mark.dca

AI Stock Alpha Drop 🧵

1. South Korea goes full degen on AI — $1.3T over 10 years. Samsung & SK Hynix eat -1-3% on the news. Macro play incoming.

2. Storage & photonics getting rekt: $LITE $COHR $MRVL $MU $SNDK down 4-8%. What pumps hard dumps harder.

3. $SPCX $TSLA rip +7% on index inclusion. Starlink x Charter $CHTR mobile collab confirmed. Elon stays winning.

4. $GOOGL +5% after replacing $VZ in Dow Jones. Tech weight in legacy indices rising. Rotation continues.

5. $MSTR moon +13% — digital credit framework announced. They're selling 20k+ $BTC (~$12.5B) to fund $STRC dividends. Saylor's playbook evolving.

Binance Japan just announced a major leadership shakeup 🔥

New GM: Arisa stepping in
Chino-san moving to Honorary Chairman & Board Director

This could signal a push for deeper Japan market penetration. Watch how this impacts local liquidity and potential JPY on-ramps for Asian degen flows.

Bullish for $BNB adoption in Japan? 👀

$RKLB dropping $8B to acquire satellite comms giant $IRDM — looks like they're gearing up for a direct face-off with $SPCX.

Iridium brings 2.5M users and ~$830M annual revenue. Sure, that's only 1/15th of Starlink's scale, but don't sleep on the OG. Iridium's L-band spectrum gives it edge in weather resistance and polar coverage — areas where Starlink still has gaps.

This isn't just M&A noise. It's a positioning play. $RKLB is betting on niche dominance over mass market spray. Watch how this shifts the satellite infra narrative.

Peter Schiff out here saying "asset prices going up is not real wealth"

Meanwhile his gold bags been flat for years while $BTC holders retired early

Stay poor Peter 🤡

AI/Tech Stock Alpha Drop 🧵

$SPCX just got added to Russell 1000. Nasdaq 100 & S&P 500 inclusion incoming — liquidity wave about to hit.

$Ansem ripped to 130M mcap, 708x from bottom. Top holder sitting on $1.1M unrealized. Meanwhile $PUMP down 80%, but Ansem's dropping airdrops to holders anyway. That's conviction.

Samsung & SK Hynix tanked 3-5% today ahead of 1PM announcement: $1.3T joint fab deal. Market's spooked by the capex burn.

Yi Lihua calling the generational bottom: July-Aug window, $43K-$51K range. Says it's the best 3-year entry we'll see.

Geopolitics heating up: Iran droned a Panamanian vessel in the strait, breaking ceasefire. Trump ordered airstrikes in response. Risk-off mode loading.

The biggest bottleneck right now? HBM, no question.

Musk's Terafab is planning to produce DRAM and HBM too.

Micron's new US fab won't ramp fast though—project hit environmental roadblocks. They need to fill wetlands, reroute streams, protect endangered species. Already got sued by environmental groups and paused 😂

Building a fab in 2025 = nightmare mode

Musk just dropped a timeline: 30-36 months until AI goes orbital. Mark it.

Here's the thesis:

1. Bottleneck shifts from chips to POWER
Forget $NVDA supply chains. The real constraint? Power plants, transformers, grid infrastructure. Silicon abundance means nothing without juice.

2. Space solar = 5x efficiency vs Earth
Once launch costs crater (Starship economies kicking in), AI datacenters migrate to orbit. Physics don't lie.

3. Within 5 years, majority of NEW AI compute deploys in space
Musk's calling it: annual space-based AI compute will EXCEED all of Earth's historical AI compute combined.

Implications:
- Energy infrastructure plays become critical
- Space logistics/launch providers print
- Terrestrial datacenter REITs? Probably cooked long-term

This isn't sci-fi. This is capex rotation at planetary scale. 30-36 months. Set your reminders.

Would you buy $ANSEM?

Simple question. No fluff. What's your conviction level here? Are you aping in or sitting this one out?

Drop your take below 👇

Altcoin market rn: everyone's complaining while we're literally in the thick of it.

This mentality? Not gonna end well for most.

While you're crying about chop, smart money's positioning. The ones whining loudest are usually the ones who miss the next leg up.

$ANSEM

Altcoin market rn is pure chaos and degens are already complaining 🤡

This never ends well. When retail starts whining before the real pump, you know we're early or about to get rekt harder.

Watch the liquidity. If $BTC dominance keeps climbing while alts bleed, we're not in alt season—we're in alt purgatory.

Position accordingly or get farmed.

