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资深分析师--老余

12年实盘,只专注于小黄鱼,真心对待每一位朋友!根箪👉GLLJ08188
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Warmly welcome Ms. Dai to deposit 35,000 U, officially joining the real trading family! In the future investment journey, we will move forward hand in hand, united, steadily progressing together for a win-win future! In Lao Yu's view, in the vast sea of people, encountering each other is not easy; from acquaintance to mutual trust and cooperation, it is a rare fate. This heavy trust, I will always remember and cherish, and will never let down Ms. Dai's long-standing support and recognition. Every choice is a recognition of professionalism; every deposit is an expectation for the future. Investment is essentially a game with the market and oneself, with ups and downs, but also growth. I cannot promise 100% profitability, but I will do my best in every analysis and every transaction, with precise judgment, steady thinking, and strict risk control, to safeguard your investment and accompany you on a more stable and further journey. On the investment road, a steady heart leads to a stable path, and a calm heart leads to a long journey. May we hold onto our original intention, maintain patience, stick to the rhythm amidst market fluctuations, and reap joy in account growth. The future is promising, let's work hard together! #黄金 $XAU
Warmly welcome Ms. Dai to deposit 35,000 U, officially joining the real trading family! In the future investment journey, we will move forward hand in hand, united, steadily progressing together for a win-win future!

In Lao Yu's view, in the vast sea of people, encountering each other is not easy; from acquaintance to mutual trust and cooperation, it is a rare fate. This heavy trust, I will always remember and cherish, and will never let down Ms. Dai's long-standing support and recognition. Every choice is a recognition of professionalism; every deposit is an expectation for the future. Investment is essentially a game with the market and oneself, with ups and downs, but also growth. I cannot promise 100% profitability, but I will do my best in every analysis and every transaction, with precise judgment, steady thinking, and strict risk control, to safeguard your investment and accompany you on a more stable and further journey.

On the investment road, a steady heart leads to a stable path, and a calm heart leads to a long journey. May we hold onto our original intention, maintain patience, stick to the rhythm amidst market fluctuations, and reap joy in account growth. The future is promising, let's work hard together! #黄金 $XAU
Happy weekend, everyone! While relaxing and resting, we also conduct a professional review of yesterday's gold market, revisiting trends and summarizing thoughts to prepare for upcoming trades. From the perspective of the gold daily chart structure, this round of downward movement is not coincidental. After the failure of the golden cross between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, the overall daily moving averages have turned into a bearish arrangement. The medium to long-term support of the 20-day and 60-day moving averages is gradually being undermined, confirming the short-term downward trend. The MACD indicator shows a slight contraction of the red bars forming a death cross, with the fast and slow lines remaining above the zero axis but turning downward, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum and an intensification of the long-short battle; the RSI indicator has broken below the neutral line of 50 and continues to diverge downward, clearly releasing a signal that bearish momentum is dominant, and the upward momentum has essentially been exhausted. The key support zone of $5120-$5150 has been effectively broken, leaving only the psychological support at the round number of $5000, coupled with a significant increase in trading volume during the decline and notable inflow of bearish funds, the market's selling pressure continues to strengthen, completely opening up short-term downward space. In yesterday's morning strategy, we suggested: if the early session rebounds to the resistance zone of $5120-$5150, we could gradually establish short positions, with the first target looking towards the psychological round number of $5000; if this is effectively broken, we could further look towards the $4900 area. We gradually established short positions at three key resistance levels of $5105, $5110, and $5120, accurately hitting the rhythm of the market, perfectly validating the core idea of "selling high on rebounds." From the market view, gold prices touched $5128, which precisely falls within the short selling zone we indicated of $5120-$5150, providing an excellent entry point for short positions; subsequently, gold prices began a one-sided downward trend, reaching a low of $5009.75, which not only touched the psychological support of $5000 but also validated the judgment that short-term downward space is opening up, with the market trend and strategic forecast almost completely aligned. Currently, gold is still in a downward cycle after a high-level correction, and operations should continue to adhere to the core idea of "mainly selling high on rebounds, with buying on dips as a supplement." The key resistance to watch above is the $5130-$5180 line, which is a strong pressure point transformed from previous support and is a key area for subsequent short positions; below, we first look at the psychological level of $5050-$5000, and if this range is effectively broken, we could further look towards the target of around $4900; the technical bearish structure has not been broken, and the selling pressure on the funding side continues to be released, making trend-following shorting the optimal choice. #黄金 $XAU
Happy weekend, everyone!
While relaxing and resting, we also conduct a professional review of yesterday's gold market, revisiting trends and summarizing thoughts to prepare for upcoming trades.

From the perspective of the gold daily chart structure, this round of downward movement is not coincidental. After the failure of the golden cross between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, the overall daily moving averages have turned into a bearish arrangement. The medium to long-term support of the 20-day and 60-day moving averages is gradually being undermined, confirming the short-term downward trend. The MACD indicator shows a slight contraction of the red bars forming a death cross, with the fast and slow lines remaining above the zero axis but turning downward, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum and an intensification of the long-short battle; the RSI indicator has broken below the neutral line of 50 and continues to diverge downward, clearly releasing a signal that bearish momentum is dominant, and the upward momentum has essentially been exhausted. The key support zone of $5120-$5150 has been effectively broken, leaving only the psychological support at the round number of $5000, coupled with a significant increase in trading volume during the decline and notable inflow of bearish funds, the market's selling pressure continues to strengthen, completely opening up short-term downward space.

