I. All the piles are dead, are you still fantasizing about the season of fish, shrimp, and crabs?
On October 11, the epic major decline, many market makers and whales have died, all the piles are dead, are you still fantasizing about the counterfeit season? Those who survived by luck, once there is a rise, will they escape from death or not?
II. Post-bear market reconstruction, when will the rise after the major decline end?
October 11 article (Block continent! Sun Yuchen's 5.5 small goals taken overnight, 13-year senior: this signal is more dangerous than a major decline!) pointed out [short-term can bet on the rise after a major decline]:
Our private circle also pointed out: [The end time of the rise is between October 12 and October 14, the rise targets are the upper track of the 4-hour kc, the upper track of the 6-hour kc, daily bbi!]
Reconstruction has started since yesterday!
Looking at it today, Ethereum has already arrived!
Bitcoin is still a little short of reaching!
Gann theory believes that [time is more important than position], time determines the [level of rise].
Today, our group further proposed the [level of rise]:
The above three upgrading levels are all possible, and we need to judge through real-time indicators.
We focus on the time nodes of [October 13-15], [October 23-24], and [October 30].
Three, how much longer do we have to bear? Is it really going to be a bear for a year?
Yesterday's video (Epic drop on October 11, is it a bear market? Has the four-year cycle ended? Is it really going to be a bear for a year? Is the block continent really going to decline?), has a Bitcoin BTC bear market wave analysis chart, has positions, has time! Everyone needs to carefully watch, and see it several times.
Due to upper limits, some content cannot be shared in text format, therefore the video does not have a text version.
Four, key on-chain data analysis.
(1) Major whale connection or disconnection signals [the key point of key points]
No significant connection signals have appeared, it is not a real major resistance yet!
(2) Real whale holdings - unspent balance [the key point of key points]
Continuous decline, no significant upward movement has appeared, it is not a real major resistance yet!
(3) Greed and fear index [key point]
Not yet in extreme panic, it is not a real major resistance yet!
(4) [Short-term connection者 profit ratio] [the key point of key points]
Not yet reaching 0.5-1, it is not a real major resistance yet!
Five, short-term trend analysis of Bitcoin.
For the mid-term trend of BTC, please watch the video (Epic drop on October 11, is it a bear market? Has the four-year cycle ended? Is it really going to be a bear for a year? Is the block continent really going to decline?)
The analysis provided by the group yesterday is still valid:
Let's take a look at the latest wave analysis chart:
(1) The weekly wave pattern is relatively clear, while the daily wave pattern has many confusing parts.
(2) The green line is the super cycle of 3-1-5 waves, which has already ended.
(3) The purple-red line is a double zigzag adjustment wave, which has already ended.
(4) The orange line indicates the rise of the purple-red line, internal structure is a zigzag adjustment wave or double zigzag adjustment wave.
At least around 114099.82 (already reached),
Ideally, it should drop to 115968.76 (already reached) - 116955.37, expected to arrive around October 13-15!
Extreme positions can reach 121359.70-122372.47. If it reaches here, it should rise to October 23-24, extreme on October 30. Everyone needs to be alert!
(5) 122372.47 cannot effectively stabilize. If it stabilizes effectively and does not break below 111980, it means counting errors in the waves. The super cycle 3-1-5 wave still needs the last wave to complete, and the daily MACD will show a golden cross, which will result in a historical new high above 126199.63-128274, see the purple dashed line.
(6) The MACD of the bull king at the weekly level does not have a golden cross, and the weekly stochrsi indicator has reset to a dead cross; it is still a downward trend!
(7) The daily central pivot of the Chande theory is between 111920-117919, and 117919 is very critical. Only by effectively stabilizing at 117919 can we continue to rise!
(8) Wyckoff re-accumulation model and distribution model are as follows:
(9) Gann time series
Gann time series October 10, 2025 is an important turning point, and there was a significant drop the next day, October 11, 2025, very precise!
The next important turning time nodes are on October 30, 2025, and November 19, 2025.
(10) Gann box: The previous turning points on September 19, September 24, September 29, October 5, and October 11 are all very precise.
The next turning time nodes are on October 23, 2025, November 3, 2025, November 9, 2025, and November 14, 2025.
(11) Gann angle lines are also very impressive, exactly at the green Gann angle line showing major resistance! Next, pay attention to the suppression of three red Gann angle lines.
In a bear market, long-term attention should be paid to the resistance of the blue Gann angle line, where real major resistance will appear!
Six, A-share has won big! Where are the opportunities?
While you are still struggling in the cryptocurrency circle, our Huahong Semiconductor has made connections at 46, peaking around 100, and has more than doubled in just a month. So fast!
Seven, A-share cherish the opportunity to pick up passengers during the super cycle of 3-3-3-3-4!
(1) The super cycle of 3-3-3-2 wave overall is a wxyxz adjustment wave.
And it has ended at 3040.78 on April 7, 2025.
The rise after April 7 is the super cycle of 3-3-3-3 waves.
(2) Currently in a super cycle of 3-3-3-3-4 waves, horizontally consolidating.
The internal structure is a wxy adjustment wave or wxxyxz adjustment wave.
Tariffs are a huge negative, opening low and going high, this is a trap for speculation, and it will go down further!
Downward targets are 3781.4, daily MA 60 (around 3744), 3222, 3685.
The sign of the end of the downward trend is when the stochrsi indicator resets to the bottom and golden crosses.
(3) After the decline, super cycle of 3-3-3-3-5 waves.
Targets are 4000-4014-4025-4100-4124-4333.
The daily KDJ + SKDJ indicators have not yet reached the level of the big peak around 541 from last October 8.
The bull market does not speak of peak tops!
Eight, the trend of Ethereum.
Analysis of Ethereum is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Nine, the trend of SOL.
Analysis of SOL is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Ten, the trend of XRP.
Analysis of XRP is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Twelve, the trend of the China Securities 2000.
Analysis of the China Securities 2000 is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Thirteen, the trend of Dow Jones.
Analysis of Dow Jones is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Fourteen, the trend of Tesla.
Analysis of Tesla is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Fifteen, the trend of Big HK.
Analysis of Big HK is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Sixteen, the trend of full technology waves.
Analysis of full technology is only shared in the group, and will not be shared in the community afterwards!
Eighteen, to forge iron, one must be strong oneself.
Dear friends! Sister Bai has diligently organized the on-chain data analysis, indicator analysis, and market analysis of Bitcoin, all clearly presented for you, just hoping to help everyone avoid pitfalls and seize opportunities in the crypto space. If you feel this analysis has clarified your thoughts, don’t forget to give Sister Bai a thumbs up for encouragement! If you haven't followed yet, hurry and hit follow, as Sister Bai will continue to update, so you can grasp market trends at the first moment!
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