently met with deep retracements, with declines exceeding 10,000 dollars.
However, a positive signal has emerged. The EMA20 and EMA60 moving averages on the daily chart have come very close together, indicating that the mid to short-term holding costs in the market are converging. In this situation, if the market can initiate another rebound, the resistance faced above will be significantly reduced.
The current indicator is the 84,000 position. As long as the price does not fall below 84,000, we still maintain the expectation of a fifth wave upward; conversely, if this support level is breached, then this round of the rebound will be declared completely over.
The conversation between Google's AI chief and Anthropic CEO at the Davos Forum revealed some explosive information:
1. AGI is expected to be realized in just one or two years;
2. After five years, 50% of white-collar workers will face unemployment;
3. More and more vertical AI fields will win Nobel Prizes;
4. AI will conquer cancer and extend human lifespan to 150 years.
1. AGI is expected to be realized in just one or two years;
2. After five years, 50% of white-collar workers will face unemployment;
3. More and more vertical AI fields will win Nobel Prizes;
4. AI will conquer cancer and extend human lifespan to 150 years.
1.22 Stop the decline and stabilize, continue to rebound
Although the current rebound is slightly weak, the overall trend has not completely deteriorated. Affected by the negative news of the US-EU tariff war, the market showed a volume increase when breaking the support level around 90000, and yesterday it displayed a pattern with volume not declining and forming a lower shadow. This indicates that the panic liquidity in this area has been fully absorbed by the bulls, and the rebound is expected to continue.
#BTC #ETH
Although the current rebound is slightly weak, the overall trend has not completely deteriorated. Affected by the negative news of the US-EU tariff war, the market showed a volume increase when breaking the support level around 90000, and yesterday it displayed a pattern with volume not declining and forming a lower shadow. This indicates that the panic liquidity in this area has been fully absorbed by the bulls, and the rebound is expected to continue.
#BTC #ETH
1.21 Market Observation: Cryptocurrency and Stock Market Encounter Double Kill
1. Yesterday, both the cryptocurrency and stock markets experienced a crash. BTC fell by 4.5%, the Nasdaq opened lower and continued to decline, with a drop of 2.4%, led by the technology sector. Currently, there is a strong risk aversion sentiment among investors, accelerating the influx into the precious metals market.
2. The rebound that BTC had built up over a month and a half has only taken a week to revert back to its original state. While there was some influence from Trump’s side, it can be more attributed to the inherent weakness of the rebound trend itself.
3. During the panic selling yesterday, the BTC price has dropped back into the consolidation range, and the key now is to observe whether this range can receive effective support.
#BTC #ETH #
1. Yesterday, both the cryptocurrency and stock markets experienced a crash. BTC fell by 4.5%, the Nasdaq opened lower and continued to decline, with a drop of 2.4%, led by the technology sector. Currently, there is a strong risk aversion sentiment among investors, accelerating the influx into the precious metals market.
2. The rebound that BTC had built up over a month and a half has only taken a week to revert back to its original state. While there was some influence from Trump’s side, it can be more attributed to the inherent weakness of the rebound trend itself.
3. During the panic selling yesterday, the BTC price has dropped back into the consolidation range, and the key now is to observe whether this range can receive effective support.
#BTC #ETH #
1.20 Market Analysis: Has the Rebound Ended?
1. Starting from **December 18th**, **BTC** entered an upward channel. Although we can see that the highs and lows are continuously rising, we also notice that the pullback is quite significant, and the trading volume appears to be slightly sluggish. Overall, this is a rebound of low intensity; from a long-term perspective, it still belongs to a secondary pullback within a major downtrend.
2. In the short term, the price has once again returned to the lower boundary of the channel. This position is usually not easily broken, and it can easily form a rebound trend; the key moving forward is to observe the strength of the rebound.
#BTC #ETH
1. Starting from **December 18th**, **BTC** entered an upward channel. Although we can see that the highs and lows are continuously rising, we also notice that the pullback is quite significant, and the trading volume appears to be slightly sluggish. Overall, this is a rebound of low intensity; from a long-term perspective, it still belongs to a secondary pullback within a major downtrend.