In yesterday's morning strategy, we suggested: if the early session rebounds to the resistance zone of $5120-$5150, we could gradually establish short positions, with the first target looking towards the psychological round number of $5000; if this is effectively broken, we could further look towards the $4900 area.

We gradually established short positions at three key resistance levels of $5105, $5110, and $5120, accurately hitting the rhythm of the market, perfectly validating the core idea of "selling high on rebounds."

From the market view, gold prices touched $5128, which precisely falls within the short selling zone we indicated of $5120-$5150, providing an excellent entry point for short positions; subsequently, gold prices began a one-sided downward trend, reaching a low of $5009.75, which not only touched the psychological support of $5000 but also validated the judgment that short-term downward space is opening up, with the market trend and strategic forecast almost completely aligned.

Currently, gold is still in a downward cycle after a high-level correction, and operations should continue to adhere to the core idea of "mainly selling high on rebounds, with buying on dips as a supplement." The key resistance to watch above is the $5130-$5180 line, which is a strong pressure point transformed from previous support and is a key area for subsequent short positions; below, we first look at the psychological level of $5050-$5000, and if this range is effectively broken, we could further look towards the target of around $4900; the technical bearish structure has not been broken, and the selling pressure on the funding side continues to be released, making trend-following shorting the optimal choice. #黄金 $XAU
In yesterday's morning strategy, we provided trading ideas: - Upper resistance: $5130-5180 ​ - Lower support: $5050-5000 ​ - Core strategy: primarily focus on short positions during rebounds, and support long positions during pullbacks. From the current market perspective, the gold price touched $5128.36, which is less than 2 points away from our predicted resistance level of $5130, providing an excellent entry point for short positions; subsequently, the gold price declined all the way down to $5009.80, successfully reaching the support at the $5000 round number, completely aligning with our judgment of the bearish trend. Every strategy is a scientific analysis, not an emotional gamble; every entry and exit reflects professionalism, not impulsive outbursts. Strictly control position risk, do not aspire to double your capital in a day or become wealthy overnight, only pursue steady profits and ensure safety. Providing you with a precise suggestion is not as good as teaching you a correct mindset; giving a man a fish is not as good as teaching him to fish. Suggestions can only yield short-term profits, mastering the mindset is what leads to lifelong gains. #黄金 $XAU
In yesterday's morning strategy, we provided trading ideas:

- Upper resistance: $5130-5180

- Lower support: $5050-5000

- Core strategy: primarily focus on short positions during rebounds, and support long positions during pullbacks.

From the current market perspective, the gold price touched $5128.36, which is less than 2 points away from our predicted resistance level of $5130, providing an excellent entry point for short positions; subsequently, the gold price declined all the way down to $5009.80, successfully reaching the support at the $5000 round number, completely aligning with our judgment of the bearish trend.

Every strategy is a scientific analysis, not an emotional gamble; every entry and exit reflects professionalism, not impulsive outbursts. Strictly control position risk, do not aspire to double your capital in a day or become wealthy overnight, only pursue steady profits and ensure safety. Providing you with a precise suggestion is not as good as teaching you a correct mindset; giving a man a fish is not as good as teaching him to fish. Suggestions can only yield short-term profits, mastering the mindset is what leads to lifelong gains. #黄金 $XAU
3.13 Gold sharply falls while crude oil rises strongly, today's market trend analysis and latest trading suggestionsLatest gold market trend analysis: On Friday, the Asian market opened with gold trading around $5116. The gold price fell nearly 2% on Thursday, mainly due to a stronger dollar and cooling market expectations for interest rate cuts. Although the escalating geopolitical situation in Iran has raised inflation concerns and attracted some safe-haven buying, it has not been able to reverse the downward trend in gold prices. Two oil tankers were attacked and caught fire in Iraqi waters, and Iran has stated it will block the Strait of Hormuz, significantly pushing up crude oil prices and increasing overall inflation and production costs. However, the dollar has strengthened for three consecutive days, raising the holding costs of gold for non-dollar currency holders, coupled with rising U.S. Treasury yields and cooling expectations for interest rate cuts, which further suppresses the attractiveness of gold. The spot gold ultimately closed at $5118.16.

3.13 Gold sharply falls while crude oil rises strongly, today's market trend analysis and latest trading suggestions

Latest gold market trend analysis:
On Friday, the Asian market opened with gold trading around $5116. The gold price fell nearly 2% on Thursday, mainly due to a stronger dollar and cooling market expectations for interest rate cuts. Although the escalating geopolitical situation in Iran has raised inflation concerns and attracted some safe-haven buying, it has not been able to reverse the downward trend in gold prices. Two oil tankers were attacked and caught fire in Iraqi waters, and Iran has stated it will block the Strait of Hormuz, significantly pushing up crude oil prices and increasing overall inflation and production costs. However, the dollar has strengthened for three consecutive days, raising the holding costs of gold for non-dollar currency holders, coupled with rising U.S. Treasury yields and cooling expectations for interest rate cuts, which further suppresses the attractiveness of gold. The spot gold ultimately closed at $5118.16.
3.12 Gold and Oil Evening Market Trend Analysis and Latest Euro-American Trading SuggestionsLatest gold market trend analysis: #黄金 $XAU On Thursday morning during the European session, gold fluctuated upward, with a minimum touching 5125 USD, currently trading around 5184 USD. On Wednesday (March 11), spot gold closed at 5176 USD/ounce, a slight daily decline of 0.3%, while US April gold futures plummeted by 1.2% to 5179.10 USD. In recent trading days, the price fluctuation of gold has significantly narrowed, with one side being the safe-haven support brought by the Middle East situation, and the other side being the dual pressure from the strengthening dollar and inflation expectations, leading to repeated market battles between risk aversion and interest rate expectations. From the perspective of the gold daily line structure, yesterday the gold price was under pressure at the 5220 line and fluctuated downwards. The impact of the CPI data in the evening was limited, and gold continued its technical weakness, retracting to the 5150 line. The daily line ultimately formed a bearish star line, operating near the 5 and 10-day moving averages. Gold has been consolidating near the moving average band for six consecutive trading days, and the originally expected downward continuation pattern has turned into sideways fluctuations, increasing the variability of the short-term market. Recently, gold's correlation with the US dollar index remains strong. After risk aversion sentiment gradually cools, the short-term trend still needs to closely reference the movements of the US dollar.

