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Wise Analyze

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Crypto veteran since 2017. Creator and believer of Bitcoin Cycles chart. TG/X: @WiseAnalyze My TA is my personal opinion. Not financial advice. DYOR
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Bitcoin Halving CyclesBitcoin has a very clear 4 year halving cycles which it followed all previous years. Top of each cycle comes to November-December. Bottom forms 1-1.3 years after that top. Bottom consolidation period usually correlates with 0.5-0.75 period of bearish cycles which corresponds with December'22-June'23. Since it doesn't yet look like BTC had final capitulation I believe we should see the bottom in the beginning of 2023 year (March-June). Most probably it will be 10540-12500 zone (see week chart below). Target for beginning of 2024 year is 25-29k which should start a new bull run towards new all time high in November-December 2025. Sorry, but I will not play in Nostradamus trying to guess it. Keep that chart in mind not to get too fearful or greedy. I've created it in December 2019 and it helped me to survive through all these years. Hope it will help you as well 🙏 #Bitcoin #BTC #Halving #Cycles #HalvingCylces #BitcoinCycles #BTCcycles

Bitcoin Halving Cycles

Bitcoin has a very clear 4 year halving cycles which it followed all previous years.



Top of each cycle comes to November-December. Bottom forms 1-1.3 years after that top.

Bottom consolidation period usually correlates with 0.5-0.75 period of bearish cycles which corresponds with December'22-June'23. Since it doesn't yet look like BTC had final capitulation I believe we should see the bottom in the beginning of 2023 year (March-June). Most probably it will be 10540-12500 zone (see week chart below).

Target for beginning of 2024 year is 25-29k which should start a new bull run towards new all time high in November-December 2025. Sorry, but I will not play in Nostradamus trying to guess it.

Keep that chart in mind not to get too fearful or greedy. I've created it in December 2019 and it helped me to survive through all these years. Hope it will help you as well 🙏

#Bitcoin #BTC #Halving #Cycles #HalvingCylces #BitcoinCycles #BTCcycles
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 $BTC tagged my lower target at ~86355 ✅ Solid volume triggered a bounce, but it’s still too weak to shift the bigger picture. BTC continues to lag behind other markets, many of which are near or printing new ATHs. 🎯 Key #Bitcoin Levels Above: 89518 / 90000 / 91300 Below: 87610 / 86630 / 85770 {future}(BTCUSDT) A new CME gap formed up to 88834 (Binance Futures), so a revisit to that level - and possibly another Monthly 20SMA re-test - looks likely. Weekly chart remains bearish. The real downside move may still be ahead - if next week breaks lower, 70–75k becomes a realistic target. Bulls must reclaim 90k to avoid that scenario.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC tagged my lower target at ~86355 ✅ Solid volume triggered a bounce, but it’s still too weak to shift the bigger picture. BTC continues to lag behind other markets, many of which are near or printing new ATHs.

🎯 Key #Bitcoin Levels
Above: 89518 / 90000 / 91300
Below: 87610 / 86630 / 85770

A new CME gap formed up to 88834 (Binance Futures), so a revisit to that level - and possibly another Monthly 20SMA re-test - looks likely.

Weekly chart remains bearish. The real downside move may still be ahead - if next week breaks lower, 70–75k becomes a realistic target. Bulls must reclaim 90k to avoid that scenario.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Bloody sideway. And now we have rumors about US/Israel attacking Iran again. If that dumps stocks, that will dump $BTC to 86450 at least. If rumors won't have effect, that could be the most bullish sign. Whatever happen, we will know in one hour. 🎯 Key Levels Above: 90000 / 90600 / 91500 Below: 88621 / 87610 / 86355 {future}(BTCUSDT)
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Bloody sideway. And now we have rumors about US/Israel attacking Iran again. If that dumps stocks, that will dump $BTC to 86450 at least. If rumors won't have effect, that could be the most bullish sign. Whatever happen, we will know in one hour.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 90000 / 90600 / 91500
Below: 88621 / 87610 / 86355
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Bullish
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Hope my warning saved you from early longs and vulnerable stops that got wiped out as expected 🤝 Now $BTC consolidates under Monthly 20sma (~90016) and for the first time this week I consider it bullish. Either we see fast breakout towards 91500 or US dump it back to 88620-89000 again (as that area has double FVG which is almost same strong magnet as CME gaps). 🎯 Key Levels Above: 90600 / 91500 / 92400 Below: 89000 / 88621 / 87610 {future}(BTCUSDT) Lower CME gap closed. Now all eyes on the huge one above up to 94760 👀 ⏰ #Bitcoin free TG alarms set for: W/M20sma, 109557, dev Y VWAP/VAH, 93550, 90600, 86355, 83400
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Hope my warning saved you from early longs and vulnerable stops that got wiped out as expected 🤝

Now $BTC consolidates under Monthly 20sma (~90016) and for the first time this week I consider it bullish.