2. In the short term, the price has once again returned to the lower boundary of the channel. This position is usually not easily broken, and it can easily form a rebound trend; the key moving forward is to observe the strength of the rebound.
#BTC #ETH
**1.19 Market Dynamics: The Trade War Reignites**
1. **Macroeconomic Overview**: The new round of trade war between Trump and the European Union has officially begun. As a result, risk assets faced pressure across the board in the early trading session, with stock indices and the cryptocurrency market experiencing sharp declines; at the same time, market risk aversion increased, driving gold and silver prices to rise rapidly.
2. **Technical and Capital Analysis**: Due to the impact of sudden news, the sharp decline in the market led to more than 100 million in long positions being liquidated in a short period of time. The price has currently fallen back to the critical support level of EMA20, where a short-term rebound is likely to occur, with expectations of rising back to around 94,500.
3. **Trend Assessment and Observation**: The current difficulty in market assessment lies in whether 98,000 has already formed the peak of this round of rebound? Or is there still momentum to continue testing the 100,000 mark? This point remains unclear and requires further observation and confirmation.
1. **Macroeconomic Overview**: The new round of trade war between Trump and the European Union has officially begun. As a result, risk assets faced pressure across the board in the early trading session, with stock indices and the cryptocurrency market experiencing sharp declines; at the same time, market risk aversion increased, driving gold and silver prices to rise rapidly.
2. **Technical and Capital Analysis**: Due to the impact of sudden news, the sharp decline in the market led to more than 100 million in long positions being liquidated in a short period of time. The price has currently fallen back to the critical support level of EMA20, where a short-term rebound is likely to occur, with expectations of rising back to around 94,500.
3. **Trend Assessment and Observation**: The current difficulty in market assessment lies in whether 98,000 has already formed the peak of this round of rebound? Or is there still momentum to continue testing the 100,000 mark? This point remains unclear and requires further observation and confirmation.
1.16 Market Outlook: Remain Bullish in January, Be Cautious of Risks in February
1. From a technical indicator perspective, the BTC daily EMA shows a bearish alignment, confirming a long-term bearish trend; however, on the hourly chart, a bullish alignment has emerged, indicating that the short-term rebound trend will continue. Therefore, we maintain a bullish outlook for January, but we must emphasize that starting from February, extra caution is required.
2. Looking back at BTC's drop from 100,000 to 80,600, this decline was very smooth, with insufficient trading volume and turnover during the process. After two months of consolidation, a rebound back to the 100,000 level should not be difficult. However, once above 100,000, further upward movement will be challenging, and breaking through the key level of 107,400 will be particularly difficult.
#BTC #ETH
1. From a technical indicator perspective, the BTC daily EMA shows a bearish alignment, confirming a long-term bearish trend; however, on the hourly chart, a bullish alignment has emerged, indicating that the short-term rebound trend will continue. Therefore, we maintain a bullish outlook for January, but we must emphasize that starting from February, extra caution is required.
2. Looking back at BTC's drop from 100,000 to 80,600, this decline was very smooth, with insufficient trading volume and turnover during the process. After two months of consolidation, a rebound back to the 100,000 level should not be difficult. However, once above 100,000, further upward movement will be challenging, and breaking through the key level of 107,400 will be particularly difficult.
#BTC #ETH
1.16 Market Outlook: Bullish for January, Be Cautious in February
1. **Technical Analysis**: Currently, the daily EMA of BTC shows a bearish alignment, but on the hourly chart, it maintains a bullish alignment. This indicates that while the long-term trend remains bearish, short-term rebound momentum will continue. Therefore, we remain bullish on the market performance in January, but caution everyone to be especially vigilant about risks starting from February.
