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$XRP dropped 6% to $1.88 during Monday's market correction, falling below its $2.00 support level and testing crucial price boundaries that have held since November 2024. Analysts warn the cryptocurrency must defend current levels or risk a significant breakdown to $1.00.

What Happened: Support Breach

The digital asset lost its $2.00 threshold Monday morning and continued declining despite sustained institutional interest. XRP has traded within a $2.00-$2.25 range over the past month, only breaking below during late November's pullback.
Monday's correction pushed the cryptocurrency below this range again, hitting a multi-week low of $1.88.

The price bounced near the $1.85-$1.90 zone, an area that has provided support after every major correction since the November 2024 breakout.

XRP fell below its one-year price range of $1.92-$3.27, which could trigger a 50% decline if the area fails to hold.
The cryptocurrency needs a daily close above $1.92 to prevent a drop to $1.00 support, a level not seen in over a year.

XRP is "flirting with a high time frame breakdown," identifying a potential rounding top or double top pattern with a higher high. A break below $1.88, where the pattern's neckline sits, would confirm an M formation and lead to a "measured move to roughly MA 200 area/$1.00 range."

Why It Matters: Recovery Potential

Some analysts maintain a bullish outlook despite the warnings. XRP is "looking good" at current levels, noting the cryptocurrency is "sweeping the $1.8 support zone again" while showing bullish divergence on the daily timeframe.
Once XRP breaks above $2.20 resistance, it could surge 27%-37% toward the $2.80-$3.00 range "within a month."

XRP appears to be repeating its 2023-2024 price action, which preceded its November 2024 breakout.

The cryptocurrency accumulated for 18 months, bouncing between range boundaries before its markup phase in late Q4 2024. "Regardless of scenarios, or how ugly/beautiful it gets, a massive markup phase similar to November 2024 is likely between now and late 2026."

XRP traded at $1.93 as of press time.
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The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, which highlights the ounces of gold required to purchase one BTC, has retraced to 20 ounces per BTC, down roughly 50% from around 40 ounces in December 2024. Rather than a collapse in Bitcoin ( $BTC ) demand, this sharp shift reflected the unique macroeconomic regime of 2025, where gold’s asset performance dominated that of the crypto asset.

Why gold ( $XAU ) dominated the store-of-value bid in 2025

Gold led the global store-of-value bid in 2025, delivering a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 63% and breaking above $4,000 per ounce in Q4. What made this rally distinct was that it unfolded despite restrictive monetary conditions.

The rise took place while US interest rates remained restrictive for most of the year, with the Federal Reserve delivering its first basis-point cut only in September. Historically, such an environment would pressure non-yielding assets, yet gold advanced sharply, highlighting a structural shift in demand.

Central banks were at the core of this move. Global official sector purchases totaled 254 tonnes through October, with the National Bank of Poland leading the charge, by adding 83 tonnes. At the same time, Global gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holdings expanded by 397 tonnes in H1 2025, reaching a record high of 3,932 tonnes by November.
This was a significant reversal of the 2023 outflow pattern. This inflow occurred despite real yields averaging 1.8% across developed markets in Q2, during which gold still rallied 23%, signaling a clear decoupling from its traditional inverse relationship with yields.

Elevated uncertainty further reinforced gold’s appeal. The VIX (Volatility Index) averaged 18.2 in 2025, up from 14.3 in 2024, while geopolitical risk indexes climbed 34% year-over-year. Gold’s equity beta compressed to negative 0.12, its lowest since 2008, confirming demand from both risk-off hedging and long-term allocation.

Thus, defined by tight US financial conditions and delayed policy easing, gold functioned less as an inflation hedge and more as a broad portfolio insurance in 2025.

Why Bitcoin lagged gold on a relative basis

Bitcoin delivered solid returns through 2025, reaching six-figures and benefiting from demand for spot BTC ETFs. However, relative to gold, Bitcoin underperformed as demand conditions weakened during the second half of the year.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw strong early momentum, with total assets under management (AUM) rising from $120 billion in January to a peak of $152 billion by July 2025. Since then, AUM declined steadily to around $112 billion over the following five months, reflecting net outflows during price pullbacks and a slowdown in fresh capital formation. This contrasted with consistent inflows into gold ETFs over the same period.

Onchain data also pointed to distribution. According to Glassnode, long-term holder (LTH) profit realization exceeded $1 billion per day on a seven-day average throughout much of July, marking one of the largest profit-taking phases on record.

While realized profits moderated in August, selling resumed later in the year. In October, long-term holders sold roughly 300,000 BTC, worth $33 billion, representing the most aggressive LTH distribution since December 2024. As a result, LTH supply declined from 14.8 million BTC on July 18 to about 14.3 million BTC at present.

