加密货币回调
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Initial claims data "reverse cooling"! Will Bitcoin's upward momentum ease, and can tonight's PCE save the interest rate cut expectations?
Introduction——
The essence of investment is to exchange time for value and to withstand volatility with patience. The market never fails to reward the vigilant steadfast; those who endure the bear market's patience and resist the urge to chase highs will eventually bear fruit in the time of compound interest. The so-called trend-following is never about following the crowd for profit, but about keeping true to one's original intention amid the noise and persevering through the lows. May every rational persistence bring forth the confidence and rewards to transcend cycles.
In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market has shown a retreat and repair trend under the impact of conflicting macro data. The U.S. initial jobless claims unexpectedly "cooled down," with the number of first-time applicants plummeting by 27,000 to 191,000, the lowest level in three years, sharply contrasting with the employment weakness shown in Wednesday's ADP "small nonfarm" report. The data confirms that there are no signs of deterioration in the U.S. labor market, and the previously warming expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut have not been further strengthened. The dollar index, which had been declining for several days, has stopped falling and rebounded, and the cryptocurrency market has also eased its upward momentum in a short time, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both experiencing a retracement and correction.
The essence of investment is to exchange time for value and to withstand volatility with patience. The market never fails to reward the vigilant steadfast; those who endure the bear market's patience and resist the urge to chase highs will eventually bear fruit in the time of compound interest. The so-called trend-following is never about following the crowd for profit, but about keeping true to one's original intention amid the noise and persevering through the lows. May every rational persistence bring forth the confidence and rewards to transcend cycles.
In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market has shown a retreat and repair trend under the impact of conflicting macro data. The U.S. initial jobless claims unexpectedly "cooled down," with the number of first-time applicants plummeting by 27,000 to 191,000, the lowest level in three years, sharply contrasting with the employment weakness shown in Wednesday's ADP "small nonfarm" report. The data confirms that there are no signs of deterioration in the U.S. labor market, and the previously warming expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut have not been further strengthened. The dollar index, which had been declining for several days, has stopped falling and rebounded, and the cryptocurrency market has also eased its upward momentum in a short time, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both experiencing a retracement and correction.
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Some people say they can't understand the market, some complain that they can't keep up with the pace. I just smile and say nothing — the mountains are high, and I'll find my way; the waters are deep, and I'll build my bridge! Those who fear losing will always be stuck in the same place, while those who dare to venture will have the wind at their back!
Although the current 4-hour chart shows a three consecutive bearish trend, each dip has resulted in a slight rebound, indicating that there is some buying support at lower levels. Despite the rebound being temporarily weak and not forming a sustained upward trend, the short-sellers' momentum has gradually weakened after continuous release, and the market is gradually accumulating rebound momentum. From the perspective of volume and structure, although recent trading activity has been relatively flat, the supporting force from below is gradually strengthening. The moving average system shows a bearish arrangement, but the price deviation from the moving averages is gradually widening, indicating a need for technical correction. In the short term, if it can stabilize in the current area and effectively break through the moving average resistance, it is expected to start a rebound trend. Overall, the downward space has gradually narrowed, and there is hope for the market to build a support platform at lower levels. In the evening, attention can be paid to stabilization signals for light positions in long orders, and it is necessary to pay attention to seizing the timing of low entry and risk control.
In the evening, buying opportunities for the market can be found between 91800-91300, with a target near 94000; for Ethereum, buying can be considered between 3120-3100, with a target near 3250. #加密货币回调
Although the current 4-hour chart shows a three consecutive bearish trend, each dip has resulted in a slight rebound, indicating that there is some buying support at lower levels. Despite the rebound being temporarily weak and not forming a sustained upward trend, the short-sellers' momentum has gradually weakened after continuous release, and the market is gradually accumulating rebound momentum. From the perspective of volume and structure, although recent trading activity has been relatively flat, the supporting force from below is gradually strengthening. The moving average system shows a bearish arrangement, but the price deviation from the moving averages is gradually widening, indicating a need for technical correction. In the short term, if it can stabilize in the current area and effectively break through the moving average resistance, it is expected to start a rebound trend. Overall, the downward space has gradually narrowed, and there is hope for the market to build a support platform at lower levels. In the evening, attention can be paid to stabilization signals for light positions in long orders, and it is necessary to pay attention to seizing the timing of low entry and risk control.
