$BTC #FedRateCutExpectations #AltcoinSeasonComing? #AITokensRally #Write2Earn

The global cryptocurrency market is experiencing unprecedented positive developments. The United States has officially passed the Stablecoin Act, which requires transparent reserves and compliant audits, greatly enhancing market security and trust. At the same time, the government has established a strategic Bitcoin reserve, elevating crypto assets to a level of national strategy. With the regulatory environment becoming increasingly clear, not only has policy risk been reduced, but the path has also been paved for accelerated entry by institutions and capital.

Meanwhile, countries such as Pakistan and Kazakhstan are establishing regulatory agencies or reserve funds to actively develop their crypto ecosystems, signaling the formation of a global digital asset race. The Nasdaq has applied to launch tokenized securities trading, the Avalanche Foundation is planning to raise 1 billion USD, and Tether has introduced a new stablecoin. All of these moves demonstrate that the integration of traditional finance with the cryptocurrency market is accelerating.

Against this backdrop, crypto assets are no longer merely speculative tools but are gradually becoming a core asset class recognized by countries and institutions. The market scale continues to expand, and application scenarios are steadily being implemented. From payment and settlement to asset securitization and cross-border finance, enormous value potential is being unlocked.

Wall Street index futures pointed to a slightly higher open at the start of the week of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, while Tesla shares gained following CEO Elon Musk's stock purchase.

The electric vehicle maker (TSLA.O) jumped 8.2% in premarket trading after regulatory filings revealed Musk had acquired nearly $1 billion worth of Tesla's stock on Friday.

This week, the Fed's rate decision will take center stage, with investors largely expecting a 25-basis-point cut on Wednesday following a series of economic indicators that pointed to a deteriorating jobs market.

Traders are pricing in a total of 68.9 points in monetary policy easing by end-2025, data compiled by LSEG showed.

"Everyone is anticipating at least one (25 bps) cut, some people are thinking 50 bps. That's overreaching, but the market is certainly built for one," said Joe Saluzzi, co-head of equity trading at Themis Trading.

"Anything less than that (25 bps) would be a severe disappointment and we'd have a very, very sharp sell-off."

In other developments, Nvidia (NVDA.O) declined 1.3% in premarket trading, as China's market regulator said it will continue an investigation into the AI chip leader after preliminary findings showed it had violated the country's anti-monopoly law.

Some other U.S. chipmakers also faced pressure after China's Ministry of Commerce launched both an anti-discrimination investigation into U.S. chip trade policies and a separate probe into dumping practices.

NXP Semiconductor (NXPI.O) slipped 1.6%, Texas Instruments (TXN.O) was down 3.3%, Analog Devices (ADI.O) dropped 2.6% and On Semiconductor (ON.O) slid 1.3%.

Wall Street's three main indexes had logged weekly gains in the previous session, with the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 hitting intraday record highs on Friday as technology-linked stocks remained resilient despite broader market declines.

The major indexes have performed positively thus far in September, a month considered historically bad for U.S. equities. The benchmark S&P 500 has shed 1.5% on average in the month since 2000, data compiled by LSEG showed.

Among the final datasets before the Fed's September 16-17 meeting, Tuesday's retail sales report will provide crucial insights into the U.S. consumer's health, following a slightly hotter-than-expected inflation reading last week.

VF Corp (VFC.N) gained 3.3% in premarket trading after the Vans-parent announced the sale of its Dickies brand to Bluestar for $600 million.

U.S.-listed shares of Smurfit Westrock rose 3.9% after UBS initiated coverage on the cardboard box maker with a "buy" rating.

If the Fed only cuts rates by 25 bps, the market will probably hold steady, but if they cut by less than that, we could see some serious risk 🥶

If we get a 50 basis points rate cut, the stock market might go crazy in the short run, but it would also show that the economy is under a ton of pressure.