TraderLeoHK

The recent prediction posts are very valuable

#BTC Recent News Brief:

1. Current Market: Bitcoin is currently trading in the range of eighty-eight to ninety-one thousand dollars, influenced by Vanguard's shift to support crypto ETFs, with institutional funds returning two hundred billion within thirty-six hours, confirming a rebound in total market value.

2. Key Catalyst: Twenty One Capital is scheduled to list on the New York Stock Exchange on December 9, symbolizing the formal entry of traditional capital; K33's research report shows last week's low as a short-term bottom, and if the Federal Reserve maintains its easing policy, the target for December is one hundred thousand.

3. Technical Support: The fifty-day moving average has turned bullish, with the eighty-three to eighty-six thousand range providing strong support, and there is currently no risk of large-scale leverage liquidation.

4. Downside Caution: Holiday liquidity may narrow or amplify volatility, but major players like MicroStrategy and Kraken are continuing to accumulate, and the Chinese ban is old news with no substantial impact.

5. Short-term Judgment — Net bullish, with the year-end range of ninety-five to one hundred and ten thousand dollars already showing probabilistic support.

Supplementary Materials:
1. Vanguard Institutional Profile and Influence: Vanguard is one of the largest asset management companies in the world, managing over eleven trillion dollars in assets, primarily serving retail investors and pension funds. It has maintained a conservative stance on crypto for a long time, but recently (starting December 2) reversed its policy, allowing clients to buy and sell Bitcoin and other crypto ETFs on its platform. This directly opens the door to potential funds worth trillions of dollars, pushing Bitcoin's short-term market value rebound by two hundred billion, marking an acceleration in institutional mainstreaming — a significant positive for BTC, expected to attract more conservative funds.

2. Details of the Federal Reserve's Easing Policy and Its Impact on BTC: The Federal Reserve's meeting on December 9-10 is expected to result in a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate to the range of 3.5%-3.75%, which is an easing signal (reducing borrowing costs and stimulating risk assets). If a rate cut occurs, Bitcoin is likely to rise — the dollar weakens, liquidity increases, and funds favor high-return assets like BTC; historical data shows that during similar rate cut cycles, BTC averages a rise of 15-25%. If they continue to signal dovishness (not cutting rates but verbally hinting at future easing), there may be slight short-term volatility or minor declines (due to disappointment selling pressure), but medium to long-term remains bullish, as expectations are already priced in and will not reverse the overall bull market trend.

The position #SOL 0.786 was successfully added. Continue to observe, stop loss at BE point.

#BTC Foundation

Has already stopped at the position of 618. The support time has far exceeded 382. I have started to close the short positions and continue to go long.

The rational approach is to start gradually accumulating in batches. Gradually, in batches. It's not time to go all in yet.

#BTC According to the predictions from the past two days, it has now steadily retraced to the 0.382 level. Continuing to observe.

#BTC 🇨🇳🇺🇸 According to reports, Chinese state-owned banks are buying US dollars.

#BTC CryptoQuant tweeted that the purchase volume of Bitcoin for Strategy will significantly decline in 2025, with monthly purchases dropping from a peak of 134,000 Bitcoins in 2024 to 9,100 Bitcoins in November 2025, and only 135 Bitcoins purchased to date this month. The 24-month buffer period clearly indicates that it is preparing for a bear market.

#BTC In this range, before it breaks, the friends who received it must be feeling great 😂

Poor illiterate

83300 is a short-term stop-loss line; if it breaks, we need to wait and see. Just with this one sentence, there are illiterates who come to criticize, it's really pathetic.

#BTC Attention: 87000, 85200, 83300

$AUCTION 6.45 is a hurdle, stand firm to feel secure.

Don't like it, I'm going long

#BTC Try it out.79000.

Too much fuel for low-position all-in longs has led to a continued decline in liquidity. Once these big players are cleaned out, it should rise. In the short term, we see the minimum at 75000 again.

#BTC broke below 100,000 US dollars, it should be the last time.

In this position, if you come down in the short term, you can earn a round if you get it. But please do not be greedy, do not go all in; your all-in could harm many people. I hope those destined can see this.

Curious, what is everyone's basis for judging 'callbacks'? I hope it's not based on feelings.

My basis for judgment is very simple, it's just the simplest Fibonacci.