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The Crypto Jack
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$BTC似乎在模仿2021年的周期。
类似的双顶结构,现在也有反弹。
这意味着比特币可能在下一轮下跌之前上涨到$100,000-$105,000的水平。
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
BTC
90,182.02
-0.28%
2.3k
0
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WHAT IF ???? BTC bleeds slowly to 55k. That where the bottom of the next bear market is. What will happen to your alts then? . . . #BinanceBlockchainWeek #USJobsData #BTCVSGOLD #CPIWatch #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC $ETH $BNB ZEC ADA PIPPIN TRADOOR FOLKS
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THE CRYPTO MARKET ISN’T UNDERPERFORMING DUE TO LACK OF LIQUIDITY. It’s underperformance because no one knows what comes next. - Liquidity is improving; QT is over. - The Fed has started adding liquidity again. - The US Treasury is pushing cash back into markets through buybacks and TGA flows. - China and Canada are easing. - Global liquidity is moving back toward ATH And yet, Bitcoin isn't moving. Altcoins are performing even worse. This shows the problem isn’t liquidity; it’s uncertainty, and the market hates uncertainty. In past cycles, crypto performed well even during tightening, as long as the macro path was clear. In 2020-2021, the Fed’s stance was simple: Ongoing easing. Liquidity was coming, and everyone knew it. Bitcoin pumped hard. In 2023, the Fed was hiking rates, yet BTC rallied. Why? Because the path was clear. Rates would rise until inflation cooled. But now the situation is different. The Fed itself is divided. Some members want more cuts. Some want to pause. Some believe inflation is finished. Others think its full impact hasn’t even shown up yet. Global policy is also unclear. Markets don’t know how far or how fast the Bank of Japan may tighten. Apart from that, trade war and geopolitical war situations are adding more uncertainty. Because there's no clear macro direction about what is coming next, risk-on assets like BTC and alts are struggling to perform. This is also a reason why every Bitcoin pump often retraces quickly and altcoins underperform even when liquidity data looks positive. IMO, this uncertainty phase likely lasts until around Q2 2026, when a new Fed Chair appointed by Trump is expected to take over, alongside more aligned leadership. Once that happens, the policy becomes clearer: when to cut, how much to cut, and how much liquidity to inject. This is when I'll probably start allocating heavily back into the markets again.
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Japan is expected to do a rate hike this month. Since 2024, BOJ has raised the interest rates thrice. March 2024: This marked the local top for Bitcoin July 2024: This dumped Bitcoin below $50K Jan 2025: This marked the local top for Bitcoin. Right now, BTC is already down 30%+ from its ATH. I'm expecting something like the July 2024 scenario, if BOJ cut rates. Maybe a sharp correction below $80K to capitulate.
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ZEC I will go massive swing short on ZEC if given at or above 520$. This will be trading below 130$ till april/may. Trade accordingly. BEST of luck. NFA. #CPIWatch #TrumpTariffs #USJobsData #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek $BTC $ETH $BNB SOL PIPPIN
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XRP Swing Short. Will add more to the shorts above 3$ if given. Target is 0.38$ Enjoy. NFA. . . #BTCVSGOLD #USJobsData #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs #CPIWatch $BTC $ETH $BNB SOL ZEC
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