3.12 Gold and Oil Evening Market Trend Analysis and Latest Euro-American Trading Suggestions

Latest gold market trend analysis:
#黄金 $XAU On Thursday morning during the European session, gold fluctuated upward, with a minimum touching 5125 USD, currently trading around 5184 USD. On Wednesday (March 11), spot gold closed at 5176 USD/ounce, a slight daily decline of 0.3%, while US April gold futures plummeted by 1.2% to 5179.10 USD. In recent trading days, the price fluctuation of gold has significantly narrowed, with one side being the safe-haven support brought by the Middle East situation, and the other side being the dual pressure from the strengthening dollar and inflation expectations, leading to repeated market battles between risk aversion and interest rate expectations.
From the perspective of the gold daily line structure, yesterday the gold price was under pressure at the 5220 line and fluctuated downwards. The impact of the CPI data in the evening was limited, and gold continued its technical weakness, retracting to the 5150 line. The daily line ultimately formed a bearish star line, operating near the 5 and 10-day moving averages. Gold has been consolidating near the moving average band for six consecutive trading days, and the originally expected downward continuation pattern has turned into sideways fluctuations, increasing the variability of the short-term market. Recently, gold's correlation with the US dollar index remains strong. After risk aversion sentiment gradually cools, the short-term trend still needs to closely reference the movements of the US dollar.
Current price layout: Short gold near 5169-72, protect 5177, eliminate all after-the-fact remarks! Gold has achieved 7 consecutive victories! Gold was bought at the current price of 5191 provided in the blog at 14:50 yesterday, and gold reached a maximum of 5202, showing a profit of 110 points! #黄金 $XAU
Current price layout: Short gold near 5169-72, protect 5177, eliminate all after-the-fact remarks!

Gold has achieved 7 consecutive victories! Gold was bought at the current price of 5191 provided in the blog at 14:50 yesterday, and gold reached a maximum of 5202, showing a profit of 110 points! #黄金 $XAU
👏👏Warmly welcome Mr. Zheng to deposit 37,000 USD and become an important member of our family! Opportunities often accompany those who are prepared. In the complex and ever-changing investment market, thorough preparation combined with professional guidance is essential for stable and long-term success. The market is vast, and finding a kindred spirit is difficult. If you place your trust in me, I will do my utmost to protect every expectation with professionalism and responsibility. Having seen the losses brought about by chaotic trading, I understand the regrets and frustrations in the hearts of investors. Upholding my original intention and professional commitment, I only wish to lead everyone in steady positioning and long-term stability in this complex and ever-changing market, working together to create a new wealth pattern that belongs to us. #黄金 $XAU
👏👏Warmly welcome Mr. Zheng to deposit 37,000 USD and become an important member of our family!

Opportunities often accompany those who are prepared. In the complex and ever-changing investment market, thorough preparation combined with professional guidance is essential for stable and long-term success. The market is vast, and finding a kindred spirit is difficult. If you place your trust in me, I will do my utmost to protect every expectation with professionalism and responsibility. Having seen the losses brought about by chaotic trading, I understand the regrets and frustrations in the hearts of investors. Upholding my original intention and professional commitment, I only wish to lead everyone in steady positioning and long-term stability in this complex and ever-changing market, working together to create a new wealth pattern that belongs to us. #黄金 $XAU
3.12 Gold's fluctuating decline and oil's strong rise: latest market trend analysis and today's trading suggestionsLatest gold market trend analysis: In the early morning of Thursday in Asia, gold is fluctuating and slightly declining, currently around 5162 dollars. In just a few days, the price of gold has seen a significant narrowing of its range, as if the market is cautiously responding to the dual impact of geopolitical conflicts and interest rate expectations. However, behind this wave of fluctuating decline lies significant uncertainty in reshaping the global asset landscape. Currently, the short-term weakness in gold prices is mainly the result of a stronger dollar, rising inflation expectations, and the delayed expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Nevertheless, the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, high oil price risks, and escalating global trade frictions are still brewing a strong rebound for gold. Standard Chartered Bank maintains a long-term optimistic outlook on gold, which is not unfounded, but based on an in-depth interpretation of the global monetary system, energy crisis, and demand for safe havens. In the short term, caution is still needed regarding the further pressure that may arise if the dollar index breaks through the 100 mark. However, once the PCE data exceeds expectations or signs of escalation in the Middle East conflict appear, gold is expected to see a significant rise.

