玩名-GEN TLEMAN

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Last night, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut came as expected, and the low point emphasized by Amin is also steadily in place.

Entering at a low of 4182, the highest reached 4247, a space of 65 points was captured. I wonder how much you followed along! #黄金

12.11 Gold Analysis

Last night, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision lowered rates by 25 basis points as expected, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech was dovish. Therefore, after a significant rise and fall, gold has once again broken through upwards, and now gold has started to oscillate upwards again after dropping from 4216 to 4182, rising all the way up 📈. This morning, it reached a high of 4247, with a space of 65 points, and after a morning pullback, it continued to go long.

Gold is currently showing a strong upward oscillation on the 1-hour chart. In the short term, gold may still oscillate with a strong tendency. Since the rhythm of gold has chosen to go upwards, it is likely to continue to build momentum upward. The 1-hour chart shows a pullback, but the focus remains on going long. Pay attention to the support at 4200 and continue to buy on dips. However, gold is currently close to the resistance above 4265, so be patient and wait for a pullback opportunity.

Suggestion:
In the short term, short gold around 4240, with a stop loss at 4248 and a target looking towards 4220, 4210! #黄金

Today, this market can only be used for short-term trading; the big market in the evening still requires cautious operation. It's challenging for the heroes [sweating] ​#黄金

Good evening! Today's gold market has been relatively stable with no major surprises. During the midday, a long strategy was suggested in the range of 4200-4202, precisely hitting the low point for a bottom buy, after which the gold price rose to around 4214 but faced resistance and fell back. Subsequently, the significant drop in silver dragged down the gold price, which broke the key support at 4200. The hourly chart shows a bearish engulfing pattern, and the Bollinger Bands maintain a flat and oscillating pattern.

This evening, the market continues to oscillate at low levels, which is very unfavorable for a bullish counterattack. The upcoming US market and Federal Reserve meeting will serve as a core barometer for determining the direction of bulls and bears. It is expected that the market will continue to consolidate before the meeting, waiting for a breakthrough in direction.

Regarding positions, for those currently holding long positions at 4202 and additional long positions at 4195, it is recommended to adjust the target to around 4210. Today's market high has slightly moved down, and whether a new intraday high can be refreshed depends on the hawkish or dovish tendencies of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

Lastly, a reminder to everyone: the current market is becoming more variable, it is advisable to observe more and operate less, and there is no need to rush for short-term gains. Be patient and wait for clear signals before taking action! Any new operational adjustments will be promptly notified in the blog ~#黄金

On the evening of December 10, there is considerable bearish logic for gold, influenced by fundamental negative factors related to Federal Reserve policy and technical signals indicating pressure and a pullback. The specific analysis is as follows:

1. Hawkish negative factors hidden in policy: Although the market has already highly priced in a 25 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, the probability of a "hawkish rate cut" is extremely high. The U.S. labor market is robust, with job vacancies in October far exceeding expectations, showing strong economic resilience. Powell is likely to emphasize inflation risks after the meeting, setting a higher threshold for subsequent easing, which will weaken the low-interest rate support logic for gold. Additionally, the uncertainty of the policies from the popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, Hassett, raises concerns among Wall Street investors that his aggressive rate-cutting stance may lead to policy turmoil, prompting some investors to take profits. The net long positions of COMEX gold speculators have seen their first reduction after three consecutive weeks of increase.

2. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields suppress gold prices: Positive employment data from the U.S. has driven the dollar index to strengthen for two consecutive trading days, closing at 99.21 points, while the dollar has a negative correlation with gold. An appreciation of the dollar will weaken the attractiveness of gold priced in dollars. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields have reached a three-month high, increasing the competitiveness of interest-bearing assets like bonds, further squeezing the investment space for gold, which is a non-yielding asset, creating a dual pressure on gold prices.

