JustDoIT 1

July 3 Options Data 31,000 $BTC options expired, with a put-call ratio of 0.7, a maximum pain point of $61,000, and a notional value of $1.9 billion. 135,000 $ETH options expired, with a put-call ratio of 1.29, a maximum pain point of $1,650, and a notional value of $230 million.. #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

ETH/BTC GOLDEN CROSS IS FORMING. 50 week crossing above the 100 week. The last golden cross, 2021, kicked off $ETH outperformance. The death crosses marked $ETH weakness. $BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

THE FIB HAS PREDICTED EVERY MAJOR $BTC CRASH. And it just triggered again. 2014: -51% from this level. 2018: -46% from this level. 2022: -55% from this level. 2026 fib level: $95K. 50% dump = $47K. $78K is the last line of defense. Lose it → three cycles say $45K is next. Hold it → this time is different. Three cycles say don't ignore this. Are you prepared for both outcomes? #Macro Insights# #BTC Price Analysis#

Spot $BTC ETFs recorded a record $1.8B in outflows over the past week. Since the beginning of May, total outflows have reached nearly $7.86B, according to SoSoValue... #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

🚨 NEW: $HYPE Foundation is providing roughly $10M in grants to help builders offset costs from the USDH sunset as they migrate to $USDC by the end of July.

The Crypto Fear and Greed index has traded around the "extreme fear" levels for many weeks already during this down trend. Back in the day, you could pretty blindly buy $BTC the moment this hit extreme fear levels and you'd be up within weeks usually. Nowadays, this metric is pretty outdated and is more so lagging price (as do most indicators/metrics). I still like to come back to watch it from time to time... #BTC Price Analysis#

THE LOG SCALE CHART IS TELLING AN UNCOMFORTABLE TRUTH. From a pure cycle perspective bitcoin does not look close to a bottom. Every single major cycle in history has touched realized price. Without exception. The bottom was never confirmed until that level was reached. Right now we haven't touched it. Two possibilities exist. Either price drops to meet realized price creating the most asymmetric risk reward opportunity of this entire cycle. Or this time is genuinely different. ETFs. Institutions. Corporate treasuries. Sovereign adoption. Maybe the floor has been raised permanently. Maybe. But betting against a pattern that has never failed in Bitcoin's entire history is a bold position to hold. The chart doesn't care about narratives. It just shows what has always happened... $BTC #Macro Insights#

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $59,000-$59,500 support zone after briefly losing it yesterday. That's a positive start. But I don't think it changes much just yet. The failed reclaim around $61,000 is still the level that matters. As long as Bitcoin stays below that area, I'd be cautious. If buyers can hold $59,000-$59,500, there's still a chance we see another push higher. But if this support fails again, I think the market starts looking lower pretty quickly. For now, $BTC has done the minimum. Now it needs to prove it can build on this reclaim rather than turning it into another failed bounce.. #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

🚨BULLISH: NEARLY 80% OF ALL BITCOIN SUPPLY IS NOW WITH LONG-TERM HOLDERS A record 79% of $BTC circulating supply is now held by long-term holders, underscoring persistent accumulation and an increasingly illiquid market.. #Altcoin Season# #BTC Price Analysis#

$BTC SINCE APRIL 2025: -27% NASDAQ INDEX SINCE APRIL 2025: +70% THE CORRELATION IS DEAD.

Bitcoin may be following Gold’s 1970s playbook almost perfectly. $XAUt exploded after breaking out in 1972. Then crashed nearly 50% before the real parabolic move began. $BTC is printing a very similar structure. What looked like the “end” for Gold was actually the reset before the most explosive phase of the cycle. I do think Bitcoin will drop a little bit lower first... #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

🚨JUST IN: KOREA'S TOSS BANK PARTNERS WITH SOLANA TO USE CRYPTO RAILS FOR REMITTANCES Toss Bank, managing 30T won, signed a deal with $SOL to use blockchain for remittances, including stablecoin transfers, for its 15 million customers. Toss is now the first South Korean internet-only bank and the second Korean finance firm to partner with Solana... #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