3.12 Gold's fluctuating decline and oil's strong rise: latest market trend analysis and today's trading suggestions

Latest gold market trend analysis:
In the early morning of Thursday in Asia, gold is fluctuating and slightly declining, currently around 5162 dollars. In just a few days, the price of gold has seen a significant narrowing of its range, as if the market is cautiously responding to the dual impact of geopolitical conflicts and interest rate expectations. However, behind this wave of fluctuating decline lies significant uncertainty in reshaping the global asset landscape. Currently, the short-term weakness in gold prices is mainly the result of a stronger dollar, rising inflation expectations, and the delayed expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Nevertheless, the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, high oil price risks, and escalating global trade frictions are still brewing a strong rebound for gold. Standard Chartered Bank maintains a long-term optimistic outlook on gold, which is not unfounded, but based on an in-depth interpretation of the global monetary system, energy crisis, and demand for safe havens. In the short term, caution is still needed regarding the further pressure that may arise if the dollar index breaks through the 100 mark. However, once the PCE data exceeds expectations or signs of escalation in the Middle East conflict appear, gold is expected to see a significant rise.
Lao Yu: 3.11 Evening analysis of gold and oil market trends and latest long and short operation suggestions for the European and American marketsLatest trends analysis of gold On Wednesday morning in the European market, gold traded around $5194, with prices recording an increase of over 1% on Tuesday, driven mainly by the weakness of the dollar and easing market concerns about inflation. Although conflicts in the Middle East continue, and there are reports of Tehran experiencing the most intense bombings since the outbreak of conflict, U.S. President Trump’s statements suggesting that the Middle Eastern war may soon come to an end have triggered a sharp drop in oil prices, which has somewhat alleviated market concerns about inflation and weakened gold's appeal as a traditional hedge against inflation.

Lao Yu: 3.11 Evening analysis of gold and oil market trends and latest long and short operation suggestions for the European and American markets

Latest trends analysis of gold
On Wednesday morning in the European market, gold traded around $5194, with prices recording an increase of over 1% on Tuesday, driven mainly by the weakness of the dollar and easing market concerns about inflation. Although conflicts in the Middle East continue, and there are reports of Tehran experiencing the most intense bombings since the outbreak of conflict, U.S. President Trump’s statements suggesting that the Middle Eastern war may soon come to an end have triggered a sharp drop in oil prices, which has somewhat alleviated market concerns about inflation and weakened gold's appeal as a traditional hedge against inflation.
3.11 Gold and crude oil today's market price fluctuations trend analysis and latest long and short operation suggestionsLatest gold market trend analysis: On Wednesday morning, gold trading in Yashiya City is around $5210. The gold price strengthened on Tuesday, mainly supported by a weaker dollar and a cooling of inflation expectations, with an intraday increase of over 1%. Despite the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East, with Tehran facing heavy bombardment, Trump's statement that the Middle East conflict is expected to end quickly has led to a significant drop in oil prices, somewhat easing inflation concerns and slightly reducing gold's appeal as a safe haven. The daily gold price maintains a wide range oscillation, currently operating within the 5050-5200 range. The 4-hour level is gradually forming a small arc bottom pattern, with K-line relying on short-cycle moving averages and oscillating with a slight upward bias. Short-term focus is on the resistance around 5200, and after breaking through, attention can turn to the 5250 pressure level. The hourly chart maintains high-level oscillation, with limited pullback strength, and the technical aspect is gradually recovering. Be cautious of a continuation of the upward trend after a breakout, while noting short-term pullback opportunities. If the gold price falls back to around $5150 (key support + Fibonacci retracement level), it still represents a solid low-buy opportunity with a healthy bullish structure and a higher probability of stabilizing. A breakout and stabilization above 5200 will target $5250 (upper channel + psychological level), opening up upward space.

3.11 Gold and crude oil today's market price fluctuations trend analysis and latest long and short operation suggestions

Latest gold market trend analysis:
On Wednesday morning, gold trading in Yashiya City is around $5210. The gold price strengthened on Tuesday, mainly supported by a weaker dollar and a cooling of inflation expectations, with an intraday increase of over 1%. Despite the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East, with Tehran facing heavy bombardment, Trump's statement that the Middle East conflict is expected to end quickly has led to a significant drop in oil prices, somewhat easing inflation concerns and slightly reducing gold's appeal as a safe haven.
The daily gold price maintains a wide range oscillation, currently operating within the 5050-5200 range. The 4-hour level is gradually forming a small arc bottom pattern, with K-line relying on short-cycle moving averages and oscillating with a slight upward bias. Short-term focus is on the resistance around 5200, and after breaking through, attention can turn to the 5250 pressure level. The hourly chart maintains high-level oscillation, with limited pullback strength, and the technical aspect is gradually recovering. Be cautious of a continuation of the upward trend after a breakout, while noting short-term pullback opportunities. If the gold price falls back to around $5150 (key support + Fibonacci retracement level), it still represents a solid low-buy opportunity with a healthy bullish structure and a higher probability of stabilizing. A breakout and stabilization above 5200 will target $5250 (upper channel + psychological level), opening up upward space.
3.10 Gold Fluctuates Upward While Oil Drops Sharply: Today's Market Trend Analysis and Trading IdeasGold Analysis: On Tuesday morning in the Asian market, gold fluctuated narrowly around 5140. This week's U.S. inflation data will serve as a barometer for determining the short-term direction of gold prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, which is set to be announced on Wednesday, as well as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index (the Fed's preferred inflation indicator) on Friday, if strong, will further bolster the market's expectations for the Fed to maintain 'high rates for longer.' The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, and the market currently generally believes that interest rates will remain unchanged, even raising doubts about the rate cut path in the second half of the year. Federal funds rate futures show that the probability of a rate cut in July has dropped to around 67%, with the expected total rate cut for the year being only 38 basis points.

