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KaiZXBT
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利率会议就在几个小时后,预计将减少0.25%。
然而,会议后的讲话可能会影响市场价格。因此,建议在此期间避免开启衍生订单或减少交易量,以缓解波动性。
BTCUSDT
永续
86,283.1
-2.12%
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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TRX analysis : TRON price prediction: Traders, brace for a momentum shift
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Three U.S. Economic Data Points Set to Shape Bitcoin Sentiment This Week Bitcoin is entering a pivotal week as several key U.S. macroeconomic releases between December 15 and 19 are expected to drive market sentiment. With BTC hovering around the psychological $90,000 level, traders are split between fears of a deeper correction and hopes that a more dovish Federal Reserve stance will cushion downside risks. The first major catalyst is the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on December 16. Consensus expects job growth to slow sharply, with around 50,000 new jobs versus 119,000 previously, while unemployment may tick up to 4.5%. A weaker-than-expected print would reinforce expectations of Fed easing, potentially lifting BTC toward $95,000. Conversely, a strong NFP could revive hawkish fears and pressure Bitcoin back toward the $85,000 support zone. Next, Initial Jobless Claims on December 18 will offer a timely read on labor market stress. Claims above 230,000 would likely support risk assets, including crypto, by strengthening rate-cut expectations. A print below 220,000 could weigh on BTC sentiment. Finally, November CPI, also released on December 18, is the most critical data point. Any sign of cooling inflation would boost liquidity expectations and favor a BTC breakout, while upside inflation surprises could trigger renewed volatility and downside risk.
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An Ethereum whale raises its holdings to $1.7B: Will this move affect ETH?
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Data Shows Whales Are Increasingly Favoring Ethereum Over Bitcoin On-chain data suggests that crypto whales are shifting their accumulation focus from Bitcoin (BTC) toward Ethereum (ETH). According to Lookonchain, one large wallet recently swapped 502.8 BTC for 14,500 ETH, followed by another transaction exchanging 1,969 BTC for 58,149 ETH. These moves highlight a clear preference for ETH exposure over BTC among large holders. This trend aligns with Ethereum’s growing market dominance, while Bitcoin’s dominance has struggled to reclaim the 60% level. Order book data further shows consistent whale accumulation of ETH on major exchanges such as Coinbase and OKX. Over the past three weeks alone, net spot purchases by whales have totaled roughly $17 million. Derivatives data reinforces this bullish bias. Whales have traded more than $3.3 billion in ETH futures on OKX and Binance, signaling rising conviction in Ethereum’s medium-term price outlook. ETH reflected this optimism earlier in the week, rallying around 13% before giving back part of the gains during a broader market pullback. From a relative performance perspective, ETH has clearly outpaced BTC since the November lows. Ethereum is up more than 16% from its November bottom, trading near $3,075, while Bitcoin has gained just over 9% over the same period. A key driver behind ETH’s strength is the sharp decline in exchange reserves. Between December 9 and December 14, approximately 248,711 ETH, worth around $766 million, was withdrawn from exchanges, according to CryptoQuant. Falling exchange balances typically indicate long-term accumulation and tightening liquid supply. Combined with strong whale demand and Ethereum’s continued dominance in the stablecoin market, these dynamics are fueling expectations that ETH could retest and potentially break above the $3,500 level if favorable macro conditions persist.
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DApps Are Making More Money Than Blockchains Looking at the past 12 months, the picture is clear: value is accruing to applications, not to chains anymore. Solana has a market cap of around $81 billion, yet generated only about $667 million in fees over the year, implying a market cap to fees ratio of roughly 121x. Avalanche, Aptos, Sui, and Sei look even more stretched, ranging from 500x to over 1,000x. Sei stands out at an extreme level, above 5,800x. This means most L1s are being valued largely on future expectations, not on current cash flows. Applications tell a very different story. Hyperliquid generated around $812 million in revenue and $873 million in fees over one year, with a market cap of roughly $7.75 billion. That puts its market cap to revenue ratio at about 9.5x. Pump.fun is even more aggressive: around $414 million in revenue with a market cap near $1.86 billion, or roughly 4.5x revenue. These are business-style valuations, not narrative-driven crypto premiums. At the core, the economics are simple. Chains sell blockspace, compete aggressively, and end up pushing fees down. Apps sell products, user experience, and liquidity, and they retain the cash flow. As blockspace becomes increasingly commoditized, the L1 premium gets eroded. Economic value naturally migrates up the stack. Chains start to resemble infrastructure, while apps increasingly look like real businesses.
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