In the evening, buying opportunities for the market can be found between 91800-91300, with a target near 94000; for Ethereum, buying can be considered between 3120-3100, with a target near 3250. #加密货币回调
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You always complain about your bad luck, that you don't have the luck to get rich overnight. I want to say that what you're missing is not luck, but the courage to take that first step. As the dramas say, when the train arrives, you always ask which direction the train is going, how long until the next stop, and where the destination is. The train has already left, so what does it matter? Just get on! The train goes forward, the scenery along the way is beautiful, and the wind is sweet. You've experienced it; even if there's an airplane in front of you, you would still get on because the train is too slow. Opportunities are always for those who are prepared. If you don't come, how can you know that I won't let you see your dreams blossom? Be a little braver, on this long road, I will wait for you #加密货币回调 .
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October 20th Today's BNB Analysis
After reaching a new high, BNB has continued to weaken, showing a clear downward channel on the 4-hour level, with an overall bearish trend.
Short-term attempts to break through key resistance levels were followed by a quick drop, with bullish momentum rapidly fading and the rebound momentum now gone.
If a slight rebound occurs later, it could present a short-selling opportunity. It is recommended to lay out short positions in the 1105 - 1115 range, with the first target looking towards 1070; if it effectively breaks down, it could further drop to 1020. When operating, strict stop-loss measures should be in place to control risk #加密货币回调 .
After reaching a new high, BNB has continued to weaken, showing a clear downward channel on the 4-hour level, with an overall bearish trend.
Short-term attempts to break through key resistance levels were followed by a quick drop, with bullish momentum rapidly fading and the rebound momentum now gone.
If a slight rebound occurs later, it could present a short-selling opportunity. It is recommended to lay out short positions in the 1105 - 1115 range, with the first target looking towards 1070; if it effectively breaks down, it could further drop to 1020. When operating, strict stop-loss measures should be in place to control risk #加密货币回调 .
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The market is just a psychological battle; it feels like it's time to bottom out, but don't act rashly. The current market is also making a tentative rebound, and when it pulls back, it will be quick.
Overall market panic has already formed, and more people are trying to profit; this is the overall rhythm of the market. During the recent downturn, the big whales were continuously buying, so the subsequent rally will be rapid. Both U.S. stocks and gold are falling; the situation is only temporary and is providing opportunities for the upcoming bull market.
$BTC $ETH $币安人生 #币安合约实盘 #加密货币回调 #美国加征新关税
Overall market panic has already formed, and more people are trying to profit; this is the overall rhythm of the market. During the recent downturn, the big whales were continuously buying, so the subsequent rally will be rapid. Both U.S. stocks and gold are falling; the situation is only temporary and is providing opportunities for the upcoming bull market.
$BTC $ETH $币安人生 #币安合约实盘 #加密货币回调 #美国加征新关税
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Market conditions can be unpredictable, but I won't give up on any of you who are trapped.
No matter how much you are in the red, on which platform, or at what price, feel free to reach out,
There are no barriers to getting out, as long as you are willing to take the first step, I will guide you in the second step. $BTC $ETH $币安人生 #美国结束政府停摆 #币安合约实盘 #加密货币回调
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He Yue Liquidation: Why does what you think of as 'small bets for big returns' ultimately lead to 'total loss'?
When the K-line of market dynamics fluctuates wildly, and the magic of leverage amplifies profits, many people rush into the contract market with the fantasy of 'doubling overnight.' But reality is often cold—countless accounts are instantly wiped out, and the term 'liquidation' becomes the sword of Damocles hanging over every trader's head. What exactly turns seemingly controllable contract trading into a situation of total loss?