3.10 Gold Fluctuates Upward While Oil Drops Sharply: Today's Market Trend Analysis and Trading Ideas

Gold Analysis:
On Tuesday morning in the Asian market, gold fluctuated narrowly around 5140. This week's U.S. inflation data will serve as a barometer for determining the short-term direction of gold prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, which is set to be announced on Wednesday, as well as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index (the Fed's preferred inflation indicator) on Friday, if strong, will further bolster the market's expectations for the Fed to maintain 'high rates for longer.' The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, and the market currently generally believes that interest rates will remain unchanged, even raising doubts about the rate cut path in the second half of the year. Federal funds rate futures show that the probability of a rate cut in July has dropped to around 67%, with the expected total rate cut for the year being only 38 basis points.
3.9 Gold and Oil Price Surge and Fall Latest Market Trend Analysis and Evening Long and Short Trading Suggestions Latest Gold Market Analysis Last Friday, the non-farm payroll data significantly underperformed expectations, with the U.S. February non-farm employment decreasing by 92,000, far below expectations, and the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%. This briefly drove gold prices up by 1.77%, closing at $5171.01. However, affected by a strong dollar and the situation in the Middle East, gold recorded its first weekly decline in five weeks, with a total drop of about 2% for the week. From a technical perspective, this week we will focus on CPI, PCE data, and geopolitical situations, paying attention to the interconnected trends of gold, the dollar, and crude oil. After the non-farm report, gold was expected to have a rebound structure, but the strong dollar suppressed the upward movement, opening high and then falling back into the consolidation range. Currently, gold is in a small range of 5000—5200 and a large range of 4850—5350, with the daily Bollinger Bands converging, showing a tendency towards weak fluctuation. After a decline in the morning session, the short-term shape is relatively weak, mainly looking at whether the 5000 support can hold: if it does not break, we will see a range rebound, with resistance above at 5120, 5200; if it breaks, we will look further towards 4850. In summary, the evening trading strategy for gold: mainly short on rebounds, with some long on pullbacks, watching for resistance at 5140—5190 above, and support at 5050—5000 below. Latest Oil Market Analysis On Monday during the Asian session, international oil prices surged significantly, with WTI crude oil rising over 20% during the session, reaching $111 per barrel, a new high since July 2022; Brent crude oil also strengthened, breaking through $111. Last week, crude oil's cumulative increase reached 36%, with a single-day rise of about 12% last Friday, mainly due to the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, leading to heightened market concerns about supply and a rapid rise in geopolitical risk premium. At the daily level, crude oil surged above $110 due to news-driven stimulation, with moving averages in a bullish arrangement, indicating an upward medium-term trend and sufficient bullish momentum. The short-term 1-hour cycle continues to rise, with indicators strong, maintaining a bullish pattern throughout the day. In summary, the evening trading strategy for crude oil: mainly long on pullbacks, with some short on rebounds, watching for resistance at 115.0—120.0 above, and support at 100.0—95.0 below. #黄金下跌 $XAU
3.9 Gold and Oil Price Surge and Fall Latest Market Trend Analysis and Evening Long and Short Trading Suggestions

Latest Gold Market Analysis

Last Friday, the non-farm payroll data significantly underperformed expectations, with the U.S. February non-farm employment decreasing by 92,000, far below expectations, and the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%. This briefly drove gold prices up by 1.77%, closing at $5171.01. However, affected by a strong dollar and the situation in the Middle East, gold recorded its first weekly decline in five weeks, with a total drop of about 2% for the week.

From a technical perspective, this week we will focus on CPI, PCE data, and geopolitical situations, paying attention to the interconnected trends of gold, the dollar, and crude oil. After the non-farm report, gold was expected to have a rebound structure, but the strong dollar suppressed the upward movement, opening high and then falling back into the consolidation range.

Currently, gold is in a small range of 5000—5200 and a large range of 4850—5350, with the daily Bollinger Bands converging, showing a tendency towards weak fluctuation. After a decline in the morning session, the short-term shape is relatively weak, mainly looking at whether the 5000 support can hold: if it does not break, we will see a range rebound, with resistance above at 5120, 5200; if it breaks, we will look further towards 4850.

In summary, the evening trading strategy for gold: mainly short on rebounds, with some long on pullbacks, watching for resistance at 5140—5190 above, and support at 5050—5000 below.

Latest Oil Market Analysis

On Monday during the Asian session, international oil prices surged significantly, with WTI crude oil rising over 20% during the session, reaching $111 per barrel, a new high since July 2022; Brent crude oil also strengthened, breaking through $111.

Last week, crude oil's cumulative increase reached 36%, with a single-day rise of about 12% last Friday, mainly due to the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, leading to heightened market concerns about supply and a rapid rise in geopolitical risk premium.

At the daily level, crude oil surged above $110 due to news-driven stimulation, with moving averages in a bullish arrangement, indicating an upward medium-term trend and sufficient bullish momentum. The short-term 1-hour cycle continues to rise, with indicators strong, maintaining a bullish pattern throughout the day.

In summary, the evening trading strategy for crude oil: mainly long on pullbacks, with some short on rebounds, watching for resistance at 115.0—120.0 above, and support at 100.0—95.0 below. #黄金下跌 $XAU
🔥 One week of trading results, new spots are up for grabs! Last week, 5 students achieved account doubling, proving that choice is more important than effort! 💡 New week recruitment plan Threshold: starting from $5000 Spots: limited to 10 people Service: one-on-one real-time guidance, exclusive strategies, risk control plans Goal: achieve account doubling in one week, steady compound interest Limited spots available, interested parties please DM directly! #黄金 $XAU
🔥 One week of trading results, new spots are up for grabs!

