BTB投研-中南

Advertisers have been trying to transition into the cryptocurrency world for a while now.
Now, to summarize my feelings in one sentence: "Changing fields is like crossing mountains."

I entered the circle because of the great Dan (investigation and research is super strong 👍, only does deterministic trading) @韩丹 .
Dan recommended the Alpha shorting.
But later it became increasingly difficult to make money, and then slowly started to touch the spot market.
At that time, I also had no K-line skills or position awareness.
But I was lucky, after making some floating profits, I gradually reduced my position in the spot market.
Fortunately, I wasn't trapped at the peak of $BTC 12w 🤣.
Later, I started to try making contracts myself.
I transferred 100U to give it a try.
As expected, the casino's attraction is great 😂, I made money as soon as I entered.
At that time, my friends said I was the only one who entered the cryptocurrency world and received positive feedback.
I was the chosen one.

I must say that at that time I was certainly a little carried away.
Then I started high-frequency trading.

I was still very lucky, basically flipping 30% of my position.
But everyone knows about the devilish market conditions in the past month.

All the previous profits were given back.
I even lost a little, but not much.
My head was buzzing, and I really wanted to open a revenge order to earn it back.

But fortunately, halfway through, I caught the live stream of Cat Brother @懂币猫 .
I think the knowledge shared is quite practical.
I learned the basics of trend judgment, position management, and other basics.
Then I didn't lose again.
When my hands itched, I opened a super small capital contract to practice or feel the market.
But without the right understanding, skills, and mindset, it's really hard to make money (I clearly recognize that the money I made before was purely luck, it was incidental wealth).

I am very eager to learn practical knowledge.
So I found Tan @Crypto-爱币斯坦 .
Now I am also following Tan to learn 📖.

Next, when I have free time, I will calm down.
I will double my efforts to learn the most basic trading mindset (or more accurately, investment mindset), K-line skills, research and investment, etc.

I strive to be able to truly earn the money I can earn through my abilities one day.

Keep it up, working hard to learn in a bear market is like stocking up on weapons!
When there is no market, work hard to earn bullets to match the guns!

Treat the spot bear market as a bull market for contract short positions, and reverse the logic of spot trading; the Wuji strategy has become 👍

$BTC Small仓位多单已打损，现在位置比较中性；
If 883稳住，也许还能看一下890-895
But if 883稳不住，下跌第一个位置就先看87咯…

To add: I mainly analyze and judge by combining MACD, Chen theory, and looking at the rebound and retracement strength at various levels. Currently, the 1H has only completed the third wave of the upward movement, and now the fourth leg is forming a bottom (currently temporarily established), then waiting for the fifth leg of the 1H upward movement; the position that can be seen is basically in the range of 912 to 920, not sure if it can reach there; for reference only, not as investment advice, I accept the losses for the orders I opened myself.

#BTC Today's Morning Analysis Report
Conclusion Summary:
I think there is a possibility of another push in the 912～920 range, which is also a strong resistance level;
The key support I see is around 883, if it can't hold, then this rebound trend may end;

Current position can go up or down, observe signals at the support and resistance levels, and prepare risk control strategies;

I have opened a long position at 891, currently in a profitable state, stop loss at 885, initially targeting 913;

DYOR.

This trend has a very small possibility of reaching 100,000, unless there is a super positive news... hhh
DYOR

Arrived near 913, as expected from my deep analysis
The lower limit support is actually around 893
This level must not be broken, if it breaks, the rebound will really be over

$BTC The review is almost done. If following the previous prediction, it should be a combination of the first and second types, hahaha. In short, bearish in the long term, bullish in the short term, haha. DYOR

I thought it would take a while to get here, but I didn't expect to arrive so quickly at $BTC
Today may continue the downward trend to around 913-916
By the end of the month, I expect a short-term bullish move towards around 101000
Everyone, make sure to do your own research, DYOR

#BTC Let's let time prove whether this follows the script or not, hahaha

Basically, it should follow the second scenario
Next week, it will first drop to the vicinity of 92-93
Then it will start the last wave of rebound, probably just over 100,000
The market is always right; we can only analyze and prepare strategies to respond to the market, ensuring good risk control

$BTC basically follows my first prediction
Most likely, 9.8-9.9 is the peak of the rebound
Next one to two weeks may see a downward pattern resembling the right shoulder of a head and shoulders formation

Analyzing the chart is too brain-intensive, and I didn't have time to organize the textual analysis process. Let me summarize upfront: I believe the probability of the #BTC moving into a daily-level wave 3 decline after a rebound is very high.

1. Small pullback, bullish outlook
Pullback target: around 948
Bullish target: 984
Forming a top divergence on the daily chart, then entering a consolidation and downward trend

Tonight's forecast
First, break below 937 or around 948, possibly forming a horizontal pinbar
Then, rally up to 983～985

2. First pullback, then rebound, then decline
Daily level, pullback target: around 919 (reached this week Friday or next Monday)
Rebound target: around 98 (reached around the 26th)
Daily level, first downward target: around 87 (reached around the 30th)