Ethereum's $3000 Tug of War: Bears Weary, Second Round of Rebound is Brewing!
Both bulls and bears are repeatedly vying at the $3000 mark, and the market sentiment is subtly changing; this time I stand with the bulls. Last night, the U.S. stock market finally welcomed a bit of warmth, with all three major indices closing up over 340 points. Although the shadow of a cumulative decline of over 1000 points over the past three days has not completely dissipated, it seems that the bad news has been released in advance. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market is also subtly changing; Ethereum has shown signs of fatigue in its downward trend from $3446 to $2772. This morning, the entry position I provided at $2910-$2920 has already been executed, and my average holding price is around $2950. I have decided to continue holding because I believe this round of rebound is not yet over.
How much leverage for perpetual contracts? 5 years of blood and tears summary of 5 life-saving rules
Leverage is a tool, not a gambling device. I saw another cryptocurrency friend share a screenshot of a liquidation with 30x leverage long on BTC, and it plummeted 1% to zero in the early morning. This is the 7th similar story I've seen this week. The perpetual contract is a monster that can double your money overnight or instantly swallow all your capital. It's been five years, from bull market to bear market, and the question I get asked the most is always: 'What leverage is the most profitable for perpetual contracts?' Today, I want to shatter this illusion: The truly profitable traders never ask how much leverage is the most profitable, but rather how much leverage can keep them alive the longest.
184,600 people liquidated! Bitcoin falls below 86,000, yet I advise you to hold back.
The cryptocurrency market is in chaos, and the voices of bargain hunters are starting to emerge again, but the traps behind this drop are more dangerous than they appear. Last night's cryptocurrency market can only be described as 'tragic.' Bitcoin briefly fell below $86,000, with a daily drop of over 4%; Ethereum plummeted by 6%, sliding directly towards the $2,900 mark. This crash has completely ignited the leveraged contract market. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the network reached $603 million, with 184,600 traders being forcibly liquidated overnight, and the largest single liquidation loss reached $11.58 million.
An old Ethereum whale made over ten thousand times profit! Is the bull market really here? The frenzy and rationality of the cryptocurrency market are only a fine line apart. Just this week, three analysts from Citigroup jointly released a report setting Bitcoin's 12-month target price at $143,000. At the same time, on-chain data shows that an Ethereum ICO address that had been dormant for over 10 years suddenly activated, with an initial investment of only $620 in ETH now worth about $5.96 million, yielding a return rate of up to 9616 times. On the institutional side, Hyperscale Data, a Bitcoin treasury company listed on the New York Stock Exchange, has launched an ATM financing plan to raise up to $50 million, all of which will be used to increase BTC holdings and expand data centers. These positive developments have emerged in clusters, igniting market enthusiasm, but as an analyst who has experienced multiple bull and bear cycles, I want to take you deeper to explore the truth behind these phenomena.
The White House signals dovishness, Fed rate cuts imminent!
Is Bitcoin about to enter a frenzied bull market? Senior analysts provide exclusive insights A statement from the White House has stirred undercurrents in the financial market. Brothers, a significant signal just came from the United States! White House economic advisor Hassett publicly stated that U.S. inflation is not overheating at all, with a three-month average growth rate of only 1.6%, below the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. He directly pointed out: the Federal Reserve now has 'ample room for interest rate cuts.' As a veteran in the crypto market for many years, I nearly jumped out of my chair when I saw this news — this could be the most significant macro positive at the end of 2025.
Powell Opens the Floodgates! How Will Bank Funds Sweep Through the Cryptocurrency World?
The Federal Reserve's easing of regulations is not a whisper, but a rallying call; the flood of cryptocurrency in the banking industry is already on its way. "As long as we understand and can manage the risks, banks are fully capable of servicing cryptocurrency clients." At the beginning of 2025, this seemingly plain statement from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell unexpectedly became the starting gun for the U.S. banking industry to aggressively enter the cryptocurrency world a few months later. As an analyst who has been navigating the cryptocurrency industry for many years, I have witnessed the entire transformation of regulatory attitudes from strict prevention to embrace and acceptance. I must say, 2025 will become a watershed year for cryptocurrencies to integrate into traditional finance.
Wake up! The Bitcoin you can buy is disappearing quickly
And this may just be the calm before the storm... When supply runs dry and institutions are frantically buying, any pullback could become an excellent opportunity to get on board. Bitcoin's early history was an 'abundant' era; even in 2010, some 'faucet' websites would distribute Bitcoin for free. Today, we are witnessing a historic shift: over 80% of Bitcoin supply has become illiquid. Fidelity Digital Assets emphasizes in its latest report that the market has entered a 'super-scarce' era dominated by a 'dual engine'. On one hand, the programmatic halving mechanism reduces daily new issuance from 900 to 450; on the other hand, long-term holders have locked up over 80% of the circulating supply.