Last week, 5 students achieved account doubling, proving that choice is more important than effort!
💡 New week recruitment plan
Threshold: starting from $5000
Spots: limited to 10 people
Service: one-on-one real-time guidance, exclusive strategies, risk control plans
Goal: achieve account doubling in one week, steady compound interest
Limited spots available, interested parties please DM directly!
#黄金 $XAU
#黄金 First victory in 11 days!! $XAU The gold large-scale trend is still dominated by bears, and the rebound after the deep drop is a technical correction, not a trend reversal. 5021~5057 manual stop profit gained 36 points space👏
#黄金 First victory in 11 days!! $XAU
The gold large-scale trend is still dominated by bears, and the rebound after the deep drop is a technical correction, not a trend reversal.
5021~5057 manual stop profit gained 36 points space👏
Gold: High-stakes game, precise layout Today, gold has shown remarkable resilience under multiple pressures. In the early session, the gold price fluctuated narrowly upwards from around 5166, with the triple pressures of geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and the dollar highlighting gold's safe-haven properties. From the chart perspective, after touching the 5206 line, the gold price fell back under pressure, echoing yesterday's high of 5418 and low, with clear divergence at high levels. The daily chart's high-low pattern suggests that there is still a demand for adjustment in the short term; on the 4-hour chart, a series of consecutive declines broke below the middle Bollinger band, indicating a short-term bearish trend, with the 5200-5250 range becoming a key resistance zone. Our strategy is clear and firm: rely on the resistance at 5200/5250 for short positions, defending the middle band, with a target looking down to 5000-4900; long positions will wait for real-time signals. Currently, the gold price is trading around 5150, directly reflecting the tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with each fluctuation being a good opportunity for our layout. Crude Oil: Soaring forward, riding the trend The crude oil market has completely boiled over! The escalation of the U.S.-Iran conflict has spread to Lebanon, directly igniting market panic over supply disruptions. WTI crude oil surged over 5% in a single day, while Brent crude oil hit a new high since January 2025, having skyrocketed 12% since the conflict erupted last Saturday! From a technical perspective, the daily chart of crude oil shows a bullish arrangement of moving averages, with the MACD indicator opening upwards above the zero line, indicating an unbreakable medium-term upward trend. Although there was a pullback after reaching around 78 dollars, and the MACD showed a top divergence signal, this seems more like a healthy adjustment during the rise rather than a trend reversal. Our operational thinking is also clear: mainly low buying on pullbacks, with high selling on rebounds as a supplement. Key resistance is closely monitored at 78.0-80.0 dollars above, while key support is closely watched at 75.0-73.0 dollars below. Each pullback is a buildup of strength for the next charge. Real trading results, strength witnessed In this market full of opportunities and challenges, our team has once again accurately predicted and led students to seize the benefits of this violent surge. Whether it's the high layout in gold or the low buying in oil, both perfectly align with the market rhythm, steadily bringing profits into our hands. This is not just a simple transaction; it is another validation of our professional strength. In this uncertain market, we are always your most reliable partner. #黄金 $XAU
Gold: High-stakes game, precise layout

Today, gold has shown remarkable resilience under multiple pressures. In the early session, the gold price fluctuated narrowly upwards from around 5166, with the triple pressures of geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and the dollar highlighting gold's safe-haven properties.

From the chart perspective, after touching the 5206 line, the gold price fell back under pressure, echoing yesterday's high of 5418 and low, with clear divergence at high levels. The daily chart's high-low pattern suggests that there is still a demand for adjustment in the short term; on the 4-hour chart, a series of consecutive declines broke below the middle Bollinger band, indicating a short-term bearish trend, with the 5200-5250 range becoming a key resistance zone.

Our strategy is clear and firm: rely on the resistance at 5200/5250 for short positions, defending the middle band, with a target looking down to 5000-4900; long positions will wait for real-time signals. Currently, the gold price is trading around 5150, directly reflecting the tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with each fluctuation being a good opportunity for our layout.

Crude Oil: Soaring forward, riding the trend

The crude oil market has completely boiled over! The escalation of the U.S.-Iran conflict has spread to Lebanon, directly igniting market panic over supply disruptions. WTI crude oil surged over 5% in a single day, while Brent crude oil hit a new high since January 2025, having skyrocketed 12% since the conflict erupted last Saturday!

From a technical perspective, the daily chart of crude oil shows a bullish arrangement of moving averages, with the MACD indicator opening upwards above the zero line, indicating an unbreakable medium-term upward trend. Although there was a pullback after reaching around 78 dollars, and the MACD showed a top divergence signal, this seems more like a healthy adjustment during the rise rather than a trend reversal.

Our operational thinking is also clear: mainly low buying on pullbacks, with high selling on rebounds as a supplement. Key resistance is closely monitored at 78.0-80.0 dollars above, while key support is closely watched at 75.0-73.0 dollars below. Each pullback is a buildup of strength for the next charge.

Real trading results, strength witnessed

In this market full of opportunities and challenges, our team has once again accurately predicted and led students to seize the benefits of this violent surge. Whether it's the high layout in gold or the low buying in oil, both perfectly align with the market rhythm, steadily bringing profits into our hands.

This is not just a simple transaction; it is another validation of our professional strength. In this uncertain market, we are always your most reliable partner. #黄金 $XAU
Analysis of Evening Trends and Trading Suggestions for Gold and OilGold Analysis: In the early European market, gold fluctuated slightly upward, currently trading around 5166. The geopolitical conflict continues to escalate, with the intertwining pressures of oil prices, inflation, and the dollar, while gold's safe-haven properties in times of crisis remain prominent. The gold market in 2026 is likely to enter a critical stage. Today, we focus on the situation in the Middle East, the navigation situation in the Strait of Hormuz, and speeches by officials from European and American central banks; at 20:30 in the evening, the US February ADP employment, ISM services PMI, and at 22:00 the ISM non-manufacturing index will be announced intensively, which is an important window for judging the US economy and inflation pressure. We need to be vigilant about the drastic fluctuations caused by sudden geopolitical news.