3. Technical signals indicate a pullback: Gold prices have faced pressure multiple times around $4220, failing to effectively break through this resistance level. After quickly retreating from a high of $4260 last Friday, it formed an invalid upward pattern, with bears quickly reclaiming the rebound gains. The daily MACD red bars are shrinking, indicating weakened bullish momentum, while the 4-hour level has shown a divergence between volume and price. The Bollinger Bands are continuously narrowing, presenting an overall trend of difficulty in moving the center of gravity upward amid fluctuations. Once the key support level of $4200 is broken, there is a high probability of a drop to the $4180 - $4170 range. #黄金

Wednesday evening Bitcoin and Ethereum strategy

Bitcoin is currently in a high-level fluctuation after a rebound, with daily moving averages showing a bullish arrangement. The MA20 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands form strong support, and the mid-term upward framework has not been broken; the 4-hour MACD red bars are shortening, and bullish momentum is weakening at the margin.
KDJ and RSI are overbought, indicating a short-term need for a pullback, but there are no clear signs of a weakening trend.

Resistance above Bitcoin is at 94500, with support at 89000.

Operational Direction
Bitcoin is oscillating in the 93200-94000 range, targeting 91000, with a downward view at 89000.
Ethereum is oscillating in the 3370-3400 range, targeting 3300, with a downward view at 3250.

Tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision is the core variable. If Bitcoin breaks the 94500 pressure level, the direction needs to be adjusted for timely stop-loss, waiting to enter at the high point.

Personal suggestions are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH $币安人生

December 10th Silver and Crude Oil Market Analysis

The international silver market is experiencing a particularly strong surge, directly breaking through the high point of 61, a level of upward momentum rarely seen in history. It is not advisable to chase after buying more at this time; it is recommended to wait and observe. Once the price retreats to the support level of 59, which is a key reversal point, then consider placing buy orders, and there is no need to speculate on the upper resistance level for now.

The international crude oil market failed to stabilize at the key position of 61, continuing with a slow decline and fluctuating market, dropping to around 58.4, showing no significant changes compared to Tuesday. The strategy remains consistent with previous thoughts, continuing to hold the buy orders placed at the 58 position; moving forward, closely monitor the breakout situation at the high point of 61. If it can stabilize at this position, the target will continue to rise towards 65; if it cannot stabilize, the market is likely to maintain a fluctuating trend. #白银

Dear friends, tonight is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and the market is holding its breath in anticipation. We didn't waste the daytime market—this morning we successfully executed our plan. As we mentioned this morning, it's hard to have a strong one-sided market before the data.

Currently, the gold 4-hour chart is still in a large range fluctuation. Tonight, the Federal Reserve is very likely to cut interest rates, but how the market reacts will depend on the specific wording and dot plot. The key support below is at the 4160 area; if it pulls back to here, we can still consider going long. The upper level must effectively break through 4265 for upward space to open, and if that's the case, we can expect to see 4300-4320.

The battle between bulls and bears is happening tonight, and we will soon see who comes out on top. The market changes rapidly, so we stick to the old rule—plan the trade, trade the plan.

Evening trading idea:

· Consider going long near 4190 on gold pullbacks, with a stop at 4180 and a target looking toward 4250-4260. #黄金

Gold is still around 4200, fluctuating in a range. Be cautious in controlling the exit timing, and patiently wait for the evening's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. #黄金

The Underlying Logic Behind the Surge in Gold Prices: It's Not Speculation, But a 'Hedge Consensus' of Global Capital

Gold prices have surged again! This wave of increase is fundamentally not short-term speculative trading, but rather a 'gold rush' driven by individuals, institutions, and central banks working together.

First, let's look at how aggressive the actions of Asian buyers are—domestically, there was a surge of 4.5 billion in funds entering the gold market in a single month, and Hong Kong tycoons have directly doubled the proportion of gold in their asset allocation to 15%. Against the backdrop of unresolved geopolitical situations and rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, both ordinary investors and high-net-worth individuals are treating gold as an asset 'ballast'.

What’s more critical is the increased investment from institutional funds: the holdings of gold ETFs increased at a staggering rate of 164% in the first three quarters, with total scale surpassing 230 billion, setting a historic record. It is important to note that large increases in ETF holdings are never blind following the trend; behind this is the precise judgment of professional funds regarding the trend of 'de-dollarization' and global liquidity easing.

On one hand, global buyers are collectively buying up gold, while on the other hand, the supply of gold itself is rigid. With this supply-demand pattern in place, the rise in gold prices is actually a natural outcome.

