Today, the price of Celo (CELO), Layer 2 of ETH is still up over 30% despite ETH and the overall market decline, and this is not contradictory but reflects the separate cash flow and the unique cycle of each ecosystem.

🫵 1. CELO is no longer completely dependent on ETH

Although CELO started as an EVM-compatible chain, it now has its own ecosystem and cash flow (especially after the CELO 2.0 updates and Layer-2 on OP Stack).

Therefore, the money flowing into CELO could come from private funds, not necessarily following the cycle of ETH.

🫵 2. The flow of money is 'revolving' in the altcoin market

When ETH adjusts or goes sideways, investors often rotate profits to:

Smaller Layer-1 altcoins (like CELO, NEAR, CFX...)

Or projects with their own news (ecosystem upgrade, incentive, partnership,...)

➡️ At that time, CELO can still increase independently if there is a strong narrative or money flow.

🫵 3. CELO has its own narrative (end of 2025)

Currently, CELO is benefiting from:

✅ Plan to transition to Layer-2 using OP Stack (increases performance, expands the EVM ecosystem).

✅ Collaboration with Circle, Mento stablecoin → increases practical use cases in payments.

✅ New DeFi money is flowing into CELO through bridges from Ethereum & Base.

✅ Funds like a16z, Polychain are 'refreshing' their investment strategies on CELO.

→ This is an intrinsic catalyst, causing the price of CELO to keep rising even when ETH adjusts slightly

🫵 4. Short-term technical analysis (until the beginning of Q4/2025)

CELO is still in a medium-term uptrend, with strong support around $0.46 – $0.50, and the next resistance at $0.72 – $0.80

If ETH drops but still holds the range of $4,400–$4,500, CELO may still increase independently to the range of $0.75.

🧭 5. Investment strategy

Short-term: can hold or lightly DCA around $0.55–$0.60 if the price adjusts.

Medium-term: take partial profits when approaching $0.80–$0.90.

Long-term (2026): if Layer-2 CELO mainnet is completed, the target of $1.2–$1.5 is feasible.

🌼🌼🌼Analysis of why CELO can rise while ETH falls (according to current observations 5/10/2025)

Based on the data and signs just analyzed, these are reasonable hypotheses explaining the phenomenon you asked about:

🌼Stronger intrinsic catalyst

– CELO's implementation of Nightfall (privacy layer) for enterprise payments is a new boost to attract institutional capital.

– The process of transitioning CELO from L1 to L2 helps it maintain Ethereum's security while reducing fees & accelerating DeFi urbanization.

🌼High incentive / liquidity mining programs

– CELO – stablecoin pools with very high APY mentioned in the analysis — attract short-term capital into CELO to earn yield.

– Investors are 'short-term reallocating' from ETH / large assets to high-yield altcoins when ETH does not rise strongly.

🌼Fragmented capital flow & altcoin market

– When ETH does not rise strongly (or slightly decreases), capital may 'rotate' to altcoins with new narratives, smaller projects — CELO is in the group of altcoins 'with a new story' so it benefits easily.

– Small money flows can create larger volatility in lower-cap tokens.

🌼Market signals & investment sentiment

– Investors often seek the 'next big thing' when the main market is unclear — CELO, with its new updates, easily becomes a short-term focal point.