Analysis of Evening Trends and Trading Suggestions for Gold and Oil

Gold Analysis: In the early European market, gold fluctuated slightly upward, currently trading around 5166. The geopolitical conflict continues to escalate, with the intertwining pressures of oil prices, inflation, and the dollar, while gold's safe-haven properties in times of crisis remain prominent. The gold market in 2026 is likely to enter a critical stage.
Today, we focus on the situation in the Middle East, the navigation situation in the Strait of Hormuz, and speeches by officials from European and American central banks; at 20:30 in the evening, the US February ADP employment, ISM services PMI, and at 22:00 the ISM non-manufacturing index will be announced intensively, which is an important window for judging the US economy and inflation pressure. We need to be vigilant about the drastic fluctuations caused by sudden geopolitical news.
Warmly welcome Mr. Zhou to deposit 60,000 US dollars and officially join Lao Yu's one-on-one real trading guidance! Another like-minded friend has joined the practical camp, and a new journey officially begins. Let's fight side by side and sprint towards our common goals and dreams! The recent practical status is evident to all, with stable rhythm, clear thinking, and considerable profits. Many friends who have been observing and preparing have finally made the decision to enter the market. In the face of this trust, Lao Yu can only do his best to live up to the expectations. Here, I, along with all team members, once again welcome Mr. Zhou to join the big family of short-term real trading. We will walk together in the future, steadily move forward, and achieve win-win results together. I also wish all my friends who pay attention to and support me smooth trading, calm mindset, and steady profits. Joining Lao Yu's real trading, just follow with peace of mind, and leave the rest to professionalism and execution. On the road to profitability, we will walk steadily together! #黄金 $XAU
Warmly welcome Mr. Zhou to deposit 60,000 US dollars and officially join Lao Yu's one-on-one real trading guidance! Another like-minded friend has joined the practical camp, and a new journey officially begins. Let's fight side by side and sprint towards our common goals and dreams!

The recent practical status is evident to all, with stable rhythm, clear thinking, and considerable profits. Many friends who have been observing and preparing have finally made the decision to enter the market. In the face of this trust, Lao Yu can only do his best to live up to the expectations.

Here, I, along with all team members, once again welcome Mr. Zhou to join the big family of short-term real trading. We will walk together in the future, steadily move forward, and achieve win-win results together. I also wish all my friends who pay attention to and support me smooth trading, calm mindset, and steady profits.

Joining Lao Yu's real trading, just follow with peace of mind, and leave the rest to professionalism and execution. On the road to profitability, we will walk steadily together! #黄金 $XAU
Real Trading Challenge: Turn $10,000 into three times in one week (Day 2) Full transparency in real trading, real-time entry and exit points, account synchronized updates, no theoretical discussions, witness professional strength with real performance! Challenge Variety: Gold Opening Price: 5150.31 Closing Price: 5172.87 Lot Size: 1 Profit: $2256 Total Balance: $21090 Five consecutive wins in gold! At noon, we entered at the 5150 line and exited near 5172, capturing a 22-point move, securing $2256, and getting significantly closer to the target of $30,000! Today's morning session continues the oscillation repair, and we accurately captured the rebound rhythm, realizing the strategy once again. Currently, gold prices are consolidating in the 5150-5170 range, with the short-term trend still leaning towards oscillation, and key level breakthroughs need to be monitored. Subsequent Trend Analysis Gold prices are under pressure at the 5180-5200 line, and bearish forces are expected to exert strength again, with support below focused on 5110-5120; if broken, look towards the previous low of 5074. If it can effectively stabilize above 5180, the short-term rebound will continue, with upper pressure focused on the 5230-5240 range. Special Statement: This article is only personal opinion and operation record, does not constitute any investment advice, for reference only. #黄金 $XAU
Real Trading Challenge: Turn $10,000 into three times in one week (Day 2)

Full transparency in real trading, real-time entry and exit points, account synchronized updates, no theoretical discussions, witness professional strength with real performance!

Challenge Variety: Gold

Opening Price: 5150.31

Closing Price: 5172.87

Lot Size: 1

Profit: $2256

Total Balance: $21090

Five consecutive wins in gold! At noon, we entered at the 5150 line and exited near 5172, capturing a 22-point move, securing $2256, and getting significantly closer to the target of $30,000!

Today's morning session continues the oscillation repair, and we accurately captured the rebound rhythm, realizing the strategy once again. Currently, gold prices are consolidating in the 5150-5170 range, with the short-term trend still leaning towards oscillation, and key level breakthroughs need to be monitored.

Subsequent Trend Analysis

Gold prices are under pressure at the 5180-5200 line, and bearish forces are expected to exert strength again, with support below focused on 5110-5120; if broken, look towards the previous low of 5074. If it can effectively stabilize above 5180, the short-term rebound will continue, with upper pressure focused on the 5230-5240 range.