Leverage is a double-edged sword and the core driver of liquidation. A leverage of 10x, 50x, or even 100x allows you to control multiple positions with a small margin; when the market is favorable, profits can double, but once your directional judgment is wrong, losses will also be amplified. The market is never short of surprises; a sudden policy change, negative news about the industry, or even a nonsensical rumor can trigger severe short-term volatility. When losses hit the margin bottom line, exchanges will forcibly liquidate positions, and your invested principal evaporates in an instant, potentially facing negative balances.
Greed and luck are the invisible fuses of liquidation. Some people want to earn more as soon as they make a little, ignoring the risks of over-leveraging, clinging to the illusion that 'the market will turn back'; others overlook the importance of stop-losses, either not setting them at all or arbitrarily moving the stop-loss line to 'hold a little longer,' ultimately being caught off guard when the market reverses. The market will never operate according to personal will; those 'temporary corrections' you think you see may be the beginning of a trend reversal, and a mindset of luck will only lead you deeper into the quagmire of losses.
When the market situation contradicts expectations, followers are often the first group to panic, either frantically cutting losses or passively holding positions, ultimately unable to escape the fate of liquidation.
Forgetting the risks of 'small bets for big returns' is essentially a gamble. The core of contract trading has never been about 'how much to earn,' but rather 'surviving first.' Reasonably controlling leverage, strictly setting stop-losses, and refusing to blindly follow the crowd are the keys to combating liquidation. Don't let a moment of greed bury all your principal—the market is always there; preserving your chips is the only chance for a comeback. $BTC $ETH $币安人生 #美国政府停摆 #币安合约实盘 #加密货币回调
When the K-line of market dynamics fluctuates wildly, and the magic of leverage amplifies profits, many people rush into the contract market with the fantasy of 'doubling overnight.' But reality is often cold—countless accounts are instantly wiped out, and the term 'liquidation' becomes the sword of Damocles hanging over every trader's head. What exactly turns seemingly controllable contract trading into a situation of total loss?
Leverage is a double-edged sword and the core driver of liquidation. A leverage of 10x, 50x, or even 100x allows you to control multiple positions with a small margin; when the market is favorable, profits can double, but once your directional judgment is wrong, losses will also be amplified. The market is never short of surprises; a sudden policy change, negative news about the industry, or even a nonsensical rumor can trigger severe short-term volatility. When losses hit the margin bottom line, exchanges will forcibly liquidate positions, and your invested principal evaporates in an instant, potentially facing negative balances.
Greed and luck are the invisible fuses of liquidation. Some people want to earn more as soon as they make a little, ignoring the risks of over-leveraging, clinging to the illusion that 'the market will turn back'; others overlook the importance of stop-losses, either not setting them at all or arbitrarily moving the stop-loss line to 'hold a little longer,' ultimately being caught off guard when the market reverses. The market will never operate according to personal will; those 'temporary corrections' you think you see may be the beginning of a trend reversal, and a mindset of luck will only lead you deeper into the quagmire of losses.
When the market situation contradicts expectations, followers are often the first group to panic, either frantically cutting losses or passively holding positions, ultimately unable to escape the fate of liquidation.
Forgetting the risks of 'small bets for big returns' is essentially a gamble. The core of contract trading has never been about 'how much to earn,' but rather 'surviving first.' Reasonably controlling leverage, strictly setting stop-losses, and refusing to blindly follow the crowd are the keys to combating liquidation. Don't let a moment of greed bury all your principal—the market is always there; preserving your chips is the only chance for a comeback. $BTC $ETH $币安人生 #美国政府停摆 #币安合约实盘 #加密货币回调
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11.13 Evening Analysis and Operations
There's no need to regret the daytime menu that lacks a foundation; let's revisit it in the evening! From the current market structure and real-time trends, the big pie's four-hour chart presents a clear three consecutive bullish pattern. It continues to oscillate and accumulate power but has not been able to break through the middle track pressure of the Bollinger Bands, remaining in a critical stage of potential breakout. Although the short-term pressure at the middle track position is quite significant and the breakout process may face certain resistance, the pullback space is strictly limited. Whether it can successfully stabilize above the middle track will directly become the core watershed in determining the future market direction.
