英国央行降息
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🔥Global central banks "one cut and one increase", what is the impact on the crypto market?
This week, the decisions of global central banks are quite exciting: the UK is expected to cut interest rates on the 18th, and Japan may raise interest rates on the 19th. This "one cut and one increase" seems contradictory, but the market has already fully digested it.
The UK’s interest rate cut aligns with slowing growth, while Japan’s interest rate hike is a historic effort to combat deflation. After balancing the two, the global liquidity environment has not shifted towards tightening and remains friendly to risk assets.
The key point is that the market has already reacted to the expectation of Japan's interest rate hike, making it unlikely to trigger a massive panic withdrawal of funds. For the crypto market, the macro-level disturbances are relatively limited, and the market focus can return more to the technological development and capital flow within the industry itself.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#加密市场观察 #日本加息 #英国央行降息 #PEPE #DOGE
This week, the decisions of global central banks are quite exciting: the UK is expected to cut interest rates on the 18th, and Japan may raise interest rates on the 19th. This "one cut and one increase" seems contradictory, but the market has already fully digested it.
The UK’s interest rate cut aligns with slowing growth, while Japan’s interest rate hike is a historic effort to combat deflation. After balancing the two, the global liquidity environment has not shifted towards tightening and remains friendly to risk assets.
The key point is that the market has already reacted to the expectation of Japan's interest rate hike, making it unlikely to trigger a massive panic withdrawal of funds. For the crypto market, the macro-level disturbances are relatively limited, and the market focus can return more to the technological development and capital flow within the industry itself.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#加密市场观察 #日本加息 #英国央行降息 #PEPE #DOGE
[Replay] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500，机构看好以太升级隐私功能
05 h 59 m 51 s · 20.5k listens
Binance BiBi:
It's a great analysis! Thanks for sharing your insights with the community.
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🔥 Ethereum upgrade privacy exploded! BlackRock officially submitted the staking ETF! Wall Street announces a target price of $62,500!
This is not a rumor; it is a huge change that is happening.
Three signals are all lit up ✅：
$DOGE
$ETH
$BTC
#英国央行降息
This is not a rumor; it is a huge change that is happening.
Three signals are all lit up ✅：
$DOGE
$ETH
$BTC
#英国央行降息
[Replay] 🎙️ 12月以太升级 看8500 +日本19号加息 市场如何变化？
05 h 59 m 47 s · 1.5k listens
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The cryptocurrency prices maintained a roller-coaster of significant fluctuations last week, with bulls experiencing ups and downs, advancing two steps and retreating one; this week, the focus will be on the U.S. CPI data, non-farm payroll data, and the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision, which are expected to bring another week of volatility. Hopefully, we can break out of last week's fluctuation range, but it seems a bit challenging. Although there are suspicions of range washing in the short-term market, the willingness to break through from last week may still continue, especially since the bears seem to be unsatisfied, so bulls should still exercise caution.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#英国央行降息
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#英国央行降息
[Replay] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500，机构看好ETH升级隐私协议
05 h 59 m 59 s · 745 listens
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兰亭-阿萍
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Bank of England Cuts Interest Rate by 25bp, Future Reductions Gradual and Cautious
#降息预期 The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has always regarded achieving the 2% inflation target as its core task while also considering economic growth and employment stability in its monetary policy formulation. The MPC adopts a strategy that combines forward-looking and medium-term perspectives, striving to accurately control the direction of monetary policy to ensure the achievement of the inflation target and the robust development of the economy.
In the meeting on February 5, 2025, the MPC passed a resolution to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, from 4.75% to 4.5%, with a vote ratio of 7 to 2. This decision aligns with market expectations and marks the third operation in the current cycle of interest rate cuts. However, two members held differing opinions, advocating for a 50 basis point reduction to 4.25%.
In the meeting on February 5, 2025, the MPC passed a resolution to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, from 4.75% to 4.5%, with a vote ratio of 7 to 2. This decision aligns with market expectations and marks the third operation in the current cycle of interest rate cuts. However, two members held differing opinions, advocating for a 50 basis point reduction to 4.25%.
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The Bank of England Takes the Lead in Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points, Market Interprets as Possible Pause in Rate Cut Cycle
On August 7, the Bank of England announced a reduction in the benchmark interest rate from 4.25% to 4%, marking the fifth rate cut since August 2024, in line with market expectations.
However, behind this seemingly routine monetary policy adjustment lies a profound division among central bank members. For the first time in history, the Bank of England conducted two rounds of voting to reach a decision due to difficulty in unifying opinions.
In the first round of voting, the committee experienced a rare tie of 4:4:1. External MPC member Alan Taylor advocated for a more aggressive 50 basis point cut;
four members, including MPC Deputy Governor Clare Lombardelli and Chief Economist Huw Pill, insisted on maintaining the rate at 4.25%; while the remaining four members, including Governor Andrew Bailey, supported the decision to cut by 25 basis points to 4%.
After the second round of voting, the decision to cut rates was ultimately passed with a narrow margin of 5-4, demonstrating the central bank's difficult balancing act between addressing economic slowdown and inflationary pressures.
It is noteworthy that the Bank of England removed the previous wording of "the policy remains restrictive" from its policy statement, instead stating, "with the rate cut, the restrictiveness of monetary policy has decreased."