2. **Price Level Assessment**: Looking back at BTC's decline from $100,000 to $80,600, the move was smooth and lacked sufficient trading volume and turnover. Given this, after two months of consolidation, a rebound back to the $100,000 level is not difficult. However, once above $100,000, further upward movement will become challenging, and it is expected to struggle to break through the key resistance level of $107,400.
1. **Technical Analysis**: Currently, the daily EMA of BTC shows a bearish alignment, but on the hourly chart, it maintains a bullish alignment. This indicates that while the long-term trend remains bearish, short-term rebound momentum will continue. Therefore, we remain bullish on the market performance in January, but caution everyone to be especially vigilant about risks starting from February.
2. **Price Level Assessment**: Looking back at BTC's decline from $100,000 to $80,600, the move was smooth and lacked sufficient trading volume and turnover. Given this, after two months of consolidation, a rebound back to the $100,000 level is not difficult. However, once above $100,000, further upward movement will become challenging, and it is expected to struggle to break through the key resistance level of $107,400.
1.15 Market View: Suggest Selling More as BTC Approaches the $100,000 Level
1. Looking back at our bottom entry point for BTC at $83,000 one and a half months ago, our target was to see a rebound to $100,000 in January. We are now just one step away from achieving this goal.
2. Notably, there is a long-term distribution zone above $100,000 that has existed for half a year, accumulating substantial pressure from trapped positions.
3. The expected final rebound level for this cycle will be within the range of $99,000 to $107,000.
4. It is anticipated that the February rally will end, after which the market will re-enter a bearish trend.
#BTC #ETH
1. Looking back at our bottom entry point for BTC at $83,000 one and a half months ago, our target was to see a rebound to $100,000 in January. We are now just one step away from achieving this goal.
2. Notably, there is a long-term distribution zone above $100,000 that has existed for half a year, accumulating substantial pressure from trapped positions.
3. The expected final rebound level for this cycle will be within the range of $99,000 to $107,000.
4. It is anticipated that the February rally will end, after which the market will re-enter a bearish trend.
#BTC #ETH
1.15 Market View: Suggest implementing a 'sell more as price rises' strategy around $100,000 for BTC
1. Looking back at our plan when we took a bottom position in BTC around $83,000 one and a half months ago, our initial target was a rebound to the $100,000 level in January. Currently, this target is nearly within reach.
2. It's crucial to note that the area above $100,000 has been a major distribution zone for the past six months, with a significant concentration of trapped positions creating strong resistance.
3. The expected peak of this rally will likely fall within the range of $99,000 to $107,000.
#BTC #ETH
1. Looking back at our plan when we took a bottom position in BTC around $83,000 one and a half months ago, our initial target was a rebound to the $100,000 level in January. Currently, this target is nearly within reach.
2. It's crucial to note that the area above $100,000 has been a major distribution zone for the past six months, with a significant concentration of trapped positions creating strong resistance.
3. The expected peak of this rally will likely fall within the range of $99,000 to $107,000.
#BTC #ETH
Looking back at 2018, Zhang, the boss of the crypto circle, used his connection with Yao Qian from the People's Bank of China's Digital Currency Research Institute to make requests, contacting a certain virtual currency exchange to 'put in a good word,' successfully helping his token be listed and issued on the exchange, raising 20,000 ETH.
Subsequently, to express gratitude, Zhang gifted Yao Qian 2,000 ETH, an asset whose value once exceeded 60 million yuan. With the exposure by CCTV, the corruption and dark undercurrents hidden within the crypto world have come to light.
Please guess: which exchange was it? And which project was involved?
Subsequently, to express gratitude, Zhang gifted Yao Qian 2,000 ETH, an asset whose value once exceeded 60 million yuan. With the exposure by CCTV, the corruption and dark undercurrents hidden within the crypto world have come to light.
Please guess: which exchange was it? And which project was involved?
**1.14 Market Update: The rebound arrives as expected**
1. As the crypto market has gone through a prolonged and extremely low-volatility phase, a significant rebound has arrived as expected. BTC recently reached a new high for the past two months, while ETH recorded a 7% surge.