For us ordinary investors, whether to follow the trend to buy ETFs or to hoard physical gold, the core consideration should be our own risk tolerance and holding period. Chasing high in the short term can easily lead to pitfalls; a phased layout and pairing with other assets to hedge risks is a more prudent choice. #黄金

Make a quick profit, a few hundred is also 💰#黄金

Why has silver risen? I personally understand the reasons as three points: expected catalysts + supply and demand imbalance + capital inflow triple resonance.
  1: Enhanced expectations of interest rate cuts: CME FedWatch shows a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December at 87.6%. Silver prices are relatively low, and gold prices have become luxury items, leading investors to turn to silver as a second choice.
  2: Expanded supply-demand gap: Silver has experienced continuous supply shortages for five years, with a gap of up to 95 million ounces by 2025, while mine production has decreased by 12% since 2020. The main principle is that tariffs in key mining areas have increased, and strikes and other impacts have intensified, while industrial demand for silver has grown by 65%, with explosive demand in photovoltaic and new energy sectors.
  3: Collective capital inflow: Silver ETFs hit new highs in the first four trading days of this month. With gold prices too high, silver offers better value for money. Consensus and sentiment often have more power than facts; the more it rises, the more people buy, and the more they buy, the more it rises.
  Will silver catch up with the pace of big brother gold, or even surpass gold? Only time can reveal the answer. My view is that silver can be allocated, but the quantity must be controlled. Certainly, silver's financial attributes are not strong; it is primarily driven by supply-demand relationships and market sentiment. #白银

To make a long story short, there is no significant change in gold on Wednesday. The medium-term outlook is bearish while the short-term outlook is bullish. The intraday trend is likely to be a rise followed by a fall, and the following is the thought process:

1. The key resistance area above is also the short-selling area, 4226/33
2. The key support area below is also the long-buying area, 4184/80
3. The short-term dividing line below is also the key point for the day, 4201

First, short positions can be taken at 26/33 above. If it unexpectedly falls below 4201, long positions can be taken at 84/80. The above is the intraday short wave approach; please patiently wait for the key value area to produce a right-side trading model. I will notify you all as soon as there are any changes!

On October 12th, Silver Silk

This year, silver has shown a strong one-sided upward trend, with a cumulative increase of 82%. Its performance is unique and outstanding. After reaching a new high, it further skyrocketed to the 61 level, remaining strong.

Given the current strong upward trend and the considerable potential in the future, Zhong Ling emphasizes the importance of adhering to the principle of 'bullish without guessing the top.' In terms of operations, one must avoid going short against the trend, and should not have overly high expectations for the pullback space.

Today's market continues with a bullish mindset, suggesting entry around 56-58 for long positions, with upward targets focusing on 64-66#黄金 .

Pay special attention to these two messages #黄金下跌

12.10 Gold Early Market Strategy: The Main Theme is to Buy on Dips

Gold opened today maintaining a fluctuating pattern. It rebounded from a bottom yesterday, showing a clear recovery trend. After dipping to around 4170, it surged to a high of 4221, indicating initial bullish momentum. The short-term resistance is seen in the range of 4225-4230. If the bulls continue to be strong and break through that position, it is likely to stabilize. The core resistance above is locked in the 4245-4250 area. Currently, all technical indicators show signs of rising. The core strategy is firmly based on buying on dips. Relying on the short-term support around 4190, enter long positions. If the market gives a range of 4165-4175, you can decisively add to your position. However, based on the current strong market performance, there may not be many opportunities to add positions.

From the 4-hour trend, the key resistance zone is 4245-4260, with 4225-4230 as the short-term suppression level; below, 4165-4175 is an important support range. The essence of technical fluctuations is energy accumulation and adjustment. A pullback is a good opportunity to buy, so patiently wait for key levels before taking action.

Long on dips at 4190-4195, add positions in the range of 4165-4175, stop loss at 4165, target first at 4225-430, and continue to hold after breaking through.

#黄金

It's early morning and the gold market is fluctuating. Aggressive trading at the close, just a small bite. The orders are done, everyone should rest early.

In front, 4198 long positions are caught before dawn, and there is another wave of consolidation. Tonight, the main direction is still looking at whether 4220 will break through. It is recommended to go long again at 4190, with a target of 4218 and a stop loss at 4185.