Elevated real yields through most of 2025 raised the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin, while its correlation with equities remained relatively high. Gold, by contrast, benefited from safe-haven and reserve-driven demand. This divergence in demand regimes explains the compression in the BTC–gold ratio, reflecting cyclical repricing rather than a structural breakdown in Bitcoin’s long-term thesis.
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该$HBAR 价格继续下跌趋势，并且跌破了一个关键的支撑水平，因为Hedera面临重大阻力。

该代币继续其近期的下跌趋势，因为比特币（BTC）和其他币种在即将到来的日本银行利率决定前回落。数据显示，所有币种的市场资本总值跌破了$3万亿的重要支撑位。

Hedera价格也因其生态系统增长停滞而暴跌。DeFi Llama汇编的数据表明，该网络在过去几个月没有新的去中心化应用程序，网络中的锁定总价值已从年初的高点$3.5亿暴跌至$1.26亿。

比特币 ( $BTC ) 本周以超过90,000美元的价格开始，但 downward trend 现在已将其带到86,674美元。本周被标记为“风险规避”期，原因有多个，负面影响了多头。我们不仅会重温这些原因，还将探讨美联储威廉姆斯最近的声明。

比特币下跌的原因

欧盟外交部长最近评论称，中国利用经济联系作为政治利益的武器。威廉姆斯支持货币宽松，BTC下跌至86,000美元以下。比特币价格的下降是可以预见的，预示着在88,000美元以下失去重要支撑，为在超卖环境中更低的低点铺平道路。低于80,000美元的水平也是可能的。

Solana ( $SOL ) 继续在狭窄的整合区间内交易，反映出市场在短期卖压和稳定定位之间保持平衡，技术水平和机构流动悄然引导近期预期。

区间交易塑造当前市场条件

Solana在几周内以横盘方式交易，其价格大致保持在130美元至145美元之间。这一长时间的整合尾巴表明，在之前的方向性变化后，买卖双方之间达成了平衡。这种行为通常与市场在更清晰的趋势恢复之前吸收供应有关。

比特币价格在这个周末承受着巨大的压力，并可能面临更深的下跌风险，可能在日本银行利率决定之前跌至75,000美元。

比特币（ $BTC ），作为原始加密货币，卡在90,000美元的心理价位。这一价格比今年最高点低约29%，这表明它仍然处于深度熊市。

由于投资者预计日本银行将在12月19日加息，本周可能会出现货币崩溃。Polymarket的数据表明，该银行加息5个基点以应对高企的通货膨胀的概率为98%。

$XRP 在2.01美元附近持稳，月度RSI位于54。价格在2.05美元和2.17美元之间交易，而市场则跟踪当前的整合区间。

XRP在周二维持在一个关键技术区域附近，因为其月度相对强弱指数（RSI）停留在54，这一水平与现有趋势中的暂停相关。该指标在经历了一次大幅上涨后回落至50区域，这一趋势与之前的历史一致，当时价格进入了暂时停滞的时期。XRP处于图表所称的动态支撑区，该区域代表了之前的市场重置区域。然而，该资产仍然处于其短期区间内，市场参与者在评估回调背后的力量。截至今天，XRP的交易价为2.01美元，这在过去24小时内增长了0.9%。

$ASTER 价格在$0.92支撑区间保持稳定，买家捍卫价值区域的低点，提高了形成底部的可能性，以及向更高阻力水平潜在轮动的可能性。

Aster在更广泛的市场波动中继续展现出令人印象深刻的稳定性，牢牢保持在关键的$0.92支撑区域。尽管面临外部市场压力和情绪波动，ASTER仍然保持结构，并维持了一个关键的高时间框架（HTF）支撑区。

随着价格在价值区域低点（VAL）附近整合，分析师们现在正在评估底部是否正在形成，以及ASTER是否准备向更高的阻力水平进行潜在轮动。

比特币矿工能够以低于市场成本的价格获得BTC，这使他们能够推动企业采用，因为加密货币财库公司的购买速度减缓，依据一份报告。该报告指出，预计Q4将见到自2024年Q3以来财库公司BTC购买量的最低点（40,000 $BTC ）。

尽管出现这种放缓，矿工仍然至关重要，占11月新企业BTC增加的5%和公共公司总持有量的12%。里佐建议，矿工以折扣价获取BTC的能力意味着他们的资产负债表对企业采用将变得越来越重要，尤其是在其他财库暂停购买的情况下。

$PEPE 上涨 2.8% 至 $0.054457，交易在支撑位 $0.054576 和阻力位 $0.05504 之间进行，期间为一个结构化的交易时段。

Pepe 在市场关注度上经历了新的变化，因为该代币在最新交易时段内交易在紧密定义的水平附近。该资产记录了 2.8% 的增长，价格上涨至 $0.054457，这使分析师专注于塑造其日内行为的狭窄结构。价格接近其即时参考区域，这一定位引导了大多数市场讨论。值得注意的是，该代币在限制范围内持续反应，而交易者审查数据以寻找潜在的波动。

在影响全球市场的战略举措中，美联储选择将其利率降低0.25%，将关键的联邦基金利率调整至3.5%至3.75%之间。此决定旨在平衡经济动能，已在金融部门引发了不同的反应，显著影响了加密货币和股票市场的走势。美联储内部的动态反映了这种多样性，关于利率变化程度的看法各不相同。

是什么促使美联储最新的利率调整？