A looming wave of interest rate cuts and opportunities in the cryptocurrency world? U.S. President Trump has kicked off the "draft battle" for the Federal Reserve Chairman, and the future direction of monetary policy is quietly changing. "I know who I'm going to choose." On November 30, Trump confidently announced to the media aboard Air Force One returning to Washington that he has decided on the next Federal Reserve Chairman. Although he did not disclose specific names, he clearly stated that he hopes the person he nominates will be able to lower interest rates. As Powell's term is set to end in May 2026, Trump is intensively seeking a new chairman willing to implement aggressive rate-cutting policies. This personnel change not only concerns the direction of U.S. monetary policy but may also become an important variable affecting the global asset landscape.
Is Bitcoin a terrifying plunge or a stealthy maneuver?
Thirty years of monetary easing has officially come to an end, and the global financial chessboard is quietly being reorganized. The 'Widowmaker' has finally come to harvest. This yen arbitrage game, referred to as the 'perfect trade' by global arbitrage traders, reached its final moment on December 19, 2025. When the Bank of Japan raised its policy interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, the highest level in thirty years, the market did not experience a panic sell-off; instead, it exhibited a strange calm. Is the end of bad news good news? No, there is a deeper logic behind this that is reconstructing the global asset pricing system.
The Wall Street 'traitor' and his Ethereum rhapsody: While traditional financial giants are still revolving around bonds and stocks, Tom Lee has already led Bitmine to sweep up 3.86 million ETH. This Wall Street 'traitor' is betting real money on a future that we may not fully comprehend yet. While most people are tangled up in whether the next Federal Reserve meeting will involve an interest rate hike or cut, Tom Lee has already set his sights on a further future where Ethereum becomes the global financial settlement layer. His company, Fundstrat, has not only included Ethereum in its investment strategy of 'Tech Seven Giants and Bitcoin' but also claims it will be the biggest macro trade in the next 10-15 years.
My 8-Year Survival Rules in the Cryptocurrency World
From bankruptcy and divorce to financial freedom: (including 6 iron rules of price and volume) If you are always anxious about the drastic ups and downs, maybe it's time to try a 'foolish' approach. 1. Starting point: a divorce and a 'bet' of 20,000. At the age of 29, my life hit rock bottom: divorce, debt, career setbacks... With only 20,000 in hand, I plunged into the most frenzied cryptocurrency market at the time. Without a financial background, I didn't understand technical indicators, and I couldn't even tell the difference between Bitcoin and Litecoin. But I knew this might be the only chance to turn things around. At that time, the cryptocurrency world felt like a wilderness survival game: some people became overnight millionaires thanks to mining machines (like Ji Nuo, an Yi ethnic boss in the deep mountains of Sichuan, who borrowed 900,000 to buy mining machines and held on to Bitcoin); others were forced to deliver food due to leveraged liquidation (like programmer Yang Lin, who owed 1.2 million after trading with 20x leverage). And I was just a 'newbie' who couldn't even understand candlestick charts.
ZcashFi Launch Ignites the Market! But I Discovered Hidden Risk Signals
The king of privacy in the crypto world has finally unlocked DeFi gameplay, but behind the celebration, the MACD death cross has quietly emerged. The Zcash ecosystem has achieved a significant breakthrough! This morning, Rhea Finance officially announced the launch of ZcashFi on platform X, allowing ZEC holders to natively stake ZEC for a maximum annual return of 2%, and participate in multi-chain lending. This message spread through the crypto community like lightning, causing ZEC prices to fluctuate. However, as a seasoned analyst tracking privacy coins, I immediately checked the technical indicators and indeed found that the MACD on the hourly chart has shown a death cross trend, revealing the potential risk of a 'false rise and true correction.'
When the market weeps, I quietly bought in: The art of contrarian investing in the crypto world
Fear and greed cycle again in the cryptocurrency market, and smart money is positioning itself. "Bitcoin is finished, this time it's different!" When the collapse of LUNA and FTX triggered a chain reaction, pessimism spread across the market as Bitcoin fell to $15,000. However, just a year later, institutions like BlackRock entered the market, initiating a major upward trend, and Bitcoin soared to a historic high of $69,000. Subsequently, when investors who missed out on Bitcoin flocked to Ethereum, they encountered a price drop to $1,300 due to the tax battle in April, and many once again claimed that Ethereum lacked value. As a result, Ethereum quietly rebounded threefold, breaking through $4,800.