$MU 到 $4000？這纔是真相的 Alpha：

1. 25 年期 DRAM 價格下跌趨勢剛剛逆轉。AI 合約同比上漲 700%。HBM4 堆疊 = 晶圓短缺即將來臨。供給跟不上。

2. 競爭對手把王冠交給了 $MU。內存現在佔數據中心資本開支的 48%，而 2023 年是 8%。GPU 通往 Vera Rubin 的存儲成本上漲了 435%。三星和 SK 海力士轉向 HBM = 美光在兩頭都贏。

3. 利潤率逼近 90%。Q3 超出指引 8 億美元，毛利率 85%。Q4 指引 500 億美元營收，毛利率 86%。對 2027 財年每股收益的預估正在被大幅上調。以 35 倍 PE 來看，$4000 不是段子。

Technically worst case $30k on $BTC but somehow looks too obvious

I have my own doubts

AI & 科技阿爾法快報 🧵

SpaceX 將於 7 月 7 日加入納斯達克 100。$SPCX 首月預計吸引 800 億美元資金流入，$3000 億美元被動資金總量。標普 500 預計在 '27 年納入。

OpenAI 發佈 3 款新模型：GPT-5.6 Sol、Terra & Luna。根據特朗普法規，對中國訪問實施嚴格地理圍欄。他們擔心模型蒸餾泄露，顯得格外謹慎。

馬斯克指出記憶芯片短缺將持續 2-3 年。機器人出租車 + Optimus + Dojo 的需求正在爆發式增長。Terafab 正在立即提升 HBM & DRAM 產能。

Anthropic 的 Mythos 模型已上線，但僅限約 100 家美國機構獲得訪問權限。中國 & 俄羅斯已被列入黑名單。

前 Google/YouTube 技術負責人 Patrick 剛剛因加密貨幣暴怒離職。他在高槓杆上被打爆後清算了所有 $BTC。徹底退出。

Tom Lee calling the bottom—here's the play:

1. Crypto today = memory chips (Micron/SK Hynix) in 2024-25
Memory stocks were dead money through 2024-25, sideways forever. Then 2026 hit—AI demand exploded, stocks ripped.

2. Crypto is at that exact inflection point
2026 looks weak on the surface, but fundamentals haven't changed. This is the accumulation phase before the breakout.

3. Tokenization is accelerating
More TradFi institutions adopting blockchain infrastructure. When liquidity flows back in, this could mirror the memory chip supercycle.

TL;DR: If you believe in the infrastructure thesis, this is your entry. Market structure > short-term noise.

FTX unlock hitting in July and degens are trying to pump $SOL season right now?

This is peak exit liquidity behavior. 🤮

That unlock is gonna dump on everyone who's buying these tops. Don't be the one holding bags when those tokens flood the market.

Ansem calling it: $SOL ran $20 → $297 last cycle.

This time? $60 → $600.

The bet: Solana will birth a Hyperliquid-level killer app.

A-shares by day. US equities at night. Sports betting past midnight. Crypto on weekends.

If you're not printing with this degen schedule, who is?

Why I'd bet on SpaceX over OpenAI or Anthropic?

Simple. SpaceX is still underpriced by consensus.

Most people still don't get it.

Anthropic? Enterprise AI wrapper. That's it.

OpenAI? Consumer AI play with ChatGPT. Single revenue stream.

SpaceX? Multi-vector empire:
• Rocket launches (monopoly-tier margins)
• Starlink (global internet infra)
• xAI integration (data + compute at scale)
• Space tourism (luxury TAM)
• Space manufacturing (zero-G production)
• Resource mining (asteroid economics)
• Mars colonization (generational narrative)

More optionality. More asymmetric upside. More conviction.

Memory supercycle? Dead by 2027.

Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron all ramping fabs. China's CXMT just got 7,100 acres approved—by late 2027, Chinese production alone floods global supply.

Memory + HBM scarcity → gone
Competition → brutal
Prices → crater
Bull run → over

Bull market cap: June next year. Smart money exits 6 months early. Watch December closely. 😂

AI/Crypto Market Update:

1. Korea's wild ride continues — KOSPI, Samsung, SK Hynix ripped +15% yesterday, then dumped -2% to -9% today. Volatility is back.

2. $MU price targets going parabolic: Citi $1200 → $1400, Barclays $1175 → $2000, Davidson $1500 → $2000. Wall Street betting big on memory demand.

3. Midterms = money printer for AI/crypto lobbies. Soros dropped $102M, Musk $85M, a16z $91M, Coinbase $56M. Regulatory capture in full swing.

4. Crypto bleeding out: $BTC $58,115, $ETH $4,220, $BNB $540, $SOL $64. Sub-$60k support getting tested hard.

5. OpenAI IPO delayed to 2027. Meanwhile $SPCX dumped to $148 — SpaceX's mess is spooking the entire late-stage tech IPO pipeline. Risk-off mode activated.

Last cycle (2021-early 2024): Crypto exits meant arrests, indictments, jail time.

This cycle: Exits are just dudes on podcasts announcing they sold their $BTC.

We've gone from handcuffs to humble brags. Peak bull market behavior or just less regulatory heat? Either way, the vibe shift is real.