Looking at the hourly level, although it has recorded two consecutive bullish trends, after reaching a short-term high near 104000, a rapid pullback occurred immediately, and the short-term upward momentum has significantly weakened, with signs of pressure becoming increasingly prominent. Considering the overall market characteristics, the main idea remains focused on a high pie layout. If it stabilizes at 104000, it will shift to a long position, with key resistances at 105300 and 107500.
Big Pie: Looking at the oscillation near 103800, targeting 101500 and 100000.
Auntie: Looking at the oscillation near 3550, targeting the 3400 support. If effective, it will switch to long, with key resistances at 3600 and 3650. $BTC $ETH $币安人生 #美国政府停摆 #币安实盘合约 #加密货币回调
There's no need to regret the daytime menu that lacks a foundation; let's revisit it in the evening! From the current market structure and real-time trends, the big pie's four-hour chart presents a clear three consecutive bullish pattern. It continues to oscillate and accumulate power but has not been able to break through the middle track pressure of the Bollinger Bands, remaining in a critical stage of potential breakout. Although the short-term pressure at the middle track position is quite significant and the breakout process may face certain resistance, the pullback space is strictly limited. Whether it can successfully stabilize above the middle track will directly become the core watershed in determining the future market direction.
Looking at the hourly level, although it has recorded two consecutive bullish trends, after reaching a short-term high near 104000, a rapid pullback occurred immediately, and the short-term upward momentum has significantly weakened, with signs of pressure becoming increasingly prominent. Considering the overall market characteristics, the main idea remains focused on a high pie layout. If it stabilizes at 104000, it will shift to a long position, with key resistances at 105300 and 107500.
Big Pie: Looking at the oscillation near 103800, targeting 101500 and 100000.
Auntie: Looking at the oscillation near 3550, targeting the 3400 support. If effective, it will switch to long, with key resistances at 3600 and 3650. $BTC $ETH $币安人生 #美国政府停摆 #币安实盘合约 #加密货币回调
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11.10 AM Big Cake Strategy Analysis
The big cake is now over 105,000, having risen nearly 4% in the last 24 hours! Short-term moving averages are collectively trending upwards, and the momentum is strong; it just hit the resistance level of 106666, with support at 101,000 below; moreover, the price is pushing against the upper band, although the volatility is high, the momentum is quite strong~ This wave is like 'stepping on the gas and pushing up, temporarily not stepping on the brakes'~
Operational suggestion: buy around 104000, target looking at 107000#加密货币回调 $BTC
The big cake is now over 105,000, having risen nearly 4% in the last 24 hours! Short-term moving averages are collectively trending upwards, and the momentum is strong; it just hit the resistance level of 106666, with support at 101,000 below; moreover, the price is pushing against the upper band, although the volatility is high, the momentum is quite strong~ This wave is like 'stepping on the gas and pushing up, temporarily not stepping on the brakes'~
Operational suggestion: buy around 104000, target looking at 107000#加密货币回调 $BTC
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The SOL white paper's trend is strong, and the weak pattern continues. The downward rhythm is smooth with no signs of stopping, and every rebound is quickly suppressed by the trend. The strength of the bulls remains weak, and there is still room for short selling in the short term!\nSOL: Adjust to layout the trend around 143-147, looking down at around 137-130. In operations, remember to closely follow the trend to avoid blindly catching the bottom and falling into the pullback trap～$BTC $ETH $币安人生 #币安合约实盘 #美国结束政府停摆 #加密货币回调
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