TheCryptoCrisp

What Crypto Traders Need to Know
The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to deliver its third straight rate cut, but this time the outlook is far less friendly. Markets are pricing in a 25 bps cut, bringing the Fed funds rate to 3.5%–3.75%, yet the real story is the tone: a hawkish cut.
A hawkish cut means the Fed may reduce rates now while warning that future cuts are not guaranteed. For risk markets — including crypto — this tone matters more than the cut itself.
🏦 Why the Fed Is Split
Inside the FOMC, officials are divided:
◇One side wants more cuts to prevent further weakness in the labor market.
◇The other side warns that too many cuts could reignite inflation.
◇This tug-of-war is why markets expect Powell to send a message like:
➡️ “We’re cutting now, but don’t expect more unless the data forces us.”
Former Fed official Bill English calls this the most likely outcome: a cut + caution.
📊 Key Things Investors Will Watch
Along with the rate decision, Wednesday’s event includes:
🔹 The Dot Plot
A fresh update of Fed officials’ interest rate projections — a crucial signal of how many cuts (or pauses) may come in 2026.
• 🔹 Updated Economic Forecasts
GDP
Unemployment
Inflation
• 🔹 Balance Sheet Guidance
Some expect hints about whether the Fed may restart bond purchases, especially with stress still showing in funding markets.
📉 Labor Market Weakening
Even with limited government data during the recent shutdown, trends are clear:
>Hiring has flattened
>Layoffs are rising
>Job openings are unchanged, while hiring dropped by 218,000
>This softening labor market supports rate cuts.
📈 Inflation Still Too High
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge sits at 2.8%, still above the 2% target.
Even as political messaging claims “inflation is gone,” the data shows otherwise — and the Fed knows tariffs are pushing prices higher.
Former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester expects one more cut, but says Powell must keep policy “somewhat restrictive” until inflation clearly moves lower.
🎤 What to Expect From Powell
Powell’s press conference will likely highlight:
The divided views inside the Fed
The higher bar for more cuts
No return to aggressive easing unless economic data weakens sharply
Multiple dissents within the committee are also expected — a sign of just how uncertain the current environment is.
🚀 What This Means for Crypto
📉 A hawkish tone may cool short-term risk sentiment
📈 But a confirmed rate cut still supports long-term liquidity trends
🚨 Watch for reactions to inflation projections and the dot plot — these could dictate Bitcoin’s next major move
Crypto markets love liquidity, but they hate uncertainty. Today’s decision delivers a bit of both.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#FederalReserve #FedDecision #RateCut #CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoMarkets #BinanceSquare #Inflation #FOMC #Powell #USEconomy #MacroUpdate

$BTC $XRP
在比特币突破94,000美元后，加密市场亮起了火花，激发了广泛的反弹——但XRP再次未能跟上，令交易者和分析师感到担忧。
根据CD Analytics的数据显示，尽管几种主要的替代币以强劲的交易量爆发上升，XRP的涨幅明显较弱，显示出犹豫和对这一走势缺乏信心。
🔥 市场快照
比特币的快速上涨使市场上超过3.87亿美元的资金被清算，抹去了过度杠杆的多头和空头头寸。

比特币显示出潜在反弹的迹象，因为Polymarket上的交易者将美联储在下周FOMC会议（12月9日至10日）上降息25个基点的概率定为92%。
鸽派结果可能会将比特币的短期前景从下跌→突破翻转。
📉 市场设置：鲍威尔预计将再次降息
尽管通胀担忧仍然存在，杰罗姆·鲍威尔被广泛预期会再次降息——这是自十月以来的第三次。
关键官员早前曾提出反对，但在纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰·威廉姆斯暗示可能需要在“近期内”降息后，情绪发生了变化。

巴基斯坦的加密货币生态正在快速发展——但并不总是清晰。
今年早些时候，政府通过关于国家加密委员会的报告和比拉尔·宾·萨基布在多个高级职位上的任命，表明了对加密货币友好的转变，从区块链和加密货币顾问到现在的巴基斯坦虚拟资产监管局（PVARA）主席。
但他最近辞去SAPM的职务引发了新的问题：
🔹 实际上有“加密部”吗？
🔹 加密委员会的状态如何？

$DASH 韩国正在加强对加密货币的监管，政策制定者发出信号，将进行重大改革，使加密交易所遵循银行标准规则，以保护用户并加强监督。
🔐 Upbit骇客事件引发紧迫感
●11月27日Upbit的疑似违规事件引发了新的审查。
●₩44.5B 韩元（3000万美元）的未经授权转帐
●在一小时内转移超过104B的Solana基础代币
●对Upbit在向监管机构报告时延迟6小时提出疑问
●该事件增加了对强化交易所责任的压力。