Either we see fast breakout towards 91500 or US dump it back to 88620-89000 again (as that area has double FVG which is almost same strong magnet as CME gaps).

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 90600 / 91500 / 92400
Below: 89000 / 88621 / 87610

Lower CME gap closed. Now all eyes on the huge one above up to 94760 👀

#Bitcoin free TG alarms set for: W/M20sma, 109557, dev Y VWAP/VAH, 93550, 90600, 86355, 83400
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Bullish
First of all, good news. $BTC CME gap around 88k was finally closed during yesterday's US session ✅ Next should be gap up to 94760
First of all, good news. $BTC CME gap around 88k was finally closed during yesterday's US session ✅

Next should be gap up to 94760
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Bullish
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Target zone I've posted yesterday reached ✅ But lower CME gap (approximately down to 2025 close) is not covered until US session start trading. So may see another dip. 🎯 Key $BTC Levels Above: 90000 / 90850 / 91477 Below: 88621 / 87610 / 86333 {future}(BTCUSDT) I don't want to forecast anything else, even more bearish. I know sooner or later there will be a bounce to cover a huge CME gap above, same as I know that market can continue downside as long as it takes to bring total fear and uncertainty, and liquidate the last safest bull standing. Now just watching, waiting for price to form something trustworthy for longs. Too late and risky for shorts at this stage.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Target zone I've posted yesterday reached ✅ But lower CME gap (approximately down to 2025 close) is not covered until US session start trading. So may see another dip.

🎯 Key $BTC Levels
Above: 90000 / 90850 / 91477
Below: 88621 / 87610 / 86333

I don't want to forecast anything else, even more bearish. I know sooner or later there will be a bounce to cover a huge CME gap above, same as I know that market can continue downside as long as it takes to bring total fear and uncertainty, and liquidate the last safest bull standing.

Now just watching, waiting for price to form something trustworthy for longs. Too late and risky for shorts at this stage.
$ETH dipped to 3k liquidity pool. High volume. RSI 4h ~21 / 1H <15 Could be bottom, but as you see, the chart doesn't have any signs for that yet. 🎯 Key #Ethereum Levels Above: 3050 / 3122 / 3250 Below: 2970 / 2880 / 2820 If drop lower, then 2025 close at 2970 is the nearest HTF level. But if lost, next will be 2880.
$ETH dipped to 3k liquidity pool. High volume. RSI 4h ~21 / 1H <15

Could be bottom, but as you see, the chart doesn't have any signs for that yet.

🎯 Key #Ethereum Levels
Above: 3050 / 3122 / 3250
Below: 2970 / 2880 / 2820

If drop lower, then 2025 close at 2970 is the nearest HTF level. But if lost, next will be 2880.
#Bitcoin CME gaps: ↗️ 91350 - 94760 ↘️ 88215 - 88830
#Bitcoin CME gaps:

↗️ 91350 - 94760
↘️ 88215 - 88830
$BTC wicked into Monthly 20sma at ~90060 ✅ Nice 1H candle, but yet too early to be sure if that will be the bottom. Nevertheless it is an important zone to watch 👀
$BTC wicked into Monthly 20sma at ~90060 ✅ Nice 1H candle, but yet too early to be sure if that will be the bottom. Nevertheless it is an important zone to watch 👀
Wise Analyze
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

CME gap between Friday close and today is already almost 5k. These big Daily gaps always close. The only question is where to pick it up.

🎯 Key $BTC Levels
Above: 91690 / 92500 / 93550
Below: 90060 / 89630 / 88800

{future}(BTCUSDT)

Right now chart haven't yet formed a bottom structure (although RSI signals oversold), so potential for more downside is open.

If US dump more watch wide zone from Monthly 20sma at ~90060 and down to 88.8k - all that area is filled with liquidity.

