Federal Reserve internal divisions exposed! The probability of interest rate cuts soars to 71%, has the market already started celebrating? #Federal Reserve resumes interest rate cuts
In the early hours of today, the latest remarks from two core officials of the Federal Reserve directly stirred the market expectations into a 'mess'!
🔻【Collins hawkish】
She bluntly stated: Inflation pressures remain, it is too early to talk about rate cuts! We must maintain a tight policy and completely suppress inflation.
🕊️【Williams dovish】
On the same day, another official, Williams, hinted that: The labor market is cooling, interest rates are already 'slightly restrictive', and there is room for rate cuts in the future.
#Crypto market observation $BANANAS31
The market exploded instantly!
CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' tool shows:
✅ The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has soared to 71%
✅ The probability of continuing to cut rates in January also exceeds 50%
U.S. stocks surged in response, with the Dow Jones jumping over 1%! Traders have already started betting with real money. #Crypto market correction $TRADOOR
🤔 But the question is — the distribution of voting power within the Federal Reserve is extremely torn!
Currently, there are only 6 votes clearly supporting rate cuts, while 4 votes are hesitant. To pass a resolution, Powell still needs to secure 1 more vote!
This scene is like a restaurant:
· The chef (Collins) feels the costs are still high and cannot lower prices
· The manager (Williams) feels customer flow is important and it should be time to lower prices
· The cashier (market) has secretly lowered the expected prices
What should ordinary investors do? #U.S. non-farm data exceeds expectations
💰 With some spare cash, you would choose:
A. Follow market expectations and layout in advance
B. Wait for official announcements before taking action
C. Do nothing and let things be
This is no longer a financial question, but a personality test! Every choice you make reveals your risk preference and investment personality.
💡 Reminder: Market expectations ≠ official decisions. Short-term volatility is severe, be careful not to get hurt!
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