首页
通知
个人主页
热门文章
新闻
收藏与点赞
历史记录
创作者中心
设置
Pelin Ay
--
关注
上周,$DYX,曾与#Bitcoin短期相关,恢复了正常走势并开始下跌,因为
#bitcoin
上涨。很明显,这一下降将降至98.16。然而,我相信它会随后反弹向上。这是因为
$BTC
可能会找到一个峰值然后下跌。我预计这个峰值本周将达到$102K,但似乎相对成交量较低。我正在密切关注空头。
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
BTC
90,205.13
-0.11%
327
0
浏览最新的加密货币新闻
⚡️ 参与加密货币领域的最新讨论
💬 与喜爱的创作者互动
👍 查看感兴趣的内容
邮箱/手机号码
注册
登录
相关创作者
Pelin Ay
@Pelinay
关注
创作者的更多内容
Bitcoin and Ethereum Technical Analysis: Bear Season Has Begun First, looking at the Bitcoin chart, the price is clearly below the short, medium, and long-term moving averages. The price is sloping downwards from the SMA(7–14–30) and is positioned below the SMA(50–100), clearly indicating a downward trend. Reactions are being sold off at the falling averages, meaning the averages have now become dynamic resistance. Resistance attempts are coming with low volume. Buyers are not gaining dominance. Volume in sell candles is deeper than in buy candles. Buying volume is not accompanying recoveries. In short, BTC is currently in the reaction phase of a bear market. The structure is still downward, and upward movements do not inspire confidence. Ethereum is also below the averages but is doing better than BTC. The SMA(7–14) is attempting an upward curve, showing a desire for a short-term recovery. However, the SMA(50–100) is still above, meaning the main trend has not changed. The rebound from the bottom is stronger and more stable than BTC's. Candlestick patterns are cleaner, wicks are shorter, and there's no panic selling. The increase in volume after the bottom is healthier than in BTC. Buying is still limited but not completely gone. Ethereum is holding stronger than Bitcoin, but this strength is not yet at the level of a trend reversal. Considering both charts together, I can say that ETH is holding stronger than BTC. However, the market hasn't yet entered "risk-on" mode. In both charts, long-term averages are sloping downwards, rebounds are below resistance, and volume is insufficient for an uptrend. The market is not ready for a strong rise. BTC cannot lead, the market cannot go up. ETH is resilient but cannot start a trend alone. The Bitcoin rally has ended for now. We will first see the bottom of the bear season ($50K), then we will continue the rise. $BTC $ETH
--
According to ETH Funding Rates, Futures Demand Isn't Meeting the Need to Start a Rally Recent positive funding rates are lower than in the previous period. There isn't heavy long pressure; that is, the market isn't aggressively engaging in leveraged buying. Negative areas are very limited; it's also clear that short positions aren't dominant. Therefore, I can't say there's excessive optimism in the market, but the long side is still dominant, albeit weakly. When funding remains positive but low, we can say that leveraged long positions aren't strong and only small investors are trading. This indicates a lack of power to push the price up or down. The price enters a consolidation period at this time. The last part of the chart shows ETH fluctuating around $3.1K; this seems consistent with the funding structure. Based on this chart, it's not difficult to predict that the ETH price will continue to stabilize in the $3.3K–$3.7K range. Because long transactions are weak but dominant. There is no selling pressure. The price hasn't found a peak yet. Therefore, I think the maximum rise could be around $3700. The fact that funding rates remain at these levels indicates insufficient demand for futures contracts to support a major rally. $ETH #Ethereum
--
For Ethereum, I think the peak will be between $3,350 and $3,700. Then, the decline will continue. I predict a bearish bottom around $900. #Ethereum $ETH
--
Bitcoin's expected scenario continues. I expect it to first reach $102,000 and then continue to decline. The miner cost is between $51,000 and $57,000. During the 2021 bull run, the miner cost was $29,000, and the price fell to $14. That is, it fell below $15,000. If a similar decline occurs again, the $36,000-$42,000 range will be the bottom of the bear season. #bitcoin $BTC
--
Ethereum Binance Reserves Rising The chart clearly shows that the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has been in a continuous downtrend, particularly since July 2025. This decline reached levels of 3.8 million by the end of November, the lowest level in recent months. The fact that the reserve never fell below $1.4K indicates that the ETH price has formed a strong base around $1.4K. The price never dropped below $1.4K, and aggressive buying followed each test. This movement demonstrates that the 1.4K level is a strong support level in terms of supply and demand. While this base level has been maintained, the continuous decline in reserves during the same period should have positively impacted the price, but the price has actually decreased proportionally to the reserve. I interpret this as a rallying cry for whales at $1.4K. Therefore, any hold above 1.4K may be paving the way for the start of a temporary upward trend. The final section of the chart shows a small but significant upward movement in the reserves after the sharp decline. This means that ETH withdrawn from Binance is being held in cold wallets, not sold. Small increases in reserves, however, transfer ETH held in wallets to the exchange for purchase. This is typically a move that sends ETH to the exchange for sale during a rally following a bottom confirmation. In other words, there are investors willing to sell during the initial upward movement. This indicates that ETH, which fell from $4,950 to $2,600, has found a temporary bottom and is expected to rise to $3,325. The downtrend will then continue, with the price aiming to reach the base support of $1,400. SMA30 and supply pressure are converging at $1.6K. This area will be a test of strength for the uptrend. Even if sharp spikes occur at $1.4K, I believe buyers will emerge within this range. $ETH
--
实时新闻
据 Cointelegraph 报道,长期持有者通过卖出看涨期权影响 Bitcoin 价格
--
152.09 万枚 TON 从匿名地址转至 Elector Contract
--
SEC 发布加密钱包和托管指南,强调自我托管与第三方托管的利弊
--
ETH价格波动可能导致主流CEX清算强度变化
--
EXOR 拒绝 Tether 收购尤文图斯的提议
--
查看更多
热门文章
如果真正的山寨季从2026年1月开始呢?
拟希
为宁波餐饮商家集体退出外卖平台叫好! 最近,宁波堂食商家集体退出外卖平台、打响反平台高抽佣第一枪引发公众广泛关注。参与这
爱生活的晴
币圈稳赚钱的9大方法,新手一定要看完收藏,这才是真正的“财富快车” 1、长期囤币法 选主流币:BTC、ETH。拿住半年
区块大燕
ADA又换预言机合作方了!原定ChainLink黄了,现在敲定Pyth,2026年初上线。 官方说法是ChainLin
币圈大老黑
国安部这次公布特大稀土走私事件,真是让人惊掉下巴。中国稀土出口管制后,西方国家为填补缺口,手段简直无所不用其极。境外间谍
元气少女
查看更多
网站地图
Cookie偏好设置
平台条款和条件