This change has also been interpreted by the market as a signal that the central bank may soon pause its rate cut cycle, directly tearing up the check that Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves and Prime Minister Keir Starmer hoped to use for economic stimulus through easing.
Meanwhile, the UK economy has shown a declining trend for two consecutive months, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.7%, a four-year high. Inflation stands at 3.6%, far exceeding the 2% target, and is predicted to rise to 4% in September. Worse still, the central bank expects inflation to return to normal levels only by the second quarter of 2027, which is three months later than previously estimated.
Market reactions have been relatively muted, with the GBP/USD exchange rate showing limited volatility after the decision was announced, reflecting that investors have fully digested the expectations for a rate cut. Analysts point out that the future policy path will heavily depend on data performance, particularly inflation trends and changes in the labor market.
Most institutions expect that if the economy remains weak, the Bank of England may cut rates again in November, but the room for rate cuts in 2026 may be limited to only 1-2 times, with the final rate potentially maintaining in the range of 3.25%-3.5%.
#英国央行降息 #降息
On August 7, the Bank of England announced a reduction in the benchmark interest rate from 4.25% to 4%, marking the fifth rate cut since August 2024, in line with market expectations.
However, behind this seemingly routine monetary policy adjustment lies a profound division among central bank members. For the first time in history, the Bank of England conducted two rounds of voting to reach a decision due to difficulty in unifying opinions.
In the first round of voting, the committee experienced a rare tie of 4:4:1. External MPC member Alan Taylor advocated for a more aggressive 50 basis point cut;
four members, including MPC Deputy Governor Clare Lombardelli and Chief Economist Huw Pill, insisted on maintaining the rate at 4.25%; while the remaining four members, including Governor Andrew Bailey, supported the decision to cut by 25 basis points to 4%.
After the second round of voting, the decision to cut rates was ultimately passed with a narrow margin of 5-4, demonstrating the central bank's difficult balancing act between addressing economic slowdown and inflationary pressures.
It is noteworthy that the Bank of England removed the previous wording of "the policy remains restrictive" from its policy statement, instead stating, "with the rate cut, the restrictiveness of monetary policy has decreased."
This change has also been interpreted by the market as a signal that the central bank may soon pause its rate cut cycle, directly tearing up the check that Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves and Prime Minister Keir Starmer hoped to use for economic stimulus through easing.
Meanwhile, the UK economy has shown a declining trend for two consecutive months, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.7%, a four-year high. Inflation stands at 3.6%, far exceeding the 2% target, and is predicted to rise to 4% in September. Worse still, the central bank expects inflation to return to normal levels only by the second quarter of 2027, which is three months later than previously estimated.
Market reactions have been relatively muted, with the GBP/USD exchange rate showing limited volatility after the decision was announced, reflecting that investors have fully digested the expectations for a rate cut. Analysts point out that the future policy path will heavily depend on data performance, particularly inflation trends and changes in the labor market.
Most institutions expect that if the economy remains weak, the Bank of England may cut rates again in November, but the room for rate cuts in 2026 may be limited to only 1-2 times, with the final rate potentially maintaining in the range of 3.25%-3.5%.
#英国央行降息 #降息
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【$ETH Strategy Entry Points】
Buy Point One: 2480 (Previous low support near 2453.8, combined with potential rebound demand at the integer level of 2500)
Buy Point Two: 2460 (If 2480 does not stop the decline, further test of the June 17 low of 2453.8, RSI may enter the oversold zone)
Long Stop Loss Point: 2440 (Confirm downward trend continuation after breaking the previous low of 2453.8, keep stop loss space within 1% of Buy Point Two)
Sell Point One: 2530 (EMA7 resistance at 2517.93 and 4-hour double top neck line, combined with integer pressure at 2550)
Sell Point Two: 2550 (EMA30 resistance at 2552.14 and selling pressure area before the long shadow high point of 2618.6 on the daily line)
Short Stop Loss Point: 2570 (If it breaks EMA30 and stands above the integer level of 2560, the short position is invalid, stop loss space strictly matches the distance)
Yesterday's strategy points have all taken profit, follow Kun Ge, and there’s always meat to eat.
Currently holding $FUN $RAY
Netizens and fans who have been eating meat with Kun Ge, report in the comments section!
Follow #以色列伊朗冲突 7 point #英国央行降息
Buy Point One: 2480 (Previous low support near 2453.8, combined with potential rebound demand at the integer level of 2500)
Buy Point Two: 2460 (If 2480 does not stop the decline, further test of the June 17 low of 2453.8, RSI may enter the oversold zone)
Long Stop Loss Point: 2440 (Confirm downward trend continuation after breaking the previous low of 2453.8, keep stop loss space within 1% of Buy Point Two)
Sell Point One: 2530 (EMA7 resistance at 2517.93 and 4-hour double top neck line, combined with integer pressure at 2550)
Sell Point Two: 2550 (EMA30 resistance at 2552.14 and selling pressure area before the long shadow high point of 2618.6 on the daily line)
Short Stop Loss Point: 2570 (If it breaks EMA30 and stands above the integer level of 2560, the short position is invalid, stop loss space strictly matches the distance)
Yesterday's strategy points have all taken profit, follow Kun Ge, and there’s always meat to eat.
Currently holding $FUN $RAY
Netizens and fans who have been eating meat with Kun Ge, report in the comments section!
Follow #以色列伊朗冲突 7 point #英国央行降息
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