Spot $BTC volume is rising slower than futures, which means futures dominance is taking over the market again. Right now, spot volume sits at just 7.18%. It is nowhere near the 10% I like to see for a healthy market. When it is this low, it tells me there is zero real, long-term demand. Fake demand relies on futures loans, whilst real demand buys the actual asset on spot. Looking at the maker volume data, people are buying, but they are buying directly from a massive player. To me, it looks like someone has been aggressively building up heavy short positions at these exact levels. We are building a giant pile of liquidity here. When this range finally breaks, I believe it will be to the downside, and it will be an explosive move. My bigger concern for this week is that we get an incredibly annoying, straight-line wick in both directions just to wipe everyone out. If that happens, everybody loses. If you look at the price vs volume history chart below, we had a very irregular volume candle on Sunday. The bulk of that volume came in right above where the price currently sits, which points towards a bunch of positions being completely trapped. These long straight lines upwards are just designed to make you panic and close your trade. In my opinion, these big spiky candles are actually super bearish because they just create loss for personal gain. That is exactly how I am reading this.

BITCOIN SUPERCYCLE IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS EXPECTED. Bear market low: $16K First peak: $126K Mid-cycle low: $60K This isn’t weakness this is a CLASSIC mid-cycle correction. Every cycle had brutal drawdowns: -93% / -85% / -84% / -77% And still new highs followed every time. Current cycle? -50% reset. Right in line. NEXT PHASE: PARABOLIC EXPANSION $250K+ $BTC INCOMING DO YOU UNDERSTAND?

LTH PROFITS JUST CRASHED TO THE LOWEST LEVEL THIS CYCLE $BTC Cost basis near $48K. Price near $64K. Only 32% profit left down from 350% in December 2024. History says real bottoms need LTH realizing losses, not shrinking gains. That means sub $50K. Not guaranteed. But the pattern is staring right at us.. #BTC Price Analysis#

🚨HALF OF ALL BITCOIN IS NOW UNDERWATER 10.5 MILLION $BTC or over 50% of Bitcoin's supply, is now held at a LOSS, up from just 30% a month ago. Every major bear market bottom in 2011, 2018, and 2022 came within WEEKS of this level, but only after one final drop of 15% to 26%. Meanwhile, one year RETURNS after crossing this threshold have ranged from 69% to 359%.

Bitcoin ETF flows look pretty bad so far. Not everyone has reported yet, but the numbers we do have aren't exactly encouraging. BlackRock sold over 1,000 $BTC yesterday. HODL sold another 68 BTC. Combined ETF flows currently sit at roughly -1,410 BTC. I know some people are expecting a bounce here, but I don't really see a reason for it yet. Bitcoin has now spent the last 16+ hours sitting around support without doing much of anything. Support has been support. It hasn't been a bounce. If buyers were stepping in aggressively, I'd expect to see that reflected in price by now. Instead, spot demand still looks weak and ETF flows aren't helping. For now, I think lower remains the more likely direction.. #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

How is this possible? Nasdaq is just 1% away from a new ATH. Meanwhile, $BTC is down -50% from ATH. I see no explanation for this except pure market MANIPULATION by insiders.. #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

🚨UNISWAP WHALE ACTIVITY HITS 7-MONTH HIGH Whales are piling into Uniswap following Standard Chartered's $100 $UNI price target. Active addresses have surged to a 4-month high, while whale transactions just reached their highest level in seven months.

A few years ago, I used Uniswap for a simple token swap and never gave it much thought. Like most people, I was focused on the coins being traded, not the platform making it all possible. Recently, I found myself looking at $UNI differently. While everyone is talking about the latest 25% price jump, the real story seems bigger than a short-term rally. Uniswap has quietly become the backbone of DeFi, processing over $1 trillion in trading volume and proving that decentralized finance is no longer just an experiment. What caught my attention is how the ecosystem keeps evolving. V4 Hooks open the door for more innovation, while the fee switch discussion could create a stronger connection between protocol growth and UNI's value. It reminds me that the biggest opportunities often come from infrastructure, not hype. As DeFi and real-world assets continue expanding, projects already leading the space may have the most to gain. That's one reason UNI remains on my radar, and why I'm watching the trend closely on Bitget... #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season#