Once #Bitcoin start bouncing, expecting big pump to cover all the gaps left behind.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 CME gap between Friday close and today is already almost 5k. These big Daily gaps always close. The only question is where to pick it up. 🎯 Key $BTC Levels Above: 91690 / 92500 / 93550 Below: 90060 / 89630 / 88800 {future}(BTCUSDT) Right now chart haven't yet formed a bottom structure (although RSI signals oversold), so potential for more downside is open. If US dump more watch wide zone from Monthly 20sma at ~90060 and down to 88.8k - all that area is filled with liquidity. Once #Bitcoin start bouncing, expecting big pump to cover all the gaps left behind.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

CME gap between Friday close and today is already almost 5k. These big Daily gaps always close. The only question is where to pick it up.

🎯 Key $BTC Levels
Above: 91690 / 92500 / 93550
Below: 90060 / 89630 / 88800


Right now chart haven't yet formed a bottom structure (although RSI signals oversold), so potential for more downside is open.

If US dump more watch wide zone from Monthly 20sma at ~90060 and down to 88.8k - all that area is filled with liquidity.

Once #Bitcoin start bouncing, expecting big pump to cover all the gaps left behind.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Told you that revisit of 93550 zone was inevitable. The only thing that was unpredictable is how that move happens. As usual, $BTC took longs by surprise and liquidated over $100B in just one morning hour. 🎯 Key Levels Above: 93450 / 94425 / 96315 Below: 91600 / 90960 / 89800 {future}(BTCUSDT) Monday stocks USA close, Luther King bank holiday. So UK session is the main and only one for today. Tomorrow US wake up and add their volume. We should see #Bitcoin re-test 2024 close again at 93550 and maybe ~94200 zone as well. And for more downside moves watch zone in between 90960-91600.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Told you that revisit of 93550 zone was inevitable. The only thing that was unpredictable is how that move happens. As usual, $BTC took longs by surprise and liquidated over $100B in just one morning hour.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 93450 / 94425 / 96315
Below: 91600 / 90960 / 89800

Monday stocks USA close, Luther King bank holiday. So UK session is the main and only one for today. Tomorrow US wake up and add their volume.

We should see #Bitcoin re-test 2024 close again at 93550 and maybe ~94200 zone as well. And for more downside moves watch zone in between 90960-91600.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Correction took place and dropped price to support left from January 14th PA. Important strong level - POC for current visible LTF chart. If lose it further, will drop to 2024 close at 93550. If bounce, will cover FVG at 96240-96500. 🎯 Key $BTC Levels Above: 95825 / 96350 / 96760 Below: 95080 / 94413 / 93450 {future}(BTCUSDT) Took short yesterday. Might take profit today if feel it is coming back to cover FVG above. But sooner or later I'd expect price to revisit 93550 zone. Huge liquidity there can't be left behind. It is the one that can fuel another leg up to ~100k ⏰ TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: W/M20sma, 109557, dev Y VWAP/VAH, 96012, 93550, 90965, 86355, 83400
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Correction took place and dropped price to support left from January 14th PA. Important strong level - POC for current visible LTF chart. If lose it further, will drop to 2024 close at 93550. If bounce, will cover FVG at 96240-96500.

🎯 Key $BTC Levels
Above: 95825 / 96350 / 96760
Below: 95080 / 94413 / 93450

Took short yesterday. Might take profit today if feel it is coming back to cover FVG above. But sooner or later I'd expect price to revisit 93550 zone. Huge liquidity there can't be left behind. It is the one that can fuel another leg up to ~100k

⏰ TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: W/M20sma, 109557, dev Y VWAP/VAH, 96012, 93550, 90965, 86355, 83400
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Breakout can continue with condition that price don't lose ~95733. Liquidity above 98200 is big and close enough to be attractive for hunt. 🎯 Key $BTC Levels Above: 98200 / 100250 / 102000 Below: 95430 / 93400 / 92600 {future}(BTCUSDT) If correction starts, for higher timeframe that is bullish re-test after breakout, so dips are for buying. First green dot I've placed at ~95430 will be taken on stop hunt, but within bearish scenario it doesn't play any sufficient role, as price should drop at least to 2024 close at ~93550.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

Breakout can continue with condition that price don't lose ~95733. Liquidity above 98200 is big and close enough to be attractive for hunt.