Special Statement: This article is only personal opinion and operation record, does not constitute any investment advice, for reference only. #黄金 $XAU
Real account challenge to triple 10,000 dollars within a week (Day 2) Full transparency with real-time entry and exit points, synchronized account updates, rejecting paper trading, proving professional strength with real results! Challenge variety: Gold Opening price: 5142.08 Closing price: 5160.64 Lot size: 1 Profit: 1856 dollars Total balance: 18834.5 dollars Four consecutive victories in gold! This morning, we entered around the 5140 line and exited at 5160, capturing a 20-point move, securing 1856 dollars, getting closer to the goal of 30,000 dollars! After a “roller coaster” market for gold yesterday, today’s early session continued with fluctuating recovery, we accurately captured the rebound rhythm and realized the strategy again. Currently, gold prices are consolidating in the 5150-5170 range, with a short-term trend still leaning towards fluctuations, requiring attention to key breakout situations. Subsequent trend analysis Gold prices are under pressure at the 5180-5200 line, and bearish forces are expected to exert strength again, with support below at 5110-5120, and if broken, looking toward the previous low of 5074. If it can effectively stabilize above 5180, the short-term rebound will continue, with pressure above at the 5230-5240 range. Special statement: This article is only a personal opinion and operational record, does not constitute any investment advice, for reference only. #黄金 $XAU
Real account challenge to triple 10,000 dollars within a week (Day 2)

Full transparency with real-time entry and exit points, synchronized account updates, rejecting paper trading, proving professional strength with real results!

Challenge variety: Gold

Opening price: 5142.08

Closing price: 5160.64

Lot size: 1

Profit: 1856 dollars

Total balance: 18834.5 dollars

Four consecutive victories in gold! This morning, we entered around the 5140 line and exited at 5160, capturing a 20-point move, securing 1856 dollars, getting closer to the goal of 30,000 dollars!

After a “roller coaster” market for gold yesterday, today’s early session continued with fluctuating recovery, we accurately captured the rebound rhythm and realized the strategy again. Currently, gold prices are consolidating in the 5150-5170 range, with a short-term trend still leaning towards fluctuations, requiring attention to key breakout situations.

Subsequent trend analysis

Gold prices are under pressure at the 5180-5200 line, and bearish forces are expected to exert strength again, with support below at 5110-5120, and if broken, looking toward the previous low of 5074. If it can effectively stabilize above 5180, the short-term rebound will continue, with pressure above at the 5230-5240 range.

Special statement: This article is only a personal opinion and operational record, does not constitute any investment advice, for reference only. #黄金 $XAU
Gold Analysis: After a 4% plunge in gold, how to grasp the rebound short opportunity during the day? Last night, the gold market encountered a "Black Tuesday," plummeting over 4% in a single day, reaching a low of $4996.24, and directly breaking below the psychological threshold of $5000, marking the largest single-day decline in recent times. This wave of sharp decline caught the bulls off guard, and market sentiment quickly shifted. On the news front, Federal Reserve officials have recently continued to release hawkish signals, and the market's expectations for a rate cut in March have basically evaporated, with the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields maintaining strength, exerting continuous pressure on gold prices; at the same time, although the situation in the Middle East has not completely eased, risk aversion sentiment has significantly cooled compared to before, coupled with concentrated profit-taking from previous high positions, leading to a significant drop in gold prices. From a technical perspective, the daily level has formed a large solid bearish candle, directly breaking below the $5000 threshold, with a clear short-term trend turning bearish, MACD dead cross, and green bars expanding, indicating strong bearish momentum; the 4-hour level has formed a waterfall-style decline with consecutive large bearish candles, although the RSI has entered the oversold range indicating a short-term rebound repair demand, the rebound space is limited, and it is more likely to provide better entry points for bears; at the 15-minute level, there is initial buying support near the $5000 threshold, and it is likely to experience weak fluctuations in the $5000-$5100 range during the day, with an operational focus on sticking to the rebound short strategy and cautiously bottom-fishing. Overall, today the direction of gold remains weak, and the rebound is unlikely to change the bearish trend, with the operational focus being on the rebound short strategy. Operational Suggestion: Short in the $5110-$5130 range, targeting $5030. If it breaks below $5000 strongly, the target will be around $4950. #黄金 $XAU
Gold Analysis: After a 4% plunge in gold, how to grasp the rebound short opportunity during the day?

Last night, the gold market encountered a "Black Tuesday," plummeting over 4% in a single day, reaching a low of $4996.24, and directly breaking below the psychological threshold of $5000, marking the largest single-day decline in recent times. This wave of sharp decline caught the bulls off guard, and market sentiment quickly shifted.

On the news front, Federal Reserve officials have recently continued to release hawkish signals, and the market's expectations for a rate cut in March have basically evaporated, with the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields maintaining strength, exerting continuous pressure on gold prices; at the same time, although the situation in the Middle East has not completely eased, risk aversion sentiment has significantly cooled compared to before, coupled with concentrated profit-taking from previous high positions, leading to a significant drop in gold prices.

From a technical perspective, the daily level has formed a large solid bearish candle, directly breaking below the $5000 threshold, with a clear short-term trend turning bearish, MACD dead cross, and green bars expanding, indicating strong bearish momentum; the 4-hour level has formed a waterfall-style decline with consecutive large bearish candles, although the RSI has entered the oversold range indicating a short-term rebound repair demand, the rebound space is limited, and it is more likely to provide better entry points for bears; at the 15-minute level, there is initial buying support near the $5000 threshold, and it is likely to experience weak fluctuations in the $5000-$5100 range during the day, with an operational focus on sticking to the rebound short strategy and cautiously bottom-fishing.

Overall, today the direction of gold remains weak, and the rebound is unlikely to change the bearish trend, with the operational focus being on the rebound short strategy.

Operational Suggestion: Short in the $5110-$5130 range, targeting $5030. If it breaks below $5000 strongly, the target will be around $4950. #黄金 $XAU
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