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TraderLeoHK
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Bullish
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#BTC走势预测
But... the 30m pit is still not giving up... and the community has issued a reversal alert... should we go for it one more time? 🤔
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最近的预测贴含金量都很高
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#BTC 近期新闻简报: 1. 当前行情:比特币现区间八十八至九十一千美元,受 Vanguard 转而支持加密 ETF 影响,机构资金在三十六小时内回流两千亿,总市值的反弹已确认。 2. 关键催化:Twenty One Capital 定于十二月九日在纽交所挂牌,象征传统资本正式入场;K33 研报显示上周低点为短期底部,美联储若维持宽松,十二月目标十万。 3. 技术支撑:五十日均线转多,八十三至八十六千区间提供强支点,现无大规模杠杆清算风险。 4. 下行警惕:假期流动性收窄或放大震荡,但主力如 MicroStrategy 与 Kraken 正持续加仓,中国禁令属旧闻,无实质冲击。 5. 短期判断——净看涨,年底区间九十五至一百一十千美元已具概率支撑。 辅助材料: 1. Vanguard 机构简介与影响力:Vanguard 是全球最大的资产管理公司之一,总资产管理规模超十一万亿美元,主要服务零售投资者和养老基金。它长期对加密持保守态度,但最近(12月2日起)逆转政策,允许客户在其平台买卖比特币等加密ETF。这直接打开了数万亿美元的潜在资金大门,推动比特币短期市值反弹两千亿,标志机构主流化加速——对BTC是重大利好,预计将吸引更多保守型资金流入。 2. 美联储宽松政策细节及对BTC影响:美联储12月9-10日会议,市场预期25个基点降息,将联邦基金利率降至3.5%-3.75%区间,这是宽松信号(降低借贷成本,刺激风险资产)。如果真的降息,比特币很可能上涨——美元走弱、流动性增加,资金青睐高回报资产如BTC,历史数据显示类似降息周期BTC平均涨15-25%。若继续放鸽子(不降息,只口头暗示未来宽松),短期可能小幅震荡或微跌(因失望卖压),但中长期仍偏涨,因为预期已计入价格,不会逆转整体牛市趋势。
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#SOL 0.786的位置接多成功。继续观察,止损在BE点。
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#BTC 筑基
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已经在618的位置停下了。目前支撑的时间已经远超382。我开始停掉空单,继续做多。
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