The market does not care whether your loan is due; whether your contract is about to be liquidated; whether your living expenses for this month are guaranteed; when you have planned many ways to make money in your mind, it is just an illusion! Protect your wallet!
Why is everyone so keen on analysis and prediction? Because they all want to find certainty! It's like a lifeline that you can grab! But is this useful? It's of no use at all. The best strategy for retail investors is to identify trends and follow them! However, many people do not understand this principle and always believe they can analyze the market.
$btc Before the Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting announces the interest rate decision, the market will not casually spread bearish statements. In a situation where market sentiment/liquidity is already low, the market needs to maintain upward momentum before the announcement is released, rather than suppress market sentiment. The situation will be clearer on the day of the announcement. Regardless of the divergence of bullish and bearish views, a strong bullish rebound should be planned here. Target 102000-106000!
X is looking for reasons for the drop at 8 AM today. Is today's -5% drop due to the news of Japan's interest rate hike? When the price has already reflected the results, people like to go to the market to find reasons. In fact, the results are already out; does the reason still matter? If no one cares, does it matter why? Retail investors want to win, they can only look for patterns in the market structure, make probabilities, control their positions, ensure proper lockdown, and when they have signals, boldly experiment while leaving the rest to the market and time. #BTC #加密市场回调
After Bitcoin retraced to the weekly EMA50, it rebounded as expected, and the market remains highly divergent, with most people leaning towards bearishness, exercising caution in shorting! The bear market has not yet begun. #美联储重启降息步伐
Since 2024, I have published dozens of market predictions, with about 80% of the rhythm consistent with future market trends. Although there have been some short-term fluctuations that did not align 100% with the analysis expectations, they ultimately did not affect the directional judgment. Although the decline risk indicated before the National Day was influenced by the significant rise during the National Day holiday, the advance positioning in spot short positions and short orders gained good profits from the significant drop on 10.11. Currently, I am indicating that Bitcoin has not entered a bear market and has completed positions around 105000-108000. Although it has dropped again to around 100000, I still maintain my viewpoint that BTC has not entered a bear market and should have good rebound potential for speculation in the future.
BTC has maintained above $100,000 for more than half a year. When testing the $100,000 price, multiple rebounds are likely to occur. So even if you are bearish, do not consider shorting right when this price is tested. Smart people have already started buying here. #BTC走势分析
Zeroview: After the major drop at 1011, do not overly focus on bearishness; there is definitely a structural shorting opportunity here, but I do not recommend being bearish because I believe the fundamentals have not changed. Then, regarding the 4-year bull-bear transition cycle, I think new considerations are needed. With the support of ETFs, it now reflects more of a "wide fluctuation + slow bull" pattern, repeatedly oscillating and continuously digesting the next wave of positive narratives. The correlation with U.S. stocks has weakened: ETF funds are "allocation-type," not the kind of "liquidity panic selling" seen in 2022. Unless there is a systemic crisis, a small drop in U.S. stocks will not lead to a large drop in BTC. Only if there is a systemic collapse in U.S. stocks will BTC face a significant drop crisis. Operational suggestions: Spot: Buy the dip and hold; BTC around 100,000 has good potential;
Swing: Sell high and buy low in the 100,000-130,000 range;
Long-term: I do not recommend holding a full position for the long term; continuously trading within the 100,000-130,000 range is a very rational choice.
The market is most afraid of "using an old map to find a new continent." It is not a bear market now; patience > prediction.