🎯 Key $BTC Levels
Above: 98200 / 100250 / 102000
Below: 95430 / 93400 / 92600

If correction starts, for higher timeframe that is bullish re-test after breakout, so dips are for buying. First green dot I've placed at ~95430 will be taken on stop hunt, but within bearish scenario it doesn't play any sufficient role, as price should drop at least to 2024 close at ~93550.
🎯 Key Levels for $SCRT Above: 0.134 / 0.141 / 0.149 Below: 0.125 / 0.120 / 0.110 {future}(SCRTUSDT) Another private coin picking up the hype. Pumping for the second day. If impulse continues, can take price to 0.14-0.15 And for the dips watch wide FVG left on yesterday's pump, but mostly it's bottom at ~0.11
🎯 Key Levels for $SCRT
Above: 0.134 / 0.141 / 0.149
Below: 0.125 / 0.120 / 0.110

Another private coin picking up the hype. Pumping for the second day. If impulse continues, can take price to 0.14-0.15

And for the dips watch wide FVG left on yesterday's pump, but mostly it's bottom at ~0.11
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 $BTC back to Daily range top 🔥 Covered FVG (~96400) from November 16th on that move and it liquidated huge amount of shorts. High liquidation is one of conditions for price to start moving backwards. But that is not a strict rule. So going all in shorts on 4th breakout attempt is a very dangerous strategy. 🎯 Key Levels Above: 98200 / 100250 / 102000 Below: 93400 / 92500 / 90666 {future}(BTCUSDT) #Bitcoin should either continue towards the next upper key level at ~98200 or drop back to 92500-93400 zone. Both scenarios are bullish for higher timeframe.
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC back to Daily range top 🔥 Covered FVG (~96400) from November 16th on that move and it liquidated huge amount of shorts. High liquidation is one of conditions for price to start moving backwards. But that is not a strict rule. So going all in shorts on 4th breakout attempt is a very dangerous strategy.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 98200 / 100250 / 102000
Below: 93400 / 92500 / 90666

#Bitcoin should either continue towards the next upper key level at ~98200 or drop back to 92500-93400 zone. Both scenarios are bullish for higher timeframe.
Wise Analyze
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

The alarm nailed the LTF top. This chart is Daily for the bigger picture.
Yellow zone = range high from Nov 17 PA. This is the second breakout attempt (third if we count Dec 3). More attempts = better odds.

🎯 Key $BTC Levels
Above: 96000 / 97950 / 101300
Below: 92500 / 91600 / 90600

On the Daily, the move isn’t finished. Today’s candle is still forming and can travel a wide range in the ~14 hours left. HTF targets from yesterday remain valid.

{future}(BTCUSDT)

Scenarios:
• Breakout confirmed → strong impulse into 99420–101300
• Failure → return to 90320 / 88900
$BTC revisited Friday close and almost hit next target zone ✅ ✅ 🎯 Key Levels Above: 92790 / 93300 / 93900 Below: 91425 / 90965 / 90600 {future}(BTCUSDT) Expect high volatility today (already in less than one hour). Upper two key levels can be covered while the same is valid for lower key levels as well.
$BTC revisited Friday close and almost hit next target zone ✅ ✅

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 92790 / 93300 / 93900
Below: 91425 / 90965 / 90600

Expect high volatility today (already in less than one hour). Upper two key levels can be covered while the same is valid for lower key levels as well.
Wise Analyze
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Bullish
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC hit my target zone above 92320 ✅

Next one was around 92790 and still has good chances to be covered this week, but we should also remember that Friday closed at ~90603 (or 90405 at CME), so that price is attractive for market to revisit.

🎯 Key #Bitcoin Levels:
Above: 92105 / 92790 / 93300
Below: 91250 / 90965 / 90600 / 90175
{future}(BTCUSDT)

I've marked key levels for lower timeframes with the last extra one for the dips around Monthly 20sma (90087).

That MA is strong and will attract price until it finds acceptance above 2024 close (93550) and start growing aggressively towards Weekly 20sma. Without that bullish condition it is prone to dance around 90k

⏰ TG alarms set for: 126208, W/M20sma, 109557, dev Y VWAP/VAL, 96012, 86355, 83400
🎯 Key Levels for $ONDO Above: 0.438 / 0.471 / 0.503 Below: 0.385 / 0.375 / 0.359 {future}(ONDOUSDT) ONDO shows potential for reversal, but it got to stay above ~0.385 to keep it real. For bullish scenario confirmation got to grow above last LH at 0.4708 and form Higher Low after that. Till than chances to drop lower stays valid and real.
🎯 Key Levels for $ONDO
Above: 0.438 / 0.471 / 0.503
Below: 0.385 / 0.375 / 0.359

ONDO shows potential for reversal, but it got to stay above ~0.385 to keep it real.