!The BEAT coin conceals a reversal secret after a sharp drop. When the market generally believes that BEAT is 'done for', contract funds are quietly laying out plans in the deep night, reminiscent of the careful logistics preparations before a blitzkrieg. At three o'clock in the morning, most investors have long fallen asleep, and the cryptocurrency market should be the calmest moment of the day. However, the AI monitoring system suddenly sounded alarms as a large amount of funds for the BEAT contract quietly surged in. This scene evokes images of cities flattened by war, where everyone thinks there is utter silence, but life detectors discover signs of underground activity.
Is the bull market of Bitcoin facing a test? The latest remarks from the Federal Reserve's number three person have doused cold water on the market's interest rate cut frenzy. Can Bitcoin withstand the test of tightening liquidity this time? The latest remarks from Federal Reserve's Williams have indeed dealt a heavy blow to the market. He stated that the decline in the November CPI data may only be due to 'technical reasons', and actual inflation might even be underestimated by 0.1%, clearly emphasizing that there is no rush to adjust monetary policy. This hawkish statement instantly changed market sentiment. But let's analyze calmly: does this really mean that Bitcoin is about to enter a crash mode? Not necessarily.
Playing with Virtual Currency in China: A Guide to Picking Up Gold in Minefields, Understand These Rules to Safely Get Ashore!
The legal boundaries may seem vague, but in reality, they are clearly defined. Taking the right step can lead to great rewards, while the wrong step can lead to a bottomless pit. When my friend mysteriously asked me last week, 'Should I buy some of the newly released π coin? It's about to go on Huobi,' I could only respond with a bitter smile: 'Bro, do you know what the nature of promoting such coins is in the country right now?' He looked at me blankly, as if I were speaking an alien language. This is the current state of most people's understanding of the legal risks of virtual currency: an excessive panic that one could be imprisoned at the slightest touch, or a blind optimism believing that the law does not hold the masses accountable. In fact, the truth lies somewhere in between, and the key is whether you can discern that invisible legal boundary.
The main players are playing a big game, and my operational strategy is fully disclosed. The market is eerily silent, as if it is the calm before the storm. As a veteran in crypto, I smell a familiar scent; this is not the end of the market, but a maze set up by the main players. Recently, Ethereum has been fluctuating around 2980 USD, with the psychological barrier at 3000 above and the support range at 2880-2900 below. This grinding market has made many retail investors start to doubt life. But I want to tell you, the main players are never guessing ups and downs, but are managing 'expectations' and 'timing'. While Wall Street bigwigs are singing bearish to 1800, institutions are continuously accumulating.
The non-farm data has staged a great show; understanding it is key to seizing the next wave of trends in the cryptocurrency market!
Last night's non-farm report was even more exciting than the 'double kill' in the cryptocurrency contract market, with a shiny surface concealing the secrets of wealth flow for the second half of the year. As a cryptocurrency analyst, I stayed up late waiting for the moment the data was released, and couldn't help but exclaim that this is simply a meticulously orchestrated macroeconomic drama. If you only see the 'strong' headline employment data and think the Federal Reserve will continue its hawkish stance, you might miss the most important signals. This report can be described as a 'textbook-level' entanglement: 256,000 new jobs, far exceeding the expected 160,000, making the economy seem incredibly hot; but upon closer inspection, the unemployment rate remains at 4.1%, and employment in small and medium-sized enterprises continues to be weak, creating a sense of division that is both amusing and frustrating.
On the night the non-farm payroll data was released, why do I say this wave of employment 'good news' is a smokescreen for the crypto market?
Behind the surface prosperity of the data, the unemployment rate has quietly climbed to a four-year high; this contradictory report looks more like a carefully packaged 'watered-down set meal.' Last night, as the non-farm payroll data was released, the entire cryptocurrency circle instantly turned into a large guessing game. Looking at the impressive surface of 64,000 new jobs beating the expectation of 50,000, and then glancing at the cruel reality of the unemployment rate soaring to 4.6%, I couldn't help but laugh out loud; this is clearly another good show of 'data fighting against data.' As a veteran who has experienced multiple bull and bear markets, I have long seen through the tricks behind these contradictory data. This is not proof of a strong economy, but a one-time technical rebound. True crypto players should have quietly started to lay out their strategies amid this chaos.
Tug-of-War at 4350! Risks Surge After Gold Bulls' Carnival
Last week, global central banks collectively 'released the wind', and the gold market staged a thrilling tug-of-war at the $4350 level. As an analyst who closely monitors the market every day, it felt like I was watching a top tennis match last week as data and policies exchanged blows between the bulls and bears, with gold prices fluctuating repeatedly in the range of $4300 to $4375. As soon as the non-farm data was released on Tuesday, the market exploded: the unemployment rate soared to 4.6%, a four-year high, but new jobs exceeded expectations. This contradictory signal left gold bulls both excited and cautious. The rising expectations for a Fed rate cut and the technical overbought signals created a tug-of-war, making each price surge full of suspense.