Once geopolitical cannon fire sounds, the candlestick chart is filled with the scent of blood and gold. Over the weekend, the US B-2 bombers tore through the Middle Eastern night sky, and the news and market began to play ‘quantum entanglement’—gold flash crashed by 2%, crude oil spiked up and down, and the dollar suddenly resurrected and rebounded. Veteran traders in the crypto circle understand: at such times, the market is not about technology, but about nerve strength.
The more chaotic the news, the more delicious the volatility.
Iran's nuclear facilities bombed? Only the tunnel entrance was hit. The Strait of Hormuz to be blocked? After the threats, nothing happened. In this Schrödinger's war, any unilateral bets just send fees to the exchanges. Brothers who chased gold longs last week are already cutting losses in tears, while crude oil contract players are repeatedly getting liquidated between the '130-dollar doomsday scenario' and 'Iran backs down'.
But the real hunters are secretly laughing:
- The implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has quietly surged, and option sellers are collecting rent until their hands are sore.
- Did stablecoins suddenly decouple by 0.5%? That’s emergency reallocation of risk-averse funds on-chain.
- Whenever the United Nations starts a meeting, altcoins dare to pull off a momentary rally of 'peace expectations'.
The survival rules in the crypto circle have changed.
2024 will no longer be the era of 'All in Bitcoin lying down to win'. Look at those ruthless people with 'all-weather' strategies:
- 30% position betting on war narratives (military-related RWA tokens + crude oil futures contracts).
- 30% hedge against the Fed's sudden shift (longing the risk coefficient of MKR/COMP).
- Keep 40% for sniping spike trades (arbitrage on perpetual contract funding rates in exchanges).
Remember: when military bloggers on Twitter are shouting ‘World War III’, it’s often the golden moment to short the fear index; when everyone thinks ‘it won't happen’, the on-chain whales are secretly increasing their positions in crude oil futures tokens.
Advice for the truly ruthless.
1. Don't open positions when the news is at its most FOMO; wait for the first batch of stop-losses to be harvested before entering.
2. Exchange USDT for DAI—on-chain liquidity during a black swan event is like an oxygen tank.
3. Pay attention to new species of 'war coins': from drone part NFTs to the OTC premium of Iranian oil USDT.
This summer, either become prey to volatility or learn to use contracts and derivatives to forge an armor for yourself. After all, in the crypto world, the sound of gunfire is just background music to the candlestick chart, while the real winners have long learned to hear the money ringing amidst explosive news.
(While others argue about missile types, smart money has already completed a threefold leverage layout on-chain.)
Pay attention to Yuanbao for more information.