2. It's crucial to emphasize: the current market movement is a rebound, not a reversal, with a target level around 100,000.
3. The privacy coin sector continues to rise strongly led by XMR, with DASH, ZEN, ARRR, and DOLO all showing solid gains; additionally, the World Cup-themed coin CHZ has already started its rally.
1. As the crypto market has gone through a prolonged and extremely low-volatility phase, a significant rebound has arrived as expected. BTC recently reached a new high for the past two months, while ETH recorded a 7% surge.
2. It's crucial to emphasize: the current market movement is a rebound, not a reversal, with a target level around 100,000.
3. The privacy coin sector continues to rise strongly led by XMR, with DASH, ZEN, ARRR, and DOLO all showing solid gains; additionally, the World Cup-themed coin CHZ has already started its rally.
1.13 Ice and Fire, Two Worlds
1. The current cryptocurrency market and the precious metals market are showing a typical 'ice and fire, two worlds' situation. According to the ATR volatility indicator, the daily volatility of BTC has decreased to around 2%. This volatility level is right at the bull-bear dividing line; typically, during the transition from a bull market to a bear market, there is a decline in market activity and a drop in volatility.
2. In contrast, the precious metals market, particularly silver, has seen a significant increase in volatility. Its current volatility has risen to 5%, indicating that market funds are extremely active.
1. The current cryptocurrency market and the precious metals market are showing a typical 'ice and fire, two worlds' situation. According to the ATR volatility indicator, the daily volatility of BTC has decreased to around 2%. This volatility level is right at the bull-bear dividing line; typically, during the transition from a bull market to a bear market, there is a decline in market activity and a drop in volatility.
2. In contrast, the precious metals market, particularly silver, has seen a significant increase in volatility. Its current volatility has risen to 5%, indicating that market funds are extremely active.
1.12 Market Watch: The rebound trend continues
1. After BTC reached a new high of 94,780, it entered a correction phase and has now found solid support around 90,000. This level is both the EMA20 moving average and a key support/resistance reversal point from a previous prolonged consolidation zone; the next target remains the 100,000 mark.
2. The non-farm payroll data came in below expectations. Tonight's CPI data will be released, and the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged by month-end is high, suggesting the overall market sentiment will likely remain calm.
3. The precious metals market continues to maintain high热度, while the broader crypto market remains relatively quiet. However, Binance Foundation's recent增持 actions have sparked a localized hotspot in the Chinese MEME sector.
1. After BTC reached a new high of 94,780, it entered a correction phase and has now found solid support around 90,000. This level is both the EMA20 moving average and a key support/resistance reversal point from a previous prolonged consolidation zone; the next target remains the 100,000 mark.
2. The non-farm payroll data came in below expectations. Tonight's CPI data will be released, and the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged by month-end is high, suggesting the overall market sentiment will likely remain calm.
3. The precious metals market continues to maintain high热度, while the broader crypto market remains relatively quiet. However, Binance Foundation's recent增持 actions have sparked a localized hotspot in the Chinese MEME sector.
Recently, Zhang Yongping shared his latest investment performance on the Xueqiu platform. The independent account shows a profit of $33 million.
From the disclosed screenshot details, this investment started with $1.8 million worth of Apple stocks purchased in 2011, followed by an additional $650,000 added in 2022. To date, the market value of this holding has grown to $36.3 million, fully demonstrating the investment truth that time proves everything.
From the disclosed screenshot details, this investment started with $1.8 million worth of Apple stocks purchased in 2011, followed by an additional $650,000 added in 2022. To date, the market value of this holding has grown to $36.3 million, fully demonstrating the investment truth that time proves everything.
1. BTC, ETH, and SOL yesterday's market performance:
2026.01.08 Crypto Daily Report #BTC #ETH #SOL #Crypto
2026.01.08 Crypto Daily Report #BTC #ETH #SOL #Crypto
1. BTC price dropped 2.5% yesterday, ETH price rose 3.2%, and SOL price dropped 1.8%.
2. Dai's circulating market cap has exceeded $100 million, with a daily volatility of 12.5% yesterday, due to investor attention triggered by announcements regarding the merger with Lido. Curve DAO Token (CRV) also has a circulating market cap exceeding $100 million, with a daily volatility of 11.3% yesterday, due to investor attention triggered by announcements regarding the collaboration with Uniswap V3.