For bullish scenario confirmation got to grow above last LH at 0.4708 and form Higher Low after that. Till than chances to drop lower stays valid and real.
🎯 Key Levels for $BNB Above: 929 / 961 / 990 Below: 895 / 875 / 865 {future}(BNBUSDT) BNB within a 820-930 range. Breakout may lead to re-test of Daily 20sma and small FVG at 990. Rejection may lead to return back to range bottom (805-830) which possess danger of continuation towards Monthly 20sma around 720
🎯 Key Levels for $BNB
Above: 929 / 961 / 990
Below: 895 / 875 / 865

BNB within a 820-930 range. Breakout may lead to re-test of Daily 20sma and small FVG at 990.

Rejection may lead to return back to range bottom (805-830) which possess danger of continuation towards Monthly 20sma around 720
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Bullish
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 $BTC hit my target zone above 92320 ✅ Next one was around 92790 and still has good chances to be covered this week, but we should also remember that Friday closed at ~90603 (or 90405 at CME), so that price is attractive for market to revisit. 🎯 Key #Bitcoin Levels: Above: 92105 / 92790 / 93300 Below: 91250 / 90965 / 90600 / 90175 {future}(BTCUSDT) I've marked key levels for lower timeframes with the last extra one for the dips around Monthly 20sma (90087). That MA is strong and will attract price until it finds acceptance above 2024 close (93550) and start growing aggressively towards Weekly 20sma. Without that bullish condition it is prone to dance around 90k ⏰ TG alarms set for: 126208, W/M20sma, 109557, dev Y VWAP/VAL, 96012, 86355, 83400
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈

$BTC hit my target zone above 92320 ✅

Next one was around 92790 and still has good chances to be covered this week, but we should also remember that Friday closed at ~90603 (or 90405 at CME), so that price is attractive for market to revisit.

🎯 Key #Bitcoin Levels:
Above: 92105 / 92790 / 93300
Below: 91250 / 90965 / 90600 / 90175

I've marked key levels for lower timeframes with the last extra one for the dips around Monthly 20sma (90087).

That MA is strong and will attract price until it finds acceptance above 2024 close (93550) and start growing aggressively towards Weekly 20sma. Without that bullish condition it is prone to dance around 90k

⏰ TG alarms set for: 126208, W/M20sma, 109557, dev Y VWAP/VAL, 96012, 86355, 83400
📉 Ethereum chart review 📈 As I wrote two days ago, we may expect $ETH to return back to Monthly 20sma. Two major liquidity pools there - around ~3045 and ~3000. Longs from these zones may work out, but stop should be conditional or entry should be based on lower timeframes price action, as otherwise hard to predict how low wicks of the dip can go. 🎯 Key Levels Above: 3120 / 3155 / 3195 Below: 3077 / 3045 / 3000 {future}(ETHUSDT) Strong resistance at 3121-3133 zone. Either it stop price in advance and push lower or let it though in a strong breakout towards 3155 / 3195. ⏰ TG alarms for #Ethereum => W/M-20sma, 3336, 3148, 3120, 2970, 2886.
📉 Ethereum chart review 📈

As I wrote two days ago, we may expect $ETH to return back to Monthly 20sma. Two major liquidity pools there - around ~3045 and ~3000. Longs from these zones may work out, but stop should be conditional or entry should be based on lower timeframes price action, as otherwise hard to predict how low wicks of the dip can go.

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 3120 / 3155 / 3195
Below: 3077 / 3045 / 3000


Strong resistance at 3121-3133 zone. Either it stop price in advance and push lower or let it though in a strong breakout towards 3155 / 3195.

⏰ TG alarms for #Ethereum => W/M-20sma, 3336, 3148, 3120, 2970, 2886.
Wise Analyze
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📉 Ethereum chart review 📈

$ETH haven't returned back to 2024 close. Got rejected earlier. Still can go for another swing up, so worth watching reaction to LP around 3177.If won't bounce there, may continue lower towards Monthly 20sma and zone under it at 3000-3025

🎯 Key Levels
Above: 3240 / 3295 / 3336
Below: 3177 / 3130 / 3030

{future}(ETHUSDT)

December 10th pump and dump wick left lots of small TF gaps, so in case of breakout above 2024 close price can easily cover most of them. But so far this is a distant scenario.
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