3. High-impact information with significant exposure from Chinese KOLs: The Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China stated that regulation on digital currencies will be strengthened. High-impact information with significant exposure from English KOLs: The U.S. SEC stated it will review cryptocurrency exchanges.
4. On-chain important... (continued)
2. Dai's circulating market cap has exceeded $100 million, with a daily volatility of 12.5% yesterday, due to investor attention triggered by announcements regarding the merger with Lido. Curve DAO Token (CRV) also has a circulating market cap exceeding $100 million, with a daily volatility of 11.3% yesterday, due to investor attention triggered by announcements regarding the collaboration with Uniswap V3.
3. High-impact information with significant exposure from Chinese KOLs: The Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China stated that regulation on digital currencies will be strengthened. High-impact information with significant exposure from English KOLs: The U.S. SEC stated it will review cryptocurrency exchanges.
4. On-chain important... (continued)
1.9 Continued Rebound
1. BTC stabilized after finding support near the $90,000 level yesterday, and the expected rebound target is around $100,000. Once the price rises to this area, short-sellers may regroup and drive a downturn, with this potential window expected in January-February.
2. It should be noted that this is merely a rebound. Current market characteristics show a significant decline in volatility and trading volume, indicating that BTC's capital activity is decreasing.
1. BTC stabilized after finding support near the $90,000 level yesterday, and the expected rebound target is around $100,000. Once the price rises to this area, short-sellers may regroup and drive a downturn, with this potential window expected in January-February.
2. It should be noted that this is merely a rebound. Current market characteristics show a significant decline in volatility and trading volume, indicating that BTC's capital activity is decreasing.
1.8 Market Watch: The rebound has not yet ended
1. BTC and ETH have both shown continuous net inflows over the past 3 days; yesterday, IBIT recorded a net inflow of $370 million, reaching a new high in the past 3 months.
2. After breaking through the previous high of 94,588, BTC began to retrace, and is now forming a pattern on the daily chart where both highs and lows are gradually rising.
3. During the retracement phase, pay close attention to the support level around 90,100, which is the key position where resistance and support have switched from the previous prolonged narrow-range consolidation period.
1. BTC and ETH have both shown continuous net inflows over the past 3 days; yesterday, IBIT recorded a net inflow of $370 million, reaching a new high in the past 3 months.
2. After breaking through the previous high of 94,588, BTC began to retrace, and is now forming a pattern on the daily chart where both highs and lows are gradually rising.
3. During the retracement phase, pay close attention to the support level around 90,100, which is the key position where resistance and support have switched from the previous prolonged narrow-range consolidation period.
"""
1.6 The Craze for Altcoins
1. Over the past week, the cryptocurrency market, including both U.S. stocks and digital currencies, has shown a significant rebound, with BTC reaching a new high not seen in the last six weeks. The upward trend is expected to continue throughout January.
2. Notably, altcoins have performed particularly well during this rebound, especially those in the MEME category, led by PEPE and PENGU, as well as the AI sector.
3. The altcoin index on CMC has increased from a low of 14 to 27, indicating that altcoins are poised to follow BTC's lead and experience a brief surge of excitement.
"""
1.6 The Craze for Altcoins
1. Over the past week, the cryptocurrency market, including both U.S. stocks and digital currencies, has shown a significant rebound, with BTC reaching a new high not seen in the last six weeks. The upward trend is expected to continue throughout January.
2. Notably, altcoins have performed particularly well during this rebound, especially those in the MEME category, led by PEPE and PENGU, as well as the AI sector.
3. The altcoin index on CMC has increased from a low of 14 to 27, indicating that altcoins are poised to follow BTC's lead and experience a brief surge of excitement.
"""
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